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Bloomberg Daybreak: November 4, 2022 - Hour 2 (Radio)

Nov 04, 202243 min
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Bloomberg Daybreak with Karen Moskow and Nathan Hager.

GUESTS:
Michael McKee
Economics Editor
Bloomberg Editorial
on Jobs Report

Emily Wilkins
Reporter
Bloomberg Industry Group
on DC headlines.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

Speaker 1

Live from the Bloomberg Interacted Burger Studios is Bloomberg day Break for a Friday, November four two, Coming up the shower. Wall Street braces for the October jobs report. Apple is

the latest company to put the brakes on hiring. Twitter plans job cuts today as it gets hit by a class action lawsuit over the firings, and Donald Trump gives his strongest signal yet that he plans to run for president in the NYPD as the rest of the suspect in the rape of a Manhattan jogger, plus New Jersey Governor Murphy warns of a credible threat to syntaggues Michael Larer.

More Ahead, I'm John stash Our on Sports at Kyrie Irving suspension followed by an apology of the Astros beat the Phillies to take the lead in the world Series. That's all Train ahead on Bloomberg day Break on Bloomberg. He Living Free on New York Bloomberg one, Washington d C Bloomberg one oh six one, Boston Bloomberg nine sixties and Francisco Syrius Exam one nineteen and around the World Old on Bloomberg Radio dot Com and by other Bloomberg

business app and good morning. I'm Karen Moscow. I'm Nathan Hagar Bloomberg Day Bright brought to you by Cone Residuc Advisory Assurance, Tax business strategies, financial intelligence viewpoints, all in one place. Visit Cone residuc c suite dashboard, Cone residuc dot com, slash c suite and futures are jumping on this Friday morning, six so one on Wall Street, and we check the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day.

On bloomberg SMP Future is up twenty three points, dal Future is up on seven and NASDAG futures of seventy five ten year treasury of three thirty seconds, he had four point one three percent and the yield on the two year four point seven four percent. Nathan Karen. A busy week on the economic calendar wraps up this morning with the October Jobs report. Economists forecast the game of a hundred ninety five thousand pay rolls with an unemployment rate of three point six percent. We get a preview

from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. Today's jobs figures could have a major or impact on markets, but likely only if they come in stronger than forecast. The Fed is looking for deceleration, and if we get slower job creation and a higher unemployment rate, that would be perceived as good news. Fed policymakers expect the job less rate to rise, but though they've raised the nation's benchmark interest rate by three seventy five basis points this year, so far, it hasn't budged

stronger than forecast numbers would suggest. The Fed has to raise rates higher than markets currently expect, and there would be a rush to reprice. Still, with three inflation reports and another job's number before the Fed meets again, any big reaction today may be short lived. Michael McKee, Bloomberg Daybreak Mike. Thanks to complete coverage and analysis of the job's report at eight thirty am Wall Street time. When it arrives an hour later, we will speak live with

Labor Secretary Marty Wall Sean Bloomberg Radio and Television. Well, Nathan, we're seeing more tent companies pull back on hiring. The latest evidence of that is at Apple, the iPhone maker is hitting pause on most positions outside of research and development. Let me get a story from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. Sources say it's an escalation of an existing plan to reduce budgets heading into next year. Apple joins other technology giants in tapping the brakes on hiring a response to sluggish

consumer spending and higher interest rates. The iPhone maker has fared better than many tech peers this year, but it's still facing an industry wide slowdown for smartphones and computers. In a statement, Apple said it does continue to hire, quote, but given the current economic environment, we're taking a very deliberate approach in some parts of the business. In New York. Charlie Pellett Bloomberg day Break, Okay, Charlie, thank you. On

Twitter plans to start cutting staff today. As we've been reporting, the new owner, Elon Musk, plans to eliminate half the people who work at the social media platform. Those plan layoffs have now prompted a class action lawsuit accusing Twitter of violating a federal law that requires at least sixty days notice before mass firings. Well, the hiring sweet isn't just in the tech sector. Nathan Coca Cola is offering voluntary buyouts to some of its staff in North America.

The bear ridge maker currently employees about six thousand people on the continent. Coke is not saying which positions or how many will be affected or eliminated. You could call this job news of a political kind, Karen. Former President Donald Trump is sending his strongest signal yet that he plans to run for the White House again in four Amy Morris has the details from our Bloomberg newsroom in Washington.

