Welcome in everybody to betting pros. It's time to place your bets. This meet Joey Paid, Joe Pi Zapia, and it's time to look ahead for some of the early line value. In Week three in the NFL, we still got to Monday night games ahead of us, and of course we're always here Monday night football at five pm. Easter's got bogging myself. We're gonna take you through those games.
But it's time to already look ahead. A lot of injuries are gonna impact a lot of these games, say Kwan Barkley's injury, David Montgomery's injury, a whole lot of injuries, and maybe there's some opportunity where that lies. Of course, help me do it. Sam Hoppin is back again. We're seeing you what the Sammy Boys got for everybody today. Pat Fitzmorris is always joining me on the program to look ahead. And just a reminder, as you guys are all here watching the show on YouTube listening, make sure
you subscribe to the channel. That's how you do it, and click that bell till it goes ding for notifications because we're giving away free stuff here all the time. Let's start with the first game straight out of the gate. We got some controversy because well, the New York Football Giants have not gone off to the great start of the year. Certainly a butt kicking in the first game.
The second game, down considerably at halftime to the Arizona Cardinals on the road, granted, but still then of course the comeback victory, but at the cost of Saquon Barkley Pat fitz Morris. Here we go. The San Francisco forty nine Ers are ten point favorites in this game. I'm sure some of the Saquon news could even see this
line continue to grow. The total is forty five right now in this short week with eight without Saquon, is hard to make an argument for the Giants, and the forty nine Ers might be looking like the best team in the NFC. Your thoughts on any value here? Do you want to lock in this ten because it might grow in the days ahead?
You would think that ten points the forty nine Ers would look good as a favorite here, Joe. I mean, the forty nine Ers are one of the three I think elite teams in the NFC, the others being the Eagles and Cowboys. And we saw the Cowboys swab the deck with the Giants in Week one forty to nothing, you know, with the Giants being at home. So now the Giants have to go on the road. Stay on the road, I guess, since they were just in Arizona. But here's the thing. I could see this game being
played around the ten point mark. And I just got burned on a Thursday night game with a backdoor cover last week when I thought the Eagles were a great beat against the Vikings at minus six and a half, and you know, the Vikings score late to make it a six point game and I lose that bet. So I'm a little gun shy. And Thursday night football can be a little quirky. You know, we know this. So
maybe I don't know. Maybe the forty nine ers just aren't clicking offensively in Week three the way they have been so far. I'm not sure. I'm probably not going to play this game, although who am I kidding? It's a Thursday night staying alone game. I'm probably gonna end up playing this game.
Well, look, last week I locked in the early line with the Vikings before it moved, and it did, so I was happy about that Vikings the moment there at the end. But Sam, look, I think the more time people have to marry it on this and how bad the Giant have been to start the season. Let's be honest, this seems like a really tough road for them on this Thursday night game, especially having to go on the road. I like the ten. I want to lock it in. Now, what do you think it's tough?
I mean, I think the Saquon news is obviously going to impact this a little bit. I don't think he plays. The thing is New York has been pretty good this year at running the ball. There fourth in rushing success rate, while the San Francisco defense is thirtieth in success rate allowed on the ground. But again, I don't expect Saquan to play. I prefer the under here. I think this is a game where the Giants just really aren't going
to be able to score that much. Of New York Giants are allowing forty five percent pressure rate, which is the fourth worst, while the San Francisco defense has a forty one percent pressure rate. The Giants could be without Andrew Thomas and Ben Braidson again, so I think this could be a thirty to nothing blowout type game, which I guess would would lean me towards taking the points for the Niners. But I just don't think the Giants have anything to be able to push this game over.
I agree, I think the under is a really good point there. And this is worry about that Giants offense without Saquon, what that looks like with Matt Briden whoever else they decide to use running the football. And then look, I see this one being by the time we get to game time, like twelve and a half, Like, I think this is gonna be where it is, So I like san Fran at twenty ten. Now give me san Fran, give me the ten. Let's go. They're gonna beat up
on the Giants. Moving on to the next game. Here, as we start to transition onto the Sunday games, we have the Indianapolis Colts uncertainty there with Anthony Richardson inconcussion protocol. We'll see how things go ahead for him, but as of right now, traveling to Baltimore, this number on betting pros right now, so you can get Baltimore minus eight and a half over at bet MGM and sugar House plus seven and a half for the Indianapolis Colts. The
forty four and a half. Sam is where this number kind of lies if you like in for the upset. If Richardson is healthy, you can lock this in at plus three thirty. But it feels like this might be one we have to wait on some clarity. Gardner Minshew, though, I mean, is gonna be Gardner Minshew. He's going to have his moments obviously where he can certainly keep it competitive.
