Bloomberg Daybreak: November 11, 2022 - Hour 1 (Radio) - podcast episode cover

Bloomberg Daybreak: November 11, 2022 - Hour 1 (Radio)

Nov 11, 202243 min
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Bloomberg Daybreak with Karen Moskow and Nathan Hager.

GUESTS:
Ben Laidler
Global Markets Strategist
Etoro UK Ltd
on markets

Eric James Freedman
Chief Investment Officer
U.S. Bancorp
on markets

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Transcript

Speaker 1

Live from the Bloomberg Interacted Berger Studios. This is Bloomberg day Break for Friday, November eleven two. Coming up this shour Stocks followed Yesterday's powerful rally with war games Chinese in Hong Kong. Stocks search after Beijing is is quarantine rules at the X dot COM's assets are frozen by authorities in the Bahamas and Elon Musk lawrence of a possible bankruptcy at Twitter. New York City Mayor Adams defends his focus on crime. Plus the remnants of Hurricane Nicole

leave at least two people dead in Florida. Michael Barr More ahead, I'm John Stashower. In sports, mid third period for the Rangers to win. In Detroit, the Islanders were shot out. The Devils won their eighth in a row. That's all straight ahead on Bloomberg day Break on Bloomberg eleven, Free on New York, Bloomberg Washington, d C, Bloomberg one or six one, Boston, Bloomberg nine sixty, San Francisco, Sirius XM one nineteen and around the world on Bloomberg Radio.

Come and via the Bloomberg Business Set. Good Friday morning. I'm Amy Morris and I'm Karen Moscow in US. Dock Index futures are higher this morning here coming up to five oh one on Wall Street, and we checked the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day on Bloomberg right now, S and P futures up twenty three points. DAL futures have one hundred seventy six and as day

futures have one hundred one. There is no trading on the bond market today and observance of the Veterans Day holiday. Nine X screwde oil is up two point eight percent, Amy Karen, US futures are building on yesterday's historic rally. The S and P five hundred, coming off of five and a half percent, game for the best first day reaction to a CPI report since at least two thousand three, when records began. Headline inflation came in at seven point

seven percent. That's the lowest since January. DoD Cioca is CEO at Covar Capital. You think what ended the bear market top two weeks ago, it's when the FED came out of the press conference. So if the Fed now and in the redemester being one of the head hawks, is talking a little less strongly the market. Way take that as a higher probability that this may not be a bear market bounce, but something start of the next legable market. Despite the rally k of our capitals, Dougs

notes the sp is still down this year. Well, Amy, we saw an immediate reaction and FED funds future is following the report. Rates traders now see just a half point rate hike next month instead of another three quarter point increase. The Fed appears to be backing a down shift in rate hikes. And here's Dallas FED President Lorie

Logan and Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker what. I believe it may be appropriate to slow the pace of rate increases so we can better assess how financial and economic conditions are evolving. I also believe a slower pace should not be taken to represent easier policy the upcoming month, to light of the Kumlici fighting we have achieved, I expect we will slow the pace of our rate hikes

as we approach a sufficiently restrictive stance. But I want to be clear a rate hike of fifty basis points, which still be significant. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker and Dallas Fed Sheef of Lori Logan spoke at separate events yesterday after the latest inflation reading. The softer consumer price brined coupled with China's move to eastern COVID rules, fueled a rally in Asia. Overnight starts in the region jumped by the most since March. Let's get the recap from

Bloomberg's Juliet Sally. In Singapore, Good Morning, Juliette, Good Morning Avian Karen. The m c I Asia Pacific Index climbed more than four and a half percent, also on track

for its best weekly gain since March twenty twenty. Hong Kong's benchmark search more than seven percent after China reduced its quarantine time for inbound travelers and scrapped COVID flat suspensions, adding to the positive sentiment around top leaders calling for a more targeted approach to controlling the coronavirus Regionally, chipmakers also saw that drove benchmarks in Taiwan, South Korea and Japan highm and local currency has got to boost as

the dollus off at its worst day since two thousand and nine, the Korean one jumping the most since October two thousand and eight. In Singapore, Juliette Sally Bloomberg Daybreak, Very juliet Thanks in Europe today we have data on the British economy g d P and the UK shrank in the third quarter, marking the startup was expected to be a protracted recession. Gross domestic product fell two tenths of one percent. Consumers spending in business investment both fell.