Trump has teased for months that he plans to make another White House run, but during last night's rally in Iowa, he all but declared his candidacy. In order to make our country successful and safe and glorious, I will very, very very probably do it again. His former advisor, Kelly and Conway, says she expects Trump to announce soon, likely after Tuesday's elections. The rally was billed as an event

supporting Republican Senator Chuck Grassley and other endorsed candidates. It also happens to be the state that holds the first presidenti CAUCUSUS. Trump is also scheduled to hold rallies in Pennsylvania, Florida, and Ohio in Washington, I'm Amy Morris, Bloomberg Daybreak. All right, Amy, thank you all. Turning back to the markets now, stunts in Asia rose overnight as Chinese tex shares rebounded more than ten percent. Do we get the recap from Bloomberg?

Juliett Sally and Singapore, Good morning, juliet, Good morning, Nathan and Karen. The m c I Asia Pacific Index headed for its biggest weekly jump since July, as Chinese assets rallied amid investors speculation Beijing may roll back it's COVID zero policy. Chinese stocks listed in Hong Kong had their best week since twenty eleven. The off show you Un jumped more than one percent against the dollar, but Japanese ses were a dragon Asia as investors in Tokyo played

catch up after Thursday's holiday. In Singapore Juliette Sally, Bloomberg Daybreak, Juliette Thanks. In Europe, Britain's headed for a deep procession that could lead to more than a half million people losing their jobs. Some of the Bank of England's message yesterday as it raised interest rates by seventy bases points to a fourteen year high of three percent. EOE Governor Andrew Bailey is defending the rate hike. The fact that we've done something to five today. Nobody should read into it.

That's the new norm. I don't think you know, people we should surprised when they see that. Yeah, we're on the fete of looking at things through slightly different lenses. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey made those comments in an interview with Bloomberg's franc laquix Well. Back here in the US, Nathan New York City's new pay transparency law has a blind spot Wall Street bonuses. The new law requires local employers to make a best estimate of their

salary range and job postings. The idea is it will give candidates a stronger hand in negotiating compensation, but bonuses are exempt from the law even though they make up the bulk of Wall Street pay. Okay, let's look at some stocks that may be on the move on Wall Street today. Karen Shares of Starbucks are now more than three percent. In early trading, the company reported sales that exceeded expectations. PayPal shares right now are down about seven percent.

The payment platform trimmed its forecast for annual revenue amid a slow down in spending growth, and shares of Block are hired by almost fourteen and a half percent. The company formerly known as Square, reported revenue above analyst estimates. SMP futures are highed by twenty four points. Right now, NASDAC futures up seventy eight. Straight ahead your latest local headlines and a check of sports. This is Bloomberg. It sounds like so seven on Wall Street or a fifty

three degrees in Central Park. You've got two accidents on the westbound Belt park Way that Peter Vandell fill you in on shortly. First, Michael Bars here with more on what's going on in New York and around the world. Michael, thank you very much. Nathan, the NYPD says a man with more than a dozen prior arrests has been taken into custody for allegedly raping a woman on a jogging path along the Hudson River in Manhattan's Lower west Side yesterday.

The victim was able to flag down another jogger for help after the incident. She was bleeding on her arms and she was wearing any shoes. Her clothes were kind of torn up, but I could tell that they were workout. Police say. After the attack, the suspect, Carl Fayner, took the victim's wallet and was arrested at a target store using the victim's card. The midterm elections will be held this Tuesday across the country, with many tight races that

will decide the balance of power in Congress. Republican Congressman Andy Barr of Kentucky people are ready for a big change. I anticipate a red tidal wave election, and not just here in Kentucky, but around the country in battleground districts for the control of the Congress. I anticipate a not only the voters will make a change in the majority and put Republicans in charge, but it's gonna be a

big win Congressman bar On Bloomberg's balance of power. The race in Pennsylvania is being watched very closely, as Democrat John Fetterman and Republican memitaz Or neck and neck. According to the latest polls, he could determine control of the U. S. Senate. Meanwhile, Oprah Winfrey, who helped make Doctor as a household Dame on TV, says she is backing Fetterman in the ace. The race for New York's eighteenth congressional district is also

being watched. Democratic Congressman Pat Ryan is up against new York Republican Assemblyman Colin Schmidt. Ryan talked about abortion and the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade. Unequivocally, it is one of the It's not the only issue, of course, but it is one of the most salient issues. That people are rightly outraged that fellow Americans fundamental rights and freedoms were ripped away. Colin Schmidt, the issues that are playing out here are the economy and crime. That is

the main two issues. They're almost tied in importance to the voters when we hear about it. Schmidt and Ryan spoke on sound On, which airs at five pm on Bloomberg. Governor Phil Murphy says authorities are closely monitoring a credible threat to New Jersey synagogues. Murphy says law enforcement officials have stepped up patrols. No word on what information officials had received. Global News twenty four hours a day on airand on Bloomberg Quicktake Power by more than a journalist

and analyst in more than a d twenty countries. I'm Michael Bart. This is Bloomberg. Nathan. Thanks Michael. Going up to Sixten on Wall Street. Time for the Bloomberg Sports update brought to you by Tri State Outing with John Sechel Ran Nathan Another eventful day in the life of Kyrie Irving and again and NETS practice, after which Irving met the media for the first time since last Saturday.