Do you think that he keeps you competitive enough here that you think the Colts can go in here and maybe keep this close with the Baltimore Ravens.
If Richardson is playing, I do think they can keep it close. That eight points is a lot for a Ravens team that has played well so far this year. They ranked sixth in success rate on offense and sixth and success rate allowed on defense. But I just think Anthony Richardson is so dynamic. Obviously the Ravens might know how to play it, given they have Lamar Jackson on the other side. I do think the over in this
game is intriguing. If we find out that Richardson is going to play at the Colts continue to play extremely fast, have the fifth highest no huddle rate, the third quickest seconds per play, So I like the over. I'm not touching the points yet without knowing what the status of Anthony Richardson is, makes.
A lot of sense. Fits what's your take on this game with the uncertainty of Richardson.
I generally like betting the Ravens at home, especially when I feel like they're the superior team. I just wonder, like, is there any value to getting this at eight points? Because what is the Colt's incentive to hurry back their franchise quarterback for a tough road game when they're not going anywhere? Like they have no designs in a playoff spot there ETA is twenty twenty four and beyond, So
I'm almost interested in grabbing this at eight. Like, I think the Ravens have a chance to cover it even if Richardson does play, but I think there's a pretty good chance the Colts exercise caution with Richardson and maybe hold him out a week now.
This is a very important game obviously to keep an eye on the lines, and the best way to do that, don't forget, is always using that BP app because we have the line alerts, so you could set the notifications for certain games. This would be one of them too, as things will fluctuate depending on the health of Richardson if Minschew's in. So set your game notifications and then once that line changes, you'll get the update notification right
to your phone Boom. You can make the bets, but again use the line alerts over on the VP app. It's very important. Let's get to the next bit of business here. The next game on the slate, the Tennessee Titans, coming off their first victory Cleveland, is going to play tonight on Monday night. As we're recording this in the morning on Monday. So far it looks like four and a half with Cleveland being the favorite. We'll see if
that makes any impact after tonight's game. For forty one and a half, you're getting this number somewhere on FANDUL and Sugarhouse in that range. Not surprising here, Fitz, We'll start with you on this one. Tennessee Titans looked much better. Tannehill looked much better. I know the Chargers are always a frustrating team, we know that. But the Cleveland defense I think is for real. I think we all agree. So how do you want to approach this one? Do you see any early value in this game.
I'm looking at the under, Joe. Yeah, two teams that like to run the ball a lot. Like I don't know how much I believe in the Titans defense overall, but I believe in the run defense, and we know the Browns want to run the ball. So I think it's two teams that are going to try to run quite a bit, and I don't know how successful they're going to be doing it. So yeah, the under is calling to me. I'm not really interested in the line. I just I don't like laying a lot of points
to a Mike Rabel team. I get nervous about that. And I do think the Browns are good, but I don't know, like the degree to which they are good, Like, I don't know if they're good like contend for conference championship or just good enough to maybe sneak into the playoffs.
To that point, Sam, the plus one to eighty money line right now on Tennessee is really what's intriguing me. Like this is almost two to one. You're getting on this, and I think this could be one of those games just like it teams like most as what have we learned about the Titans they're gonna play close games. That's the first two weeks of the seasons. What it told. It's abo how good they play, how bad they play, they're going to kind of be in it because they're
well coached. Does that for you mean that maybe people should start to pivot their attention to that money line number.
I'm on an island here. I like the Browns in this game. I think their defense is possibly a top five unit right now. Obviously have the game to play tonight, but I think the Tannehill we saw this past week against the Chargers is more the exception than what's going to be the rule this year with facing a what's a terrible Chargers defense, and I think there were a couple of coaching blunders from the Chargers side of things that let the Titans win that game. So I'd be
laying the points here With Cleveland. I think their offense still has some stuff to figure out, but I don't think Tennessee's defense is really that good that they can stifle the Browns offense. So I'm laying the Browns year with the points. Might wait a little bit just to see if this number creeps down to maybe minus three, but I think at minus four, it's still a solid value right now.
The Denver Broncos. Maybe they would be to and oh if he only played half of a game of football, But it seems like a second half struggle bus there for the Denver Broncos. They seem to have a hard time there keeping any leads. And of course now they have to go to Miami this week, could take on Tyreek Kill two thousand. They might be without Chris o'lave I'm just excuse not Chris Olavea. Jalen Wattle, pardon me. At some point this week we'll see more information coming
out there on his injury. But the Denver Broncos, regardless, it's been a very frustrating I think opening to the season for them. They're going to go on the road in this game. Sam the number so far six and a half over at sugar House. Forty six and a half is the total. It's hard to necessarily think that you're not going to get Miami in this victory here. But do you think that Denver is going to continue to get better as the season goes on here and learn from some of these mistakes or is this a
Miami blowout? Basically from what the lines are telling us early on.
