Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros.
It's time to place your bets to this met Joey p joe Pisapia and this is BP NFL joining me for the props for Week four in the NFL. The Welsh and the Undertaker Andrew Erickson. Strong week from the boys last week. We're gonna try to capitalize on this and also another strong performance on the Thursday Night Football Show. In case you missed it, Ceedee Lamb over check, Ceede Lamb touchdown check. You go home happy. I told you avoid the spread. It's it's a tragedy. Nothing but field goals, baby,
nothing but field goals. But that's why you're with us, and that's why you subscribe to the Betting Pros YouTube channel to hang out with us and talk some ball.
Gentlemen.
We have a big week ahead of us here, some fun and exciting matchups. A lot of matchups too where teams are kind of up against it. We're gonna see how they respond. Some teams that are not quite proven, we're gonna see how they respond. And these are the players that we have our eyes on and hopefully can bring us some cash. Before we get to the names on the list. Don't forget every to make sure that you download the Betting Pros app and use the tools
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We all use it.
You should use it to because it's the best way to compare all the different sportsbook lines with the expert projections and then find the value. That's what it's about. So use the prop bet cheat sheet right now. You can get it over at betting pros or go to betting pros dot com slash props. That's the way to find it, and you're gonna find the most profitable opportunities and tailored recommendations. And then also you could track all the winning trends as well. So Betting Pros is the
app to help to get you into the black. All right, let's start here. Leaderboard overall you guys nine and six for ericson eight and seven for Welsh, so both above five hundred. That's where we want to be. Joey p is nine and two over his last eleven. Follow me betting pros dot com slash Joe. All right, let's get to your first pick of the week here, Welsh, and we're going with somebody who was the one oh one
in many fans, League's Tyreek Hill. What are your feelings about Tyreek the freak in week four.
I am doing this just to double down. I'm doing this for the boys. I'm doing this for me and Ericson here, even when there are things that are telling us not too Like is week three data with Skyler Thompson. I just want to repoint out, like Scott Thomas is not great, but it was also a week difference between Tua and Skyler Thompson and what they were able to cater the playbook too. And then he gets hurt and Tim Boyle comes in. It was a disaster for Tyreek
last week. He had a fifteen percent target share. Not good, six point eight a dot.
Not good.
People freaking out Ericson and I this week talking about the bye because if this team is going to win, it has to go through Tyreek Hill, and I believe it will go back through Tyreek Hill. So some stuff that you can still sit on for the season. Even though that Week three was so bad, he still has
an over eleven A dot. He still has a thirty four percent target sh share, and he's still averaging fourteen point nine four yards per reception, so he's also fourth in yards after reception in the NFL at nine yards. And obviously the last week two weeks have been kind of messy, so he's only hit this in one of
his last three games. But if you look over his last ten using the betting pros betting pages, which are awesome which you can go and do some analysis on all your picks when you're on the betting pro side, he's hit eight of these last ten. So it has just been these last two weeks. This is one of the lowest numbers on Tyreek Hill receiving yards that we've seen in quite some time. I don't even know if I actually said it. As we were coming in here, I told you it was the receiving yards fifty two
and a half. It's fifty two and a half yards. Four catches based off of his yards per reception gets us there. But again, my big thesis I wish could be about, you know, this crazy, big underlying thing that's
gone on, but here's what it really sits around. It sets around this player that has been established for years and years and years, forty four touchdowns in the last two years, hasn't had less than twelve hundred receiving yards over the last four years, And we've had one week of messy, weird quarterback play that kind of screwed up. You have Tyler Huntley likely coming back in there. You got to get Tyreek kill the ball. That's my thesis.
It's a super low receiving yard prop. I'm smashing it for the boys, and I'm taking it just to try to hit home this by narrative of Tyreek Hill and just a really great bet to cash. So fifty two and a half receiving yards, when do you think that low number was out there for Tyreek Hill over the last three years?
You can get this on one play, I mean exactly. And Tyler Huntley apparently is picking up the Dolphins offense. Quote like riding a bike, So there you go, end quote. So it depends on how good of a bike rider you are.
Yeah, do we know finally knows how to ride a bike.
That was not part of the article, but we can only assume he does.
Here's a big show Tyler Huntly riding a bike. It's him on wheel.
It's like trading will do on this. Ericson, No, no, We're not gonna be a.