He said plenty, but like last Saturday, at no time apologized for that posting of the anti Semitic video that angered NBA Commissioner Adam Silver and it angered the NETS, who suspended Irving for at least five games, they said until he satisfies a series of measures. Four hours later, there was an apology in an online post, so it's not known if Kyrie will play for the next tonight in Washington at the World Series. After games there were seven nothing and five nothing, which was a no hitter.

Tight Game five in Philadelphia, the Astro scored on the fourth pitch at the top of the first and in the Phillies scored on Justin Verlander's second pitch to the bottom. A Cloud Swarbler home run won one and the fourth. Here's the two too, swinging and a drive down the left field line. Warber back, He's on the morning track and that is out of air. Jeremy Paenia over and out the Astros lead two to one as Paenia shoots

the ray bow to last. He may have the calf ainto the rookie short Step had three hits, drove into and the Astros beat the Phillies three too with verland Or finally getting the World Series win. He came in o Wan six with a six t r A game six tomorrow night in Houston, also Philadelphia versus used to the NFL. The Eagles stay undefeated and beat the Texans seventeen. Bruins beat the Rangers five to two. Islanders and Devils both won on the road, and to both won five

in a row. John stashually, we're Bloomberg Sports, Nath John, thank you right now. S and P futures are up twenty one point, South futures up a hundred thirty three, NESSECT futures up sixty eight points. As we await October payrolls. We'll preview the data next with Bloomberg's Michael McKee. This is Bloomberg and Bloomberg Sports is brought to you by Audie. Don't let someone else drive off in the autie model

you've always wanted. Visit your local price state autie dealer to get behind the wheel of yours today, or visit autie Offers dot com for more information, markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com and Bloomberg Business Out and at Bloomberg Quick Tape. This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Karin Moscow. This update is brought to you by B and Why

Melons b and Why Melons Perishing. Learn why the world's most sophisticated wealth management and institutional firms rely on perishing to help them improve profitability, create efficiency, attract talent, and manage risk at Pershing dot com. But global equities are trimming a weekly loss as Chinese shares search I mean science authorities are trying harder to ease the impact of

its COVID zero policy. Treasuries are a little change before today's jobs data who checked the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day On Bloomberg SMP Future is up twenty two points this morning. Down futures have a hundred thirty nine nwasdack Future is up sixty eight. The decks in Germany's have one point three percent ten. Your treasury little change YELD four point one four percent they yield

on the two year four point seven four percent. Nine X screwed oil is up three percent of two dollars sixty nine cents at ninety dollars, eighty seven cents of barrel comic schooled at one point one percent or eighteen dollars ten cents at sixteen forty nine and ounce. The euro point nine seven eight zero against the dollar British found one point one two to one and the yen one forty seven point eight three and been going up one point six percent at twenty thousand, five hundred fifty dollars.

That's a Bloomberg business flash. Now here's Michael Barr with more on what's going on around the world. Michael Daren, thank you very much. Former President Donald Trump sent the strongest signal yet that he plans to run again in twe four at a rally in Sioux City, Iowa. Trump falsely claimed again that the election was rigged. Chinese President Shi jing Ping has called for peace talks over Ukraine and warned against the conflict going nuclear in a meeting

with German Chancellor Olof Schultz. The German leader is in Beijing for one day visit. In the NBA. The net Sky re Irving has apologized after being suspended for at least five games for failing to disavow anti Semitism when he was given an opportunity to do so. Asked for the games. The Warriors lost, The Astros are a game away from winning the World Series. Game five used to beat the Phillies three to Thursday Night Football, the Eagles down the Texans seventeen. In the NHL, the Bruins beat

the Rangers three one. The Islanders and Devils won, the Capitols lost. Global news twenty four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by more than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts, are more than a hundred twenty countries. Michael bar this is Bloomberg. Nathan all right, Michael, thank you. We're coming up to six twenty on Wall Street Live from the Bloomberg Attractive Broker Studios. This is