I do think this team is that the Broncos that is going to get better. But this Dolphins offense is just so good man. I mean their first or second in EPA per play, success rate, EPA per drive, all the passing stats as well, like they are clicking on all cylinders. I don't think the Broncos defenses is nearly as bad as they've shown, but they're also not I don't think good enough to be holding back this Dolphins offense.
I love the Dolphins in this spot. I think you could pare it well with the over because the Broncos are have a seemingly competent offense right now, at least that's what they show. Russell Wilson had some of those prototypical deep pall deep ball airwell passes against the Commanders this past week, so I I do think that this game could be a shootout potential, but expect Miami to come away with the victory.
Pat. What's yours perspective here? It does feel like Miami is a lot to handle and defensively, Look, Denver Key's given up a lead, so let's just call it what it is. As good as their defense is supposed to be on paper, they're giving up points and the commanders, they give it up points to the Raiders, you know, teams that we don't think they of as elite offenses necessarily. So what's your take on this one?
Yeah, that's the interesting thing. Denver had one of the better pass defenses in the league in twenty twenty two, and they have not looked that way. They managed to make Sam Howell look like Joe thisman in Week two. So Denver has been disappointing. But I don't think they're one of the truly bad, truly odious teams of the NFL. They are not like dregs of the league bad. So seven is uh? It feels like a lot to lay here.
I'm probably just staying away from either side, and as much as I want to like the under here, thinking that Denver might be equipped to, if not totally short circuit the Miami passing attack, at least slow it down a little bit, especially if Waddell doesn't play. I don't know, based on what we've seen and based on what we saw them allow Sam Howell to do in week two, I don't know if I can go there either. So I'm probably not going to touch this game.
The next one here the New York Jets come back home take on the New England Patriots. Very low total here, thirty eight is this number here which I can understand. The last time these two teams met up, the final last November was ten to three. The time before that twenty two to seventeen. So I think this is why you're getting that thirty eight number. The New England Patriots are two point road favorites in this game. Here fits I agree that the New Englan patriotshould be favored in
this game. I look at that thirty eight though, and that is a very low number. So do you think that is too low that we should be betting that over now? Or do you think maybe these two offenses really are going to live up to the expectations of what we said so far. I think the Pats, though, are getting better. I really do. What do you think? What do you take away the last two weeks of both of these teams?
I want to smash the under here, Joe. Thirty eight. I mean it feels like I think it's I'm finding it hard to see how these teams get this game past thirty. I mean, I really do believe in the Jets defense. I think it's legit, and I think the Patriots offense has its limitations. And what did you tell me, Joe before backstage when we were talking about this game and I was kind of surprised the Patriots were road favorites.
You reminded me about well Bill Belichick and you know, sub tier below average quarterbacks and maybe Zach Wilson's history against the Patriots.
Yeah, lots of turnovers, three interceptions in that one game last year, and then a whole lot of other problems in the other one. But that's that's the thing, Sam, Like, you know, you're looking at what historically Bill Belichick has done to some of those lesser to your quarterbacks or youthful quarterbacks, and he has given them so many confusing looks that it does make it very difficult. And I know, you know the Jets were going to be heavy underdogs
last week against Dallas. We all knew that. So in your opinion, do they get home and can they pull off an upset here?
I mean, I think the Jets certainly can pull off the upset. One of my favorite picks for this game is teasing the new York Jets out to plus eight. That gets you through the three and seven. Again, you've talked about how this is a super low total, which means the game is likely going to be extremely close. The Jets defense is for real in my opinion, that the Cowboys played pretty well against them this past week,
but again they're they're just stopping. They stopped the Buffalo Bills, who again played excellent this past week, and so I the only thing I wonder about with betting the under is New York or excuse me, New England has played pretty fast this year, and that may be because of the game scripts that they've been in, having to push the pace try to catch up against the Dolphins and the Eagles. But I don't think their offense is peak
right now. I think there's still room for improvement. So I think they just keep it close and this could go either way.
