AFC Over/Under Wins: Best Bets (Ep. 49)

Twitter at Skating Tripods. Adam, thanks so much for joining me today.

futures and all that. It's it's not like we're sitting here talking about how we don't have baseball, which I know is very hard for both of us.

the division. Now, for the odds, we're going to be using the consensus over unders from bettingpros dot com. That's the aggregate of the odds that are available in the market, and you can find those over at bettingpros dot com slash NFL hyphen wins. And you can find more than just the win totals or team futures. If you're interested in the draft, go to bettingpros dot com slash draft hyphen props. Those are consensus lines on things like how many of any position are going to be drafted, or

the first pick by team and things like that. You can find lines on pretty much every potential thing to bet in the NFL, So go check it out, all right, Adam, Let's start with the AFC East here, a division which should be a little more interesting than in past years. Right now, the consensus lines are the Bills are over under of nine, the Patriots also over under of nine, Jets are an over under of six and a half,

and the Dolphins are an over under of six. So any of these over under, any of these bets, do you find enticing.

kind of a placeholder something like that. But I mean, this defense is still exceptional, you know, it's still one of the best defenses in the AFC, if not the

best defense in the AFC. So it's tough to kind of ascertain what to do with the win totals here in the AFC East until we get more clarity on New England's quarterback situation, because if they upgrade at quarterback, this could very well be a team that goes eleven and five, you know, or has a very very strong ten and six record, which at that point in time, would you know, positive or would potentially, I should say impact the Bills impact those two head to head meetings

with the Jets. Same thing about their games with the Dolphins. So I couldn't really do too much with the AFC East right now until I figure out where New England's kind of going to fall, because you know, those head to head games with two per team are very important.

change your outlook on this division? I mean, how would you feel about an over under of nine if they made one of those moves?

up to ten necessarily. And as I look at the betting pros consensus ods, you know, some individual books out there do have nine and a half. I mean, is Dalton a half win upgrade over you know, Hoyer or Stidham or let's say they take you know, Jordan Love or something like that. I think, so is Winston and upgrade. Yeah, he doesn't have the same skill position talent that he had in Tampa Bay, but I mean he's still a

better option, I would say, than Hoyer and Stidham. And you know, Cam Newton could be an option here too. I think New England, if I had to bet it right now, I'm still taking New England to win this division. I wouldn't be in love with it. But given the fact that both the Patriots and the Bills are sitting there at nine, I mean I would have to look probably more over nine with New England than I would with Buffalo.

They go, it's Stidham. What do you think about the over under nine? And you pointed it out, by the way, when you look at the consensus odds, it's nine nine and a half, nine nine and a half, nine nine and a half, So it's one of two ways at nine and a half. Personally, if they don't make an upgrade, I'm easy on the under here. I get that the Patriots are incredible. They haven't won fewer than ten games since two thousand and two. The defense is good, they're

very good. But they have lost a boatload so far in free agency. Right they lost Kyle Van Nooy, they lost Jamie Collins, they lost Shelton, they lost Harmon, they lost a Landon Roberts. You know, I get that they still have you know, Stefan Gilmore, and they still have

mccordy and everything like that. But you know, the thing is, defensively, they're very good, but they're not this elite unit that everybody kind of thought that they were because they were beaten the heck out of that horrible offensive competition that they faced earlier in the year. They're a very solid defensive unit, but I don't think they're good enough for the offense to carry them. And they just have done

nothing right now. On offense. I mean they tagged you know, Joe Toney, they still have Mohammed Sanu, they still have Marcus Kennon, but they really I mean, unless you're saying Nikhil Harry or Jacoby Myers are gonna take a huge leap or they're gonna do something with you know, their twelve picks to really make a move or a trade or something like that, this team is not very good. I mean, their defense is is decent, but their offense and you know, all I hear about all the time.

And again I live in New England, so this is certainly what I get from my in laws and everything like that, and just from the crowd around here in the sports talk radio is you know, you think back to the Matt Castle gear, but you know, this is not Randy Moss and Wes Welker sitting there on offense. You know, it's not as if he can just Belichick and just do this without Brady. This is not a

very good offensive team. So for me, absent a major you know, absent upgraded quarterback for sure, but maybe even more than that. If it's nine and a half, I'm still going under. I'd probably stay away at nine, I guess, But for the nine and a half, I really think I lean under.