Bloomberg day Break on this job's Friday. We are joined ahead of the data by Bloomberg Global Economics and Policy correspondent Michael McKee. Will be breaking down the numbers for us later on eight thirty am Wall Street Time when we get them from the Labor Department. But ahead of that, Mike, the economists we've been talking to our forecasting a little

more moderation in the labor market. I just spoke with b MOS Jennifer Lee an hour ago, asked her whether this print is gonna have an effect on what the Fed does next month. Her quick answer was no, But the Fed's got to be looking at whether what it's doing is starting to have an impact on the labor market. Well, I can guess why her answer was no, and that's because we have another job's report and a couple more consumer price index reports before the next FED meeting, so

things could change. But uh, that's why I'm saying this is uh not as important a jobs report as we have seen from some recently, but it is one that could have a big effect on the markets because after j Powell news conference on Wednesday, where he suggested defense terminal rates going to have to be higher, markets are struggling to figure out where that terminal rate is. And if we get a stronger than expected report today, then you could see rather dramatic reactions, shall we say, in

the bond and stock markets. It may not be long lived, but it will be uh. Definitely a negative if we get a big number. Are we seeing any signs in the data ahead of this report that we could get as stronger than expected overall number later on? I mean, we just got weekly jobless claims that are, you know, still somewhat elevated, but they're trending downward as well, aren't

they they are. We also got some stronger news in the sense from uh the I s M Manufacturing report and the ADP report, which what he quite knows how to read these days, was also stronger to keep changing it. Yeah, the question is does the I s M Services number, which saw a contraction in jobs, mean more than any of those and uh, what does it all mean? We're all waiting to find out. Also, we're looking at the

unemployment rate. The Fed has forecast it will go up, and private sector forecasters are anticipating it going up a lot more than the Fed. But it hasn't budged, even though the Feds raised rates by three five basis points so far this year. So when does that start to happen? Our consensus calls for a three point six percent that's a tick up from three and a half, but doesn't go higher than that or does it still hold? There are some economists who think that the labor market is

tight enough that it could fall. It's pretty interesting, isn't it that when we are in this cycle where we've seen unprecedented rate hikes four seventy basis point moves in a row, that we're still kind of stuck in this range on a really low unemployment rate. What are the economists that you're talking to telling you about why they think that is? Well, it's very hard to discern exactly what's going on, but a lot of it has to

do with the pandemic. Of course, we had a whole sea change in the way people think about work, so many people now working from home, People moved out of the cities, and then a lot of people retired. This was happening the Baby boom generation was reaching sixty and starting to drop out of the labor force. But then a lot of people when they got laid off during

the pandemic just decided not to come back. Now, there are some indications that they are beginning to come back because it's more fun to have more money in your pocket. But uh, at this point, we're still down in terms of participation among older workers and the participation rate for prime age workers, which is basically forty nine four is uh about where it was before the pandemic. So it's people leaving the labor force that have left us with

fewer workers and left demand high. One reason we're seeing the Jolts numbers so high. Yeah, only about thirty second is left here. But if we are starting to see people come back from the sidelines to some extent, what does that mean for the wage pressures that the FETE is looking at so closely. Well, that theory they should bring those down. More people competing for jobs means that the employers need to pay less uh to get somebody, and that's what the FET is hoping, not for a collapse.

They'd like to see incomes rise about three to three and a half percent a year, but five percent, six percent, that's contributing to inflation. That's not good enough. So let's watch those numbers as well. Absolutely, and we definitely will do that. Eight thirty am. Wall Street Time in Bloomberg's Michael mckeelby back across Bloomberg Radio and Television to break

down those numbers from October payrolls. Again, the consensus from economists we've surveyed calls for a hundred ninety five thousand new non farm payrolls added in October, and the unemployment rate up just a tick to three point six percent. Futures ahead of that moving high er, SMP futures up twenty six points down, futures up a hundred seventy one, and NaSTA futures are higher by eighty one points. This

is Bloomberg Bloomberg eleven three oh weather. Mostly sunny, upper sixties today, partly cloudy tonight, upper fifties for lows will be in the sunshine all weekend long both days with highs in the low seventies. Right now fifty three in Central Park. Broadcasting live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio

in New York. Bloomberg E Living Freedom to Washington, d C, Bloomberg nine to Boston, Bloomberg one oh six one does San Francisco, Bloomberg sixt to the Country, Sirius XM Chado one nineteen and around the globe the Bloomberg business in Bloomberg Radio dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak six thirty on Wall Street. Good Morning. I'm Nathan Hagar and I'm Kared Moscow. We are just about three hours away from the Open of US training. It's time for the five

things that you need to notice dark your day. Brought to you by Interactive Brokers ib k R. Event Trader offers a new way to trade futures. Use event contracts to trade your opinion on yes or no questions and key CM future markets. Learn more at event trader dot Interactive brokers dot com. Up First, we're going to get a sense of how the federal reserves interest rate hikes