The Bank of England sees a recession persisting into the middle of and new developments this morning involving FTX, dot Com and the crypto collapse that it sparked. A securities regulator in the Bahamas has now frozen the assets of ft X and related parties. We get more from Bloomberg's

Doug Krisner. The Bahamas Securities Commission said a freeze was the prudent course of action to preserve assets and stabilize the company, and an attorney has been appointed provisional liquidator as commission aims to place the beleaguered crypto exchange into receivership. The Commission also said it's aware of statements suggesting client's assets were mishandled, mismanaged, and or transferred to Alameda Research. Alameda is the trading house at the heart of bankmn

Freed's digital asset Empire. He is the founder and CEO of ft X dot Com based in the Bahamas in New York. I'm Doug Prisoner, Bloomberg day Break. All right, Doug, thank you about Twitter is in the spotlight once again today Bloomberg News has learned that Elon Musk is telling employees that bankruptcy is a possibility for the company. We get the story from Bloomberg Shirley Pellett. Word came in his first address to Twitter employees since buying the company

for forty four billion dollars. The social network has a significant debt burden from the acquisition and has seen a pullback from some advertisers that are concerned about Musk's plans for content moderation. Musk also told staff on the call that the days of free food and other perks are over at Twitter's offices in New York. Charlie Pellets Bloombird

day Break. Thank you, Charlie. One other note on Twitter, the social media network has reinstated official badges for high profile accounts to combat a growing problem of users impersonating major brands. The gray badge reappeared below the profiles of businesses and major media outlets this morning, and Alet's get you have to date on politics Amy and the race for the Senate control still undecided three days after the election. All comes down to three states counts and ongoing in

Arizona and Nevada. And the race in Georgia is going to a runoff in December. President Biden says Democrats face long odds to keep control of the House, but says it's not impossible. Oh you know if still is staw like broad Gardge spirits there stole. Republicans are on page to win at least two hundred ten seats so far compared to Democrats one ninety two. Two hundred eighteen seats are required for a majority. And it is a blow for the Biden administration. Of Federal Judge and Texas has

struck down the president's plan to forgive student loans. The judge called it one of the largest exercises of legislative power without congressional authority in the history of the country. Justice says it will appeal. The plan is already on hold under an emergency state. This is Bloomberg. It's five oh seven on Wall Street. Let's bring in Michael Barr with more on what else is going on in New York and around the world. Good morning, Michael, Good morning Amy.

New York City Mayor Eric Adams says he won't stop talking about crime. Pushing back on criticism that he helped fuel the momentum of Republican candidates across the state in the midterm elections, Adam says that the system is broken and no one wanted to hear that. Adams later spoke at a community event on public safety. He talked about

removing the homeless off the streets. When I started in January, I went out and visited those camps and those encampments, and I saw inside there was in humane human waste, stale food, dirty clothing, drug pal phernalia. Some people will buy folk by Polo schizophrenic. That is inhumane to allow people to live that way. And I said, as the mayor of this city, is not happening under our watch.

Republican candidate seized upon crime as a central issue in the mid terms, including Representative Lee Zelden, who ran closer than expected in his failed bids unseat New York's Democratic Governor Kathy Hokel. President Biden left last night for his

foreign country tour. The President will be joining world leaders in Egypt next week for the United Nations Global Climate Summit, also known as COP Meanwhile, the bilateral meeting between President Shi Jing Ping and Joe Biden has been set for the sidelines of the G twenty early next week, Bloomberg said. Baxter reports. US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan says the US will brief Taiwanese officials before and after the President's

talk they sit down Monday. Sullivan says, face to face, he will get to sit in the same room with Shi Jimping, be directed straightforward with him as he always is, and expect the same in return from she, and then he can make his judgments on that basis about how to take things forward. Sullivan says he's confidence Taipei will feel secure about its support from the United States. Sullivan repeated the US Commitment to Taiwan Relations Act and Peace

and Stability in the Strait. In San Francisco, I'm at Baxter Bloomberg Daybreak. Tropical depression Nicole is in Georgia this morning after a day of causing havoc in Florida as a hurricane and then a tropical storm Nicole had cut across central Florida after making landfall near Vero Beach. The storm caused at least two deaths and sent homes along

Florida's coast toppling into the ocean. Global News twenty four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quick Take, powered by more than twenty seven hundred journalists and analysts and more than a hundred twenty countries. I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Amy. All right, thank you, Michael. It's five ten on Wall Street. Time now for the sports report. Rocks do you by tri State OUTI here's

John dash Our saying me. The Rangers went to Detroit having recently lost to the Red Wings, part of a three game losing speak and they trailed to to one. It was to to third period of the Rangers errupted six goals and ten and a half minutes, six different goal scorers, Rangers one, eight to two. Islanders shot out by Arizona to nothing. Devil's stay hot in overtime with Ottawa power play, game winner for the Devils at the winning street is at eight. His radio call him a Nico.

