MAGA Momentum: Analyzing the Final Push Before the 2024 Election

Music. It is Saturday, October 26th, and we are deep in it from MAGA land, Behind Enemy Lines Radio.

So glad to be back. Again, we are less than two weeks. We're coming up on single-digit days until the 2024 presidential election, and of course. Many, many important Senate and congressional elections for the Republicans and for the MAGA Republicans, as Joe Biden liked to paint us in a negative light, and he failed. so viciously. So what's happened in the last few months, we're going to sum it up right here.

It is a total Democrat Party failure. We'll get into some of the details of that and what we're seeing in early voting that is so much different than not only 2020 and 2022. And of course, if you were paying attention at all, even if you didn't want to pay attention the last week or so, the Democrats. Kamala Harris's team, and everyone associated with it took desperate haymaker Hail Mary punches at Donald Trump's campaign, at him. And it's amazing how much that failed for such obvious reasons.

And so let's talk about that first. And then we're going to get into data, guys. If you want to hang in, I'm going to tell you right now my prediction, because I had to wait.

I wanted to wait for at least a week of early voting in Arizona, Pennsylvania, Georgia, Wisconsin, and Nevada. So first, what did they do and why did they do it? Because those states I mentioned are showing heavy favorability in early voting for Republicans. I mean, North Carolina is looking to be a wipeout. Nevada, I don't see how they can come back.

So if we are seeing it, those of us looking at the data, looking at the accounts on Twitter who go deep into the data and make excellent predictions, these are the guys that were worried in 2020. These were the guys that were looking at early voting trends because of the crazy mail-in ballots that had been sent out four months before the election in states like Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan. Sound familiar, right? All of these battleground states like Pennsylvania.

These guys are now not, they can't figure a way for Kamala Harris to victory because of what they're seeing in early voting. Remember, early voting can't show what you're voting for or who you're voting for. It can show the party affiliation. So typically when you see these breakdowns, you see Republicans, Democrats, and then other unaffiliated, right? Pennsylvania has quite a few of those. I believe Wisconsin does too when I was looking at the data.

But you have party affiliations. Now, the problem with states like Wisconsin is they don't report data the same way, early voting data as per se, let's say, Nevada or Pennsylvania. But when you look at these states and you look at where the good data is, you get a feel of the trend. And so Kamala Harris's campaign has a feel of the trend.

And why is this important? When they look at these early data numbers, early voting numbers, and you combine those with the polls, because you've got to be careful with polls, right? Because there's something called crosstabs. What are those? cross tabs are the data points of the poll, meaning who they polled. Party affiliations, you'll have typically in the polls, 7% to 10% more Democrats polled. Already, you're slanting the poll a little bit towards left.

You have gender, you have race. All of these things matter when you're trying to get an accurate poll. That's the sample. And what you're seeing now, even the heavy left-leaning cross tab polls are trending heavily in Donald Trump's direction. And when you go to real clear politics, you see Donald Trump now, as of today. Passing Kamala Harris in the popular vote, which never happens in polling, right?

And as we know, in 2016, Trump beat Hillary in the battleground in the Electoral College, but still lost the popular vote. Now the experts are saying Trump is poised to win the popular vote and win the Electoral College in a landslide. Why is there some truth there? I don't need to just listen to the data folks or the pollsters or the people looking at Kashi or Polly Market, which are those betting markets that shifted heavily towards Trump in the last couple of weeks.

I look at Kamala Harris's behavior, right? She's down to one event per day. She took a day off a few days ago, literally took a day off in the final two weeks of a campaign, which is so critical, right? Your time is your most valuable resource in the closing weeks and days of a general election. and she takes a day off. Then where is she going? That's the big one. Where do they go? So for Republicans, they're really excited because right now she's going to

deep blue areas in the battleground states, right? So she did Atlanta. That's a big one, right? I mean, she's going to carry Atlanta. But if Republicans cut into the margin like it looks like they are in early voting, she has no chance. And then of course, when you take the black vote, turnout is everything. Now we're not quite as low as pre-Barack Obama numbers, but she's way down in black turnout. They have to get that in these urban areas to carry the entire state.

And she's down. She's at like. A 65, 20, you know, 65, 35 or worse split in these polls, meaning 65% white, 35% black in these urban areas. That won't cut it. Not assuming who's voting what, it's just the way the numbers have always worked.

