Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Wild Card Weekend Preview - podcast episode cover

Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Wild Card Weekend Preview

Jan 04, 202147 minEp. 129
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Episode description

South Point Hotel Casino Sportsbook Director Chris Andrews brings over 40 years of bookmaking experience to the table in this weekly series designed to find an edge in the upcoming week's NFL betting lines. Andrews and Host Gill Alexander give their thoughts on every game on the Wild Card Weekend slate on Monday's Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Wild Card Weekend podcast (January 4, 2021).

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Transcript

Speaker 1

Check it on Man Now down Man Good Monday Morning. King is a numbers game right here at Visa, the sports betting network Visa dot Com, the Visa at Foobos Link Gay Plus, I Heart Radio, I Heart Radio, I Heart Skill Alexander wild Card weekends set in the National Football League. We will talk about all six games, uh, looking back on some on yesterday, looking back on you, I say, looking back on tomorrow, looking back on yesterday. And we will bringing Chrissie Andrews as well. It's not

your typical guessing lines. Uh. Here's the deal. I will tell you what I guessed yesterday. I know what they are now more or less, but gives us an opportunity to discuss with Chrissie his uh thinking behind and what his thoughts were on these games. And I will tell you that of the six games, I was more or less right around half point or a point off, you know in the ballpark. Let's say for five of the six, one of them I was comically off on comically So

we'll get to that. And he guesses Jason as to what game that was that was comically off. On the Tennessee game, you are correct. Just leave it. We'll get into that. I can't wait for the comedy though. Yeah, okay, let's stalk before we get Chrissy here. Well we can break Kissie, Christie and now Ladies. Gentle was my book from the South Point Hotel Casino, the star of guessing lines during the regular season and kind enough to join us here in the playoffs? Is Christie Andrews? Are you doing?

Chris all? Look in my wounds? After yesterday? Up? What was the worst of the Sunday night game? Yesterday? That was the worst? Yeah, that was the worst. Yeah. The landing on six was was not fun. I would imagine. Um, yeah, we opened the Eagles one and we went as high as seven on Washington, and well six was not a very good number. Yeah. Well, you know, hey, this happens, right, and then you'll have five weeks in a wrong will you crush people? So you know, I don't know my dad.

I just want to give you some coaching news here. We know Adam Gates was fired by the Jets last night. This morning in case you missed it here just moments ago, came down Doug Morone no real surprise, fired pardon me by the Jacksonville Jaguars. All the speculation is that urban Meyer will be their head coach. Urban Meyer has already talked to Scott Pioli perhaps to be his GM, talking to coaches around the country. We'll see if that actually happens.

But Doug Moron now out in Jacksonville. We do know this. Zach Taylor is going to stay with the Cincinnati Bengals. Uh, Mike Brown doing his thing. This from Zack Barnett. Zach Taylor will returned for a third season in Bengals owner Mike Brown announced. The Bengals love holding onto coaches, don't they do? And I'm just telling you, well, we'll get to that later. But you know, it's a shame. I don't want to waste Joe Burrow's career. Like I said,

I'm not rooting against anybody. I'm always rooting. I want the league to prosper. Because the league prospers, then I have a chance to prosper. And I need to waste Joe Burrow's career. And exactly, it was just an awful coach. And but you know, the Bengals, that's what the That's what the Bengals do. You know. Anyway, probably another wasted

year for Joe Burrow. I don't plan on giving any stats of teams from yesterday that aren't in the postseason, so we can sort of, you know, scuttle by those teams. But I will just mention this about the Bengals. Zach Taylor two years now, six twenty five and one as the head coach of the Cincinnati Bengals. And I wasn't aware because I wasn't looking for stats of the teams that were, you know, not not going to the postseason. But uh my buddy said, hey, did you see Brandon

Allen stats yesterday? Brandon Allen was six of twenty one for forty eight yards yesterday against Baltimore, no touchdowns, two picks, He wasn't sacked. He had a qb R of three and a rating of zero. Come on back, Zach Taylor. That's yes, Oh my god. So I don't know he got the QBR of three, but you know those things are quirky. But Joe Burrow, along with Josh Allen, and I don't I think we need to give this guy

more credit. Because Matt Brown and I, along with Dave Pharah, we did a fantasy show last year, not this year, this past year, and Jordan Palmer. Carson Palmer's little brother, who also had a moment in the Pros runs this quarterback camp, and any credit we want to give to Josh Allen's magnificent accuracy turnaround should go to Jordan Palmer. He's also had Joe burrownder his wings, So I mean

he might be the quarterback whisper, the quarterback guru. But Zach Taylor coming back, and we'll find out about Anthony Lynn. I guess today, what do you think? I am a hunch he's gonna stay. We do. You know? They finished strong and I don't know the Stanos family, but I know people to do. They are notoriously cheap. That's what I can say. And it would behoove to him to not pay to one that. It's Gil Alexander, It's Chris Andrews.