are impacting the labor market. With the October jobs report still out at eight thirty Well Street time, ZIP Recruiter Chief economist Julia Pollock believes it'll show the jobs market cooling, but at a very slow pace. Job gains is still around six percent higher than they were before the pandemic each month on average. There's still much more broadly spread across the economy, across industries overall, and those aggregate numbers,

this job market still looks strong. ZIP Recruiter Chief economist Julia Pollock says industries sensitive to rate hikes could see a steep cool down and hiring well. Meanwhile, Karen more major companies are pulling back on hiring, Apple is hitting pause on most positions outside of research and development, and Coca Cola is offering voluntary buyouts to some of its staff in North America. Well Over, at Twitter, Nathan new owner Elon Musk plans to eliminate half of its employees,

Bloomberg said. Ludlow says it's one of several immediate changes Musk is looking to implement. The eight dollars a month version of Twitter Blue could roll out as soon as Monday, and that edit button, which is currently exclusive to Twitter Blue subscribers, could be rolled out as soon as this

week for everyone on the platform, Bloomberg said. Ludlow says Elon Musk's plan layoffs for Twitter have prompted a class action lawsuit and accuses Twitter of violating a federal law that requires at least sixty days notice before mass firing. So this could be job news of a political kind. Careen Former President Donald Trump sending his strongest signal yet he's planning another White House bid. I will very very very probably do it again, It was former President Trump

at a rally in Iowa. And over in Europe, Nathan Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey is defending its latest rate height Despy, saying Britain is headed for a deep recession that could lead to more than a half a million job losses. I don't think people would be surprised when they see that we are the fellow looking at things through slight different lenses. And Bank of England Governor

Andrew Bailey was speaking with Bloomberg's Francy Lachwab. That's the five things that you need to notice start your day. Brought to you by Interactive Brokers Again, Futures on the rise this morning is and p Future is up twenty seven points. Now Future is up one seventy six. Nast Egg, Futures up eighty three. Traight ahead, your latest local headlines, plus a check of sports. And this is Bloomberg. Thanks Peren.

Six thirty three on Wall Street fifty three degrees in Central Park westbound Belt Parkway is closed at Coney Island Avenue in Brooklyn for an accident investigation. We'll tell you more in traffic. First, Michael Bars here with what else is going on in New York and around the world. Good morning, Michael, Good morning Nathan, a suspected serial attacker, is in custody after a rape in New York City.

Carl Fanner It's winning. A year old man experiencing homelessness was arrested for the sexual assault of a woman who had been jogging along the West side of Manhattan. This good samaritan helped the victim. I didn't ask what happened. Um, I didn't want to pry at all. I didn't want to intimidate her, scare her. Police say the suspect used the victim's credit card at a target in Midtown New York. Democratic Governor Kathy Hocal campaign at Barnard College in Manhattan

with Hillary Clinton and Vice President Kamala Harris. She talked about the Supreme Court decision earlier this year that removed federal abortion protections. I've heard my opponents say, oh, don't worry. The day after the dab's decision, nothing changed in the state of New York. So don't worry. You know why nothing changed in the state of New York because I'm

the governor. New York Republican Representative Lee Zelden, predicting an upset and Tuesday's gubernatorial race, of the campaign rally in Albany. Around the rest of the state, they're ready they're ready to fire Kathy hokel owl Show hocal Ahead over Zelden. The FBI says it has received credible information about a broad threat synagogues in New Jersey, a warning that has prompted some municipalities to send extra police officers to guard

houses of worship. Governor Phil Murphy says he has been in contact with the state Attorney General and New Jersey Homeland Security about the credible threat. Oprah when Free says she is backing Democratic nominee John Fetterman in Pennsylvania's key Senate race over Republican opponent memon Os. When Free helped turn dr Oz into a household name on TV power rationing Widen and Kiev as Ukrainian authorities sought to relieve pressure on energy infrastructure that has been targeted by Russia's

escalating attacks. Meanwhile, at the Pentagon briefing Defense Secrets, Arry Lloyd Austin was asked whether he believes Ukrainian forces can retake curs H. I certainly believe that they have the capability to do that. Most importantly, the Ukrainians believe that they have the capability to do that, and the u n's nuclear safety agency says they found no signs of possible dirty bomb production at three facilities in Ukraine. The

inspections came at Kiev's request after Russian accusations. Global News twenty four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by more than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts, are more than a hundred twenty countries. Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg. All right, Michael, Thanks almost six thirty six on Wall Street time for the Bloomberg Sports update, brought to you by tri State. Out of here again, it's John Stenshower. Thanks Nathan. The next plates to night

in Washington. We'll see if they allow Kyrie Irving to play late last night with the Nets and the NBA have been waiting for an apology from Irvine. He posted the words four hours after the Nets suspended them for at least five games. They said they were deeply disturbed by irving failure to disavow anti Semitism. That's by multiple opportunities to do so, including yesterday. My responsibility for the person that some things that were questionable in there untrue.