He shear Tippin for the fourth three victory. Nike boss Phil Knight says his company likely ending its relationship with Kyrie. Irving, now serving a suspension with the Nets posting to the anti semitic video, was refused to apologize. Although NBA Commissioner Adam Silver, who recently met with Irvine, told The New York Times he does not believe Irving anti semitic. Lebron James wants an Irving teammate, said he should be out to play. Lebron said the requirements the Nets have put

in place for reinstatement are excessive. NFL Carolina being Atlanta fifteen Panthers at three and seven, Falcons are four and six. The entire NFC South is under five hundred, as opposed to the Jets division the a f C East, where everyone is over five hundred. Jets are office Make Giants Sunday host Houston Giants also in a tough division, battling

Dallas and unbeaten Philadelphia. As for Washington, the problems there continue, the DC Attorney General finding a civil lawsuit against the team in order Dan Snyder, as well as Roger Goodell in the NFL for covering up and deceiving fans of what was going on in a toxic workplace. Recently indications Snyder maybe finally looking to sell the team. John dash Howard, Bloomberg Sports, AM all right, thank you, John. Let's check

the futures now. S andb features up a half percent at nineteen point seven five points down, futures up at nastack, futures up eighty four. The decks in Germany of four tenths of apresent, cak in Paris of sixtenth sever percent, foots in London down three tenths of a percent. This is Bloomberg. The Bloomberg Sports Report was brought to you by Audie. Don't let someone else drive off in the

Audi model that you've always wanted. Visit your local Tri state autie dealer to get behind the wheel of yours today, or visit autie Offers dot com for more information, markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg dot com, the Bloomberg Business Outland at Bloomberg Quicktake.

This is a Bloomberg Business lash find I'm Cameron. Moscow and US stock index futures and European shares are rallying as they euphoria over falling inflation in the world's largest economy extends into a second day, and China relaxes some COVID restrictions. We checked the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day. On Bloomberg, SNP futures up about twenty five points down futures of A hundred seventy three and NASDACK futures have one hundred six that ecs in Germany's

up about half percent. No trading on the bond market today and observance of the Veterans Day holiday. NIMEX Screwed oil is a three point four percent, up two dollars ninety four cents at eighty nine dollars forty one cents of barrel comics gold up nine tenths per cent or fifteen dollars eighties cents at seventeen sixty nine forty announced.

The euro one point two seven four against the dollar, British found one point one seven six five and again one thirty nine point one eight and looking at bitcoint it's down three point two percent at seventeen thousand, two hundred dollars And as a Bloomberg business flash, now here's Michael Barr with more on what's going on around the world. Michael could good morning. A fast moving missile has struck an apartment building in the south of the Ukraine. People

in Michelaive woke to find the building in ruins. Rescuers raced with the same digging through debris for survivors. A federal judge in Texas struck down the Biden administration sweeping student loan forgiveness plan. US District Judge Mark Pittman and a pointee of President Trump called it one of the largest exercises of legislative power without congressional authority in the history of the United States. In the NHL, the Devil's won in overtime against the Senators for three. The Rangers

and Bruins also won. The Islanders lost. In the NBA the Wizards. One Thursday Night football, the Panthers beat the Falcons. Global News twenty four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by more than d journalist and analysts more than a hundred twenty countries. I'm Michael Barr. This is Bloomberg Gaming. All right, Thank you, Michael. It is five nineteen on Wall Street Live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studios. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. We're joined now

by global market strategists Ben Leidler with Toro. Ben. Good morning to you. Thank you for taking the time with us today. We are watching the markets. Is this a bear market rally we're seeing? Yes, I think it is, but I think it's very well supported and and this is stet one right that. Um, I think we've seen the bottom and off has happened, and we're beginning to sort of see the inflation fever breaking. And this is sort of the necessary precondition I think to set us

up for the next bull market. I don't think we're quite there yet, but I do think we're beginning to build those necessary foundations. Well that's a that's good news. Then if you're talking about eliminating inflation or at least crawling out of that inflation spike, how much longer could this last as far as the bear market before it actually becomes full? So this is our fifth bear market rally of the year. Historically you've seen up to ten, so we could well have a sort of a few