And then when you see polls, how young black men are turning towards Trump, when you see the barbershop, amazing campaign events and interviews where Trump actually was in a few, you're feeling the tone or as they say, the vibe is shifting hard for Trump in that demographic.

So she's hurting and she's being forced to go to deep blue areas to shore up that vote and to shore up her most ardent leftist supporters because her next event that she has scheduled is in Dane County, Wisconsin, super blue area. Those aren't battleground areas. Those are areas where you're desperate to go get blue support. And then last night she was in Houston. Why is that something I like to see? It's not because Houston, or I mean Texas, is in play for Kamala Harris.

It's not. She has no chance in Texas. But there's a little bit of a chance for Colin Allred to defeat Ted Cruz. I don't think it's going to happen, but there's a shot that the split ticket will happen. But with Trump's coattails and his power right now and how he's driving turnout, how I've seen the counties that are deep red in Texas, having the longest lines of early voting that I've ever seen. And they have registered more Republicans in all of these states, including the battlegrounds.

The Democrats have a serious problem. I don't think she can pull it off for all red. He's voted too far left. I don't see him overtaking Cruz. And I think Cruz is going to hold his seat. But so she's in Houston.

Right. She's trying to show and she's got to have Beyonce. She's got to have Usher. She's got to have Bruce Springsteen in these parts of Georgia where she's going or in Pennsylvania near Philadelphia. She's got to have some headliner like Barack Obama, who's not what he used to be and never was actually great at helping down ballot Democrats, meaning people that were running on his ticket or needed his help in midterms.

He actually has a terrible record, but he can get himself elected better than anyone. He's a master at it, but he's out there doing appearances on his own. They're in desperation mode because they're seeing the same data we can see, but they actually have better. They pay a lot of money and she's got tons for insider polling, right?

And so these off the record polls that they're looking at, right and they call them internals are showing that donald trump is crushing her right these aren't like the washington post poll that just came out that are sampling very off right trying to show that harris is up in some of these battleground states by nine points she's not up in any battleground state period at all she's not up she's down by early voting big time and that's important to understand it's not like democrats are

going to show up on election election day and pull her ahead. We know that Republicans will have more turnout on election day. That's always the case. Even when we now are going earlier, which I was begging people to do four years ago. I hated that sentiment. Wait till election day. We are busy. Tuesday is a random day. You have families, you have work, you have crap that's going to happen.

And when that happens, getting into a polling station and waiting two to three hours can be impossible, no matter how committed you are. That hurt Republicans. One of the many things that wait till election day for security nonsense, go in person or in Pennsylvania, which doesn't have in-person voting. You can go as Scott Pressler, the hero of Pennsylvania driving registration and turnout for Republicans. He says you go in and you ask for an in-person mail-in ballot.

You can go to a polling station, fill it out, a mail-in ballot, as they call it, and drop it in person. You can do that. So Republicans are embracing it.

They've also embraced the mail-in ballot because you see, although Democrats are ahead in states like Pennsylvania in mail-ins, their margin is cut drastically from last time. You'll see this firewall concept from the Democrats about Pennsylvania, meaning, hey, all we need is 500,000 votes, a vote lead. That's our firewall. We go into election day with half a million votes in the lead for mail-in ballots. We're set. They can't make it up. Well, right now, first of all, that firewall is nonsense.

It's absolute nonsense. People forget Biden had a 1.1 million vote lead going into election day in 2020. Right now, their early vote lead with the mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania, the Democrats have roughly 340,000, 350,000. It oscillates in that number. It's flattened out at that number now, and that's why I'm talking about it. I wanted to wait because it jumped out. There was going to be a lead. Day one, it was 100,000, 200,000.

Republicans were getting worried. They said, no, it's going to flatten out. As you get closer to election day, more Republicans are going to turn out if Donald Trump is doing what I thought he was doing, and he is. So that margin is flattened out. It's not going to change. It might go up a little bit. It might go down, but it's oscillating in a terrible danger zone for Democrats. I mean, think about it. 1.1 million last time, roughly 350,000 lead this time.

