Hey everyone, I'm Pat fitz Morris here to give you my favorite NFL player props or Week thirteen. But before we get to my favorite player props, first, if you want to track all of your wagers in one place, check out the Betting prospicktracker at bettingpros dot com slash
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to start with Mike White, Jets backup quarterback. He lit up the Bears for three hundred and fifteen passing yards in week twelve, and now he gets to face an their NFC West, excuse me, NFC North team with the suspect pass defense. He heads up to Minneapolis to face the Vikings, who have given up a league high seven point eight yards per pass attempt this season, and the
Vikings for the NFL's fifth worst opponent passer rating. Patriots QB Mac Jones lit up Minnesota for three hundred and eighty two yards on Thanksgiving nights, and four days before that, Dak Prescott completed twenty two of twenty five passes against the Vikings for two hundred and seventy six yards. So Vikings pass defense not good. Mike White has a good
set of weapons. Jeff probably are not going to be real run heavy with Michael Carter nursing an ankle sprain, and the Vikings have some major issues at cornerback where Cam Danceler is on injured reserve and rookie second rounder Andrew Booth is out for the year within knee injury. So I like Mike White over two hundred and forty one point five passing yards. I also like Derrick Henry over eighty four point five rushing yards. And yeah, it seems like low hanging fruit to take the over on
Derrick Henry rushing yardage. He has failed to clear this in two of his last three games, averaging just fifty nine point three rushing yards over that stretch. But is there any doubts the Titans are going to keep feeding Derrick Henry the rock. I mean, that's what they do on offense, let's face it. So Henry has cleared this number in seven of eleven games this season, and this week he's up against an Eagles defense that is much
easier to run on than to throw on. Philadelphia is giving up five point four yards per pass attempts, that is tied with Denver for the lowest mark in the league, but they're giving up four point six yards per carry to running backs, so it's a little easier going on the ground against the Eagles than through the air. Last week, Packers running backs Aaron Jones and aj Dillon combined for twenty carries in one hundred and seven yards against the Eagles.
The week before that, it was Jonathan Taylor running for eighty four yards. Back in week ten, it was Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson the Commanders, combining for one hundred and thirty yards against Philly. And in week nine it was Texans rookie Damian Pierce stampeding the Eagles for one hundred and thirty nine rushing yards. So the Eagles can be had on the ground for sure, and we know what the Titans are going to do. They pound it with Derrick Henry. I like the over on eighty four
point five rushing yards. One rushing under I like is Saquon Barkley under seventy one point five rushing yards. And we kind of have seen the Giants running game breakdown over the last couple of weeks. It started in Week eleven with Barkley carrying fifteen times for twenty two yards against the Lions, and the Lions had been terrible against the run all season, so that was a cause for alarm. And then Thanksgiving Day against the cow Boys, Barkley eleven
carries for thirty nine yards. So it seems pretty unlikely that the Giants are going to fix their running game problems against the Washington Commanders this week. The Commander's ranked fourth in DVA against the run and are allowing only seventy nine point eight rushing yards per game to running backs, seventh lowest total in the league. So Washington's good run defense against a slumping Giants run offense. Robert Woods under
thirty six point five receiving yards. Woods has failed to hit this number in five of his last six games, and he's only produced forty or more receiving yards in two of eleven games this season. He has fallen behind Treylon Burks in the packing order and maybe even behind Nick Westbrookikine and some of the Titans tight ends. Two. Woods just not a big factor this year, and he
has a tough Week thirteen matchup against the Eagles. Just mentioned this with the Derrick Henry total that the Eagles are much better against the pass than against the run. They have allowed the fifth fewest receiving yards to wide receivers this year, and look, the Eagles have a really tough pair of outside cornerbacks in Darius Slay and James Bradberry. Robert Woods has lined up in the slot just seventeen
point three percent of the time this year. So the under on Robert Woods thirty six point five receiving yards. Corey Davis over thirty six point five receiving yards. Same numbers Robert Woods, but I like the over with Davis, and as noted earlier, the Vikings pass defense has really been bad this year. That's one of the reasons I like Davis to clear this relatively low bar. The Vikings are twenty seventh in DBOA against the pass, and they've given up a league high one and seventy three receiving
yards to wide receivers. And as I mentioned, they have injury problems at cornerback with Cam Danzler and Andrew Booth both out. So should be noted that over the first six weeks of the season Corey Davis had averaged five point five catches and fifty eight point five yards per game before he sprained his NCL in Week seven. Davis just got back from that injury in Week eleven, didn't
play a full snapchare in Week eleven. Last week twelve, he did play a full snapchair forty three snaps only one catch for nine yards in that gameer the just passing game smashed against the Bears, so kind of weird that Corey Davis didn't do much there. But with Davis getting a healthy snaphare against a bad Vikings defense, I really think this is a good percentage play for him
to go over thirty six and a half yards. In two games last year that he played with Mike White, Davis had four catches for forty seven yards and five catches for ninety three yards. So take the over with Davis over thirty six point five receiving yards George Pickens
over forty four point five receiving yards. Pickens has topped this number in two straight games, and he has a scrumptious Sweet thirteen matchup against the Falcons, who have allowed twy and forty receiving yards to wide receivers this season, the second highest total in the league, behind only the Vikings, and with Steelers running back Najie Harris dealing with an oblique injury, pretty unlikely the Steelers go run heavy in
this one. Look, if you watch Pickens play this season, you know what a stud the rookie is and just how talented he is. Leverage that talent in a good matchup against the Falcons. Bet over forty four point five
receiving yards for Pickins. And finally, Mike Gasiki, the Dolphins tight end under twenty one point five receiving yards in his last four games, Kasiki has been targeted only ten times, two point five targets a game, and he has just a brutal Week thirteen matchup against the forty nine Ers, who have allowed three hundred and fifty six receiving yards to tight ends all season that works out to thirty two point four receiving yards per game. Kasiki is not
even the Dolphins' primary tight end. He basically split snapped evenly with Durham Smyth. Kasiki's snapshare on the year is fifty four percent, so not even a full time player, and he is in a really bad matchup. Has not been getting a lot of targets lately. Bet the under on Mike Kasiki with twenty one point five receiving yards.
So just to recap my favorite seven Week thirteen player props, Mike White over two hundred and forty one point five passing yards, Derrick Henry over eighty four point five rushing yards, Sakwon Barkley under seventy one point five rushing yards, Robert Woods under thirty six point five receiving yards, Corey Davis over thirty six point five receiving yards, George Pickens over forty four point five receiving yards, and Mike Kasiki under twenty one point five receiving yards. That is going to
do it for the Week thirteen. Pat fitz Morris player props. Good luck to you in Week thirteen. May all your bets come through and may it be a profitable week. Good luck everyone, we'll talk to you again next week. So long,