more to go. But I do think the key is that with the bottom in here, this is a very investable market, and the next big move I think we'll be up rather than down. And I think, you know, Christmas is definitely coming early. We've seen less bad third quarter earnings. We've got valuations which are now follow average after the sell off this year, We've got wild cards like China improving, and now we've beginning to see um inflation easing, and we're beginning to see the top of

this sort of Fed interest rate cycle. We're not there yet. There's a long way to go, but but again these are sort of very positive early signs. When you say there's a long way to go, do you see this as sort of an incremental over a long term, a little bit at a time, crawling out of this, or do you see it a little bit faster. I think this is two steps forward. Once they're back, you know, we need much lower inflation and a start of Fed interest rate cuts, not just a sort of view of

the top of the cycle. So I think, you know, that's all a story for later in three but markets sort of, you know, move up on incremental information. We're very depressed, UM investor sentiments very poor, and again these are sort of the first steps in the right direction and the markets reacting to that. I think the big relief rally you saw yesterday tells us three very important things.

One that it's all about inflation, to how depressed investors are, and three that you need to be invested um to capture these sort of market moves when when they do stopped moving up. Let's shift just a little bit away from inflation and look at the election in the mid terms. I'm wondering if the markets also priced in the outcome of the election. Those are still beingcountered, some races are

yet to be decided. Is that going to have more of an impact as we learn more maybe a little bit so you know, actually firm up the election results and as we probably get gridlock. I think the short term impact there is a is a small positive. That's one less thing for markets to worry about. And if you look at the historic data, market sort of rewarded rewarded gridlock um. But but again, I think the bigger story is the fundamentals. What's happening inflation, what's happening with

earnings um, and also seasonality. I mean, as I say, Christmas is coming early November December, traditionally your best months of the year as investors sort of look ahead to the year ahead. And I think that's particularly important after the sort of unparalleled losses we've had in both equities and bonds this year. I think the outlook for three is apts lutely for a less bad year, and I would expect this sort of year end effects to be quite powerful this year as investors look ahead for that,

as we look ahead to that. As far as cooling off the Fed's aggressive rate hikes, when will they pivot? When can we see that? So step one is to slowdown, um, and it could could well come. For the December meeting. We we stepped down from seventy five basis point hikes the fifty basis point hikes. That's that one. Step two is they actually pause. I think that's the first quarter three story. And then step three, which I think is the catalyst for the next bull market, is when they

actually start cutting interest rate. We may need to wait longer for that, you know, right to the end of next year, but markets are gonna start discounting that before it actually happens. Are there any sectors you like? So? I think the story for now is to be invested but reasonably defensive as they say, this is going to be two steps forward, one step back. So you know, healthcare, high dividends UM. You know, more defensive international markets by

the UK UM. And you know, as we get more validation than the inflations coming down, we get closer to these interest rate cuts UM start adding, you know, more risk of the portfolios that's tech, that's real estate, things like financials. Are there any X factors we need to be watching for a goat about thirty seconds here in the next few weeks, it's gonna remain a volatile ride inflation. You know, we're not out of the woods yet, that that inflection point is sort of coming, but it's again

it's going to be a rocky road. And the reminder yesterday it's all about inflation. So just just keep watching that. That's driving the FED, that's driving recession and learnings risk. Now we're gonna keep watching it with you. Thank you so much for taking the time with us to this Friday morning. Global market strategists Ben Laidler with E Toro watching the markets with us. Look looking at the futures now, SMP futures up twenty one, DAL futures up one, DRED

sixty points. NASDAK futures up eight five points, DAX in Germany up four tenths of a percent, CAC in Paris up five tenths of a percent. Foot See in London down four tenths of a percent. Much more to come on this Friday morning edition of Berg Daybreak. This is Bloomberg Bloomberg eleven three oh weather becoming rady and breezy today. We're going up to seventy degrees, down to six five

the rain and Wednesday with us tonight and tomorrow. The rain ends in the morning with a sunny afternoon going up to seventy Broadcasting live from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio in New York, Bloomberg E Living Freedom to Washington, d C. Bloomberg to Boston, Bloomberg one O six one to San Francisco, Bloomberg now sixty to the country Sirius XM Chad A one nine and around the globe the Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg Radio dot Com. This is