Bat you you want to, No, No, I love it. Let's let's be Tyreek kill everywhere in fantasy leagues too. Ericson, let's talk about the Jets. I've already bet Brayln Allen to score a touchdown a plus one ninety this week because I think it's all hands on deck in the backfield. But you've got feelings about another RB with Garrett Wilson in a tough matchup. It seems like the running backs are gona get used heavily. So let's talk about your thoughts on.
Breece Hall in Week four.
Yeah, I love Breese Hall the over on his receiving yards twenty seven and a half. You look at the Broncos on defense, what have they done this season? They've blitzed at the NFL's highest rate at forty five percent. So what does that mean, Aaron Rodgers, I'm not gonna wait and get hit from these guys. I'm old. I don't want that, So I'm gonna get the ball quick. And who's that going to be to the running backs out of the backfield. So you look at Breese Hall.
What he's done through three games. He's already been over this number three straight games. So even though Braylen Allen is getting more involved, they want to feature Breese Hall still as the primary receiver out of the back. We talked about Garrett Wilson gonna be matching up with Patrick ten not a good matchup for him. So I think Breese Hall is going to be Aaron Rodgers go to guy in this particular matchup. So that's why I love the over and're receiving again another player that he can
get this on one play. Breese Hall is that explosive out of the backfield and he's already done it. So when you look at two how involved he is as a first red target per Fantasy Points data, Hall in's the third highest first red target chair among running backs at eighteen percent this season.
All right, let's go to Welsh for your second pick this week. Let's talk about DK Metcalf. Huge game here for the Seahawks proving Now all right, here we go. We've won three games. Defense has played really well, competition has been below average. Now you're getting the Detroit Lions on the road. I'm fascinated by this game. I do think the Seahawks cover. But I was in yesterday's show with trealand Ericson. I want to talk about DK Metcalf with you.
Yeah, this is actually like the Tyreek Hill one. It's super fun. It's kind of my narrative play and I have it bet on the Betting Pros app right now. This is my favorite one. It's like my absolute favorite one is DK Metcalf. VP projections have him over this number at sixty two and a half, which you can find as the lowest number. Consensus number is sixty four and a half, so this is going to fly around, but sixty two and a half on the receiving yards
is what we're playing with with DK Metcalf. He is projected over this. I cross referenced it to PFF seventy two point five on his projections and then some of the things to kind of sit with Lions giving up the most passing yards in the NFL wide receivers. DK is eleventh in air yards in the NFL sixteen in air yard share, and the Betting Pros prop page when you go and check out DK Metcalf shows that he has hit this obviously in two of his last three games.
But this is a really cool tool as well. They've got the comparable tool which is kind of at the bottom if you're looking on the website, and it'll show you comparable wide receivers versus the defense. And guess what, all three wide receivers in the comparable front that have gone up against the Lions have crossed this prop. DK Metcalf has been a target monster, a big air guy. They do get Ken Walker back, it's looking like so
they can establish some run. But with this Lions offense, this has the makings of one of those shootout type of situations. And Gino has been passing the crap out of the ball. So I love DK Metcalf in this situation with whatever comes with JSN. Tyler Lockett Like, I don't want to say this on sixty two and a half, but I'll do it for a third time. He could do this in one play. This is what DK Metcalf does as well. So this is a big air yards guy.
This is kind of a low ish number. Projections like it, Betting pros likes it, and I like it all right.
I like it too.
Again, I love that you could see on the site too, the comparisons with the fantasy averages and where the defenses have given up to I think telling me, I think Seattle actually overperforms. I don't know they're gona win this game, but I think they're going to overperform in it to least people's expectations. Next up, Andrew Erickson. If you've been fading the backfield of the Chicago Bears, well, you've been
making money this year, so it's week four. What do you want to do with the Bears backfield this week?