She can't win Pennsylvania unless something astronomical happens. And how do I know? I look at behaviors, right? So I talked about Harris. You take the data, that's one thing. Data's important. But we had some data last time, and it was nothing like this. We were still kind of optimistic because there was a margin that we felt Republicans could overtake, and really they did.

Let's be real. And even with all the nonsense that went on, if you take the total of the battleground states and you look at if I believe it was Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, those battlegrounds in total, Biden won by 40,000 votes. Think about how close that was. He was polling six, seven, eight points ahead in some of the battleground states, which Trump always under polls. So think about now you've got battleground states in reputable polls where Trump is leading. One, two, three points.

Leading. When in 2016, he was behind. 2020 behind. He's leading in those polls going to Election Day. That's data point one. Early voting. Big time Republican turnout. Everywhere they can calculate it reliably in battleground states, Trump is crushing it, meaning Republicans are. So then talking about behaviors, let's go back to that, right? We're looking at where Kamala Harris is going. Now let's talk about where Trump is going. Trump just scheduled a rally in Salem, Virginia. Think about that.

He knows because he has excellent people running his campaign this time, right? He's got the guy that saved Trump. That saved us in which election it was. Oh, no, he's the one that's running things in Georgia for the last couple of years. He's so good. Trump took him. These guys are smart. These guys are not going to have Donald Trump go anywhere that doesn't expose Harris for being exhausted and doesn't help his campaign or the campaign of others on the ticket running for the Republican Party.

So he's going to Salem, Virginia, based on internal polling, I have no doubt. Also, when you look at the early voting data that is available, Virginia doesn't have as much. It's not secretive. It's just their laws on what they share. It's trending extremely strong in Republican areas that had lower turnout in 2020 and in 2020. You got to be careful with 2020. COVID throws that off. Anybody that talks about it in an isolated way looking for data is taking a big risk.

But I have reason to believe, and I'll talk about in a second, why it's so much better than 2020 or now because of all the mail-in ballots that were just shifted out. Remember, four years ago, people had ballots in their mail without even asking for them. Now you have to request it.

And now it's not sitting on your table for three or four months so that somebody from the Democrat ground game, which was better than ours and had been forever, better than ours in 2020, they come around and they harvest that ballot. Meaning, hey, have you filled out your ballot yet? Oh, no. And they target elderly areas and they quote unquote help them fill out their ballot and take it for them. It's actually not legal. It's real gray area, but it's hard to enforce.

And so when they help these people in the conversations, I've seen the scripts, it's, well, how do you feel about improving education? Well, great. Well, you know, and they walk you right through it and they have a script, which is fine. That's the Republicans do now too. They finally match them at their game. But then the actual harvesting of the ballot is not legal. You can talk to somebody, knock on the door, have a script, get them out to vote with just about whatever message you want.

But when you start handling a ballot for them, and dare I say signing them, as some people said they did, you're way over the line. Well, they can't do that now.

There's not this massive amount of ballots out there like there were in Nevada last time to be harvested. You have to request the ballot, right? That's step one. Then you have to fill it out. Then you have to mail it in or drop it off yourself. So what that does is it makes it less easy for what they call low-propensity voters to vote. What is a low-propensity voter? And I want to help you with some of these terms because they're all over Twitter, all over social media, and it gets confusing.

Just stick with low-propensity. There's other mid-propensity, non-propensity. Low-propensity voters are people that didn't vote in the last election. That is the gold. They are gold for ground games in elections, political races, meaning you want to win those votes because those are net new votes. These are votes that are organically new that didn't come out for your candidate last time. Trump is crushing that. You're doing, you see exit polls, you know the ground game in Pennsylvania, Nevada.

These guys are out there and they're getting the low propensity voters on the backs of what Trump is doing. What is Trump doing? McDonald's, need I say more? He is speaking to people in the digital world in ways he didn't last time because the Republican Party got off their ass, got on Twitter, got more so on TikTok. And now they're getting chunks of the young vote, which is absolutely critical. It's the lifeblood of Democrat election victories.

They can't do it. If you cut just a piece of the young vote. If you just cut a piece off of the black African-American vote, they can't win. It's not a maybe, it just can't. And he's doing that because he's so naturally good. That event had some risk to it. And he ends up looking like the grandfather of America, waving out the window and people on TikTok are like, I had no idea he was like this.