All right. By the way, everybody, if you're watching on the YouTube channel or if you're listening, make sure you go over and you subscribe to the channel, because when you subscribe and drop a comment below, you could win a James Cook Buffalo Bill's autograph jersey thanks to us here, a betting pros remember, just drop a comment, subscribe and click the bell till it goest dings. You know, if you're the big winner, that's all you have to do in order to get that jersey. We like giving away
free stuff. Giveaway an Aaron Jones jersey, giving away a James Cook jersey. So go get in there, get that jersey. It should be yours. Go make sure you subscribe today. Let's get to the next game. Here on our list the Houston Texans with CJ. Stroud going against the Jacksonville Jaguars. And this is an interesting one, Sam, I've got my eye on this one. I like what I've seen that c J. Stroud is competing. He is trying to get
out there and compete with what he's got. He might not have a lot, but I think this is an interesting work in progress. I don't think he's got any quitting him. The number here is forty five and a half over on FanDuel. Currently the spread for this game you're looking at you can get plus nine on DK for the Houston side, minus nine and a half on sugar House. And this is why you use the VP app because you can make sure you're getting all the best lines wherever you go. So you know Jacksonville had
a tall task ahead of them last week. Do you think Jacksonville just completely rolls Houston or can Houston actually keep this one a little closer than that nine? In your opinion, Sam.
I do think they can keep it close. The Jaguars have a twenty four percent pressure rate, which is thirty thirtieth in the league on defense, and CJ. Stroud's numbers with and without pressure have been extremely stark. He's been much better with a clean pocket, obviously, but it is very, very bad when he is under pressure. So if Jacksonville came get home, I think CJ. Stroud has an opportunity
to pick apart this Jaguars defense. In the game this past Sunday, the Jaguars went I think zero for four in the red zone, like they were just terrible in the red zone, couldn't finish drives, and I think they'll be able to do that against Houston's defense. So I think Houston can keep it close. I think this is another opportunity again to possibly tease tease Jacksonville down to minus two and a half.
Okay, interesting, Now, I do agree that Houston could keep this close. Pat I'm not looking for Houston from pulling off the upset here, but I do think there's something for the Jags. You know, you come out there, you win that big first game on the road, and then
you have the Kansasity Chiefs. I feel like they could be a little bit of a letdown here in this one where you start to relax a little bit, saying, ah, Houston's come into town, and you roll your eyes a little bit, and this game ends up being a little closer than you think. I like the nine on the Houston side, But what are your thoughts on this one? Pat?
Yeah, I mean the Jaguars struggled for part of Week one with the Colts, and then you know, the offense did not look crisp against the Chiefs. We thought we might get a shootout in that game, didn't get one. To Sam's point about CJ. Stroud's the stark difference between him under pressure and with a clean pocket. I'll be interested to see what the injury report looks like for the Texans and their offensive line. Like they've had a
lot of banged up offensive linemen. If they start to get some of those guys back, maybe that's an argument to be made for taking the points here, because I don't know if the jag should be really giving nine points to anyone outside of maybe the Arizona Cardinals right now and CJ. Stroud overall. You know, even if the results haven't been as good with pressure, he's been impressive, like he is the real deal. So I don't know this. It seems like it's a little bit much to me.
Okay, let's move on to the next one. Here, the Detroit Lions came home the conquering heroes, but unfortunately went home with a loss in overtime to the Seattle Seahawks. The Atlanta Falcons, however, they are too and zero. They're going to go to Detroit.
Now.
Detroy is going to be without David Montgomery in this game. We know that, so you're going to see maybe some more Jamier Gibbs working or some Reynolds working, So it's gonna be a little different committee there. The Falcons are four and a half point underdogs here, which I think sounds right to me. Fitz forty six and a half is the number on this one gets some really great
moments from John Robinson again. Last week, Raiders starting to look a little bit more comfortable throwing the football again. It's not perfect, but starting to look a little bit more confident as things go by. Do you think that the Lions just roll and bounce back here against the Falcons or do you see any value here where the Falcons maybe give the Lions all they can handle.
I think the Falcons could give the Lions all they can handle. I mean, the Lions just got diced up by a Seattle Seahawks offense that was missing its two starting offensive tackles like that was kind of an alarming defensive performance by the Lions. So I actually sort of like the over in this one. And I kind of like the Falcons in any game against a non elite team where they're getting more than a field goal, which
is the case here. I mean, I think the Falcons are just built to play in these close games and you know, keep it close, and I think they're going to do that here in Detroit.
Well, I think whenever you have explosive playmakers too, like when you have the b Jeon Robinson's of the world, you have the Jamior Gibbs, like all of a sudden, these totals are never say forty six and a half is a good number, but I'm kind of where fits is here. I like this over in the forty six and a half minus one ten, you can get this a fan duel. What are your thoughts though about this forty six and a half in this game, Sam, and the spread as well.
