Beyond the Benchmark by EFG - podcast cover

Beyond the Benchmark by EFG

Moz Afzalwww.newcapital.com
More than just your typical market analysis podcast, EFGAM'S CIO Moz Afzal goes Beyond the benchmark, delving into current topics and global trends with guests and experts from within EFG and further afield. The podcast is released fortnightly.
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Episodes

EP 89: When will the Fed start cutting with Neil Dutta | 15th February 2024

As the US economy eyes a soft landing with inflationary pressures easing, Moz talks to Neil Dutta, Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research about when the Fed will be cutting rates. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Neil Dutta, Partner, Head of Economic Research, Renaissance Macro Research https://www.renmac.com/neil-dutta/ EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important disclaimers The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as ris...

Feb 21, 202441 min

EP 88: Asia in focus; is sentiment on China excessively negative? | 6th February 2024

At the end of January 2024, Moz Afzal and Stefan Gerlach attended a series of meetings with public and private sector stakeholders in Singapore and Hong Kong. Top of mind was the strength of the Chinese economy, its housing market and what the future may hold for the largest market in Asia. In this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, Moz and Stefan recap these conversations and what the key takeaways are. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist, EFG ht...

Feb 12, 202440 min

EP 87: The US election will be decided by J Powell and the Supreme Court | 9th January 2024

In this special episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we revisit a talk from our Investment Summit on 9th January 2024. Dan Clifton, Partner and Head of Policy Research for Strategas Securities. In an unprecedented year of elections across the world, the US presidential race looms largest. What factors really impact the outcome? Does anyone actually want either Biden or Trump? Could there be a third party challenger? Listen in. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Dan Clifton, Partn...

Feb 08, 202434 min

EP 86: Q1 2024 Insight, a soft landing? | 15th January 2024

Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q1 2024 Insight document. The macro A-team come together to talk through the thinking behind the publication, as the general consensus outlook for the world economy indicates a soft landing and declining inflation. In the longer term, important cross currents such as the drive to net zero, changing global demographics and the shifting roles of emerging economies all impact prospects. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guests: Daniel M...

Jan 23, 202443 min

EP 85: A year in review | 20th December 2023

AI, war in Ukraine, banking failures and the battle to control inflation have dominated headlines and, to some degree, financial markets in 2023. To cap the year off, this was followed by an historic market rally in the final quarter. Moz and Daniel take a look back at the year that was 2023 and offer some thoughts about what this means for the start of 2024. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO and Head of Research: https://bit.ly/3NBVBC2 EFGAM: https...

Jan 02, 202424 min

EP 84: Conversations from Washington with Stefan Gerlach and Daniel Murray | 14th December 2023

Recorded 14th December 2023. Stefan Gerlach and Daniel Murray recap key findings from their recent trip to Washington DC, shedding light on US policymakers' thinking on the upcoming US election, the risk of recession, CPI data and more. Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO and Head of Research: https://bit.ly/3NBVBC2 Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFG https://bit.ly/3veyR4U EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important disclaimers The value of investments and the income derived from...

Dec 22, 202330 min

EP 83: Jeff deGraaf on seasonality and market sentiment | 1st November 2023

Recorded 1st November 2023. Jeff deGraaf, Chairman and Head of Technical Research at Renaissance Macro Research shares his thoughts on current market sentiment and seasonality plays going into the winter. Jeff shares what RenMac's Market Cycle Clock indicators are saying, balanced against a more bearish yield impact model and a surprisingly strong US economy. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Jeff deGraaf, CMT, CFA, Chairman and Head of Technical Research at Renaissance Macr...

Nov 21, 202347 min

EP 82: AI and the new digital landscape with Chris Tucci | 14th September 2023

Our host, Moz, joins Chris Tucci, an Imperial College Business School professor of digital strategy and innovation, on an insightful journey into the impact of AI on digital innovation. Delve into AI's potential effects on employment and its promising applications in marketing, video game coding, and media. Discover Chris's AI Applications and Innovation MSC program, designed to educate students in machine and deep learning. Explore the role of trust and differentiation in the AI era, the resurg...

Oct 31, 202347 min

EP 81: Q4 2023 Insight, The Shifting Sands of the Global Economy | 5th October 2023

Join us on Beyond the Benchmark as we review the Q4 2023 Insights document. We've been pleasantly surprised by the resilience of certain economies this year, especially the US, Brazil, and India. Our team, including Paul Temperton, Stefan Gerlach, Daniel Murray, GianLuigi Mandruzzato, Joaquin Thul, and Sam Jochim, discuss these economic patterns and their implications. As we navigate the current landscape, we also focus on the return of real yields in fixed-income markets and speculate on where ...

Oct 13, 202340 min

EP 80: Exploring the Human Brain and AI with Neuroscientist Pascal Kaufman | 14th September 2023

On this episode of Beyond The Benchmark, we dive into the mind of a remarkable neuroscientist, Pascal Kaufmann. His academic prowess ranges from ancient Greek and Latin studies to his groundbreaking exploration of the connection between brains and robots. Pascal's ventures StarMind and Mindfire are pushing the boundaries of artificial intelligence and crowdsourcing in an effort to understand the complexities of the human brain. We then shift gears to discuss the innovative approach Pascal employ...