I just feel like things are going to be better looking at him, people that work those jobs and said how much this means to them to see somebody of that status and stature do that just for 15 minutes. And then of course, you know it hit well because the Democrats melted down about it and in social media and in mainstream media kept that story alive for like three days because they know they're losing.

And I do too. I really think unless something, I have to put the asterisk next, something astronomical happens on election day that's never happened before, which is what they're hoping for on the left now. They're basically saying, We think Republicans, these Republicans, some of them are voting Harris, and a few are, but so are Democrats voting for Trump.

And the real problem that they don't want to talk about is that the independents, typically people that register as other, unaffiliated, in every poll are shifting to Trump because he's the best closer in the history of politics. Absolutely the best. Going back to the founding of our country, nobody closes the last two weeks of an election like Donald Trump. He was getting slaughtered in 2020. Double-digit deficits in polling.

Biden was killing him. COVID had Biden propped up because any incumbent president is going to have a problem with a global pandemic. And a president like Trump, who is never going to get any favor and never will from the press, Biden was propped up and he ran his basement campaign and they tried it with Harris.

But because she was such a late entrant and was propped up herself without being nominated because she could never win a primary she's been slaughtered every you know every time she's tried for general primary for president united states even in her own state she came in fifth it's pathetic but because she is a dei higher sorry i mean it's what it was she had to be given the spot or else you were racist and you were sexist so she sways in there

with her message of joy and they hid her, no press conferences, for weeks. And then as you get to closing time, she had to come out. And the debate was her chance. Trump did not have a good night when he debated her. But Trump had also been shot. And the way our news cycle works. Things fade quickly, right? It's like people have forgot now. Well, if they forgot that, they forgot a bad debate performance by Trump. And they did.

And that's what I was kind of counting on it. I give it a week and Trump can take the message back. He can take the media energy back. He can take the headlines back and he did. And slowly but surely, he started building the MAGA message. He started going to the people with his message and Harris has never had a message. And I think it all came down like a blimp on fire during her town hall at CNN with Anderson Cooper, right? She couldn't answer questions. She didn't answer questions.

She's awkward, right? She cannot do anything without a script. And that's why she did okay in parts of the debate, because a lot of that's scripted. And she practiced for two days, and Trump didn't practice enough. And that's a learning lesson for him, but he's never going to have to be in debate again, so he can just move on. But so she fumbled that opportunity where she got a little bump in the polls as the new nominee, as somebody who won the debate.

But then she couldn't get out there with the people and be natural and win their vote. Because a lot of people at the time were still undecided because no matter what you say about the economy right now, the stock market, which is actually taking a dip now, we have a real problem with the price of everything. And people don't care about what's happening in global markets, what's happening in the Dow Jones when they can't afford groceries or gas, right?

If milk is twice the price it was four years ago, if gas is close to being twice the price it was four years ago, your life is negatively impacted every day. You live with it every day. And Harris has no way to say she offers anything different. She's in a real pickle because she was in the administration for the last four years. So if she doesn't say Biden did a great job, she's saying then, well, he didn't do a great job, but I was too cowardly.

Right. Not the, quote, strong woman, unquote, that I am. I couldn't say anything. But as she's tried to do and distance herself from Joe Biden, she's literally distancing herself from herself. And actually that town hall was kind of a debate. Like that's what CNN wanted it to be. They had that time slot, prime time debate. And Trump said, I'm not doing it. Well, why did Trump say he's not doing it? Because he's crushing her in the internals for weeks now.

There was no data point reason for him to do a debate. He had nothing to win and everything to lose. And that's why he didn't do it. And that's why Harris started begging for a debate about three weeks after the first one, because her being her started turning people off and she needed to get back and score some punches. So the Trump team was brilliant with that, and Trump probably wanted to do it. He said he kind of has.

But unlike last time, he's got people that actually control him a little bit, and I think he's listening.

Now, of course, the Trump weave, he's brilliant in front of a microphone, but sometimes he goes a little bit too far off the cuff for comfort. But what's become the reality now is people are just used to it, and they're finding ways to enjoy it, and they're just not as reactive when the mainstream media goes, see, see, Nazi, see, fascist, it's not working, right? Retired General Kelly's nonsense comments that were aired as a desperate October surprise fell flat.