Fade the backfield, specifically with DeAndre Swift. We're going to go under on his rushing yards thirty five and a half. This line has moves significantly since opening it to get open a round forty three and a half. That's the number I was able to get on early in the week. But like we learned last week about the Dwan Jennings, if you're right, it doesn't matter what the number is going to be, because I'm going to be right about
DeAndre Swift. He's not getting anywhere near thirty five and a half rushing yards because I don't even know if he's the primary ball carrier anymore in the Bears back But we've seen reports come out talking about how the Bears want to feature Roshan Johnson more in these upcoming matchups, and why not because last week he got Swift thirteen
carries for twenty yards. Again, he's been under thirty five and a half rushing yards the first three weeks of the season already, and that was when he was the starting running back for the Chicago Bears. So I think that we could see him fall to third in the pecking order. He's following in the footsteps of Miles Sanders last year, where oh, I'm the highest paid running back in free agency and then you lose your job to
one of the backups on the team. So again, as a Roshawn Johnson truther all off season, this is a big moment for us. I don't know how effective he's going to be, but we're not betting his rushing props. We're just betting against DeAndre Swift. So again, it doesn't matter what the matchup is because the Bears just can't run the ball, and I think the Rams strengths quote unquote strengths on defense are actually probably on their defensive
line rather than their secondary, which is absolutely atrocious. So I'm just going to fade Deander Swift into the sun.
Actually, you know one thing too. We were talking earlier in the week about the Ezekiel Elliott under rushing yard number and how low it was and how scary it is.
But this is it.
But this you're not playing, you don't get any yards.
That's kind of the thing. It's like this number has been going down, has been going down for a reason. It's kind of scary because Swift is one of those breakaway players, but he.
Hasn't been breaking down.
He's one.
I don't think, hey, yeah, he hasn't been that guy anymore. Yeah, so he can't. Unlike the three guys we talked about before they can get on one play, Swift cannot. I don't think Swift can do it on Wane to play anymore.
By the way, last couple weeks for Zeke, and this was the first of all good practice because we've been talking about Rico Dawell in the Fantasy Pro channel for a couple of weeks. Now people drop them, go pick him up. Hopefully listened. But Zeke, last couple weeks here we go against the Saints six for sixteen, against the Ravens three for six and then last night against the Giants, five for nineteen, so it's over, folks.
So he actually did get more than a FREEK one. He did have one nice first down run. I was like, oh, there he goes.
He had one against one everybody get it was against the Giants, by the way, and.
Then he ran into the big pot and came out and was like five yards.
There you go.
All right, everybody, let's get to the third pick here that we have. Let's talk about Josh Allen right now, kind of co front runner for MVP.
It's a really good narrative.
I'd be putting some money on it right now, especially if he wins this game. Now, if he loses it, you're gonna see this kind of bounce back a little bit. But even if that happens, I still think that narrative for Josh Allen is fascinating. It's Josh Allen and the Buffalo Pills. He's got this little supporting cast of characters. It's just an ensemble, no stars. He's the only star. And that, my friends, leads to a really good narrative.
But let's talk about the passing yards. The numbers two thirty and a half Welsh, what do you want to do with it.
I want to play it over of course I do. Betting pro shows that Josh Allen has hit this two of the last three games so far this year. The projections are over two thirty, kind of across the board. Again, I'll take VP projections and sometimes back them up. PFF projections are pushing this as well, over two forty five and more importantly, you know, like I talked about, and this is like a fun narrative to play sometimes with
the DK Metcalf one. As far as receivers go, the Lions giving up the most yards to wide receivers and it's a great play for DK Metcalf. The Ravens have given up the most overall passing yards in the NFL over nine hundred, so this is a great spot for Josh Allen where you're not gonna really run the ball a whole bunch. I mean, Cook has obviously been doing his thing and Josh Allen can move, but the secondary
has been a disaster for them. So this is an opportunity if Kean Colmenio shows up on time that maybe he can have a few snaps that he can go along Khalil Shakir. Just bang bang, bang, kinkaid it's a pretty good spot. But either way, this is two thirty. This is a low number that he's hitting two last three weeks. This has shootout potential, close game potential, and Josh Allen's gonna slang the ball. So I really love I'd love this one like one b to the DK
metcalf side. I took a passing prop last week and Brock pretty smashed Cana. Kind of keep paying attention. This is usually not my market too on like targeting and honing in on a lot of quarterback passing props, but we're finding some really good ones early on, and I think this one is the best of the week as far as like passing yards or touchdowns right now.
Yeah, look, he's getting the job done.
I love the comment too after the game the other day where he's like, yeah, it's you know, nobody cares about their stats, wink wink talking to you, Steffon. I mean, I mean, if that wasn't like loud and clear.
I don't know what was.
Maybe he was talking about Gave Davis.
Yeah, it was must be. Gave Davis was the guy who was just Steve.
Gave Davis's team, So clearly gave Davis.
Was Ercks definitely way off on that one. Old Ericson totally gave Davis all.
Right, undertaker, let's find an under for week four?