I think the over is the play here as well. Both defenses have shown a little bit of spunk. Obviously, the Lions basically, you know, shutting down the Chiefs offense. But I think the there was obviously there were a lot of drops that we talked about last week, but then got diced up again. To Pat's point, against the Seahawks, the Falcons defense again played well against rookie CJ. Stroud, but then played a not so great against future Hall of Famer Jordan Love. And I think Atlanta I.
Can just slip that in there, future hall of Fame. I told Pat this morning when we did the Waiver Wire Show and Fantasy Bros. I said, I think the Packers are going to win this division. Pat, I have not bet anybody yet. I think the Packers are going to figure that out. So yeah, maybe the Hall of Fame. But I like where you're going here. Go ahead, keep going, Sammy.
In any case, I do think Green Bay lost that game Sunday more than Atlanta ended up winning the game. So I'm Onlons minus four here. I think their offense is legit. I think they can again tear apart this this Falcons defense despite some of the additions they've made this offseason. So again the over and Detroit minus four right now, for me, that's.
A good pick there. I like where Sam's heads at all. Right, make sure when you're making picks two that you're getting something out of it. So if you haven't already joined the NFL contest, I keep telling everybody to do it. It's a great fun thing. It's free, and you're getting free stuff just for picking games every week. You don't do anything to just make picks. That's it. Bettingpros dot
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it's fun. Don't you like free stuff? Everybody likes free stuff. Sam, Sam loves free stuff. I mean all the free stuff. Sam's got a whole closet in his house just full of all the free stuff since he came over and started working for us, all the free stuff we've been given. All right, let's get to the next game here on our list. Here after Detroit, we go to Green Bay. I'm here with the two cheeseheads. This would be fun. So green Bay at home. Hall of Famer to be.
Jordan Love and Sam put it is going to come home, and I think to a very warm reception. I think there's gonna be a nice moment for him. They're going to take on the New Orleans Saints. Green Bay is favored by two in this game minus one ten over on DK. You got forty three and a half is the numbers. So Sam, put your cheese hat down for a second and give us the skinny. From the data standpoint, can the Green Bay Packers go ahead and win this football game.
I think that they can, you know, you remove home field advantage, and it's basically these two teams. Even from a power ratings perspective. Obviously, the Packers' offense has looked really good. Matt lafour has been great at scheming receivers open for Jordan Love. Jordan Love, I believe has the highest total EPA in the league, or is at least close to the top right now, and I think that's a lot of credit to Matt Lafleur. Now we have the Saints playing tonight, so we'll get another look at
how they play against the Carolina Panthers. But their first game they played pretty well. I think the one interesting note here is the Packers have over a fifty percent pressure rate on defense. The Saints offensive line did not hold up well last week with a forty seven percent pressure rate allowed. So I think if they can get Derek Carr under pressure and locked down again a trio of great receivers on the Saints, then that is going to be the key for the Packers coming away with a victory.
Fitz, if Christian Watson is active for this game, finally, who has not played in the first two, does that make any impact on your thoughts on trying to get some early value on this, Like, do you want to lock in Green Bay with the minus two now? And then if you get Watson back, does the line move you think to two and a half or maybe even three?
Maybe that offsets the fact that this is a Jamal Williams revenge game.
Joe, Yeah, for Jamal Williams, that's that's it.
Yeah, I'm not sure the why in return would even move this line like a half point. I mean, I as much.
As I wanted to Dynamicmaker though he's really exposive, like I don't. You might be right, it probably doesn't, but I think it should, and I think that's something people should consider.
Yeah, as much as I want to have a strong take on this game as a Packers fan, like I think the line and the total are spot on, I just don't see any value.
All right, You see any value in Buffalo Washington right now? Buffalo Bills got back on track. They got a w Washington undefeated Washington two, and oh how about them Apples. They're at home, but they're six boyd underdogs on DraftKings right now. Forty five and a half is the number on fan duel. Brian Robinson's looked really good. I wish I had more shares. I thought it was going to be a lackluster split backfield. But it doesn't seem like that.
It seems like Brian Robinson's the guy Buffalo seems to I've done a better job of starting to, you know, hand the ball off a little bit more. You got Cook getting involved, you got Olatavious Burray's. I mean, Harry, you got everybody kind of touching the football right now. So can Buffalo go in here on the road again the Washington Commanders and go ahead and keep this six? Or do you think this one is more on the Washington side?
Yeah, you're the nice preamble for this game, Joe. And I'm looking at my notes on Buffalo at Washington with the line in total, and my notes say, nah, so yeah, I mean, I don't see any value at all in this game. Another one where I think the line in total are pretty spot.