People know that everybody that has left the Trump team is desperate to hurt him because he canned these people. A lot of me, he fired Kelly. And so they're disgruntled former employees. And as much as the media propped that up, they really screwed themselves when they let the Atlantic and other left-wing psychotic rags take the narrative and go after Trump with that, I think her name is Guillen. That deceased soldier who was murdered, right, and horribly.

And it's a terrible story. She was missing for quite a while. And so then they tried this story where Trump said $60,000, quote, you know, quote, it doesn't cost $60,000 to bury a Mexican. Now, anybody... Who's seen Trump, who's watched him speak, it doesn't even fit the pace of what he says. He doesn't talk like that. Even in print, you know he didn't say it.

But even with sadder and more pathetic, without an apology, these scumbags like Jake Tapper, I mean, he's a piece of garbage, ran with this story because they're so desperate to get that witch elected, right? She's witch 2.0, she's Hillary, that they ran with the story because they got to land a glove on Trump. They're trying to hurt him and they just can't, right? All the court cases, everything, the impeachments, they didn't work, and now they're getting desperate.

So what do they do? They run with the story, and her poor family has to come out and talk about how that is untrue, how gracious Trump was. They have to relive all this crap. They have to go into studios, put on the makeup, and come out of their grieving to rebut this nonsense. And so this story, and I'll jump to this now. I was going to close with this. I'll jump to it now. I absolutely hate the Democratic Party, and I hate the mainstream media.

I've never said that. And I don't use the word hate, just like I don't use the word awesome, right? Not everything is awesome. And I don't hate a lot of things. I hate pedophiles. And just a few degrees below, I hate hypocrites. I hate liars. And these people are bullies. And they're going out, they're not bullying Trump. Trump doesn't care. They can't touch him.

They're bullying the family of a deceased woman soldier who was murdered just to get what they want. This is the party of joy. I hate them. And you should let yourself hate them in control too, because you can never trust them. And that's the beauty of what's happening is they've done this. And at the sacrifice of that family and others, they've made these desperate attempts. I mean, they dug up some lady from 31 years ago and Trump groped me at a party with Epstein.

I mean, no, even Times, CNN, NBC, they all turned that story down. It was so ridiculous. So they had to get a British tabloid to run it. And it was the Guardian or something.

Flubbed in 10 minutes and they were on twitter all these leftists were called this october surprise is coming and people were just laughing like what you know and then of course so it became down to kelly was saying he's a nazi fascist and trump groped somebody i mean they go right back to they can't help themselves because there's a lot of mental illness now they literally can't think trump doing anything joyous or good is good they literally hate it i mean the mcdonald's thing,

And you see Europeans and people outside the U.S. On social media are like, this looks like kind of a fun event. They're like, what is the deal? Oh, the McDonald's was closed. Oh, they screened the people driving up to the drive. Well, yeah, so they've tried to assassinate him twice, actually three times because that attempt was spoiled early. The man took a bullet to the ear an inch away from his brain. Had he not turned, he'd be dead. And I think we'd have civil war. That's another topic.

So yeah, I think people driving up with their concealed hands in a vehicle to a small window where he's going to be hanging out, talking to them and handing them French fries, I think they're going to screen him. You freaking dolts. You dimwits. These are stupid, hateful people, and I'm tired of not returning what they give. So that's what they get. So there's no compromise for that extreme left. Why even try? There's no reaching across the aisle. They're a mile away.

They are to be dismissed and defeated, and we are beating them into submission.

And I believe come November 5th, that evening, I think we're going to have an answer. And so why do I think that? Let's get to the data. North Carolina, they have a data guy, the guy that did Florida last time. He's called Data Republican. It says Data Republican at Twitter. So at Data Republican, all one word, on Twitter. He's really good, but the numbers are means hardcore in the data.

So what he's doing, what he did in Florida last time, and even though things got close, He predicted Florida was going to go Trump. Now he's got Florida at a prediction of close to 10 based on early turnout. But what he's done is he's been able to take his data. And this guy won't publish anything unless it passes all of his requirements, his data requirements, which are tough. And he's not really making predictions. He's just showing Republican turnout.

And so he says North Carolina, he's got a map. Using the same data points from Florida, He's been able to apply it to North Carolina and to Nevada. And he updated this yesterday. And as of five hours ago, Republicans have built up their early voting lead over 30,000, an accomplishment which Nevada has pulled off. So you have heavy early voting by Republicans in Nevada, North Carolina, where he can track it.