Where do you have another running back that's, you know, we don't know how his job security is anymore, Rashad White under thirty eight and a half rushing yards. Look, last week, we saw Bucky Irving take a much larger role in this backfield, and the coach has noticed that because we can't just keep putting Shod White out there to average two yards per carry and say that's an offensive success, right, So they're gonna lean on Bucky Irving Moore as a rusher. Rashad White still has a role
as a pass catcher in this Buccaneers offense. But I just don't see scenario where Rashad White is ripping off these massive runs against a really stout Philadelphia Eagles defense. Again, it doesn't even really matter. Again, it's not really about the matchup, honestly, it's just about how ineffective Rashad White has been and he's not going to see enough volume to get tim to thirty eight and a half rushing yards.
He's been the starting running back for the Timp Bay Buccaneers the last three weeks, and he's been under thirty eight and a half rushing yards the last three weeks. So now if you're taking away more volume from him, I don't see a scenario where similar to Swift, I don't think this guy's gonna beat me. So I'm gonna take the under on Rashod White under three eight and a half rushing yards. I feel good about betting on these dusty, inefficient running backs so far after taking the
under on Zeke. So let's keep it rolling.
I want to see an under parlay from you. Eric, you give me, I'll Swift White and give me like one more.
Give me.
You know I got the guy, got Swift White, Javante.
I'm gonna I'm gonna play that. That's gonna be like I.
Will put it.
Well, you're talking about the next one here, so is it Swift? It's Taylor and Javonte Williams. That's where we're going.
There, Smift, be Swift, White and Javonte Williams.
Yeah, all under the totals will all like not even combine one hundred yards between three running backs. That's amazing, all right, I'm gonna put that together.
While I do that Welsh, why don't you talk about another prop four week four here in the NFL and you're gonna go where the Patriots are?
Yeah, so they're not all sexy, Josh a sexy name. DK Metcalf was a sexy name. I'm gonna get into the mud a little bit because this one's gonna be gross. We're going with de Mario Douglass over receiving yards. And it's even gross because this number moved a little bit. I took it on Tuesday at thirty three and a half and it moved down, So you know that could maybe put in some of the fear. But I'll tell you I love this from so many factors. One of
the things Ericson and I talked about last week. He talked about it on the Fantasy Pro show we do on the podcast side called Extra Point, where it was like tomorrow, Douglas was complaining, wanted to get the ball. They got him the ball in that second series and he ended up getting like whatever it was, six catches, So the complaining has worked out. But he's also hit this.
I think it's six of his last ten games. I left out my number here according to the betting pro pages prop pages, but you guys will be able to see it. He's projected over thirty six. But more importantly, the Niners got exposed last week from two to two at well out of the slot. And that's what I think is going to happen here. You saw two to going in motion moving out of the slot, and the forty nine ers were just giving that up in that middle of the field. Well, guess what they lost Hargrave,
who is on that interior line. That's gonna equate the forty nine ers to this matchup's a little bit weird, but like the Patriots are gonna try to smash the ball in and that's gonna give someone to have to cheat, whether it's gonna be a linebacker or it's gonna be like a Houfunga at safety. And that opens up that middle of the field a little bit. And what happens
the slot receiver tomorrow? Douglas pop Douglas eighty three percent out of the slot right now, I think he is going to pull off another two to two at Well. They're not gonna get beat on the outside. They're not gonna get beat a whole bunch on the passing game. But down the middle, Pop Douglas gets his targets. It was six or seven targets last week. We have a thirty two point five over receiving yard marker. Yes, because
that is the weakness of the forty nine ers. So let's pick on them, ugly Pop Douglas thirty two point five over receiving yards. Boy, I love it.
It was my first bet of the week, all right now, right now, you can't get the individual stuff I see for a lot of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers right now because of all the stuff going on post weather issues in Florida. But but I did put Javante and Swift unders together and that'll get you plus two fifty two.
So I can only assume here's one.
Thing you could do. Just put someone else's under, like it's gonna be like minus one fifteen. Just add one more minus fifteen to it real quick, and tell us what that number will be when it's ready, all right, when it's just anybody, just it doesn't even matter. Just it'll be like a minus one fifteen.
The oven, baby in the oven, all right, rushing props here, let's see, let's put an under here for Chase Brown.
How about that?
Yeah, it doesn't matter.
Even Chase Brown, you.