Bloomberg Daybreak. It's five thirty on Wall Street. Good morning. I may be Morris and I'm Karen Moscow. We are just about four hours away from the open of US trading must get you up to date on the news you need to know at this hour. US future is building on yesterday's games, which saw the S and P five hundreds surge more than five percent. Slowing inflation was a catalyst, but Investment Co Chief investment Officer Dana Daria

conscience there's still a bumpy road ahead. The FED is a lot more concerned about a stop and go policy error than they are about pushing a little too hard. Still, all else, Equel, I think you still should be prepping for potentially top conditions investments. Dana Daria says the likelihood of recession next year is still high. It is not clear of October CPI print will flow the FED space of tightening. San Francisco FED President Mary Daily addressed that

issue yesterday. Stepping down is an appropriate thing to think about. I support a more gradual approach of getting to and so we can be discovering the right rate as we go. San Francisco FED President Mary Daily one of three officials signaling a downshift in right hikes as possible. On new crypto developments this morning, I focused on FTX dot Com maybe as securities regulator in the Bahama US has now frozen the company's amsets. The crypto exchange Binance head trying

to acquire f t X, but the deal fell through. Now, Finance CEO c z Jaw is addressing the matter from a technology or product perspective. They don't have anything that we don't have, So our original intention was let's save the users. But then the news of misappropriate user phones and especially US regulatory agency's investigations, we're like, okay, we

can't touch that anymore. Finance CEO c z Jaw spoke at the Indonesia Fintech summit today and Karen, there's another possible buyer for f t X. Tron founder Justin Sun tells us he's looking at providing the crypto exchange with billions of dollars. We need do a food, do dedigence at the same time to evaluate the situation, to have a full picture of like what's going on, how serious is the liquidity cronh Tron founder Justin Sun sells us he's still evaluating whether to pursue a deal for FDx.

Well twitters in the spotlight again. Amy Bloomberg News has learned Elon Musk told employees that bankruptcy is a possibility for the company. The social media platform this morning has also reinstated official badges for high profile accounts to combat users impersonating major brands. And a note from overseas. The British economy strike and the third quarter marking the start of what's expected to be a protracted procession. G d P fell two tenths of a percent in the period,

and again futures are moving higher. This morning, straight ahead, your latest local headlines, plus a check of sports, and this is Bloomberg by thirty three on Wall Street. Let's bring in Michael bar with moreen what else is going on in New York and around the world. Good morning, Michael, Good morning Amy. New York City Mayor Eric Adams says

he won't stop talking about crime. Pushing back on criticism that he helped fuel the momentum of Republican candidates across the state in the midterm elections, Adams says, the system is broken and Wilkins and need to talk about that until we get it right. Adams later spoke at a community gathering on public safety. The person I sat down and get their portrait done and had a scar on their face. They told the artists that I know you noticed my scar, but remember I have a face, and

I'm saying that to New York City. We have scars, but we have a face. Every day, on average, we have six felonies on our subway system a day, but we also have a face. Three point five million people use that subway every day, and they get to and from the Police of employment without any incident at all. Republican candidates in the US, he eased upon crime as

a central issue in Tuesday's election. At least two people are dead in the wake of Hurricane to Cole in Florida, now a tropical depression, the storm weakened overnight as it barreled into Georgia. President Biden heads overseas through the middle of next week to speak with foreign leaders about climate change, the war in Ukraine, and America's competent station with China.

The President's national security adviser, Jake Sullivan, says his boss has been boosted by the better than expected performance of his party in the mid term elections. He feels very good about where things stand, and he feels like he is going out on this trip with the wind very much at his back, and um that gives him an excellent opportunity both to deal with competitors from a strong

position and to rally allies in Indonesia. On Monday, President Biden sits with his Chinese counterpart on the sidelines of the G twenty summit. Today, New York City will hold its Veterans Day Parade. Nearly two hundred thousand participants will be marching up Manhattan's Fifth Avenue. Global News twenty four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by more than seven hundred journalist and analyst more than a hundred twenty countries. Michael Barr, this is Bloomberg Gaming.

All right, Thank you, Michael on Wall Street. Time now for the sports report, brought to you by Try State out of Here. John Alright, Amy. Busy night in local hockey, Rangers ended a three game slide. They wanted Detroit eight to two. They scored six goals in a ten and a half minute span of the third period. Islanders in Arizona scoreless into the third period. The Coyotes won to nothing. Devil's hosted Ottawa, and like the Gay the other night,

Nico each year scored the game winner in overtime. Devil's won four three, They've won eight in a row, eleven of twelve and in all eleven they have not allowed more than three goals. And the Devils have given Marty bro Dur a new job. There, a long time Hall of Fame goalie was working as a team advisor, more on the business side. Now he becomes VP of Hockey Operations GM. Tom Fitzgerald will report to bro Dur. Nixt look to get back to five dred Tonight they host Detroit.