You know, you lose a guy like a Jerry Schaplinsky, you know, somebody like that, a guy that, yeah he's not an offensive coordinator, Yeah he's not going to get the same headlines, but a guy that's you know, been in that quarterback room, been in that offensive room, obviously a very smart guy. Three Super Bowl rings. Now I don't even think he's forty yet, or he's pretty close to it. That's another byproduct of being really good is that you start losing some very smart people within the

organization as well. Now that being said, you'll get their eight home games here, they get San Francisco and they get Baltimore at home, two very very difficult games. Otherwise, you've got the three Division teams Denver, Las Vegas, and Arizona all six of those very very winnable games. And on the road. I'm low on the Rams for this season, which I'm sure we'll talk about in a little bit.

I'm very on Seattle for this season. Those are two road games that there'll be an underdog in in all likelihood, but I think they're kind of there for the taking. The three Division games. Houston, I mean, who knows if Deshaun Watson doesn't just walk out on that team at some point here with everything that's going on with them, Kansas City and the Chargers a couple of tough road

games against the AFC West. I don't think their schedule is that bad, and I think if they've got a quarterback that doesn't actively hurt them the schedule sets up relatively well for them to be, you know, a ten and six type team if everything falls into place. But again, you're talking about a much thinner margin for error than we've seen in the past. I think it's more of a commentary to me on I don't think Buffalo is as good as people think they are, and I think

the Dolphins will be better. I don't think the Jets necessarily will be. It doesn't shock me.

quality control guys and all that. I just feel like Belichick finds away.

the league. The whole AFC East has a very difficult schedule because again they play the NFC West, which is a very solid division where you know, you've got the Seahawks and you've got the forty nine Ers. The Cardinals are going to be improved. The Rams are still putting up a fight, and then they've got the West, which again you talked about it not that great from top to bottom. The Chiefs are, of course fantastic. The Broncos

are going to be improved. The Chargers are a better team than they showed last year, even losing Rivers and going to Tyro. Taylor are not really sure that it's a downgrade at this point in their careers, but they lost all those one score games so they could be better, and then you know they were the best team in

the division. They're going to get the Ravens and then the Texans, which again, you're right if there's not a mutiny over there or Bill O'Brien doesn't trade the entire team for you know, four tires or something for his new truck. But yeah, it's an interesting thing, and I agree the division itself. I like Buffalo. I don't necessarily expect you know, they've lost a lot of pieces, but they've had a lot of pieces on defense. The big

thing is digs. But again, you've got basically the least accurate deep ball quarterback in the game with Josh Allen, So it's really tough to know what you're gonna see from then. With the Jets, yeah, I think they're gonna be okay like they were last year. They've built up their offensive line right now. It's gonna have to see what they do in the draft, if they had a receiver, or whether or not they had an edge rusher, but they obviously need help. The Dolphins, actually you mentioned them.

That's the one that I do like. Here is the over under of six and again it does depend a little bit on the Patriots, but you know, look they finished five and four down the stretch. They've had a monstrous offseason with Byron Jones, who's you know, between him and Saving Howard, they're looking really good. They added Shaq Lawson and Kyle van Noy and the Landon Roberts and Emmanuel Agba. The defense is going to be a lot better.

And on offense they've added a little bit. Jordan Howard is better than you know, whoever they were throwing out there last year, especially Klin Bilage, Ted Carris, Eric Flowers, you know, Devonte Parker, still developing, Preston Williams if he's healthy, Micah Sicki. They've got fourteen picks, three in the first round. You know, I get that Fits is not the future,

but he's capable of winning games. Again, tough schedule here, but they don't go to Arrowhead, they don't go to Seattle, so at least when they get those they'll have a quote unquote fighting chance and the fact that they'll be home. They get the Jags, they're home against the Bengals. They've got a lot of games that they can win, especially

you mentioned the Jets. Depend on what happens with the pat So for me right now, if there's one pick in this division that I like, and I don't love any of them, but if I had to go with one for me, it would be taking the Dolphins over six wins.

some pass rushers. I think Emmanuel Lagba is a very very good player, just wound up getting overshadowed in Cleveland because you know, Miles Garrett's here, and then you get you know, Kyle like Kyle van Noy, who Flores obviously knows, well, they've got a lot of pieces to build around here and something else you really like about Miami and obviously they got off to the atrocious start last year, but

he improved the culture of that team. Flores made it a point to do that very early in the process, to get rid of guys that weren't buying in get rid of guys that were kind of dragging everybody else down. And we saw what happened at the tail end of the year when they kind of changed that culture. They got guys that wanted to be there, guys that wanted to play. They were a much more cohesive unit. So I think you're definitely onto something there. It's obviously scary

thinging about this team. You'll potentially having to improve to seven wins to go over a win total, right, but you've got to like everything that they've been doing here over the last eighteen months.