Would never been the under. Okay, five sixty one.
So that's you're gonna get like five and a half to one to go under on all three of those.
I'm one exact person, same thing, five sixty one.
There, it doesn't matter. That's why the number is gonna look the same. Bettingpros dot com slash what is it Ericson or and it's last name.
Right, Ericson for him? Oh yeah for me, Welsh for you, go follow all of.
Those and look at this underprop as we are going to put it on there and tail with us and gloriously live the punishment of under thirty yard rushers and take the cash home and just be happy about it.
It's wild, all right. Let's get to your next one here. It's an over, folks, so let's talk about it here. Brian Thomas Junior. Look, I've taken a bunch of overs on him this year already, and I've listened to you, Erickson, and I've made money on it because he is that big splash guy and he's been able to do that.
Kenny do it again in week four?
Well, he's done it for the three street weeks in a row since he's been in the NFL. Over the five and a half receiving yards. I like him to go over again because when you're looking at Jacksonville, they're trying to kind of find their identity on offense. They're owing three coming off obviously that the horrible game against the Buffalo Bills. But you look at how you beat the Houston Texans and how they've been attacked is actually been downfield. They've given up a lot of big plays.
Back to that Vikings game, where was Sam Donald. It wasn't dank and dunk, it was Sam Donald Aeriel assault down the field against it's the Houston Texans. So Trevor Lawrence again, they are attacking aggressively downfield. It hasn't really been working that great, but when their offense has been actually functioning, basically the first half of that Miami game, it was downfield strikes to guys like Brian Thomas Junior.
So I think again, going back to our basically our mantra of the show, he can get it on one play. Brian Thomas Junior can get this on one play. And also Gabe Davis is dealing with a shoulder injury as well. So while they're putting together this game plan, I think it's going to be a lot of Brian Thomas Junior. So I like him to go over in this spot in the Dome against the Texans, which could be I think is going to be a sneaky shootout.
I like this while you were talking. I just bet all three of those unders that we were talking about.
Follow us on betting pros, folks. All right, next one here.
And final one.
Before we get to the touchdown calls, let's get to a little fun bet that Welsh's put together for everybody out there. So Welsh, let's talk about your last of the props for week four.
Yeah, it's a receptions prop. I actually ran this last week and we didn't hit it. Unfortunate. We destroyed the Deontay Johnson one. He was three and a half, but it was majorly juiced up. I paired it with Kelsey, good logic. He had four receptions, didn't get the fifth one, so we didn't.
Kelsey breakout this week. I'm calling it Welsh.
Then you can maybe you can put him a rear one.
Hundred receptions against the Chargers, eight touchdowns at his career. This is it is now or never, and it might be never, but this is it, folks, This is it, especially with Derwin James out, with them having injuries everywhere. If this isn't the Kelsey breakout week and you're getting great numbers on dfs, you get great numbers everywhere across the board on him, just just do it.
If it fails, it fails, but then we know it's dover. I think if it's not this week, it's over good.
I think it was like mineus, like one thirty five or something like that. Maybe you can put him together something. So I found two reception props that I love that are massively juiced again. So we're gonna try to see if we can play this out, and we are going to get plus one fifty five on Greg Dortch two and a half receptions over, paired with brock Bowers three and a half or seven over. I thought we were done with ever having brock Boers under four and a
half receptions. The books said no, no, no, after last week. So we're going to tell both of these these guys have hit this reception prop each in two of their last three weeks. We know there's some question marks with the Raiders right now as far as like even DeVante Adams. But also this is the force of the offense and Brock Bowers and George is going up against Washington, the worst secondary in the NFL. This is a great touchdown play as well. Craig Dorsch safety net sure, Marvin Harrison
props are super fun. But do you ever bet on Greg Dortch and experienced a weekend two and a half receptions for him, three and a half for Bowers, get plus one fifty five. That's my fun reception parlay.
Of the week.
There you go, ericson close us out strong. Let's go back to the Ravens game against the Bills.
What do you have? Yeah?
I love this game for the game total over. So I expect points on both sides, and I expect the Ravens have to throw the ball more because they can't throw the ball less because last week Lamar Jackson attempted the fewest amount of pass attempts ever in a game that he started and finished. So what you're seeing is the Ravens receivers, their tight ends and guys like Zay Flowers, who I like the over four and a half receptions.
