Free Picks for EVERY Week 2 NFL Game (Ep. 332)

Welcome in everybody in the betting pros. It's time to place your bets. It is me Joey p joe Pisipia, and it's time already if you can believe it. To look ahead to week two in the NFL. Some fun things happening in week one, some not some fun things as well. Got that Cleveland upset that felt really good. The Pittsburgh Steeler one did not go well. Oh God. Speaking of not going well, how about those Giants. That was a tough loss there on Sunday night football in

The Bengals getting six first downs, Joe, Like, I did not see that one coming at all, you know, Like, I thought that was going to be a pretty close game and just a completely one sided affair. So like the Bengals are a team, I have no idea what to make of as we head into Week two, right now?

All right, Sam, your week one obviously tumultuous, I'm sure like most people's. But was there one thing that was really surprising to you that you just did not see coming to kind of hit you in the face out of nowhere?

I mean, it was the Rams over the Seahawks. For me, I didn't think the Rams had any shot of putting up more than ten points against the Seahawks defense, and they just put it on them, even without Cooper Cups.

So that was pretty shocking to me.

And then the Seahawks offense not really clicking like we had seen it last year.

Yeah, so a lot of things to get through and obviously looking at we too, we still got one more game to play tonight. But that's old news, that's history. It's time to get ahead of the lines and for you to stay ahead of the lines too. Make sure you download the Betting Pros app. That's the way to do that, and you can also make sure you get the lapp the app excuse me, line alerts as well,

Yeah, I mean the line feels about right what it should be at But I think I'm inclined to lay the points here, Joe, And maybe you were a little more surprised by that Vikings toast stubbing in Week one than I was, But they are just they were so much worse than their twenty twenty two record. I mean, they were eleven to zero and one score games in twenty twenty two, which will never see happen again. We'll never see a team have that kind of record and

Than they did in Week one.

They were out gained by one hundred and thirty one yards by the Patriots, still came away with the w but I think they can clean things up and become more of the well oiled machine we saw down the stretch last season, So I'm inclined to lay the points. I also kind of like the over because I think the Eagles are going to get it together on offense this week.

Well, that was what I was going to bring up here, Sam, because the Eagles only had one offensive touchdown yesterday against the Patriots. Now, Patriots defense is always gonna come ready to play. You know, it was raining too up in Foxborough. A lot of factors, Tom Brady Day, all the things happening. But do you think maybe the seven and a half is giving the Eagles too much credit because that offense did not look great out of the gate here in Week one.

I don't think it's giving them too much credit.

I mean, last year we saw the Ladelphia and Minnesota play in primetime, and we all know how that disaster turned out for Minnesota. So I think that line is about right. I'm probably not touching it because I do think that Minnesota has, you know, a chance with potentially Philadelphia's offense sleeping a little bit, maybe could wake up this Thursday night. But I really like the overend this game.

All right, Green Bay and Atlanta the next one on the docket here. We still have some time to get some clarity about what's going on with Aaron Jones that injury. As we mentioned before, so far, it looks like you're getting this number somewhere between one one and a half. Obviously, on the Green Bay side of things, Jordan Love did look good in that game. The total for this number right now is around forty and a half of some

I'm going to try to take my green Bay bias out of this and look at the fact that Atlanta's defenses is much better than Chicago's, and so I think that's what will keep this game closer. I do think that the under could probably be in play here, even though it is pretty low. I think it's sitting right around forty points right now, and it could just be one of those grinded out games with two offenses that have inexperienced quarterbacks against defenses that played pretty well.

In Week one.

The Packers defense played better than I think a lot of people expected, being able to hold that Bears offense to just twenty points.

Get the pick six as.

Well, so I slightly lean the Packers on the side just knowing that I expect Aaron Jones to be able to play. I think they didn't rush him back in the game Sunday because they had the game in hand at that point, So I think hopefully having Christian Watson back this week as well would be huge for that offense too.

All right, so as the Packers may or may not be healthy this week, Pat, you've seen any early value on this line here in this game in Atlanta?