Like I said in the first time, you guys asked me when I was sitting on that stage. I don't believe everything that everybody posts a documentary, sobility and apologize the NBAH mission or Adam Silver said he's gonna meet with irby next week. Houston Astros at their first lead of the World Series. They beat the Phillies three to two. They lead the series three to two. Jeremy paineyad they

go ahead home run. Justin Verlander got the win, his first ever in the World Series in his ninth career start. Ryan Pressley with a five out saving Chas McCormick may have saved the game with his catch in the bottom of the ninth Any tomorrow night in Houston, any of the Astros win their second championship ever, or there'll be a Game seven on Sunday, NFL. Also Philadelphia versus Houston. The Eagles one seventeen or now eight notes the best

start ever. The Bruins are ten and one. Scored four times third period at the Garden beat the Rangers five to two. The Islanders and Devils both won on the road. They both won five in row. That Jersey win and Edmonton came when the Devil's late third period scored the tyne and go ahead goal seven seconds apart. Actually sports st John, thank you, It is sixty seven on Wall Street. Let's take a look at stocks, some of the names moving in the pre market before the open, before we

get October pay rolls, Bloomberg, Radio and TV. Markets correspondent cre cooped up with us this morning going above and beyond, starting off with a look at US based stocks from China. Yeah, you know, it's interesting, Nathan. We talk a lot about the Federal Reserve and what the next catalyst up for the bull market might be when it comes to stocks.

But David Inglis over in Asia, one of our anchors and of course our our markets, uh kind of reporters, lush leaders over in that region, made a really interesting point. I promise it connects to the stock market. Here. Bear with me, Nathan. He said, what if China is the new alternative? We talked about there is no alternative. We talked about tex Stock, we talked all the investing. What of China is where this next leg of growth that is supposed to come, Especially as we talk about speculation

about more reopening. You're starting to see a report, for example, that they are starting to hold back on some of the restrictions that are coming on the likes of planes and airlines, for example, holding passengers that may have COVID going into the country. You also have, of course a Bloomberg News report outlining progress in efforts to prevent the d listing of hundreds of Chinese stocks from the US exchanges.

So this is really important because it talks about how maybe there is a little bit more reintegration of China, which we haven't really seen for about two years now. Nevertheless, that sentiment, Nathan, I promise it all connected connect to some of these big US listed a d R S or from China. As you point out, Ali Baba's our poster child, here be a b as your ticker up about ten percent in the pre market. You also have

the likes of j D dot Com. Now those are once again are two big e commerce giants, also up about nine percent in the pre market. And of course when you look at those A d R S, I always like to look at Hinduo Duo as well. It's just kind of one of my one I love to say it and to it's just kind of a fun stock to look at. But also up nine percent, so you are seeing that taker p d D up in

line with the entire complex there. Yeah, I mean that could be kind of a long term trend, whether we start to see more reopenings in China and that potentially being a catalyst. But we also in the meantime have to look at the catalyst that continues to be this kind of up and down earning season. Yeah, absolutely, especially when it comes to fintech and payments platforms. That's going to take you to our next couple of stocks here, PayPal,

p y p L. She's actually down six percent. They were to lower as much as eight percent earlier in the session, cutting their forecast for their annual revenue. They're saying there is a slowdown in spending, really commenting on the consumer. Their analysts also talking about the strong dollar macro economic headwinds weighing on the forecast there. Nathan, I also want to leave you the one last one Block formerly known as Square sqs. The ticker up about fourteen percent.

They also came out with earnings actually beat expectations. Boost is some optimism, So some conflicting messages coming from PayPal and Block. All right, Bloomberg Radio on TV Markets Corres funding created Goop will be with us throughout the day as we take a look at the market reaction to potentially the next catalyst, that would be October payrolls coming out in less than two hours now, but ahead of that, the market's pointing to a stronger open on Wall Street.