On, Sam, I actually want to wait on this one. That's my perspective is I think the longer we wait, the more confidence in the market on Buffalo grows, and I think this number gets bigger, and then the bigger gets then I want to bet the Washington side. But what do you think?
Yeah, I hate being on record with this, but I kind of like Washington here. I mean, their defense has played pretty well.
I'm wearing the colors here. It might be Hogwarts I'm wearing here, but still it's the colored But you're with me. You're not on an island alone. Sam.
It's fine, and they might need a little magic from Sam Howell to come away with a potential upset here, but I think their defense is again, Washington's defense is good enough to keep this close. Their offense has been spunky again I use that word again, but they've been frisky in these games. Sam Howell through a lovely dart to Terry McLaurin in the end zone this past week against Denver, and have been able to move the ball again against Denver and Arizona. So take that for what
it's worth. But are throwing the ball quite a bit. Their defense is getting a ton of pressure as well, and I think getting pressure on Josh Allen is going to be huge because that's when you get him scrambling out of the pocket making some of the bonehead plays that he has made in the past, not having any regard for his health whatsoever. And that's going to That's what's going to be key for Washington is potentially forcing some of those turnovers that Allen has made in the past.
I'm where Sam is on this one, but I'm gonna wait. I'm gonna be patient. I don't think the values early on in this game. I'm gonna wait a little while and let this number get bigger because I think that you could eat see a scenario where everybody's just buying back into Buffalo after one week and I'm still not buying back into the Buffalo defense. Like, I'm still just not super impressed by them. The Los Angeles Chargers also
not impressive. They're oh in two so with the Minnesota Vikings, so somebody theoretically has to win this football game, although ties do happen. This one right now is the Vikings plus one at home. You're getting even money right now on FanDuel and the minus one and a half excuse me, the minus one and a half on the Los Angeles Chargers.
They are favored on the road home dogs here Minnesota at plus one pardon me, fifty one and a half is the number for this one, which is a high number, but I think they can get there considering the way these two defenses have played so far this year, especially that Vikings defense. Ooh wee, that's been a problem. Sam. I like the Vikings to win this game. Give me the Vikings on the money line at plus one oh seven,
give me the over. I'm attacking this now because I'm worried that the over continues to grow as the week continues to go. Your thoughts.
I don't have a pick for this game right now. I think later the week, when we get some more markets opening, I'd rather take an alternate spread on one of these teams to potentially win by a touchdown. This is going to be an extremely highly variable game. They're going to go back and forth. Neither team has been great at producing pressure, so if one team gets ahead,
the other team should be able to climb back. I think again, this is another great game to target some potential in game lines with that variability, So I'm looking later in the week for some alternate spreads, probably on the Los Angeles side. I think I trust their offense a little bit more than Minnesota's.
There's no trust at all in this game. Fits. I don't think I don't think you should trust either of these teams, which I understand makes it hard to invest. So this is just on instincts of Look, Minnesota should not have lost that first game at home. I don't think they're gonna lose this in the game at home, and I think the Chargers. It's hard for the Chargers not to hear that narrative of like, you just can't elevate yourself to that next level that you need to
if you're the Charger. And Staley's job, I think is going to be in danger when they go oh to three, and I think they're going to be oh and three. But maybe you disagree. What do you think about Minnesota Los Angeles? I know this one's tight. Maybe the fifty one and a half is the best thing. You just go over and say, these two teams just make too many mistakes on defense.
Joe's a lifelong Green Bay Packers fan. I'm morally obligated to hate the Minnesota Vikings. That said, I have already bet the Vikings in this game, but you know, US Bank Stadium a tough place to play. It is the Week one result, notwithstanding, with the Vikings stubbing their toe against the Buccaneers, and I think they're gonna want to wash that bad taste out of their mouth in this one. The Chargers are dead last in the league in defenseive
DDA right now. And we actually saw the Minnesota Vikings offensive line hold up pretty well against the best pass rush in the league in Week two when they played at Philadelphia, and even without starting center Garrett brad Berry, even with starting tackle Christian Darisaw, their best offensive linemen playing at less than one hundred percent, they mostly kept Kirk Cousins pretty clean in that game. And you know that allowed the Vikings to hang with the Eagles in
a tough environment. So I think they're going to put up points on this defense. I have to wonder about the Chargers morale. They could easily be two, and oh they're zero to two, and I think they're you know, bad head coach has a lot to do with that. So I wonder if the Esprie de Corps is going to be there for the Chargers this week. So yeah, I mean, and then Joe added to the fact that the Vikings have had the extra prep time after playing the Thursday night game in Week two, So I do
like the Vikings here, and I like the over. I think there are going to be points in this game because we know the Vikings do have a pretty shaky defense, and I think they're going to be these two teams could march up and down the field.