Yeah, so, just before we started recording the show, the Packers were minus one on DraftKings, and I think that there would only be one way this line would move if Aaron Jones were to be ruled out and like it would go to the Falcons. I think they would be even money at worst, maybe favored if that happened. Sam mentioned how well the Packers' defense played, and we're both Packers fans, Yes, they did play really well against

They just run the ball too much.

If anything, I would take the over, but I don't think I'm going to play it here.

Yeah, the under sounds interesting, especially with that pace of play and how run heavy they were, and you have to imagine that would carry over again this week at home too with Algier and Jean Robinson. The Bears are going to travel to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Bucks go home conquering heroes of Minnesota minus two and a half. Here on the Bucks side, they are favorites. Forty three and a half is basically that number you're getting on this pat. I'm gonna ask you this straight up.

It seems that way, Joe.

And normally one of my favorite bets is the team coming off a bitter defeat against the team that's fat and happy coming off a satisfying victory. But I was so thoroughly unimpressed with the Bears passing game and the design of it yesterday. Like, screen passes are great to dial up, but when you're throwing eighty percent of you know, eighty percent of your playbook is screen passes, they're not

Yeah, I can understand that this one has a lot of curiosity to it, you know, the Bears coming off that that tough loss year, the Buccaneers coming off a huge, unexpected win. To me, this is one of those dangerous trap games where people just automatically will start buying it on the Tampa Bay Bucaneers. And it feels the lines telling us that, but Sam, should we be listening?

I mean, I think Chicago is the pick here. There looks like they're right around minus two and a half, heavily favored towards that and then minus three at some books, if you can get excuse me, that's for Tampa Bay. If Chicago is plus three, I think I'd take that they have, in my opinion, the better quarterback than Tampa Bay. They on the flip side of the Minnesota turnovers, were the beneficiary of those turnovers from Minnesota. So I think this is a bit of an overreaction to a one

Speaking of overreactions, the Detroit Lyons went in on Thursday night kicked off the season with a huge upset win over the Kansasley Chiefs and defending champions five and a half points. They are favored now over the Seattle Seahawks, who lost at home to the Los Angeles Rams, and a lot of people did not think that was gonna help Pens. So a lot of again odd circumstances here in some of these Week two games, this being one of them. So the Lions five and a half point favorites.

This is what I'm not quite sure about right now. Seattle lost both of their tackles during the game on Sunday. That said, I don't think Detroit's offense was at its peak performance and think they could really push it against Seattle this week like we saw Los Angeles do yesterday. So I think if I had to choose one, it would be Detroit mine with the points. But it's it's close right now, and I think I would stay away right now.

Okay, Pat, are you staying away right now from this line of waiting to see where things go?

I am, Joe, I'm staying away. It's another case of a team coming off a bitter loss versus a team fat and happy after a big win.

But that happened with extra time off too.

That's the saying that, right The Lions have some extra prep time. As Sam mentioned, Seattle's got some key infrastructure type injuries, so I'm probably going to avoid this one. Like it's a game where I want to bet Seattle, but I just don't have the confidence to do it now.

Pat, barring catastrophic injuries, I'm not going to take too much out of tonight's game, the Monday night game that we have ahead of us here when it comes to the Buffalo Bills. So far as the Buffalo Bills are nine and a half point favorites at home against the Raiders, so as long as Josh Allen and the Bills are intact when they come home, I don't really care what happens to this game. I know there's gonna be a

I think it is, especially if the Bills have a big week one victory over a division rival. I could see them having a letdown game in Week two at home against the Raiders, a game they probably think they can just show up for and win.

Yeah, that makes a lot of sense, Sam, when you're looking at this too. Again, the nine and a half is a big number here. Do you think you wait on this one and see if the Bills put a hurt and on the Jets and it gets even bigger, and then maybe take the Raiders side to cover.