You've got the Ravens at over under of eleven, which is a big number, of course, but they earned it by going fourteen to two. Steelers are over under nine, the Browns over under eight and a half, and the Bengals amasely over under of five. So which of any of these do you like?

seems to know what he's doing. Now, obviously we'll see if that translates into being a head coach, but as an offensive coordinator, as a play caller, as a guy that knows how to get all of his guys involved, much like he did there in Minnesota. I mean, they've got so many weapons, and defensively they're very, very good.

They'll improve the offensive line here in the draft. And you mentioned it in the top of today's show that last year I talked down about them because they had such a challenging schedule, in particular early on in the season when they were trying to get everybody acclimated to what Kitchens wanted to do and all that. Their schedule is much much softer this year. I think I saw they go from like thirtieth and strength to schedule to you know, ninth, something like that.

It sounds like a Homer pick, but you know, hey, I was honest about them last year, and I think this is a pretty honest assessment this year.

going to disagree with really anything that you're saying. I like a lot of what they've done here in the off season. I mean, Hooper was a little strange to me, you know, because you know, I know in Joko hasn't been great, but you know, Stefanski runs a lot of two tight ends sense to the to the extent that they keep in Joko. But I like adding you know, Jack Conklin and getting a solid backup like case Keenum, and they're gonna go. You saw that they're their offense

last year, and again it's gonna be a different system. So it's not gonna look exactly like that, but you know, they're they're keeping Kareem Hunt. I assume they've got a second round ten around them. I don't think anybody's gonna want to pay that. And you know they've got Andy Jenovitch, So they want to run the ball, right that that's sort of part of what they're going to be doing. Baker Mayfield's gonna work a lot better on play action passing.

So I find it hard and it's probably the optics, even though it shouldn't because it's an entirely new coaching staff and they still have talent to do the I'm gonna go they're going to improve three wins, right, that's well, that's just a lot in the NFL.

one that I like a little better in this one. Again, maybe I just like the worst team in the division and the lowest over under, but I kind of like the Bengals over and again this is one where you'd have to go way over because it's they were two and fourteen last year and the over unders five, so you're expecting them to improve six wins. But this kind of offseason has been different than the usual Bengals offseason, right.

I mean, they've spent money, They've gone out there and they've they've really helped their defense with DJ Reader, Trey Wayns, McKenzie, Alexander and Von Bell. So they're going to be better against the run. And you know, Wayns and Alexander they weren't that great in twenty nineteen and they've lost you know, Darkez Dennard and Drake Kirkpatrick. But you know, I do think defensively they're going to be better and on offense, Look, they're gonna get aj Greenback and you have to assume

that they're gonna get Joe Burrow. It's possible they trade that pick, but everything I've seen sounds like they're gonna go for it. They sell a Dalton on the roster if not, but they're gonna get with Joe Burrow. And look, can you find six wins? You look at their schedule. They've got the Redskins, they've got the Jaguars, They've got the Dolphins, who are gonna be improved. But you know

that that's certainly a potential. They've got the Giants, you know, those are those are some games that they could easily win. Divisional games are always up in the air. Five wins is a pretty low total. I don't love it, and this division is my least favorite division in terms of

finding a pick that I really like. But I kind of can see and again this is me probably assuming that they go with Joe Burrow, but I could kind of see, you know, in in their second year under Taylor, the Bengals taking a leap and getting to more than five wins.