I can, let me tell you. I know the Vikings want to play a whole lot of man, but I just think that's what's going to also be the undoing of this over this game. Like it's just I don't know, it's just my feeling on this, but I'm glad you're with me on the Vikes here. So let's get to the next one. Seattle now one in one there home taking on the Carolina Panthers. This one I do like
a lot early. I want to lock this four and a half in on the Seattle side at minus one ten on DK because Pat, I'm just look, I think Seattle always in a tough place to play. We talked about that. I think Seattle just kind of maybe didn't take the Rams as seriously as they should have out of the gate. And now, you know, coming off a big road win in overtime, I am not feeling the Panthers this year. You know that forty two and a half is this
number for the total. You can find that over on FanDuel on the betting pros app fits your thoughts on Seattle Carolina.
I'm with you, Joe, I thought this line was going to be around six. I think there's value to Seattle.
How about you, Sam, what do you think you see any early value here to lock in Seattle? You with me?
And Fitz, I'm with you both. Seattle has the eighth highest explosive pass rate, second highest passing success rate. Their offense looked a lot better against this Detroit Lions defense, and think they can have success against Carolina as well.
And by the way, Joe short, short week arrest for Carolina, and then they have to go all the way across another point.
Yep, great point, great point. Chicago Bears also talk about losing Shriek. Things are not going well for the Bears. There might be a coaching change coming there sooner than later as well. Forty nine and a half is the number at FanDuel minus one oh five. Then twelve and a half is the spread. You can get that over on DraftKings. Look, Sam, this should be an absolute smash by the Chiefs, but so far the Chiefs seem to
me like a team that's still not in sync. I don't know if it's the new play calling, all the drops, whatever it is, if it's just Matt Nagy's presence just around them, but it is the Bears, in my goodness, they have been having some issues on that old line too. Now Chris Jones is back Swalvin. Half is a big number, But do you think it's the right number and you think Kansas City can still cover it?
I do. I saw a stat this morning. This is from NFL on Fox. There have been teams to lose twelve straight games whilst running surrendering twenty five plus points in every single game in NFL history, and that is the Chicago Bears dating back to the end of last year. As well. Their defense is horrendous. I think this is a perfect get right spot for the Chiefs offense. Chris Jones is going to manhandle this Bears offensive line justin fields looks out of sorts, just holding onto the ball
way too long. So I hit twelve and a half. Thirteen is a lot to lay. But this is potentially the best team against the worst team in the league. So I think you got to lay the points with Kansas City here and just expect them to be firing on all cylinders on Sunday.
Keep expecting them to fire on cylinders, Pat, but they haven't yet. So are you concerned at all? As this twelve and a half too big for your taste?
I mean, I do hate laying this many points, especially with the Chiefs, who sometimes have a bad Habit is a big favorite of being the cat that plays with the mouse, like not putting away the teams they should put away.
That's good, But.
I'm still taking the Chiefs. I mean, the Bears are a hot mess on both sides of the ball. Like, I want to lock this in a twelve and a half before it gets to fourteen.
Especially in the arrowhead. All right, Dallas Cowboys go to and oh they are going to Arizona another twelve and a half spot here. Forty three and a half is the number over on DK So pat this one. I'm a little bit more confident in with the twelve and a half, although Arizona has shown some moxie. Maybe that's the best way to put it. So what do you think any early value here? Or is this a hard pass? Yeah?
Again, the Cardinals have no incentive to win. So going against an elite team, I'm laying the points. And it was almost as if the Cardinals realized they were in danger of winning that game against the Giants and we two and said, wait, what are we doing? We're tanking. So yeah, with the talent gap between these two teams, yes, I want Dallas and I'm willing to lay anything under two touchdowns.
All right, Sam, how about you another big spread here? Do you think this is investable? Yet?
I'm a little bit more worried about this spread. I think again, Arizona's offense is, to your point, shown a little bit of boxy. This Cowboys defense, though, is just smothering opposing offenses. They're just so good. I think with the lower total, this could be a game where, you know, it just doesn't move that fast on either side of the ball. There aren't a ton of points scored, and so you know Dallas comes away with maybe a ten point victory and isn't able to cover.
Now, the next one on this list here in the early look ahead is Las Vegas and Pittsburgh. They're in Vegas. Vegas is one point home underdog here at minus one nine. You get Pittsburgh at minus one and a half right now over on bet MGM tell you the truth. You know, the forty four and a half right now, Okay, that's the best number you can get minus one ten. But Sam, I'm looking at that plus one oh four on Fandel and that plus money on the Vegas Raiders to win
this game. That's where I'm leaning now. But I'm really hands off on this game until I see what Steelers team shows up tonight, because they got their buck kicked at home by the forty nine Ers, and we all thought they were going to be competitive. They were not. So I am in the wait and see category on this particular game. How about you? This is tough.