NFL Week ten began with Carolina's to fifteen win over Atlanta. Sunday morning, it's Seattle and Tampa Bay in the first ever game in Germany. Giants Sunday host housed in a team with only one victory. Giants before the bye had that loss in Seattle. Their coach Brian Dable, important game. You know at home, you're gonna have to play well. We came off of b I feel like we're arrested

the guys. I've had a lot of good energy here in these last couple of days, and we need to go out there and have a good week, and like we do every week. Former Giants linebacker Blake Martinez was playing for the Raiders. He had eleven tackles just as fast Sunday, and Martinez suddenly yesterday announced his retirement that age twenty eight, said he wants to focus on his family and gut your passions. Mets picked up the fourteen million dollar option on Carlos Carrasco, just had a fifteen

win season. Justin Verlander declined the twenty five million dollar option in Houston becomes a free agent. The Dodgers in a long time based Clayton Kershaw said to be close to a new one year John Stashiell Bloomberg Sports in All right, thank you, John. It's five seven on Wall Street time now for the Tri State Business Report. With that, here is Bloomberg's Denise Pellegrini, Jersey City based Block five

now embroiled in the crypto crisis. It's pausing client with Charles, the digital asset lender, also asking customers to refrain from depositing funds into Block five wallets because of all the problems we're add to the collapse of supporters. Sam Bank win Fried's ft X crypto Empire Connecticut expects to collect five hundred seventy one million dollars more general fund revenue this fiscal year. The Legislature's Office of Fiscal Analysis says

sales and investment tax collections have been improving. Alloy Development could power New York City's first all electric tower. Ally plans to power the tower with renewable energy projects. This would be a forty four story tower on Ali Block on Flat Push Avenue in downtown Brooklyn. And attention vegans. Time for the New Jersey Vegan Food Fest. It's a two day celebration kicking off at the Meadow Ends Exposition Center tomorrow featuring local vegan food and also plant based

fashion with the Tri State Business Report. I'm Denise Pellegrini. Thank you, Denise. It's about thirty eight on Wall Street. Bloomberg Radio is on the air from San Francisco to New York, London to Hong Kong. Let's check in with our global news team bar some of the top stories and on our three hundred affiliate radiozzations around the world. I'm Steve Podascan K and X in Los Angeles. We're talking about cracks beginning to form in the willingness of

luxury consumers to keep paying ever rising prices. I'm Gina Servetti. And for w w b B. I'm in Chicago. I'm reporting the United Airline says it will give pilots a five percent pay hike next month instead of waiting until May, as a show of good faith after pilots rejected a proposed contract. I'm Caroline Head comploom Bag d a B Digital Radium in London. We've been putting on the new figure showing the UK economy contracted in the third quarter, but not by as much as had been expected. I'm

Denise Pelligrini and I'm w w J in Detroit. I'm reporting on Little Caesar's honoring veterans today and also boosting foot traffic. And those are some of the stories our Bloomberg journalists and analysts are working on this morning around the world. It's five thirty nine on Wall Street. The following is an editorial from Bloomberg Opinion. This editorial was

written by the Bloomberg Editorial Board. Cryptocurrencies were supposed to usher in a new and better era of finance, but instead of revolutionizing it, crypto is largely repeating its mistakes. If further evidence was required, the travails of cryptocurrency exchange FTX dot com this week have demonstrated just how far from ideal crypto remains. Over the decades, various mechanisms have emerged to make traditional financial institutions more resilient, including deposit insurance,

leverage limits, and liquidity requirements. If crypto intermediaries want to act as reliable conduits for investment, they'll have to submit to much of the same. Until then, beware, they're not worthy of your trust. This editorial was written by the Bloomberg Editorial Board. For more Bloomberg opinion, please go to Bloomberg dot com, slash Opinion or p I n go on the Bloomberg terminal. This has been Bloomberg Opinion. Bloomberg Opinion editorials can be heard every weekday at this time.