For now, SMP futures are up twenty nine points now futures up, a d NAZDAC future is higher by eighties seven points. This is Bloomberg. Bloomberg Sports was brought to you by Audie. Don't let someone else drive off in

the Audi model you've always wanted. Visit your local Trice State Autie dealer to get behind the wheel of yours today, or visit Autie Offers dot com for more information, markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com, the Bloomberg Business Outland at Bloomberg Pricktape. This is a Bloomberg Business Flash and I'm Karen Moscow and futures on the rise this morning as we await the October jobs repward, let's go to the first word

making news dask for today's morning call, and here's Bill Maloney. Bill, good morning, Hey, good morning. Can that's right us futures are trading in the green right now. DEAF features up two hundred and six points, STIVS Game thirty one and NEZCA futures are higher by nine two. The US ten yeld at four point one four percent, Gold is up twenty Oil is also climbing, and Bitcoin is trading higher

by one point seven percent. Hong Kong sort five point four percent overnight on speculation of China easing COVID zero policies, and European markets are also trading in the green. This morning, back in the US on the Economic FUNDA thirty non fond payrolls, and after the bellist night, PayPal cut its outlook, while Starbucks sales beat estimates and regarding earnings this morning,

Hershey beat estimates. Wrapping things up, Fidelity Nationalists cut to market perform over at Oppenheimer Live from the first breaking news desc on Bill Maloney care right, Bill, thank you to hear live breaking news over your Bloomberg type squawk on your terminal squu A w K and that's a Bloomberg business flash. Now here's Michael bar with more on months going on around the world. Michael here, thank you

very much. Former President Donald Trump sent the strongest signal yet that he plans to run again in four singing in Iowall rally that he will very very very probably make another White House bid. The former president is also schedule to hold rallies in Pennsylvania, Florida, and Ohio. Most of the nation falls back this weekend, putting clocks back

an hour to standard time. In the NBA, the net Skyrie Irving has apologized after being suspended for at least five games, We're failing to disavow anti Semitism when he was given an opportunity to do so. As for games, the Warriors lost, the Astros are a game away from winning the World Series. Game five, Houston beat the Phillies three to Thursday Night Football, the Eagles down the Texans seventeen, and the NHL the Bruins beat the Rangers three one.

The Islanders and Devils won the Capital's lost. Global news twenty four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quittake, powered by more than seven hundred journalists and analysts more than twenty countries. I'm Michael bar and this is Bloomberg.

Karen Hery. Michael bar thank you. At at six forty nine on Wall Street returned to news and science and Technology now with the Bloomberg n j I T STEM Report brought to U buy New Jersey Institute of Technology ranked a Top one d national university by U S News and World Report at number fourteen in the nation on Money's Best Colleges list. Learn more at n j I T dot e d U and Here's US making news in science, Technology, engineering and math. The U N

Climate Summit is back in Africa. After six years and four consecutive europe based conferences, The seventh Annual Conference of the Parties of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, better known as COP twenties seven, will be held in Egypt and begins next week. The earth Shot Prize, funded by Britain's Prince William to honor ground baking solutions to environmental issues, will broadcast its second ceremony on PBS and

the BBC. William, who launched the global prize with the Royal Foundation, will join the event, which will be filmed the next month in Boston. Each of this year's five winners or received one million dollars to accelerate their projects aimed at the prize's goals protecting and restoring nature, cleaning the air, reviving the oceans, building a waste free world, and fixing the climate. And a new app is being launched to help foodies find fresh seafood in Rhode Island.

According to the Department of Environmental Management, the new app, called fish Line, let's consumers search for fresh seafood from markets and restaurants as well as directly off the boat. The app could be downloaded at seafood r i dot com and as a Bloomberg n j I t stem report. Nathan something and no next time I'm there. Thank you, Karen. We are live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studios where

it's just about six fifty one on Wall Street. Now it's time to check what's going on in d c or. Some of the top stories include former President Donald Trump dropping his strongest hint yet that he is running in Oprah Winfrey endorsing John Fetterman over her former protege, doctor Oz in Pennsylvania, Carry Lake's election denial in Arizona could potentially reshape and President Biden's hawk ish tilt on China stirring worry of US overreaction. Let's bring in Boomberg government

reporter Emily Wilkins for more on some of these stories. Emily, I think we heard the words from Michael Barr a few minutes ago from former President Trump, very very very probably yep, you gotta you gotta get all three berries and uh one drum said during a rally in Iowa. It's just the strongest signal get that he's going to run for president. But we have already seen multiple signals from the former president that he is considering another run.