I don't know that there is a game outcome tonight that will drastically change things from the Bill's perspective, barring a massive injury, like you said, whether it's to God forbid, Josh Allen or someone else on the offense. But it's it is such a big line to lay this early in the season, where again we saw some crazy things happen in Week one. Crazy things are going to happen again in week two, and so I don't want either

Now, okay, And just so everybody knows too. You know, as you continue to make these look ahead bets here, if you do see things that you like and you want to get in on them, make sure you're seeking all your sportsbooks to Betting Pros. That's how you get it done. That's how you get the best lines here. Because there will be movement after tonight's game. You want

I think that the Chargers go in and lay it on them. I think the Titans showed this offseason drafting well, levis what they sort of think of Ryan Tannehill long term. Obviously this is a one game sample from from this year, but he did not look great at all. And the Chargers defense is nothing to write home about. They got blasted by Tua and the Dolphins yesterday. But I just think the Chargers are going to be able to put

Pat, this is one again. On paper, it looks pretty obvious. I know they're you know, the hole underdog is something we always love to go for. But did you see anything in that Titans game yesterday that gave you confidence that they can pull off an upset here against the Chargers at home?

Oh? Boy, Joe, I sure didn't.

Tannehill looked every bit as bad as the stat line would suggest.

The Titans offensive line.

A lot of people thought it would be the worst in the league, and I see no reason to dispute that assessment after what we saw in Week one, and it just seems like the Chargers would have superior firepower.

But that said, I.

Cannot bring myself to bet against Mike Vrabel at home, a Mike Rabel coach team at home, Like I just I can't do it. I do think there's a chance that Vrabel can turn this into a mud wrestling match and you bring the Chargers down to the Titans level. So I'm probably gonna avoid this one. It just gives me a queasy feeling betting on the Chargers as a road dug here. And we know the Chargers tortured history, right somehow this is going to be a close game and they're gonna find a way.

To look like this, And that's what I'm always so scaped to go with the Chargers when they're obvious favorites or just it just never seems to work out when it's too good to be true for them. And speaking of stay in the mud, we might as well just you know, hang out there and talk about the Texans taking on the Cults here. Texans are at home again, this number kind of fluctuating. It seems like the Texans are one point in some spots. Again, this line is

Oh, look at this show.

We're early in the season and we're on the same page already. We didn't even talk about this pre show and you mentioned it. The only thing I would touch in this game would be beyonder and especially with the Houston offensive line so banged up. I think they were down three starters yesterday and it kind of showed on offense against the Ravens. Like Stroud played better than I thought he would considering the state of his offensive line. But yeah, Richardson has banged up like this is just

Sam. Typically this you know, part in the season two where teams are still ramping up, the unders tend to come in a little bit more historically speaking, do you think this is one of those instances? With this game here?

It is?

And I think Houston. Houston's defense is probably the best unit of all of them on that are going to be on the field on Sunday. They held the Ravens offense to a negative expected points added per drop back on Sunday as success rate of only thirty nine percent. They pressured Lamar Jackson on thirty nine percent of his drop backs and sacked him on fifteen percent.

So I think with the Colts.

Offensive line in, you know, as good as Anthony Richardson is at avoiding sacks. I mean you could have said the same thing about Lamar Jackson and they were able to get to him. So I do think with this low of a total. Obviously, the cult side of things comes into play as a potential teaser leg if you want to do that pushing them out to seven and a half, if they're plus one and a half on your book.

Baltimore Ravens and Lamar Jackson are now going to travel after a big win against Houston last week, They're going to travel Cincinnati, who, let's be honest, did not look good. And this is a fascinating situation here. So the Bengals get the three right now. Everyone's just kind of sitting and waiting here. And for those of you who don't remember, the Bengals came out of the gates slow last year too ohing two. Joe Burrow never seems to have a

I think it stays about the same.