Sep 22, 202339 min

EP 79: Picking the winners of the Climate Transition with Melanie Beyeler | 15th August 2023

This week on Beyond the Benchmark Moz is joined by Melanie Beyeler, Fund Manager of the New Capital Climate Transition Fund. Melanie explains both her passion for the strategy, and the proprietary analysis process that the team uses to cut through the noise and select the right stocks for the Fund. As the conversation progresses, she details examples of the types of companies that are picked, the importance of accurately assessing management teams to maintain the integrity of the strategy, and t...

Aug 30, 202337 min

EP 78: Exploring the Dynamics of the US Economy with Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert | 7th August 2023

On this episode of Beyond the Benchmark, we welcomed Don Rissmiller and Jason Trennert from Strategas to dissect the complexities of the US economy and interest rates. They offer their insights into the current inflation problem, the challenges faced by central banks, and the balancing act between supply and demand. Listen in as we discuss the risks in the labor market, the effects of bank failures, and the need to avoid a stop-and-go policy. As the conversation progresses, we also examine the i...

Aug 14, 202353 min

EP 77: The opportunities in hedge funds with Jerome Berset | 27th July 2023

With Daniel Murray hosting the podcast this week, we welcome EFGAM's Head of Alternatives, Jerome Berset to the show. Jerome explains the precipitous fall from favour hedge funds faced in the aftermath of the Financial Crisis, followed by the return of interesting new opportunities in the space today. Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO & Global Head of Research at EFGAM: https://bit.ly/3tNPXSK Our guest: Jérôme Berset, Head of Alternatives at EFGAM https://bit.ly/3OGW6vy EFGAM: https://www....

Aug 03, 202337 min

EP 76: Insights on the Modern Economy and Investment Climate with Dennis DeBusschere | 11th July 2023

Join Moz as we uncover the reality of the 'white collar recession' and how it's affecting our economy, with expert insights from Dennis DeBusschere of 22V Research. We shed light on the trends in layoffs and unemployment claims, along with the role of the big seven tech stocks in influencing investor sentiment. We also navigate the challenges portfolio managers are facing in trying to match the performance of these tech giants and examine the divide in traditional safety sectors. The second part...

Jul 26, 202349 min

EP 75: Q3 2023 Insight, finding a new balance | 30th June 2023

With the theme of 'finding a new balance' in Q3 2023, Moz checks in with the macro team behind the quarterly Insight document. From central bankers' meetings to pandemic resilience, they delve into returning inflation to its ideal state, discuss the Eurozone's economic challenges, the Bank of England's inflation strategy, and the impact of Brexit on wage growth. They also compare China and Japan's economic challenges, analyze housing prices, celebrate Brazil's successes, and more. Our host, Moz ...

Jul 10, 202337 min

EP 74: The opportunities and possibilities in AI | 8th June 2023

Artificial Intelligence has not been far from investors' thoughts since late 2022, when OpenAI's ChatGPT became widely available in its open test environment. In this episode Moz talks through some of the opportunities in the value chain of this burgeoning sector with Jonathan Rawicz, Senior Portfolio Manager at New Capital. From cloud services, GPUs and applications to consumer content creation, the technology has the promise to revolutionise the way business is done and how humans interact wit...

Jun 16, 202338 min

EP 73: Are we near the crest of monetary policy tightening? | 16th May 2023

EFG's Chief Economist Stefan Gerlach shares his views on how monetary policy tightening may be reaching its peak, the challenges that still remain in the global economy and what the lagged impacts of 12 months of interest rate raises might be, and when they would take effect. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFG bit.ly/3mz6t8V EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important disclaimers The value of investments and the income derived from them...

May 23, 202340 min

EP 72: Larry Jeddeloh, the US has a branding problem | 17th April 2023

Larry Jeddeloh is the Editor of The Institutional Strategist , and Founder of TIS Group. In this wide ranging conversation, Larry draws upon his experience of conversations with an enormous network of contacts, covering the long term potential weakness of the dollar, AI disruption, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the worrying and persistent surprises in equity and bond markets brought about in part by inflation. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest, Larry Jeddeloh, Edito...

May 02, 202345 min

EP 71: Q2 2023 Insight, a quartet of concerns | 6th April 2023

With a quartet of concerns dominating Q2 2023, Moz checks in with the macro team behind the quarterly Insight document. Financial stability, sticky inflation, growth and geopolitical risks are all under the microscope, with an interesting parallel to the 'long eighteenth century' from 1689 to 1815. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guests: Daniel Murray https://bit.ly/3tNPXSK Paul Temperton http://tier.co.uk/ Joaquin Thul https://bit.ly/3d7QWGl GianLuigi Mandruzzato https://bit.ly/...