Trump's former senior counselor Kelley and Conway told reporters that they can expect Trump to announce soon, and she gave him credit for holding off this long to the mid terms. Remember, a lot of Republicans were worried that if Trump announced another run that he would sort of come back into the spotlight, and that wouldn't be good for a number of Republicans who are running in more moderate swing districts where voters might have conservative values and support certain things

about the Republican Party. But we're really turned off by Trump, and so that'll be a really interesting dynamic. Of course, with the mid terms being on November eight, we are expecting very soon after that for the race for a start, you've already heard Biden say that he's going to run again. We're expecting this announcement from Trump. Certainly there will be others who will be angling to get into both potential fields. Um, we're just we're just on this never ending treadmill of

of elections at this point. Uh, and we're about about to jump off. And yeah, and just about four days here. And as you allude to, their the president, the former president has been hinting quite strongly for months now that that he's probably going to make another run. What kind of impact is that having on the midterm race itself, the two race, It hasn't had a ton of impact, only because Trump has you know, he's he's not a candidate yet, he hasn't said that he's going to run.

And so that's allowed Republicans who are running in slightly more swing states and thinking about folks like David Feldeo out in California, I'm thinking about some of the more modern Republicans that were running in the northeast be able to really put some distance between themselves and Trump. UM to kind of go back to the mainstream Republicans, uh, stances about cutting spending about sort of returning to fiscal stability.

They've been able to focus on things like inflation on the economy, which are really good issues for Republicans to discuss without being asked constantly, Hey, Trump tweeted this, what do you think about it? Although it is interesting though, we've seen a number of a Republican candidates across the country up and down the ballot, sort of embracing the election denial strategy that former President Trump has put out there.

There's a really interesting story on the Bloomberg terminal this morning, honing in on Arizona gubernatorial candidate Carry Lake as a pretty prominent example of that. Yeah, I think of all the election deniers of who are running this year, Carry Lake is certainly the most interesting to watch, the Republican

nominee for Arizona's governor. She has centered her campaign on promoting the live that election was stolen from Trump, saying that if she had been governor, she would have not certified the election for Biden, and of course Nathan that that has real concerns for what that could mean in um. Lake is currently up in the polling. There's a good chance that she is going to become Arizona's and next senator, and remember that state was so central to Trump's efforts

to overturn the election. There were all of those recounts, including that countroversial, controversial recount recount by the private firm Cyber Ninjas that also found that that Biden one. But part of the charm of Carry Lake is that she was a former TV anchor. She has a name I d outside of the Senate race, and it's been much more difficult for Democrats to paint her as an extremist. And so it will be very interesting to see what

she will do as governor. And I think there are lots of concerns being raised now across the country about what going to look like if folks like like and other election deniers get into office. What is going to happen with a legitimate election with how folks vote? Will that be telly? Will that actually account to the result? Uh? Really, really a lot of concerns that are being raised two years out. I want to turn to this story on a geopolitical note as well, some worry potentially coming out

of Washington now about President Biden's pretty hawkish stance on China. Yeah, there are a lot of folks in Congress, Biden himself, who have become like very strong China Hawks, especially as we've seen Hi Jin pains secure himself a third term. But there are some leavings at US specialists on China who are skeptical of the logic behind the US aggressive stance.

They're not dubbish on China per se, but they're just worried that by being so aggressive that might lead to more aggression from China and that things might eventually escalate. Bonnie glass or, the director at Asia's program for the German Martial Fund of the United States, called the US is approach sloppy and said it could end up provoking

the war that we seek to deter. And that will be very interesting to see how that stands continues in Congress, where they've had a lot of these laws come out about China about how the US and China relate. You've seen this really strong, vidant partisan support for being aggressive about China, and it will be interesting to see if there's any sort of breakthrough through some of these other China specialists who say, hey, we have to take China seriously,

but we also should try to avoid escalation. In just thirty seconds left here. That's gonna put a lot more attention on the G twenty summit coming up later this month because President Spiden and she are potentially going to meet there potentially, yes, and this is going to be obviously a very critical meeting. But between the two leaders, between the two economic powers, um, they've had a bit

of a rocky relationship. But at the same point, the White House has still tried to say, you know, we do, we do want to continue to work with Beijing on our mutual interest well, of course continuing to do things uh speak. Gripelosi's I think trip to Taiwan was was a huge example um of kind of how the US is trying to position itself right now in relation to China. Bloomberg Government reporter Emily Wilkins getting ready for the last

weekend before election day mid term Tuesday. Emily thinks as always, read more at Bloomberg dot com or on the Bloomberg terminal, Listen to Bloomberg Radio in Washington Bloomberg and one oh five point seven FM h D two. Of course, the most important news coming out of Washington this morning, October pay rolls due out in a little more than an hour and a half. We will have full coverage for you on Bloomberg Radio and television, including an interview with

Labor Secretary Marty Walsh later on this morning. Bloomberg surveillance is next for Karen Moscow. I'm Nathan Hagar. This is Bloomberg

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