And you've got the red counties getting redder. And you look at the map when there's light red and there's some blue in North Carolina, heavier populated areas as it typically is for Democrats. But there is absolutely no one. I would never have imagined if someone said that Republicans would lead in early voting in any of these states, like lead into going to election day, I thought you were crazy. It's just it's not necessary either. I've said we're still going to win.

I think we can win, but not because we're going to be leading in early voting going into Election Day. Now, there's one week left. Anything can change, but this isn't. So the watch out is something called cannibalization. So without going too deep in the numbers, Republican turnout as a portion of turnout is higher than it's ever been when you compare to 2022 and 2020. That's a doomsday predictor for Democrats.

They never imagined they'd be dealing with a vote deficit going to Election Day because they've never turned out on Election Day more than early voting since early voting has been around, which I believe 2018 in some states. But 2020 was the big one for mail-in where people adopted that and, of course, a lot of early in-person. And so what are they going to do now? I mean, I don't know. But their messaging is desperate, right? I talked about it.

They think Republicans are voting Harris. Like, oh, we don't worry. There's at least 10, they throw out these numbers. They don't have any data behind it. It's all hopeful sentiments masked as data. So that's where they're going. The other thing they're saying is cannibalization. And when I saw that term and I realized what it was, I was worried about a week and a half ago.

What is, what do they mean? They're meaning, okay, you're sure you're leading in early voting, but you're just shifting votes that would have been on election day to early in-person and mail mailing. Well, that is a factor. There are people now, thank goodness, that are voting early in person or mailing their vote in, Republicans, that have always voted on election day or otherwise would have this time. So how do you make that up?

Registrations, for one. Republicans are through the roof, like in Pennsylvania, through the roof. They registered thousands of Amish votes. The Republicans have. They've added net new registrations from low propensity to people I was talking about earlier, right, that didn't vote in the last presidential election. They've added middle propensity people that vote in the last two out of four. They're beating the Democrats in the registration.

And then you're seeing from exit polls the people talking about who they voted for and if they voted in the last election. Republicans are beating Democrats in that category, meaning we voted for Trump. We didn't vote last time versus the people that say I voted for Harris. I didn't vote last time. So you take those two categories of low propensity voters, people that have voted in this election and haven't voted in the last four. That's another category Republicans are winning.

So they're registering net new votes. And that's what makes up for any cannibalization. Is it possible we cannibalize so much that it hurts our early day turnout? It's possible. But what really isn't possible is that if you're seeing net new registration and turnout in early voting, there's really no way you don't see that on election day, especially when election day is always stronger for Republicans. So Harris has, I mean, you look at it this way, there's two people running.

She has a 50-50 chance of winning. You can't say it's a lock at any point. But it's why the betting markets are trending so strong for Trump. If you're betting and you're taking the data, you're looking what's happening, you're also feeling the vibe. You're feeling who's positive, who's talking about the future, who's negative, who's melting down, who's talking about the other candidate like Harris is talking about Trump because they're getting desperate.

They have nothing to run on other than now vote against Trump. And that's what Hillary went with. You know, Biden's message when it started was all about January 6th, all about it, right? Now, he wasn't leading in the polls, but that message would probably be a lot stronger now, and they've totally shifted from it. And that surprises me. Now, they do a lot of internal polling.

And I think as we've gotten closer to the election, because that January 6th message went away and Trump took over the headlines, he took over the energy. He took over what was important, the economy and the border, right, consistently are the top two issues. Then you have a problem trying to bring January 6th back You let that issue, Especially a strong issue for Democrats People who identify as Democrat You let that issue simmer And now it's hard to put heat on it.

When there's so much positive heat on Trump. I mean, he's at the Michigan rally last night, and these rallies now are in that overflow mode. They can't fit people in. People are now gravitating towards him more than they did in 2016. Remember, he couldn't do this in 2020 because of COVID the way he did in 2016.

Now the gloves are off. He's not handcuffed. He can do his closing like he did in 2016. And this election is not only looking like it's going to turn out like 2016. It has all the same color, all the same structure, right? Leftist, shrill, angry female Democrat candidate versus a guy that's running on a positive, pro-America, pro-worker, pro-economy, pro-strong borders, male Donald Trump, who has a tremendous following. Harris doesn't.