Apr 17, 202345 min

EP 70: The top Geoeconomic risks in 2023 with Jens Larsen | 5th April 2023

Jens Larsen, Director of Global Macro-Geoeconomics at Eurasia Group, talks us through some of the primary Geoeconomic risks that Eurasia Group are currently tracking. Against the backdrop of the Russia-Ukraine war, relations between the US and China have been thrown into sharp relief, while the global economy is still reeling from the impacts of the energy crisis. Jens provides a nuanced and thoughtful commentary on the potential impacts of these risks over the coming years. Our host, Moz Afzal:...

Apr 12, 202336 min

EP 69: The current state of the Brazilian economy with Mansueto Almeida | 13th March 2023

Mansueto Almeida, Chief Economist at BTG Pactual, joins Moz to talk about the Brazilian economy and the current state of the financial markets. They reflect on this past year's impact of political policy from Brazil's new government, the positive rate of growth in GDP, and the outlook for future investment opportunities. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Mansueto Almeida, Chief Economist at BTG Pactual https://bit.ly/34RbtNO EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important Infor...

Mar 20, 202336 min

EP 68: The impact of monetary policy responses finally starting to show | 3rd March 2023

With Daniel Murray hosting the podcast this week, Stefan Gerlach joins us to talk about global growth, evolving monetary policy and the potential risks on the road ahead as central bankers attempt to navigate ongoing economic uncertainty. Our host, Daniel Murray, Deputy CIO and Global Head of Research at EFGAM: bit.ly/3Jkb87J Our guest: Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFG bit.ly/3mz6t8V EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important Information The value of investments and the income derived fr...

Mar 07, 202332 min

EP 67: The surprising impacts of hybrid working with James Pomeroy | 9th February 2023

James Pomeroy, Global Economist at HSBC, joins Moz to talk about the unexpected impacts of the evolving hybrid work model, focusing on productivity, commercial real estate and how cities have been affected. The episode ends with a detailed look at how artificial intelligence will impact the working world. Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: James Pomeroy, Global Economist at HSBC https://bit.ly/38Y9plu EFGAM: https://www.newcapital.com/ Important Information The value of inves...

Feb 21, 202331 min

EP 66: Making Your Voice Heard with Connson Locke | 10th January 2023

Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Connson Locke, Professorial Lecturer in Management at the London School of Economics https://connsonlocke.com/ EFGAM: https://bit.ly/2Oy6tFI Important Information The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possible loss of all or part of the principal invest...

Feb 03, 202356 min

EP 65: Economic volatility leading to political volatility, Dan Clifton | 9th January 2023

Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Dan Clifton, Partner and Head of Policy Research for Strategas Securities http://bit.ly/3iTUMIG EFGAM: https://bit.ly/2Oy6tFI Important Information The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possible loss of all or part of the principal invested. This docume...

Jan 27, 202351 min

EP 64: Q1 2023 Insight | 5th January 2023

Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guests: Daniel Murray https://bit.ly/3tNPXSK Paul Temperton http://tier.co.uk/ Joaquin Thul https://bit.ly/3d7QWGl GianLuigi Mandruzzato https://bit.ly/3daScaX EFGAM: https://bit.ly/2Oy6tFI Important Information The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possible l...

Jan 11, 202350 min

EP 63: Federal Reserve Impact with Dennis DeBusschere | 17th November 2022

Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Dennis DeBusschere, President of 22V Research and Chief Market Strategist bit.ly/3AqC8xJ EFGAM: https://bit.ly/2Oy6tFI Important Information The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possible loss of all or part of the principal invested. This document does...

Nov 28, 202246 min

EP 62: Opening the "black box" of the SNB with Professor Yvan Lengwiler | 31st October 2022

Our host, Stefan Gerlach, Chief Economist at EFG: https://bit.ly/3uxPhj5 Our guest: Professor Yvan Lengwiler Professor of Economics at University of Basel and founder of The SNB Observatory https://bit.ly/3TetwRq EFGAM: https://bit.ly/2Oy6tFI Important Information The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possi...

Nov 15, 202233 min

EP 61: "The most political volatility in the US since the Civil War" US Mid Term outlook with Dan Clifton | 24th October 2022

Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Dan Clifton, Managing Director and Head of Washington research at Strategas https://bit.ly/3FiP0cv EFGAM: https://bit.ly/2Oy6tFI Important Information The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possible loss of all or part of the principal invested. This doc...

Nov 04, 202251 min

EP 60: Potential market energy with Jeff deGraaf | 19th October 2022

Our host, Moz Afzal: https://bit.ly/31XbkTR Our guest: Jeff deGraaf, Chairman, CEO and Head of Technical Research at Renaissance Macro Research https://bit.ly/3EmLiuo EFGAM: https://bit.ly/2Oy6tFI Important Information The value of investments and the income derived from them can fall as well as rise, and past performance is no indicator of future performance. Investment products may be subject to investment risks involving, but not limited to, possible loss of all or part of the principal inves...

Oct 28, 202254 min
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