Their numbers are are suppressed because of how little the Ravens threw the ball last week, So I'm trying to take advantage of it in this completely different matchup where I think the Bills are gonna be putting up points. I think the Ravens are going to have to be forced to throw a lot more. In through three weeks, Save Flowers has been the clear cut target chair leader in this Ravens offense. So again we have question marks about which tight end will get involved. Who's gonna run routes?
We don't know, but I do know that Zay Flowers is the number one target. They're going to force feed him touches in this particular matchup. When you look at the Bills, what are they best at limiting big plays? It's why Jacksonville was so undermanned against them, because that's Jacksonville's trying to do, is generate big plays. Say Flowers is the underneath guy. Zay Flowers is the bubble screen guy,
so I think that he's going to get peppered. I don't know what the yardage will look like, but I would be very surprised if he didn't catch at least six or seven balls in a shootout?
All right?
Uh?
Yeah, I mean I agree.
I think Derrick Henry and Zay Flowers those are the two things you can control.
And I do want to be Mark Andrews.
No one wants to bet Mark Andrews here.
Well me, I mean, the numbers are probably so low right now, I don't even know if you can really is it an even tenable at this point?
Is this the week just go back all on tight ends? Is this week for the tight end week that they come because there's.
Too many injuries?
Like, you know, you still got McBride out still playing at least maybe. I mean, look, I think you go back in on Kelsey this week.
I do.
I mean I kind of like Andrews too.
I kind of like the under on Andrews. I think, what does matter all of it? Anything?
Well, let me look on BP touchdowns and let's see that Andrews number.
First. Look, I'm pretty sure his receptions was like two and a half.
He'll have more, you'll have more pancake blocks than receptions.
Uh thirty one and a half receiving yards under, Yeah, I tend to go to the under and anytime touchdowns plus you know you should do you should bet the anytime touchdown a plus two seventy and then just bet the under on the arts like he has that one catch for a touchdown and everybody doesn't know what to think that that sounds.
Very right now.
Is like that family guy meme where the guy walks in, he's like, I would like to bet on a sport and he gives him the money and he's like, would you like to bet on I'm good and he just leaves and yes, to lose the money. That'sunds good to it.
All right, let's get to the touchdown calls for week four and don't forget everybody. The touchdown Score Report at bettingpros dot com slash touchdown is available and if you're looking for an edge in the touchdown bets, it's a great tool to be using, so go ahead check that out. We like to use it as well. Here the three of us our Touchdown Score Report. It compares anytime touchdown stats to prop bets and odds and projections to help identify the best of the best when it comes to
any time touchdown bets. It Head over to bettingpros dot com slash touchdown right now for the latest touchdown prop analysis today Welsh start.
Us off here.
I gotta say this one feels a little risky to me. I know where your head's at that I don't know, man sell me on Keenan Allen.
Let's yeah.
Well, last week I also gave you guys a plus two thirty receiving touch in Juwan Jennings, so I'm sure to get back to you.
Look, man, the Jew, I remember last week when you were it felt like with Juwan Jennings you were like, oh man, it went from thirty eight to forty.
I hope you guys both said that.
It's just you know what it is. All it is is like getting a sexy line and then it moving. I'll give you I'll give you an example.
Real you've cleared it by one hundred and thirty.
I know, I know Ericson knew this. I got the most ridiculous prop earlier this week. I got Carson Steel Rushing Yards at twenty two and a half. It opened up, they immediately took it down, and then two days went by and they boosted it back up. What did it open at forty and a half. That's actually not a bad number either, But it's like that value line of difference makes you just a little bit queasy. I'd still probably take Carson Steel like Juwan Jennings numbers.
This week yet because nobody knows a lot of these guys are questionable, I think, but.
They're not doing there's no reception prop on him. But it was forty eight and a half or forty seven and a half on the receiving.
For Juwan Jennings.
But anyway, let's get over I'm not going with Juwan Jennings. I'm going with Keenan Allen. You're saying it's risky obviously, just because he hasn't been out there one hundred percent, but that one game that he did play, he was targeted both times, two times in the red zone. Now, Caleb's kind of a little bit of a disaster. DJ Moore is not their red zone guy. A Dunes that
could be, but guess what he's banged up. Caleb loved Keenan Allen, and Keenan Allen got those red zone targets, so if they get into the red zone, you can get Keenan Allen at almost three to one this week two eighty five from a red zone to games played perspective it's one of the highest in Keenan Allen because he played one game and he got two red zone targets. I think he will get it again. You'll get that touchdown. It almost three to one. That Do you want me to do my other one too?
Yeah, let's let's run them all out there.
Let's go the other one that I'm doing. I'm going with the Dolphins. I'm not going with Tyreek Hill. Devon h Chan. You don't see a ton of good plus money Devon a Chian anytime. Touchdowns. It's plus one fifty this week. And I actually like it from the recis side because the Titans currently have given up three receiving touchdowns to running backs and that's the most in the NFL. No one has given up more receiving touchdowns to RVs.
So I like that for mister Devon a Chan, whether it's rushing or on that receiving side, because that's where he's gonna play. Plus one fifty eight Chan plus two eighty five Keenan all And those are my two touchdown calls.
All right, Ericson, give me some tds for Week four.
Going with Naji Harris plus one twenty five because I'm a slave to regression. Najia Harris leads the NFL in red zone carries, has not scored a touchdown. The Colts leave the NFL and most rushing yards allowed. They have allowed one rushing touchdown. The numbers are they're converging here, people, the regression is converging here. So Naja Harris, I think
he's gonnacore muliple touchdowns in this game. So give me him plus one twenty five to these score once and then my other one, my long shot special of the week touchdowns. I may have found my next Donald Parum potentially with this guy. Oh Eric call Eric Cincinnati Bengals rookie tight end too like. He's been heavily involved the last two weeks. He has eight targets, eight receptions, super efficient.
Joe Burrow likes this guy. Every broadcast I've listened to for the Bengals last two weeks, they don't stop talking about Eric all Like, the Bengals absolutely love this guy, and he's played a lot the last two weeks. Mike Coseki snaps are still they're they're not super high, So I think we could see Eric will have a bigger role to play in the Carolina Panthers. No team has allowed more touchdowns to tight ends this year than the
Carolina Panthers. That the only team's actually allowed more than one touchdown to a tight end this season, because no tight ends are scoring any touchdowns. So also, eric All has a big role in the red zone. You look at the amount of red zone snaps that the Bengals have had the last two weeks. He's played on fifty percent of those snaps inside the ten yard line and no team has thrown the ball more inside the twenty
yard line than Joe Burrow in the Bengals. So I think they're gonna score, They're gonna have opportunities to score, and I think eric All is going to find his way into the end zone this week. It'd be a top twelve tight end fantasy because, well, if you score a touchdown, you're going to be a you.
Know, if you're an all time sicko. I just did it. You could take both Ericson and I's long shot Keenan Allen and eric All anytime touchdowns twenty five to one. Right now. Wow, eric All's number wasn't as good on the book that I just used, by the way, it was plus five point fifty, but twenty five to one.
You know my long shot.
I didn't put it in this week because I think Addison might be back, and if so, it might muddy the waters. But but Jalen Naylor has been terrific. I mean, he's been a touchdown machine for the Vikings, and considering Alexander and Jeffers aren't going to match up, I would imagine that Nail would be looked at again in the red zone. So he's plus four seventy. But if you're looking for something a little safer, let's talk about Justin Fields. I want to go back to the Pittsburgh Steelers here
where Andrew Erickson was. Now for me, Justin Fields just continues to get more and more confident every week. That Indiapolis Colts defense is trash, it's terrible, it's no good. Plus one sixty it's a great number. It's better than an Naji Harris number. So give me Justin Fields. That's who I want to score this week. I've gotten a lot of DFS lineups two because if he scores a touchdown, throws a touchdown, it's gonna be a really productive Fantasy day. And he rushes for I think I have him the
over in the rushing yards as well. I think he's guys gonna run a UK, especially because nause is not one hundred percent, So it does worry me. Just to Ted, Terry mclaurin's my other one at plus one ninety. You saw the breakout performance from Jaydon Daniels. We are now comfortable. We are now confident. I predicted it would happen, just in a different game script. It wouldn't necessarily the Washington Commanders from ahead throwing the football with reckless a band,
and I thought it would come after they were behind. No, no, no, even better, even more of a reason to be confident as they travel to Arizona and play a game with one of the highest totals of the week. So give me Terry McLaurin plus one ninety justin feels plus one sixty, and of course drop your comments below. What's your favorite touchdown call of the week? Call a TD for me
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That'll do it for us.
But the story of the game goes on for the Welsh and the Undertaker. Andrew ericson I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids, enjoy Week four.
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