I mean, the one big question on the Ravens side is Mark Andrew's health is decent. As the safe Flowers and Rashad Bateman played in the game in Houston, I just mentioned how poor they were on a per drop back basis. I mean, the Bengals are favored by three at home, depending on how much you account towards home field advantage. That makes this almost close to a pick

Yeah, that's the interesting play is if Andrews' health gets better, maybe you do go to the opposite side and maybe it's another zero to two stard for the Bengals. Pat, But I'm kind of where Sam is, which is this just feels right. I still believe in the Cincinnati Bengals. One bad week is not going to change after me, especially with the bad weather, especially with the ferocious pass rush with Miles Garrett that they have and a guy who was really, you know, just trying to get back in

Yeah, and we know that Week one is often sort of an extension of the preseason with how little the starters play in the new three week NFL preseason, But man, I just cannot bet the Bengals after what I saw yesterday, and I watched a lot of that game, even though the Bengals offense was making my eyeballs bleed, Like I just subjected myself to that torture and the six first downs, Oh my goodness. I just have a hard time believing they can suddenly stomp the gas pedal and kick it

Interesting. You know, all off season, Pat, I talked about it. I was like losing Von Bell and Jesse Bates, I think is a little Everyone kept telling me that's okay, We're getting younger and more athletic, and maybe that's true, but they're not getting more experienced. And I think that's something you saw in this first week here that made a difference in that game. The Chiefs have had a long time to think long and hard about what went

What do you think, Yeah, we've got Andy Reid with extra prep time, the Chiefs in a rare hole since they haven't lost a Week one game since I believe twenty fourteen.

So maybe a little more.

Urgency for the Chiefs after, you know, in eight years of winning Week one and Joe, we know which way the line is going to move if we get any positive news on the Travis Kelce injury front or the Chris Jones contract front.

So like suddenly you're not.

Honestly pat They got to the quarterback, they put pressure on Jared Goff, like you know, Nick Bolton was over there, going over the top in the middle there like that. It wasn't even a matter of like putting pressure on and Chris Jones's presence, although important on the field, it's not why they lost that game. They lost that game because just the ineptitude of the wide receiver record. Again

Are you agreed? Agreed, and so get it now.

But we know that the news on those guys would change the line, Joe, and right now you're getting them at less than you know, less than a field goal for sure, because if you don't grab the Chiefs, and Chiefs now at minus two and a half on DraftKings as of this morning, I think it could go to four four and a half if we know they have Kelsey and Jones.

Sam, do you see things going in that same direction if you start to get better buzz as the week goes on that this number is going to grow here, especially if Kelsey's back for this one.

I do think so.

I was pretty surprised last Thursday how much the line had moved after the Kelsey news and then confirmation that Chris Jones wasn't going to play. I think individually neither of them are worth the amount of points that the line moved, but together they are the second and third best players on the Kansas City Chiefs, so to get potentially both of them back would be huge. I do think that Chris Jones might have the bigger impact on

The Rams, who historically have given the forty nine ers fits the last few years, they are seven point underdogs at home against the forty nine ers who went out there to non conference game on the road and beat the crap out of the Pittsburgh Yards. Let's be honest, that's exactly what they did. This one's fascinating to me. Sam. The numbers forty two and a half, the line of seven Pukinakua played very well. The Rams are coming off

I think so?

I mean, okay, the lines actually moved another point. The forty nine Ers are now favored by eight points, which I think is more about confidence in the forty nine Ers as a team than you know, disbarring what happened with the Rams in their game. I mean, the defense was dominant, the offense was clicking on all cylinders, brock Perty was making some plays, and so I think that again laying the points, Laying eight points is going to

I think I saw said the same thing last week.

I was gonna say, you might have said the same thing last eight times they've met, though, because the forty nine Ers always look like the better team on paper, and the forty nine Ers again struggle against the Rams, that fits that. That's I think what's so important. This is one of those games I think that's really stands out to me because Matthew Stafford is not Kenny Pickett, so they're gonna meet another quarterback here. It's very different.

Well, Joe, I went back and looked at that.

I wonder if it was maybe like earlier in the Sean McVay era, that the Rams were sort of had the Niners number, because it looks like the Niners of one eight of the last nine in this series.

And like some of those games were close.