There was never a Kamala Harris brand going into her coronation as the Democrat nominee. Trump's built on his brand. Now he's got the dark MAGA, Make America Great Again hat that Elon Musk, who's a hero in this, right? Elon Musk made popular. I mean, just think about what Trump's potential team looks like if he walks into the wild. I'm going to say if because I'm paranoid. He's got Elon Musk, Tulsi Gabbard, RFK Jr., who's got people really listening to the health points he's making.

And he's got Trump adopting concerns about vaccination, adopting concerns about the crap preservatives and chemicals that only our country and like one other is allowed to put on food. And of course, then you've got the Joe Rogan podcast, which I'm going to let digest a bit, which was brilliant that they launched it Friday night. There's no weekly news cycle. So social media is out there posting clips. I can say, arguably, it was an A plus.

I don't see how you look at that and don't say that that three-hour conversation, the points that they hit, the way Joe Rogan did it, the way Trump at times interviewed Rogan was absolutely brilliant. It even humanizes him more than others have said, which has also been a positive for J.D. Vance. They've been great about J.D. Vance because when he came out, the Democrats had the whole weird thing. He's weird. He's awkward. He's evil. And so what did Blue Eyes J.D. Vance do?

One, he does a debate where he destroys Tim Walz, who's become absolutely awkward and weird and effeminate, which is just never good for a male presidential candidate. Sorry. It doesn't have to do with sexual orientation. It didn't for Pete Buttigieg. Tim Walz is more effeminate than Pete G., than the cyborg. That's a real problem. Sorry, it is. People don't talk about it, but it's a problem. And he just has no alpha in him. He couldn't load a shotgun. That was on video. He's falling apart.

There's somebody during the Rogan podcast, somebody had told Rogan, I guess, that she had made that decision when she was sleep deprived, the Tim Walts one. She's really regretting, I'm sure, not taking Shapiro from Pennsylvania. That was a big mistake. But she couldn't because he's a pro-Israel guy. And that's another pickle Democrats put themselves in. But so now you have this dream team. I think it's a dream team. You've got Tulsi Gabbard now declaring she's a Republican. She's fully set.

I'm a Republican now with Donald Trump on stage with his beauty, the way he nods. He's like, oh, great. I love his body language in those moments. And like he's surprised. Oh, wonderful, wonderful. Not jumping up and down, which I think it's funny that Elon Musk does that stuff. He's just so him. He's just so him. And, you know, Trump is just moving into closeout mode, right? He's closing the deal with the American people and he's the best closer.

This is the art of the deal. You're seeing it in its 2.0 form in Donald Trump closing this election out. And so, you know, as we move on, I'll probably do a show Monday. I might do it Sunday night. There's going to be a lot to do in the coming days. And so the show pace is going to pick up. And then after the election, we're going to analyze everything because I will talk about how dire and serious things are going to be when Trump wins.

It's going to be devastating. It's going to be nothing like 2016. It's going to be a thousand times worse. Now, will they be able to try to impeach him? We hope not because we hope we get 53 seats in the Senate. Odds are really good Republicans win the Senate. We have a shot taking Baldwin out.

We have a shot taking out what's her Stefanik. We have senators now in Pennsylvania and in Wisconsin running ads that put Trump in a positive light, meaning they're talking about how they partnered with Trump. Because they're seeing the tone and the data in their own states, in Wisconsin, in Pennsylvania, shifting towards Trump. I mean, Trump is doing really well. The data that you can see in Wisconsin, he looks really good, flipping that back. Remember, he won it in 2016.

Virginia is a Hail Mary. I'm really interested in Virginia. I'm really interested in that one. And I have to be because Trump is going there.

Watch where these candidates go, right watch where harris and her surrogates go watch where trump goes because the harris campaign, if you ask them they're going to say she's going to lose based on what we know anything can happen she's going to lose so what do you have to do now now you have to damage control you have to shore up your base and make sure it turns out not just for you but for tammy baldwin she's in wisconsin the senator, right?