on the six games within the division. The Browns obviously look very good and look capable of scoring a lot of points. Pittsburgh will get Ben Roethlisberger back whatever state he's in at this point in his career, and then there's Baltimore, who is probably just the best team in the AFC. And you know, unless you consider the Chiefs to be the best team in the AFC, they're kind

of one A and one B right there. Can the Bengals find wins outside of the division, because if they go zero to six in the division, which is very possible, then you're asking him to kind of get six wins out of their other ten games. That's a little bit difficult for me to kind of wrap my head around. But I will say this, I do think that you start building the foundation because Taylor, again by trade a quarterbacks kind of guy. You get him Burrow, you see

him provement in the second half of the season. Maybe next year is the bye year for a team like that. I will say, though, maybe this kind of works in with your thoughts on the Bengals. I'm not real high

on Pittsburgh this season, you know. I mean, I think that Pittsburgh is a team that is obviously still a very very well run organization, but there were questions all year long last year about Mike Tomlin and his job security and all that Ben Roethlisberger goes down gives them an easy excuse to, you know, just sort of keep things status quo and you know, wait and see what happens next year. But I'm not a real big fan of this Pittsburgh team. I don't know what we're going

to get from Ben. Obviously, it was going to be more difficult having Antonio Brown alongside Juju Smith Schuster, and we saw that with Smith Schuster, I mean it was it was tough for him to get open. It was tough for him to find a lot of room to work. Is Ben gonna be able to throw it in those windows? I don't know. I don't think so. Pittsburgh is a team that I'm just pretty sour on overall for this upcoming season. I was sour on them a little bit to a degree last year, and I did I don't

see them getting to nine and seven. I mean, obviously they went eight and eight and you would think, oh, upgrade Ben's back and this and that. I just think that the Browns passed them by, and maybe within a couple of years the Bengals do too.

be better. But I think the fact that they did get to eight and eight last year makes me just say, you know, no matter what, they're going to be a tough opponent, you know. So you can't look at even if Ben is terrible, you can't look at at that as a game that the Bengals can be like, oh great, well, when I agree, you look at their schedule, it's not

that forgiving. I mean, they do have an easy schedule, the whole NFC AFC North does, but there aren't that many games that you look at and can say, oh, wow, this is game the Bengals are definitely gonna win. But at the same time, I do just feel like this is going to be a team. I think their cultures and be better. I think if they get Burrow, I think they're going to be which I'm kind of banking on at this point that they're going to be well

improved offensively. So this is a team that I kind of like, I'm not overly bullish on, but I think I can see them getting a six months. Let's move on here.

a lot of margin for error. It's very hard to bet on the degree to which a team will be really good or the degree to which a team will be really bad. Is there any way you can take Baltimore under eleven or under eleven and a half, because I don't think I could. It would have to be over or nothing. Right.

better right now on paper. Right they traded for Kalais Campbell and adding Derek Wolf and everything like that. It's really going to be tough. They've got to add an inside linebacker, they've got to bulk up the interior of their offensive line. But really they're basically just as good as last year. Is there a chance that the league can adjust to Lamar Jackson? I mean, is there a chance that was there a quote unquote blueprint that the Titans were able to put out there in the playoffs.

I don't really think so. But you know, it's hard with this type of offense that they run that you just feel like eventually a team's going to kind of figure out how to play them. But for me, no, I agree with you. I don't like it because eleven's way too big a number for me to really sit there, and there is a high or over under that I like the under which we'll talk about in a few minutes.

But for me, yeah, I agree. If I worried about on the Ravens right now, I would go over the eleven because it's just really difficult, especially with they've had a very good offseason, to see them really falling off too much. Let's go to the AFC South here, and this one's kind of all bunched up together. You've got the Titans at eight and a half, the Colts at eight and a half, the Texans at eight, and the Jaguars at five. So what do you think here?

David Johnson sort of has a career resurgence. I don't know, but it's unfortunate that Houston has already been adjusted down enough some places, even showing seven and a half out there now that you can't really take that one. I mean, were the Titans. Are the Titans going to be as good as they were in the second half of last year? Probably not. Do I still think that they're the team most likely to win this division? Yeah, I think so, so over eight and a half with Tennessee probably my

favorite play. But it also doesn't shock me if any of these three teams, you know, whatever order they finish one, two, three, not gonna surprise me at all. The only thing I think is for certain is that Jacksonville probably does finish in the basement here once again.

possibly do that? And Bill O'Brien just like, yeah, this works for me, and I have total control, so I'm gonna do what I want for me. I kind of like the Colts at over eight and a half. So here's why I personally probably a little more I don't want to even use the word bullish, but a little more positive on Rivers and what he has left in the tank. I honestly think that last year was much more about him just getting the crap kicked out of him all the time. He was sacked thirty four times.