I don't know what the ATS record would be for the forty nine ers, but yeah, I mean, like I was surprised by how well the Rams defense played against Seattle, or maybe the Seahawks offense was just that bad, and I have a hard time seeing the Rams be able to stop this forty nine Ers offense, which looked so machine like against a very good Pittsburgh defense.

Yeah in week.

One, so yeah, I mean like hearing that this has gone from seven to eight makes me a little nervous. Like I love getting it at an even seven points, but push it past the touchdown, I get a little more nervous. As of now, I'm just going to lay off this game.

I think, give me the rams. I don't know, I'm feeling crazy. I don't know why I'm so anti forty nine er this year. I don't know. Bruckburdy look great, Everything looked great. I'm just not there yet. I need to see it again New York. I don't know if I need to see them again. They are five point under, excuse me, five point favorites going on the road to Arizona. That feels right. Fits again, I don't know. This is the game you want to get involved in right here.

Betters were so mortified by that performance.

Joe.

It's already down to four and a half I guess people are betting the Cardinals on this, but man, I feel like the Giants have to bounce back.

Don't they like that?

That Actually their first drive of the game, they were going right downfield. Then what Daniel Jones like there was a fumbled snap or something. They got thrown back, knock back to like outside the twenty five yard line, get the field goal blocked and run in for a touchdown, and everything just snowballed from there. So, man, I feel like they're gonna bounce back. I still have a lot

Sam, I know it was as bad as it could possibly get Sunday Night, but the Arizona Cardinals are also theoretically as bad as a guest, do you think the five is actually with the four and a half now? Is still too much credit from what you didn't see out of the Giants yesterday?

I don't think so. I think this is a good line. I made it about four points before the end of the Sunday night football game. I think five is probably a good line too. And what take the Giants here? I mean they were playing what many pegged as the best defense in the league in Dallas coming into the season, so their struggles on offense are not as surprising as

We'll see if the line changes after Monday Night Football but Dallas is three point favorites at home against the Jets, and AT's go to the Jets defense is with that offensive line struggling a little bit in preseason, Sam, if you're watching Micah Parsons get to the quarterback on Sunday Night and watching some of the problems that they were giving Daniel Jones, I am. I'm loving the Cowboys out of this game at the three, at the minus one ten right now forty five and a half depending on

I do think so.

I you know, I mentioned earlier that the game tonight won't have much impact on Buffalo's outlook rest of season, but I think it could change a lot about New York's outlook rest of season, because again, we don't know what this offense is going to look like with Aaron Rodgers. I you know, the defense is supposed to be great, but can they contain Josh Allen like they had in the past. I think where I would attack this game is the under Aaron Rodgers is notoriously a slow guy.

That, all right, Pat, how do you feel about this one? I'm very much on the Cowboys side of this game no matter what happens good or bad for the Jets tonight. Your thoughts on Jets and Cowboys? Do you see any early value?

Yeah?

I kind of feel the same way Sam does about this game, like I don't want to touch either side.

Jets Yets.

I agree with your takes on the Cowboys, Joe. You know, I was kind of in on the Cowboys preseason and have some futures on them to win the NFC and win the Super Bowl.

But I mean I.

Do think the Jets have If you're going to keep giving me Jets totals in the mid forties. As we get in Week one with Bill's Jets, and as we get in Week two with Cowboys Jets, I'm going to keep pounding the under because I think the Jets might have the best defense in the league, or at least

They're not and this and that's gonna cause the turnovers, and that's gonna cost some problems. And that's why I'm more on the Dallas side of this game than the total, because I fear some of those turnovers, if they turn into points, that's gonna be a problem for that total number. That could be because look look what happened on Sunday. Think it would be a very big repeat of that. The Broncos hosting the Commanders. The Broncos are three and

Yeah, one of those teams. This is one of those lines show. I just looked at it and threw my hands up in the air, like.

No, okay, you can have it, Sam, you want anything on this one, or you want to hard pass this one.

I'd take Washington and the points here.

Okay.