You've got to get people to show up for your down-ballot people because it's bad. You're going to lose the presidency, but there's a chance the Republicans end up with 53 Senate seats and they're going to win the House. So... That is their nightmare because, you know, 50-50 favor for Republicans, meaning J.D. Vance is the deciding vote, is fine. You get all the committees. You can get legislation to the floor. But you got Lisa Murkowski in Alaska who's a fake Republican.

So you got to be able to shadow and cross out her vote. And you got to make her not this person that everybody's going to when Trump's trying to pass a tax cut. But these rhinos, these Republicans in name only love to be that person, right? And love to be everybody's coming to them and the Democrat hero. And I'll thank God for her.

You get 52, 53 Senate seats. Lisa Murkowski is a complete loser. Nobody. We never have to talk about again. Adios, Alaska. She has no power. That is a beautiful thing. That witch loves to be the counterperson. She's the John McCain times 1000. The quote unquote maverick. Oh, come to me. I'll decide. It's an obnoxious power play. She's not loyal to anybody who gets her elected. And she's only there because of their multiple candidate system crap they have in Alaska.

And she would never win if it was a straight Democrat Republican election. She never went in Alaska. She'd get primaried out by a conservative. So it's nonsense that she's even there. She's not smart enough to know it. And she loves to be the ego player. She'd just think Liz Cheney. And I'll close you with this. How tone deaf is the media?

How tone deaf is Kamala Harris? and her surrogates that they think telling us Liz Cheney and these other goofball rhino Republicans like Jeff Flake in Arizona, remember him? And all of them, they say a hundred Republicans, people former on his staff. Think about it, guys. Why would you vote for these people? They've sided with her because Trump is dangerous.

And then you see that town hall with Liz Cheney sitting there, frumpy, boring, nobody Liz Cheney, whose own people sent her packing in an election. There's like 20 people in the room and that's their closing message. Liz Cheney acting like the thing about a guy is that obnoxious left-leaning left-wing school teacher who wouldn't, you know, stop fidgeting school teacher is sitting up there with her smug look. Doing a town hall with Kamala Harris, and the theme is just,

oh, no, Trump is dangerous. They have no closing message. They're falling apart.

They're begging the election to come because it gets worse every day. And so feel good. I think feel much better than last time. I invite you to get on Twitter, follow me, right, and just take a look at what I'm retweeting, and then you can follow the people that I follow because you can get some great data. And what I want to do, think of Rich Barris, the people's pundit. He's fantastic, right? Right now, you look at what he just tweeted about an hour ago.

Rich Barris is a pollster, deep data guy. He's been very accurate. He says, in the 25 states that track early voting by party, it was Democrat plus eight overall advantage as of Wednesday, or 43% to 35%. That's now. So as of Wednesday of this week, the data we have in. Democrats have overall, all 25 states, including the deep blue ones that are during early voting, Democrats have an eight-point advantage in turnout by party as of Wednesday.

In 2020, brace yourself, it was Democrats plus 28, 28, and the margin was 53% to 25%. Right now, it's 43% to 35%, right? So it's that much of a slaughter now. But you have to think, we're definitely cannibalizing some votes, no doubt. We're going to have an advantage on election day turnout. It's not going to be the same. So it's important that we keep this early vote margin tight, that people get out there and they vote whenever they can, as soon as they can.

The energy is there. The enthusiasm is there. The issue polling is there. All of it's shifting to Trump. Even the poll question about who's better for democracy, because they've shaped that democracy thing, Jan 6, all that towards Democrats. For the first time this week, I believe it was Wall Street Journal, which is an excellent poll. Trump has a three-point advantage. It was like 43% to 40, and the others say nobody. He has an advantage on that issue. So we're winning on the issues.

We're winning on polling and we're winning on early voting, but we're going to have to see how great election day can be. Because I don't just want to win. I just want 270. I want a landslide, an electoral college landslide. I think it's possible. I'm going to have more as we look at the data. Again, give me a follow. I'm most active on Twitter. What is my Twitter handle? Sometimes I go to my profile. I got a bunch. It's at Enemy Lines Radio.

That's the one I've dug into, at enemy lines radio on Twitter. I don't post a ton, but you can look at my history and look at the people that I think have the best data just by who I like and by who I repost on X on Twitter. Thanks guys for listening. Love having you back. Download it anytime you can. Listen in the car, listen at home, and I will be back in a couple of days here on Behind Enemy Lines Radio. God bless. Take care.