He was pressured thirty six percent of the time. Nobody likes pressure, no quarterback, especially someone who is basically a mobile like Rivers. He had a terrible offensive line. Now he's with the Colts, which is kind of the perfect spot because I have a great offensive line and they kept you know, Anthony Castanzo. That was a huge move. He's familiar with the sick with the system because of

Nick Soriani, and he's got enough pieces on offense. As long as Paris Campbell can stay healthy, Marlon Mack is still a quality back. I don't I don't love Marlon Mack, but he's a quote unquote quality back. He's good enough. They've got Nahima Hines for all the dump offs that Rivers likes to do. They are solid defensively. They let pier de siergo, but they added to Forrest Buckner. Not sure that he was worth a thirteenth pick, but certainly that's an addition for them. So, look, they can go

four and two in the division. I assume, you know, they can be Jacksonville twice. They'll probably split, let's say, with Tennessee and Houston. They get the Jets, the Raiders, the Bengals, the Lions, the Bears. It's not the easiest schedule overall, but they have a ton of winnable games.

I just I really like that team. I think the fact that they they you know, they wound up finishing seven to nine last year, but for a while they look like they were gonna possibly win that division with Jacoby Brissett, who is just not equality NFL quarterback in my personal opinion, And the fact that they had to do that while losing luck in the preseason. You know, I know they were kind of preparing for it, but they weren't exactly saying yes, we're gonna go in here

with Brissett. That was still kind of a big blow. And they're just so well coached, they've been put together. The bones of the team are really strong. So I think if Rivers has anything left, and personally I do. I know how bad he looked, but again he was just he was just getting blown up every single play there. The Chargers offensive line was terrible last year, so I think it's got a little more in the tank. You give him an offensive line, you give him a decent

team around him, and him a well coached team. I think that's a team that can get to nine wins.

You know, he was very good for Ken wizen Hunt too for a while, and then wizen Hunt I don't know if the shine came off of him or if they just wanted to make a change or what. That's something that probably did impact Rivers negatively as well. You mentioned Sirianni and kind of the rapport that he has with him. Sirianni was the quarterbacks coach for the then San Diego Chargers, also a wide receivers coach. Rivers is

comfortable with Syrian. He would have to be, otherwise he wouldn't have, you know, said okay, I'll go to the Colts. So that helps. I think Frank Reich is an awesome head coach. I think that he's had a lot of hardship to deal with, in particular on the injury side as it pertains to the Colts, you know, with the couple years that he's been there. So I think he's a very very good fit. You know, to have a guy like Philip Rivers. They get a lot of third

and short situations. That's somewhere where Rivers can excel. If it's third and three, third and four, Rivers is fine. If it's third and eight, third and nine and the pass rushers are coming, it's a lot tougher for Philip Rivers. So I think schematically it fits. Personnel wise it fits. I completely agree with you on both of those counts. I need to see the defense. I don't even want

to say improve, but just stay healthy, man. I mean, you know, that's one of the things I failed to mention about the Browns is that they had three or four weeks in a row last year where there are four starters in the secondary were all out. And when Indianapolis is healthy and at something resembling full strength, they

are a very, very good football team. It's a two horse race between the Colts and the Titans for this division crown as far as I'm concerned, and I think you could make very strong, very compelling arguments for the over with both of them. And I think that we've kind of done that.

which is true. I should have pointed that out. I mean, this is you know, it's pretty juice, right, I mean to take the over, it's minus one twenty five and it's plus one oh three to take the under, So I mean, I think that the over is the right side at this point. I think that you know, it wasn't like that. Frankly a week ago it was much closer. So I think it's moving that way, and I think that there's a reason.

be willing to take that. If the answer is yes, then don't necessarily be afraid of that little bit of extra juice on the over eight and a half because you're kind of getting like a really cheap nine price. And if you're comfortable with doing that, you know, obviously it takes away the push on nine, then you know, by all means, go ahead and do it. If you feel strongly enough about it.

FanDuel you look at it. Over eight and a half is minus one, say, and under is plus one thirty five. So again that's another reason to shop around. But yeah, for this one in particular, there's really a big disparity between the over and the underwitch there aren't usually, and there aren't necessarily with the West, where everyone is at either over or under at minus one ten, and that's the chiefs at over under an eleven and a half. Everyone else in the division seven and a half, Broncos

Chargers Raiders all over under seven and a half. Everybody the juices minus one ten on either side. So how do you feel, do you like any of these.

little bit. And while I really wanted Jameis Winston to land in LA with the Chargers, and who knows, maybe he's still could, Taylor's probably an upgrade just from the simple fact that he can move around the fact that

they can. Now I don't know if they're going to try to adopt something of a Lamar Jackson style offense with you know, the backs that they have in a mobile quarterback like Taylor, but they're not handicapped by the fact that Philip Rivers can't move They're not handicap by the fact that Philip Rivers won't QB sneak on third and one or fourth and one anymore. They've got a guy in Tyrod Taylor, who's going to be willing to move around, and I think that's going to help everything

about this offense. And look, this defense can be downright nasty as long as everybody's healthy. They obviously have the pass rush. You know, you got Linval Joseph in the middle defensively to kind of help them out with the run a little bit. Again, another team that needs to

stay healthy in the back seven. But if we're talking about ceiling, which by and large is what I try to look at with any win total market in any sport, I want to look at ceiling and I want to look at floor, and I think the floor for the Chargers probably is that six and ten, seven and nine range. I think their ceiling could be as high as ten

and six if everything falls into place for them. So because they've got a bigger gap between floor and ceiling than say the Broncos or the Raiders, the Chargers would have to be the one. I'd look at it over seven and a half.

the offensive line right with Turner and Brian Blaga. So you know, I agree with you basically all the points that you made, and you know, you look at their schedule, They've got a ton of winnable games obviously, you know, the Raiders and the Broncos. I think you're looking like I do, is that you know, you can easily see them, you know, being the better team of all the seven and a half win teams.

And I wonder what you think about this. How do you feel about the Chiefs over under of eleven and a half.

on your back. Now we know what Mahomes just did last year, and I have a really hard time just looking at that team and going, yeah, they're gonna go twelve and four or better. Again, It's it's a big ask. Yeah.

I don't love the Broncos, I don't love the Raiders. I don't even love the Chargers, but you can easily see them going four and two. Let's say the Chiefs against the division, and then they've got to go two balls. They've got to go to Buffalo, and regardless of what you think of Buffalo, that is a very, very difficult place to play. They've got to go to New Orleans, they've got to go to Tampa Bay with Brady and

that team. They have a lot of difficult games on their schedule, and I know that Patrick Mahomes is capable of overcoming a lot of things that The defense played a lot better down the stretch, and they're pretty much intact offensively, you know, they've still got you know, they're going to go with Damian Williams again, they added DeAndre Washington. Offensively, they're pretty much intact. But you know, give it. That

is a huge number going on right now. The other thing that we didn't talk about necessarily is, you know, if the Ravens are as good as as sort of we expect this, There's only going to be one by this year, right So if the Ravens are, you know, going ahead and easily going to have that buy, the Chiefs may not have any need to push it down the stretch, you know what I mean. Like it could be something where you could see them saying if they don't have that buy necessarily, they could take their foot

off the gas. That could work the other way too. They could be going for the bye and trying to get there and so going full team all the way. But it is some situation where if the Ravens are ahead of them, the Ravens beat them head to head, and the Ravens have the tiebreaker and they're getting there. The Chiefs could you could see at the end of the season sort of take their foot off the gas and just rest a little bit to try to get healthy as they go into the postseason.

starts on time of course, right. You know, so this is also a defense that bent a ton early on in the year. As you mentioned, they got a lot better down the stretch, but they also got to pad some numbers against an Oakland offense that wasn't great. They were okay. They weren't great. They weren't prolific by any means. The Patriots were way down Denver and the Bears. You know, the Chargers moved it on them. The Texans moved it on them in the play because they were kind of

playing that pre event defense type of thing. But I mean, again, this is a team that, you know, when they had to step up in class and face decent offensive offenses last year, the defense did struggle. They were a true case of being very very good at playing the bully, and I don't think they have as many bully opportunities this year.

something ridiculous. And again, that's just something that speaks to the strength of the team. The team, it's a very good team. Rivers played terribly and they had a terrible offensive line. Taylor's probably gonna make them better, and the better offensive line is really gonna move into that. So I think to improve three wins is not something that's going to be crazy for them to do.

the mean a little bit. A good way to start kind of narrowing your focus for some of these teams, the ones that were say four and one or five and zero or something like that in close games, like a Seattle Seahawks type team for example, maybe that's something that you know, you want to scale back a little bit, kind of gravitate towards the under or the over, as the case may be.

everything that's going on. But I really appreciate you having me on again, Dan, And you know, it's always great to chat no matter what sport it is with you.