Denver's offense still looks out of sorts. I think Washington's defense is incredible. That defensive line you know, was wrecking Arizona's offensive line. I don't think Denver's offensive line is that great either. Denver's offense again, it just looks out of sorts. I think they still have a ways to go to get to where they want to be. Such a low total two, I think they keep this game close and have the potential to even win outright against Denver.

All Right, The New England Patriots are at home again two weeks in a row. They are again home underdogs. Plus two is the number against the Miami Dolphins, who put on a show there with Tyreek Hill and Tuatungua Biloa in Los Angeles if you like the patch for the upset plus one fourteen on the money line, but forty five and a half is the number for this one, Sam, do you see any early value here?

I gotta go with Miami. I mean, their offense just looked so good. New England plays a decent amount of man coverage and that I don't know that there's anyone that can can cover this Tyreek and Watto combination. You know, it's New England's defense is great, and they did do a lot to stifle Philadelphia's offense. But again, we saw on display yesterday what Miami's offense can do, how.

Explosive they are.

Tool was making some great throws, and I do think Miami's defense does have a little bit of work to do. They didn't play great against the Chargers, but this New England offense is not nearly as daunting as the Chargers offense is. So I'll take the minus two with Miami here.

All right, Well, they did hold the Eagles to one offensive touchdown. Does that matter to you at all?

Here?

Pat Do you think Miami comes out here a little flat after a huge output last week?

Yeah?

Joe, I mean you're a Patriots fan. But I can assure you I'm not just pandering to you when I say that I like the Patriots and have already bet the Patriots.

In this game.

I just it feels like the Dolphins are getting a little bit too much credit with this line for that, you know, undisputedly impressive victory against the Chargers, and it doesn't feel like the Pats are getting quite enough credit for putting up a really good fight. As I said, they outgained the Eagles by one hundred and thirty one yards in that game in Week one. Now Miami has to go from playing on the West coast to playing

All right, two more Prime times talk about here, the New Orleans Saints and the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are at home. They are two and a half point underdogs at home to the Saints. Forty and a half is the number here. Saints defense look pretty good. This line feels about right to me. I don't see any value, Papa, to you.

Nope, no value.

You know, I just don't quite believe in the Saints enough to bet them as a three point road dog or roads.

Do you agree here? What you're just kind of waiting and seeing with these teams a little bit more?

Yeah?

Yeah, it's you know, it's tough because again, the Saints, I think as a whole are the better team, but man, laying three points with them just doesn't feel right.

Hit this point all right?

Last one here, Pittsburgh Steelers one and a half point underdogs. Here we go again, Sam, the Cleveland Browns are coming to town. Cleveland looked really sharp, really good, and I think Cleveland's one of those teams that needed to get off to a good start. Answer some questions about Deshaun Watson, answer some questions about who this team's gonna be and

I don't think Pittsburgh rebounds, but I also don't think Cleveland rolls quite again, I mean, Cleveland's defense looked tremendous. I do think we need to give them some credits with bringing in Jim Schwartz as their defensive coordinator this offseason. The Steelers offense looked out of sorts. It seems like they're going to be without Deontay Johnson as well, and so I as good as the you know, Brown's offensive output was on Sunday, Deshaun Watson still looked out of sorts.

Fits any input here on this one. Here, this is a tough one. To tight one. Vegas is telling you so.

Oh, Joe, the Steelers hurt me so much. They turned what should have been a winning Week one into a break even Week one. So I'm gonna maybe I'll just double up to catch up on Steelers games this week, because there you go. You know, last week from from the Steelers bye week on, they were sick in the NFL and overall DVOA, and then they look terrific in the twenty twenty three preseason. So I was really surprised that they laid an egg as big as they did

You listen to fits is probably right. I'm scared to death. I need some more time to marry on this one. But again, make sure you're setting those line alerts on the VP app for certain games that you have got your eye on. If you want to see that line movement, like we talked about Kansas City, you get those game notifications. That's very important. Go do that. Go download the app, Go sink all your sports books. Follow us there bettingpros dot Com slash Joe, slash Fits of course, slash Sam