You know, we don't know what the status of Jacoby Myers or DeVante Adams is right now heading into the week. Like, if both of those guys are out, then I give it to the Steelers and I want that side. But if they are both active, then I'm for sure on the Raiders. So this for me is a stay away right now knowing that because if they are both healthy and able to play, then I'm definitely on the Raiders. Their past offense has looked pretty good, especially against the
Broncos and the Bills this season. So I like the Raiders, but that's contingent on their two best wide receivers playing in the game.
Well, look, if they're two best wide receivers are outfits and the Steelers don't play well, I still think this Vegas money line will continue to grow, which means maybe I'm just going to continue to wait on it. But what do you see about this? And was this wait and see what Pittsburgh Steelers team team shows up tonight? Yeah?
I the Steelers are a mystery to me right now, Joe. So I don't want to bet either side here, but I am interested in the under, not only the Raiders wide receiver injuries, but the Steelers. I don't think they'll have Deontay Johnson back for this game, and we don't know what George Pickens status is. So with all these injured wide receivers, I saw forty four point total on DraftKings this morning and I grabbed it.
All right, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are two and oh. The Philadelphia Eagles are two and oh. Right now, Tampa Bay is six and a half point home dogs here. Minus one oh five on DraftKings, you can get minus seven on the Philly side at Sugarhouse. Forty five is the total for this one. Look fits, I know Tampa has two wins. I don't care. I like the Eagles in this game.
Your thoughts, Yeah, I actually think we're getting some value with the Eagles, and maybe so. There is some misplaced faith in Baker Mayfield right now because he hasn't thrown an interception and he's only been sacked once in the first two weeks. But oh, by the way, he was
playing the Vikings and the Bears. Now he's going to play against the Eagles and the best pass rush in the league, which after a disappointing game against the Vikings where they really didn't get after Kirk Cousins and sort of let the Vikings do what they wanted to do with the passing game. I think things are going to be a lot different this week. I think the Eagles are just going to take it to the Buccaneers offense, and I do like Philly.
That's two out of three.
Sam, you on board, Let's make it three for three. I think you're here we go. You're selling the Bucks at their highest right now that they got extremely lucky with the turnovers in Week one, against Minnesota and then played the Bears last week. So I'm on the Eagles minus seven.
I agree. I think this is when you jump on early too, because I think some of the sharper people are going to be on it and that line is going to make some movement. Last one here, Oh, this is a tough one. Cincinnati Bengals oh and two, just like last year, and then we get loled into a fall sense of security. The Rams are going to go to Cincinnati. Six and a half is the number here. Cincinnati is favored by six and a half. Forty six and a half is the total? Sam, Is this line wrong?
I think it is. I mean, I think if you get the Rams on the other side of three at three and a half or better, I'm taking it. I mean, I know the Bengals offense looked a little better in the second half against Baltimore on Sunday, but the Rams, you know, beat the Seahawks out right in a game that shocked everyone. They were able to remain competitive against the forty nine ers. Again, what team we mentioned as potentially the best in the NFC. And I you know,
the Bengals defense hasn't really played that great either. They have just a twenty seven percent pressure rate on defense and a forty eight and a half percent success rate allowed, which is twenty seventh. So I like the Rams. I mean ride with Puka Nakua, I guess and hope that he can diice up this Bengals secondary.
Fitz, where are you at with this one? Because this one feels like maybe the Rams aren't getting enough credit, maybe the Bengals are getting too much.
Yeah, I mean, maybe I'm walking into a giant mouse trap here, Joe. But I am a Wisconsin native, so I'm always going to go for that cheese. The Bengals have not shown us much this year, and the Rams have been surprisingly plucky. Like six and a half feels like way too much, especially if Joe Burrow isn't totally healthy.
Yeah, that's the thing. You gotta watch this Burrow injury. We'll see what happens and say on top of all of that too. With our Fantasy Pros News desk, you can say on top of all those injuries and again, download the new VP app. That way you can set the game notifications. You know exactly where the lines are moving on some of these really important games that we laid out here for you, and while you're on the app, join the NFL contest or go to betting pros dot
com slash contest and drop a comment below. Subscribe to Betting Pros YouTube and you just might win yourself at James cook autographed jersey. That'll do it for us, but the story of the game goes on for Sam and Pat. I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids,