¶ Intro / Opening
Greetings, everybody. Welcome back. It is Tuesday, October 29th, 2024.
¶ Election Countdown
We are one week away from the presidential election between Donald J. Trump and the coconut queen Kamala Harris. It is wild. Of course, it's almost old news now. I'm not going to spend too much time on Trump's massive rally in MSG Madison Square Garden.
He's also had a big weekend touring michigan he was in georgia he's basically doubling what kamala is doing if you take trump and his surrogates his people jd vance mainly the two of them are doing more than kamala and her friends her gang of thieves are doing her hollywood help recording artists everyone out there desperately doing what they're and you got ben stiller and everybody who's been to a p diddy party who was friends with what's his name epstein they're out there desperate i mean
And Leonardo DiCaprio is getting mean to hell. He deserves it. We got baby oil in the background of his little public service announcement, letting everybody out. He's voting for Kamala Harris as if I needed Leo to tell me he was voting for her. But it seems like there's an overlapping Venn diagram of Epstein and P. Diddy supporters all falling in line for Harris because they are worried. Because if Trump gets a little fired up and decides he wants to open books,
I think we're going to learn a lot. He's already said he's going to release anything he's got on JFK's assassination, which would be fantastic. And I'm sure his nephew, RFK Jr., is going to be highly supportive. So we'll talk about the rally. Of course, you're here. Thanks for being here for any election updates. I am still very bullish, very strong for Trump. I'll tell you exactly why. But since the show I did on Saturday, I'm just as confident, if not more.
And I'll go into the battleground states that matter and talk a little bit about what I'm seeing in the Twitterverse from all the data nerds that have been consistently calling elections, including the ones that felt that Biden was going to win last time. Those are the guys I'm really looking at now. And if there were a couple that were wrong, they were close. They knew it would be close. And, of course, it came down to 40,000 votes.
So we were somewhat optimistic last time. I don't know what level of optimism I am now, but it's much higher. And we'll talk about that. So first, the rally, MSG. And of course, it was really a Republican star set at event. I think Tucker Carlson opposed or following RFK Jr. Even he was just shocked. Imagine if 10 years ago, anyone told you that the leading candidate for president, The guy running for the Republican ticket would be Donald Trump. They'd laugh.
And they said, oh, by the way, you'd have Tulsi Gabbard, the liberal from Hawaii, and RFK Jr. Endorsing him. And only a few days before, Tulsi switching to the Republican Party. I mean, just going there and saying then that Tucker Carlson would still be there. So it's not like Trump, I would have thought, okay, then Trump just went really left, right? The Republican Party changed. No, he's taken it right, and as I'm calling it, right, progressive.
Because that progressive term is no longer the Democrats. They are not about progress. They want censorship, right? They want high prices. They want more government control. There's nothing more counter to progress than the US government, right? Absolutely. Any government. So this is not progress. We are. We are. Guess what, guys? Progressive is not a bad word. It's not a bad way to describe us. We are the progressives. The new great awakening, the Republican Party.
Just look at who attended. Now, of course, the big talk afterwards, and guys, there was going to be something no matter what, but they had this comedian. I guess he's called Kill Tony. I've seen some of his sets. He can be really funny. He's a roaster. And so somebody thought it'd be a good idea to bring him out to warm up the crowd. And he warmed something up. First, he told the Puerto Rican joke. We all know about it. I'm not going to dive too deep into it.
Unlike some people I know, I wasn't too worried about it. But of course, I cringed. I'm like, ooh, even for roasts, that's pretty heavy. And why Puerto Rico? When you pull a nation state out of a hat, a territory, you didn't get a state. Make fun of Oklahoma, Texas, I don't know, California. So he takes a dig at Puerto Rico about being a piece of floating trash, yada, yada.
It fell flat, which tells you even the folks in the room are not in a Nazi rally, which is, of course, what they painted it to be. But all the folks that were desperate for headlines and to validate that Trump was having a Nazi rally, to include MSNBC, who literally basically wrote it at the tagline below, which is still low blow, and it's them. They needed something. And so this comedian gave him something to work with.
You now have a Puerto Rican representative from Florida now actually at Trump's rally in Allentown, Pennsylvania tonight, endorsing him. It wasn't Trump who told the joke. It was a goofball. Didn't even tell a funny joke. He actually made more of an off-color joke, I believe, about black people. And I'm stunned that that wasn't picked up. But the bottom line, and one of, I think, the most important speakers of the night was Dr. Phil. and he talked about exactly what is happening now.
People and their foe, Their faux offensiveness, their faux victimhood. No one cares about the people of Puerto Rico when they act upset about that off-color joke. Of course, I wish the guy didn't. We could do without it. We don't need the distraction. That's all it is. Because Donald Trump is representing the movement and some comedian at any rally, at any event, trying to be Don Rickles, who used to do those kinds of things at political events and was a master at it in a much different time.
We are actually getting back to that time where we can laugh at ourselves and each other. And I think we're seeing it from Puerto Rican people because there's a ton of movement on social media sort of saying, yeah, I mean, we have a real refuse garbage problem in Puerto Rico. And they're like, we're not sensitive. We will joke back at anyone who wants to talk trash about us. That's kind of how it works. And it's being taken very well and shrugged off by Latinos who support Trump.
And now you have Joe Biden in some video interview walking right into it. And he's the gift that always gives. And he wouldn't be president if it wasn't for COVID and they were able to hide him. And he is now referred to Trump supporters as actually being garbage. So think about it. You have a comedian who brings the term garbage into it about Puerto Rico, not Trump, not even a true surrogate. And then Joe Biden says, hold my beer.
And in less than or about 48 hours, the unavoidable story, even for the left, is that Joe Biden has had to backpedal from what was an insanely stupid and telling comment. Because his thing, remember, was MAGA Republicans, right? And he's an old man and he was ranting and his whole campaign was basically just yelling about people getting off his lawn. But he sure harped on Jan 6th, and it was MAGA Republicans. Not all are bad, but MAGA, which is 90% of us, right?
Anybody that thinks Donald Trump is a good person is what he's referring to. And now we're garbage. So in essence, this has been basically a wash, right? You've got Joe Biden one-upping a comedian and doubling down and just trying to pander and even touching the issue was stupid. But why are they doing this? Why did they paint the rally as a Nazi rally? Because they're seeing the same numbers that are out there.
And if you guys are watching Fox News, I mean, any of the news outlets, but even Fox, all you are going to get now is an encouragement and a pump to tune into them on election night. So nobody is going to tell you anything true about these races because they have to say it's close.
They have to say it's a nail biter. Even if you're a Republican surrogate on these shows, who's seen the data and knows why Kamala Harris pulled all her radio ads out of North Carolina, which you do not do if you're competitive. She's now taken all that money, and guess where she shifted it? She has shifted it to Virginia. They are now protecting what are not battleground states, which were almost solid blue states like Virginia and guess what? New Mexico. Guess where Trump is going?
It's confirmed he's going to Virginia and New Mexico for campaign rallies. And New Hampshire just polled with the Trump lead. So they are moving the map out of what is a 270 electoral vote range into a landslide. And it's not because they're cocky. Trump, other than the person who hired that comedian, who has really strong people running his campaign, we are seeing what's happening in Pennsylvania, which is really the only state doing any kind of early voting where Republicans don't have a lead.
So why am I saying that Pennsylvania is almost certainly going to go to Donald Trump? He's not leading in early voting. And this is why Fox News is so misleading. What does Fox do? Fox shows a bar graph, right? An animated bar graph. And here's Brett Baer. And then the other guy who's on with Martha McAllen, Bill, what's his name, does the same thing. They show this bar graph and they go, well, it's promising here for Trump, promising here, but oh, Pennsylvania, Joe Biden's got the early lead.
It shows a blue bar graph that's longer than the red bar graph. Now, why is that stupid and intentionally leaving out information I know they have access to? Because no matter how well Trump does, no matter how well Scott Pressler does registering people and getting out the vote in Pennsylvania, the Democrats are going to have an early vote lead in Pennsylvania going into Election Day. What do I mean by that? Well, one, there's only mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania.
There's actually not technically in person, but you can take your mail-in ballot in person. You can actually go to a polling station, ask for a mail-in ballot, fill it out, and drop it in. You can do that in person, or you can put it in the mail. That's how they do it early. And then what No One on Fox tells you is about 70% of all the votes cast in Pennsylvania will come on Election Day. It's a high turnout, Election Day voting base, and Republicans will always dominate.
See where I'm going? We're not expecting to be ahead in early vote. The whole strategy was to cut into the margin as compared to 2020 or 2022. And so I've talked about this firewall that Democrats said they have is about 500,000. Even if that's true, and I think it's higher, they felt that if they had a 500,000 vote or more lead going into election day, November 5th, that they would win. Right now, it's about 370, 380. It's oscillated. I think it was like 365 last
I talked to you on Saturday. They flattened out there. And if you look at what's out there with registrations, Republicans have more net votes left. So we're bringing net new voters to this early vote and will so on election day. So we're not cannibalizing what would come on election day. So don't worry about that. What Fox should tell you is that actually Democrats are desperately in trouble in Pennsylvania because we have cut tremendously into their early vote lead.
It was like 70-30 in 2020, and now it's like 58-35 with some independents. It's crazy tight. Actually, it's 59-30 right now. 59-30, and in 2020, it was 70-21 with independents going for roughly nine. It's insane. Okay. So yeah, right now it's 59-30-11, right? So Democrats have a 29% lead today. In 2020, it was 70-21. They had a 49 lead. That's why they're panicking in Pennsylvania. We have cut into their cushion. And the crazy thing is, is we actually have and are still registering more people.
So we're adding more votes to that, and we know we're going to win election day turnout, right? So right now, it's 59.4% Democrats, 30.4% Republicans, 10.2% other. And so far, based on polling, other meaning independents have been swinging our way. And I do think we are going to get more Democrats voting for Trump than we will get Republicans. So why is Harris going to Pennsylvania? Because I'm telling you, they're pretty sure they've lost it. I don't know how else to say it.
With the polling trending the way it's gone to Trump, with him showing leading in some Pennsylvania polls, they need a miracle on Election Day. But she's going because there's a Senate race there. And I'm dropping his name, but the Democrat candidate is running somewhat pro-Trump campaigns as of about a week and a half ago because they've seen the internal numbers.
So Pennsylvania's early mail-in voting, which is the only way they do, is a massive win right now for Republicans, and so are registrations. And if you compare 2020 to 2024, we have a net gain of plus 20.8% of the early vote share. Pennsylvania is at least light red as a prediction, I have no doubt.
And I think there's a really good chance Republicans take that Senate seat because we have somebody so strong on the ticket that's called the coattail factor, and I think Trump's going to pull them, just like he might pull Carrie Lake even in Arizona, which he's going to need to win big there because she's got some popularity issues. She's going to get turnout, but people just don't like her. She's the one that ran for governor last time and didn't make it was a squeaker.
Now, now Trump's running so strong in Arizona. I think he's going to win by a few points and I think he might pull her over the line. I talked about what was going to happen Sunday in Georgia, their second souls to the polls event. It's their last chance during the early voting period. It is kind of, I mean, I would say for them, it's nearly a massacre. I mean, they need massive improvement in the black vote turnout in Georgia and really across the country, and they are not getting it.
On Sunday, they had about 20,000 turnout, and the ratio split between white and black was 45-35. That's a devastation. It's nothing like you need it to be, I mean, 60%, 70% turnout for blacks to make up for where they're behind. So they have a real turnout problem with the black community. And then you have the fear that Trump has made a dent in the young black male vote. There's something else going on, and I'm going to shift back to Pennsylvania real quick. I've forgotten my notes here.
We have actually, Republicans, have flipped young voters in Pennsylvania as far as Republican registrations, identification. So as of right now, in the 18 to 25 demographic in Pennsylvania, Republicans are leading, which is crazy for early voting. So keep that in mind. I think Georgia's done. Trump was in Atlanta. I think Harris has had one rally there. I don't know what she can do other than that she's hoping Atlanta shows up big on election day. I don't see it.
I don't see the money there. Like I said, I don't know what to say about North Carolina. There's no point. There's no way. And when they're pulling money out with a week left, they're surrendering. That's what that is. And so, I mean, you even have Democrat pollsters like Mark Halperin. He's done talking about North Carolina. He's almost done talking about Arizona. So it's shifting to the blue wall.
And we know early voting, what they know, what they can know, Wisconsin is good, but I don't think we're going to know much about Wisconsin until we get some returns on election night. And then we know rural voting around the country has been excellent for turnout.
So the problem for Democrats in Michigan and Wisconsin is that they got to hope that at least one, if not both of those states are isolated in that phenomenon, meaning Georgia, North Carolina, and Arizona have had record, record turnout in rural voting. And then there's a county in Florida that's always been a bellwether for Georgia. I believe it's called Duval County. Right now it has insane Republican turnout. It looks almost certainly to go red.
And it's been since like the mid-20th century since that county has not lined up exactly with what happens in Georgia. So, I mean, the stats I have are just the surface. The people that get paid a lot of money for both campaigns have internal data they pay tons of money for. And they're looking at this and we're looking at the behaviors. So Harris is out of North Carolina. She's doing very little in Georgia.
She's probably going to see her focusing and battling in Pennsylvania because she still has a lead. Right. So what can happen? I mean, God forbid they stunt turnout. Well, guess what they pulled in Bucks County in one of the big polling stations? Today. And this is a major story. At 2.45, there's video. It's all over Twitter. The emergency services personnel, I mean, they're in uniform, they look like police, were cutting off the polls.
And there's a tweet, a post from Governor Shapiro, a guy that Harris should have picked for a running mate over Walt. There's a tweet out there that says, if you're in line at five, you get to vote. And that's the way it's always been. If you're lined up, by the time the polls close, they let you vote. We've seen this on Election Day.
They should be prepared for this. So why in a swing county that has been trending very red in turnout compared to 2020, do we have emergency services people showing up and shutting it down at 245 Eastern over two hours before they're supposed to close? Luckily, in this new era of media where we're not reliant upon the Walter Cronkites to select what stories are important, we get this all over the place.
And Scott Pressler, the guy I encourage you to look up, who's running this amazing registration movement in Pennsylvania, is all over it. Governor Shapiro's getting blown up, and folks have flown down, their lawyers have flown down, and people are talking about what this is. It's voter suppression. This goes beyond just the ballot boxes we've seen burn. Also, Luzerne, I think it's pronounced Luzerne County, L-U-Z-R-E-N-E, maybe it's Luzerne.
They all of a sudden had 25 ballots show up. They tried to blame this guy, Pressler, and come to find out it's some like employee. There's a Supreme Court case now out of Virginia. The black lieutenant governor of Virginia is like, how can we count these ballots? It's crazy. They're people that have basically admitted they were illegal when they registered. Some are still, some are citizens, some have a visa. And it's like 1,500 ballots. Maybe it's more than me. It's like 2,000.
And a federal judge ruled that they should be counted. And now it's going to the Supreme Court. It's going to get destroyed. But it's like, okay, we're having this fight now. We told you so. But it's different than last time because we're ready for it. Right? We're ready for the nonsense. As soon as somebody starts telling people, hey, it's too crowded, we're closing the polls. By the way, today is the last day in Pennsylvania to do your in-person mail drop-off vote.
So it's interesting, right? It's a week out, one of the most popular polling stations in a swing county, Bucks County, as goes Pennsylvania, will probably go Bucks County or vice versa, however you want to say it. They're shutting down the polls over two hours early. Why? They've seen the numbers and screw them. Even if they pull it off, guys, I don't see them winning. I feel it's a movement. You don't see rallies like that in New York, that popular with people flooding a city like New York.
You don't see New Hampshire polling for Trump. You don't see New Mexico in play. You don't even see, I mean, they're talking about Minnesota. I don't think Trump's going to win Minnesota, but if he cuts the gap, we're that much closer to winning the popular vote. And that's why every vote matters, whether it's in California or Oregon. I mean, they've even thrown out a stat, there's a county in Oregon that has, it's like a Democrat stronghold and their turnout is down 73%.
This one is deep blue Multnomah County, Oregon. It's down 73% versus this stage of the 2020 election. This is including mail-ins, total ballots, and down around 50% compared to historic average. So even if you take the COVID year out, there's just no energy for her, right? So you got a blue state. Voters know it's going to go blue. They know their vote really doesn't matter for the presidential election. There's no Senate race of consequence, maybe a couple of congressional, I don't know.
But here we go. There's a reason they're reporting it. That is grossly low, grossly low. And you can see actually they got daily turnout that the Republican is a little bit up. So even people who know their vote's not going to make a difference in the electoral college in Oregon for Donald Trump, they're showing up. That's the energy difference, and that matters more than polls, in my opinion. I'm looking at early voting data.
I'm actually looking at feelings, and then I'm looking at poll trends. I don't care if the poll shows Harris up by one, Trump up by one, two, or three. Where was it a week ago? Where was it in early October? In any polling, there was a polling in recent, a couple of days ago, that still had September interviews in it. There's been a monumental shift towards Trump because he's the best closer in global political history.
So really any poll that gives you some tone and feel on where the election is should be from about at least October 10th on. Everything else is a wash. And they just keep fumbling. That's the beauty Democrats right now is they don't have a strong issue. There's no closing message. Harris has completely fumbled this. Now, she didn't have a lot to work with. And that's probably what she's going to scream about. It's not going to be her
fault because she's a left-wing feminist. They never take accountability. If there's a man in the room, it's his fault. Or if there's a good-looking woman in the room, it's her fault. That's it. That's who they're going to blame, not their cat. So who's she going to blame? She's going to blame Joe Biden. That's easy, right? Because honestly, Joe was supposed to win this, or at least if he lost, lose with dignity, and then Harris would be able to run a full campaign.
She'll blame it on the fact that she entered late. And no one's going to have the guts in the room because she's a DEI hire because they don't want to be deemed as racist or sexist. No one's going to have the guts to say, well, lady, you came in fifth in your own state primary. You lost to Andrew Yang when it came to the people of California. No one wants to tattoo that on their back. Andrew Yang's a nice guy, but he's different. You shouldn't go lose a presidential
primary to a guy like Andrew Yang. That means you're just not serious. But because Joe mumbled once that he had to, well, of course, I'm going to have a woman of color as my running mate. That put the category down to two, and they were stuck picking Harris. So maybe Joe Biden is somebody we should be thanking. And again, he is the gift and the gaffe gift that keeps on giving. And this might be his final farewell gaffe. We got another week left.
So if they keep putting a mic in front of him, but what he said about Trump supporters being garbage is impossible for even the left wing media to ignore.
Now they can ignore joe biden harris has there's news that she is that he's been reaching out here guys i'm here to help i'm gonna help you right come on let's get them let's get those magnum they're not taking his call they don't want him out there you're never gonna see biden and harris had an appearance together they put him in new hampshire a few days ago the room had like 30 people you know and he screwed up then too it was like talking about you know what did
he say i can't remember it was like you know he had to come back he's like you know instead of oh he had put trump in jail. And he meant politically. I meant politically. And so I think I'm interested. Does Joe, I mean, does Biden want Harris to win? Because then it proves that replacing him was a good move. I don't think he does. But then he doesn't want Trump to win because he does hate him. Because Joe Biden doesn't really have a sense of humor, right?
Joe Biden likes to joke. He's one of those old school, intense guys at the bar. You get a couple drinks him. He jokes around until you throw one back at him. And then he's either whining, offended, and sulks, or he wants to fight you, like he claims he does, beating up corn pop. He's in an impossible situation, which I think is making him angrier. Because you really don't like either outcome and you're being ignored. But I think deep down, there's a chance that he's supporting Trump.
I think there's a chance he voted for him. I don't know. I don't think he can make himself vote for him, but I think he would be more disappointed if Harris wins than if Trump does. Because that man is obsessed with his legacy. He was not going to bow out. No matter how embarrassing it got, his wife is a psychopath. She's an evil woman. She should have seen what everybody saw. Harris lied to us about it. Kamala knew. It's one of the greatest questions she could be asked now.
So you think Trump is declining, yet you didn't want to tell the American people when your buddy Joe Biden was declining. It's not consistent. They never are. But now Biden is facing the ultimate embarrassment if Harris wins. And I don't think that's going to happen.
¶ Harris’s Struggles
I just don't. I've never seen an. For a political party going into election day, there's nothing. I mean, they talk about women being more in favor of Harris, but men almost make that up with their favorability for Trump. There's no shy Harris voter, meaning somebody who is afraid to tell a pollster out of retribution that he or she is supporting Harris.
And I might have explained this before, but pollsters have gotten better, led by the guys at Trafalgar a few years ago, in teasing out what was the shy Trump voter. Because there are people that don't want to tell a pollster, because of where they might live or who they might work for, that they're planning to vote for Trump. You know, the question is, if the election were held today, would you vote for?
So there's always a percentage that are going to say Harris, but how do they find out that that person's a shy Trump voter? What they do is ask them, well, okay, who do you think your neighbors vote for? Of these five issues, which is your top? Now, if somebody says Harris but says he thinks his neighbors are voting for Trump and then says his top issues are the economy and the border, that person is going to vote for Trump. And they're just telling a pollster a lie but to protect themselves.
And you've got Democrats out there, and this is now they're switching to a strategy of hope. And in any competitive business, especially somebody like Trump who competes and bids for deals in competitive situations, not the only contractor trying to build a building or win a contract, But he's going to tell you that he would fire anybody getting ready to go bid for a deal, make a competitive bid, if their strategy was or said something that we hope.
We hope we got this. Here's why. I hope we got this. They're done. Hope is not a strategy, not a business. And right now, Kamala Harris is going up against Donald Trump to close the deal, close the contract, win the bid for the American people. She's toast. Right? She's toast. She doesn't have anything going in. like those shy Trump voters, right? They are going to tell you the issues and that's going to dictate what they vote. And there is no shy Harris voter, right?
But that's their hope right now. They're really out there saying it like, well, there are people, I think the shy Harris voters is out there and they can't really tell you why. Because there is no fear of being a Harris supporter. That's a celebratory thing. No matter who runs for that party or what BS issues they run on, somehow voting for a Democrat is always the more courageous option.
Like being trans or gay is somehow courageous still. No. It's becoming actually more attractive for kids because it's celebrated and they get attention. And so, you know, I talked about the border. I talked about the economy, big issues. But going back years, I was certain that the 2020 election would have a factor in the Target restroom controversy. And remember, this goes back well before 2020, where Target was basically saying, hey, anybody can go into any restroom.
And there was an issue with a girl and a guy, and the country got really ticked off about it. And it was getting the Democrats nervous because even some of the most liberal people were like, whoa, this is different than abortion and choice. This is kids. And then instead of learning their lesson from that, because COVID took over those social issues and shadowed it and almost made them go away for a while, they doubled down.
And so in these states, these red states like North Carolina and cities like Asheville, which are liberal, but you drive 10 minutes in any direction, it starts getting red. And all of a sudden you had drag queen story hour and drag queen shows. Family friendly, quote unquote. With all that lewd behavior, the videos went around and they would just deny it. Oh, you're insecure. There's nothing wrong. And I'm going to tell you right now, I have nothing against a trans person.
Live your life. If you're not voting people or taking away someone's liberty, I don't care how you identify. And if you give me some time to practice, I will call you the pronoun you want. I might not get it the first few times. And if you get offended and give me crap about it, I'm likely not to get better at it. But it doesn't hurt me to call somebody he or she when they may look a different way.
But when you start involving KIG, and it looks like indoctrinating, we're going to ask some questions. And what makes me really suspect is when all of a sudden we're not allowed to question behavior like that. And then the mental illness of some of these parents to actually encourage it because they see their kids as a form of activism. And I know you guys see it out there. These people are so far left and so radical that instead of raising a child, they leverage their child.
And their child becomes a tool for activism, for their issues. And it's horrifying. And this particular thing that became a social media issue, an issue in schools, in counties like Loudoun County, where school boards got ousted, the Democrats didn't head it off. And so they wonder this, they wonder that, why are we losing with young black men?
Your alternative is donald trump right and as cuomo not mario but chris remember chris cuomo that i think got canned from cnn he had an amazing tweet today where he talked about how basically people see the government as the jungle it's wild it's nuts it needs to be fixed and if you're going to send somebody into the jungle you're going to be comfortable sending in a savage so trump is imperfect, just like Dr. Phil said, right?
¶ Cultural Issues and the Vote
But being offended is a weakness. And we have people, faux victims looking for it. It's a psychological issue. And so you have that, you have Donald Trump and his strength, the alpha strength of him, and not just him because he's a man like of the Tulsi Gabbards of the world, of Laura Trump, his daughter-in-law. And then on the alternative, you have drag queen story hour. And you have the trans issue with women's sports. Now you have the contradiction of feminism. We're for pro-women.
Pro-women sports, Title IX. Now we're letting dudes spike the ball off girls' faces. San Jose State allowing a biological male to play on their women's volleyball team has given great press for Trump on this issue. You now have girls at schools like Utah State and others who are openly boycotting these games and are turning the activism against radical feminism that somehow supports this. It's insane. And actually, there are a lot of feminists against it.
They're actually being real genuine. And they're offended that someone could just decide to be a woman and claim all that women sacrifice. So these issues are why I think Donald Trump's going to win. I'm going to make that prediction. I don't have an electoral map that I've worked on yet. I'm waiting to see what happens in Virginia. Most of the polls are done, but there are a few coming that are reputable. If Trump pulls ahead again in some of these polls in Virginia,
I don't think it's going to be hard to call. I think the rural turnout that is extremely high where we can track it is going to translate into Virginia. And I think people are coming out of the mountain because of issues like drag queen story hour. And then you add it on to grocery prices and you add it on to gas. Everyday cost of living is too high for people to sustain. And you have cultural issues that are motivating people differently than any other election.
Why do you think Scott Pressler in Pennsylvania has been able to register thousands of Amish voters who are riding their horses into polling stations to vote or mailing areas to drop off their mail ballots for Pennsylvania? Because they didn't before because a lot of them don't want to go and wait in line. And it's hard transportation wise. I mean, you've got a horse and buggy. That's not easy.
But now it's a lot easier if you have somebody talking about the issues that matter and your way of life could be under threat. And I think that's exactly what is happening. These guys are motivated. So I'm real excited for next week, more so than I was even Saturday, because we have the momentum, we have the energy, we have Twitter people that we're tracking things and we're a little bit excited. Day one and two of early voting around the country, they're gone. You can't find them.
And these are people that are insiders. You've got Democrat pollsters who are panicking. You have Nate Silver at 538, the famous liberal who runs a prediction system. He is now only has strategies of hope he talks about on his podcast. It's literally, hey, we just need to get out the vote on election day to make up for the margins that Republicans have made. And so, you know, and now they're counting crowds, right? You know, this one, I don't even know where she is.
Apparently Kamala Harris something tonight at 75,000 people. We'll see, right? Nothing's for certain. If you look at it just straight up, I mean, I guess she has a 50% chance because there's two people. But like I said, there's nothing in the data that shows me she has a remote chance. I think the seven battleground states, at least six go for Trump, if not seven, right? And that would be Nevada, Arizona. Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania.
Nevada goes Trump. I think Nevada's done. I think it's already Trump. Rural votes in Clark County, all for the tips. No tax on tips. That's a big one. Republicans are leading Clark County early voting. As of yesterday, I haven't seen the count today. Republicans are leading. That's never happened since early voting started. Arizona, don't see it. I don't see Harris has a path. I think Georgia's done. I think North Carolina is, I just don't, she pulled the money out. How is it blue?
Atlas Intel, one of the pollsters has it blue, which puts Trump a little bit below. They still have him at 296 electoral votes, but I think North Carolina is blue. I think Pennsylvania is red. I think Michigan's red. I have a hard time calling Wisconsin just because it's tough dirt.
¶ Predictions for Election Day
No way he wins Minnesota, but it'd be cool if it was kind of close.
But i think we are in a great spot for him to pull at least six of those seven i named so let's say he doesn't get wisconsin that's still six right now you're going to see her dig in harris is going to focus on wisconsin michigan and pennsylvania if she can sweep those she wins even with the other ones by by i think that puts her at 270 if she can sweep those she wins of course she has to hold new hampshire she has to hold virginia colorado no problem there
but maybe new mexico New Mexico's five electoral votes. If it is close, then that's going to matter, right? That's going to matter. So we'll see, guys. I'm really excited. Again, it's Tuesday night. We're one week out. I'll do a show tomorrow. There's going to be a lot more to update. I'm watching the early vote numbers. Things look good. Send me an email if you have any questions. Again, check me out on Twitter at Enemy Lines Radio, at Enemy Lines Radio.
And all my information's on there. Send me anything, any questions you have. I appreciate what you guys have sent so far. I'll get right back to you. And if it's something big or something for the show, I'll certainly include it. Have an awesome night. We will talk to you soon. Talk to you tomorrow. Take care.