Terminal customers can read more at op I n go. Futures are higher. This is Bloomberg. The Bloomberg Sports Report was brought to you by Audie Don't let someone else drive off and the outie model you've always wanted. Visit your local try state autie dealer to get behind the wheel of yours today, or visit autie Offers dot com for more information, markets, headlines and breaking news twenty four hours a day at Bloomberg dot Com at the Bloomberg

Business Outland at Bloomberg Quicktape. This is a Bloomberg Business lash and I'm Karen Moscow. This update brought to you by se I. Imagine your asset management firms operational infrastructure as a competitive advance. Che let se I show you how at s C I C, dot Com, slash I m S and US dot Index. Future is on the rise this morning, along with European shares as the euphoria over falling inflation and the world's largest economy extends into

a second day and China relaxes some COVID restrictions. We checked the markets every fifteen minutes throughout the trading day. On Bloomberg SNP Future is up sixteen points this morning, down features of a hundred twenty nine NASDAG futures up sixty five the decks in Germany's up a third of uppercent. No trading on the US bond market today. That's due

to the Veterans Day holiday. Nine x screwed oil up three and a quarter percent of two dollars eighty one cents at eighty nine dollars twenty eight cents of barrel coll mix Schold up three quarters of a percent, or thirteen dollars twenty cents at seventeen sixty six ten and ounce. The euro is at one point two seven two against the dollar. British found one point one seven three seven

the yen one thirty nine point three three. Bitcoin down two point nine percent at seventeen thousand, two hundred ninety dollars. And that's a Bloomberg business flash. Now here's Michael Barr with more on let's go. Thank you very much, Karen. In Arizona, the races for U S. Senate and governor are still too early to call. Democratic Senator Mark Kelly Leeds Republican Blake Masters by five point six percentage points. Democrat Katie Hobbs was one point four points ahead of

Republican Kerry Lake in the governor's race. Vice President Kamala Harris will be filling in for many of President Joe Biden's traditional duties on this Veteran's Day. Biden will be in Egypt at the UN Climate Conference and meeting with Southeast Asian leaders in Cambodia, and then to a G twenty summit in Indonesia. Today, Harris will deliver remarks at Arlington Cemetery and lay a wreath at the tomb of the unknown Soldier. In the NHL, the Devils won in

overtime against the Senators for three. The Rangers and Bruins also won. The Islanders lost in the NBA the Wizards one Thursday Night football. The Panthers beat the Falcon Global News twenty four hours a day on air and on Bloomberg Quicktake, powered by more than under journalist and analysts more than countries. Michael Barr and this is Bloomberg Amy all right, thank you, Michael. It is five forty nine on Wall Street Lie from the Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studios.

This is Bloomberg Daybreak, keeping an eye on markets and the response to yesterday's CPI data futures building on yesterday's historic rally. But is that rally for real? Eric Friedman's chief investment officer at US Bank Asset Management Group and joins US Now, So, Eric, is yesterday's rally for real? Do you think this might be a bear market rally? I mean, we put this more in the beer market

rally camp than a more sustainable rally. The reasons for that, as we do think that ultimately this spoils down to economic performance next year, and we also think that there's gonna be risk to earnings revisions coming down. We do think that there's a bias for companies to be a little skittish on guidance right now. That's why we don't think that the numbers have come in as much as they need to. So this is something that probably have some legs in the near terms, so that we think

that there's probably some resistance around for the SMP. But we do think ultimately the economy slowing down earnings coming down will be a bigger story as we turn the page into next year. So you think we might retest the lows, I think that the lows being retested maybe a little bit premature. We do think that, you know, we were just a thirty six hundred, not two, not too long ago, but our biases that markets are probably lower,

not higher. I do think that the catalyst to get retest to the lows would be number one, that earnings revisions I just mentioned that would be the first party, but the other would be more persistent inflation. So the message from literally eight days ago from Shara Pole was was just again take us seriously. We are in a in a tightening mode. And so if we do see that persistence of inflation, which we think is probably gonna

gonna happen, that you could see a retests. We don't get to happen anytime soon, but it's probably more of an early Q one story as opposed to something eminent the next couple of weeks. The market has been betting that the CPI data is going to help cool the FEDS aggressive rate hikes. Is the market getting it right? We think the market is in the very near term. Was was a bit overly barish um so anything that was even on the whispered number heading into the CPI

print yesterday perceived to be better than expected. So I do think that the persistence of inflation is really the thing the market has to focus on next. Yes, we may be in this this peaking formation right now, but the durability of inflation we think will be a bigger story. That's what we think is going to keep the Fed more focused on rates higher for longer, as opposed to trying to guess when exactly CPI or PPI or the

measures may actually top out. So we do think that some incremental improvement is a good thing, but we need to know several more prints like we saw yesterday before saying that you know what inflation is actually tame. The other thing and point out is that in terms of the the absolute level of where the Fed may make hap interest rates, in the words, the goal they have for their terminal rate, that's still very much in question

again the volatility of the last couple of days. We saw that terminal rate build from five two down to four point eight yesterday in a in a very short period of time. So I think the market is still trying to figure out is it more important than we focus on peak inflation or the durability of inflation. We think ultimately durability is more important than peak. That's why we think the Fed will be a little more stringent on interest rates than the market currently. Thanks, and uh,

I just very quickly got about a half a minute here. Uh, let's talk about the mid terms, the election. Those votes are still being counted, raises. You have to be decided has the market priced in the outcome of the election. Is that a factor? It's not a huge factor any The biggest thing is that the debt ceiling is a big deal that's gonna be more of a political football for next year. We don't think that the tax policy is going to really move, so you know, probably death

ceiling the biggest catalysts. But you know, most stuff is priced in, most of the sector stuff is levant, but the headline basis, we think that it's larger than PRISTI. Yes, all right, Eric Friedman, chief investment Officer at US Bank Asset Management Group, Karen all right, Amy, thank you. It is currently five fifty three on Wall Street. Time for the Bloomberg Law Report. Let's get to the legal stories we're watching this morning. From Bloomberg's Jeff Bellinger. Meta platforms

escaped to trademark infringement lawsuit. Federal judge in San Francisco rule that metas infinity loop is not similar in shape or color to a logo used by a Swiss blockchain group. A lobster industry group from Maine asked the d C Circuit to reverse a lower court ruling the tightened fishing restrictions in order to protect whales. Two of three plaintiffs and a wage suit against Alta Beauty will have to

submit their claims to arbitration. Bloomberg Law Everything you need, all on one legal research platform, including Guiding Analysis and Bloomberg Market Intelligence. Find out more at Bloomberg Law dot com. Harry, Jeff, Thanks, Now, another legal story we're watching. The Supreme Court has signal that may open a new avenue for companies and people to fight off complaints by the Securities and Exchange Commission

and the Federal Trade Commission. The Justices are considering whether those facing agency claims can go straight to federal court, with constitutional challenges, including attacks on the use of in house judges to handle cases. For more of Bloomberg's doing, Grosso speaks to Jonathan Macy, a professor at he A Law School. In a Supreme Court ruling invalidated similar protections for members of the public company accounting oversight board. So why wouldn't this just fall along that line. That's a

great question. I think it's probably will actually, but there's you know, certain small differences in the underlying legislation, and so we have separate proceedings for the SEC and the FCC. I think it's likely to go the same way. You know, the SEC and the SEC can litigate and often do

litigated court. And one of the things that bothers a lot of people about the use of these administrative courts is the fear that when the FTC or the sec believe they have weaker cases, they take them to the administrative courts where they have an easier path to victory. You know, I think that justices seem to be fairly skeptical of, you know, the propriety or the legitimacy of

these administrative hearings. Has the Supreme Court been sort of chipping away at the federal administrative state with a line of decisions? Definitely if this is another and an important fast and of a general feeling I think on the part of the conservative justices on the Court that the administrative state has sort of run amuck since the Night

the thirties. There's been just a general, you know, incrematous rise in the breadth and power of the administrative state, and you know, the lawmaking power of unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats, and conservatives are concerned about that hasn't gotten worse. I think that's just sort of a sense that there's just been a relentless expansion of the power of the administrative state.

I think that's the concern. Is there a middle ground, because Justice Kavanov indicated that he read the courts precedents as offering a narrow way to resolve the cases. Is that possible? It might be, I mean, you know that. The bottom line, though, is that there's either going to be some you know, immediate appeal by litigants from these

administrative courts or there isn't. So there's limited room, I think for a middle ground, just in terms of trying to figure out a narrow set of paces in which there would be a right to an immediate appeal before the litigation is concluded. And I think that's what Kavanaugh was searching for. And that's sound of that. Macy, a professor at Yale Law School, speaking with the Bloomberg's June Grosso.

Catch more of that interview, plus analysis of the latest legal news by subscribing to the Bloomberg Law Podcast are downloading the show at Bloomberg dot com slash podcast. Attorneys can find exceptional legal research and business development tools at Bloomberg Law dot com and on the Bloomberg terminal at b Law. Go s andp futures of seventeen points this morning.

Down futures have a hundred thirties seven and nasdag futures of seventy three and again no trading on the US bond market today and observance and the Veterans Day holiday, and still ahead on Bloomberg Daybreak, we have a check off the business headlines and all the news you need to start your day. And this is Bloomberg

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