This is a numbers game right here at Visa, the Sports Betting Network, Visa dot Com, Visa at foodbos Linking game plus part of the I Heart Radio Network. Alright, so let us begin. Let's do these in chronological order. We'll get the survivor and uh, we'll get you all the details of who got through on Survivor. Later we'll talk about m v P and Heisman and all that kind of stuff. Pete few tackle Jonas for college football. Todd wishing about what he's doing live on Twitter as well.

But the first hour here with Chrissy. Let's start with the first of the six triple head or Saturday and Sunday. What do you got first? On Saturday, we have a cold set the Bills. Colts at the Bills. Colts get it done. Colts beat the Jaguars to fourteen. Took a little while to have some breathing ruin that game. But Jonathan Taylor Derrick Henry did not have the most yards in the NFL yesterday. Jonathan Taylor did uh thirty carries

for two hundred fifty three yards two touchdowns. Uh. The Colts had four hundred thirty seven total yards of offense. Two hundred seventy three of those were rushing rivers seventeen of twenty seven for one sixty four, one touchdown, one pick. He was not sacked. They needed to win into Tennessee loss to win the an f C South. That did not happen, but they got the win and a loss by Miami to put them in the postseason. Did did happen?

For the Colts. So the eleven and five Colts enter as the number seven seed, and then Buffalo enters is the number two seeds. Sean McDermott decided, we're gonna play guys for a half. At least we're gonna play Josh Allen for a half yesterday against Buffalo. I'm not sure if it would have mattered if it was Josh Allen or Joe Ferguson at his advanced stage yesterday playing in this game. But in the first half Allen eighteen of twenty five for two twenty four three touchdowns, one picky

sacked once. He ends up with four thousand, five hundred forty four passing yards and forty five total touchdowns. That's through the air and on the ground. That's both of those are franchise records, by the way. Antonio Williams twelve or sixty three two touchdowns, Gabriel Davis two catches one oh seven for a touchdown. Isaiah mackenzie six catches sixty five yards two touchdowns, also had a punt return touchdown. There were plus two and turnovers against Miami. It's their

first thirteen win season since the Bills. That is, and will host its first playoff game they will in twenty four years as they crush, absolutely crushed the Dolphins fifty six to twenty six. My guest was minus seven and a half in favor of the Bills. What did you end up putting up? Well, you know, I opened six and a half, but we got bet up. We had a few bets last night and that was one of them that bet on the Bill. So we're seven right now. Um, you know, my my power rating has actually come a

little lower. But my my feeling is I think seven has got to be the number myself. Um, you know Colts, you know, I think the Colds and I make Philip Rivers and uh, you know, my first thought is inconsistent That most people think inconsistent is necessarily a negative connotation. It isn't because there's sometimes when they look really good and I got that. I think they have a very good roster. But you know, Rivers, I mean, you know, he's always been inconsistent. Now he's at an advanced age

and he's gonna figures be more inconsistent. But you know, do they have a chance against the Bills. Absolutely, But right now I think the Bills are just they're playing as good at football as anybody in the NFL, and they're gonna be awfully tough to beat. And I think home Field is starting to meet a little something, especially now in these playoff games. UH. So, you know, I think sevens are good. I think seven was a good number.

I got opened it a little bit too low. I believe that there's no breaking news here, but I think Buffalo will be v teaser leg that everybody ties in every thing else with uh and perhaps rightfully so. I agree with you. They're playing as well as anybody, and that includes Kansas City and that includes Green Bay. Can we talk about Miami for a second who they knocked out or at or at least helped knock out the once Indianapolis when it was a done deal. Miami ends

up ten and six. They end up the odd team out of the eight teams for seven spots sweepstakes in the a f C. Uh Towah in the first half yesterday was twelve of nineteen for eighty nine yards, no touchdowns, no picks. He was stocked once. He ended up thirty five of fifty eight for three sixty one fifty eight attempts, one touchdown, three picks. Was sacked once. The picks were over the span of four second half possessions. Three picks in four second half possessions. He had two interceptions his

first eight starts. But the play I want to seize on because a lot of people are gonna seeze on the fact that you know, the ball doesn't go downfield with him, and that's justifiable, that's absolutely right to see is on that. But there was another thing in that game, third quarter, twelve oh five left, the Dolphins were down to six, So this is the opening drive of the

second half. They got rolled in the first half by Alan first and goal at the Buffalo nine to up the gut, and instead of taking on defenders and trying to get into the end zone, he slides right in the middle of the field and lands at the I don't know, it was like a four or five yard game, and I just remember thinking of myself at that moment that play was more damning to me than any of his passes downfield. Is he shy of contact still with the injury? What did you see that play? What did

you chalk that up to? I didn't see that play that was at that one up being one of our few really really good games. And I didn't watch it all that much because that other thing to sweat. But I had, you know, obviously had it on in my office, but during the day, I mean that, you know. And then he was in my office for the first couple of hours, and then Jimmy was all day it kept saying, I don't think this kid's got it. I just, you know, I don't know. Maybe we need some really good coaching.

We started talking about some of the other guys who took a while to develop. Carry Bradshaw, who me and Jimmy Saws, you know, a young quarterback, and always say if you look at bradshaw stats and Ryan Leaves from their first couple of years, they look almost identical. But Bradshaw turned into the Hall of Famer and Releef retired after a few years. So we too early jumped the gun. Maybe, but there's something missing with too And I don't know if coaching can do it or not. Um, you mentioned

that play right there. I did not be that, but I think that that kind of speaks volumes there, and uh, you know, I think they have an issue on their hands that they need to address, and they have an early draft choice and I think they have the third draft choice, so they they have an opportunity to draft somebody instead of to and that I think that's a

good possibility. Could you imagine if they did that. Yeah, Dolphins end up with a third pick in the draft because of the Laramie Tunsil deal, Thank you, Bill O'Brien. So they end up with a three pick in the draft. So we'll see. Man, if they went a quarterback, that would be just absolutely unbelievable. As far as the game Tennessee at Buffalo, excuse me, Indianapolis at Buffalo, seven seed versus the two seed in the end, I will be

betting Buffalo every which way and teasers. Teasers included obviously um part of a money line parlay. I'm sure might bet m a t S if you're getting him in seven or below. I don't know how I could be talked off that position. I just think they're playing that well. And I don't know that the Colts. Listen, the Colts were they couldn't really get past Jacksonville that easily yesterday. I don't know about the Colts. I haven't really known

about them all year. Haven't felt like i've known their identity so that'll be bills for me for sure, every which way. What's number two? Next step? We have the Rams at Seattle. Rams at Seattle, all right, Rams get there by beating the Cardinals, and we gotta do a Cardinals autopsy two, just like we did with the Dolphins because I had things to stay there. Rams at Seattle Rams beat the Cardinals in a elimination game eighteen to seven, in a game that became very apparent as it went

on that the Rams defense. Again I said this on Primetime Action. I'm not sure if I said it on a numbers game. The Rams defensive unit was always going to be the best unit on that football field, and boy did they show it yesterday in this game. And you knew as you watch it, You're like, there's no way the Cardinals are going to win this game. So it's a great end game opportunity. John Woolford two time a a F Player of the Week. It's the Alliance

of American Football. Cristy Case, you're scoring at home. I don't even know what that was the one before last season, before the twenty nineteen season, and they didn't get through the season. Did they had to cancel it? Like after six weeks, seven weeks. Yeah, the one that was financially insolvent. Yeah. He played for Arizona in the in the a F. But John Wolf it was thirty eight yesterday for two thirty one, no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked twice.

He did carry the ball six times for fifty six yards. That was an added dimension that people knew about him from his days at Wake Forest and the a F. He he started with a pick on his very first throw and you're like, oh, this might not go well, but really gazing the game. Confidence as the day went on. But it's the defense, the Rams defense. They scored as many points as the Rams offense, a couple more than

the Cardinals themselves in their eighteen to seven win. It's the third postseason birth and four years under coach Sean McVeigh. The Rams would have reached the playoffs even with a loss because Green Bay beat Chicago, but nine points uh pick six from Hill that was the big play of this game and a safety while holding the Cardinals two fourteen yards, shutting them out for the final fifty five minutes.

Brandon Staley, the defensive coordinator. His unit finishes the regular season allowing the fewest points to six and and fewest total yards eleven in the entire NFL. Rams had the ball for thirty seven minutes and fifty one seconds in time of possession. Seattle gets by San Francisco. They don't cover, but they get by San Francisco. Russell Wilson hit Tie Lockett for two fourth quarter touchdowns. Stellar defensive effort, uh.

They beat the Niners twenty six to twenty three. They were down sixteen to six early in the fourth quarter, came back with two touchdowns again to lock it and then held on Wilson twenty thirty six one two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice. Lock At twelve for ninety with those two touchdowns, twittered eighty tolliards all Seattle needed to win that game. But they win the NFC West, as we already knew they would. They had already clinched that,

but they end up with the number three seed. Couldn't advance their seating, but they do end up number three. They're hosting the Rams, and I said, you know, my guest was Seattle was Seattle minus three? What did you end up posting? We opened four and a half and that's where we are we uh, you know, we had got some play last night, and of course we're open all night, so you know, uh, even action at this point,

but nothing really significant. You know, how much does it mean to you to have golf or not have God. I was just going to ask you that question. I just gonna ask you, like, was there a little bit of you watching that yesterday where you're like, huh, is this worse than golf? Actually? I that was a big game for us, another one we lost, by the way, So I was watching, man, I don't want to say intent, like there's just too much going on. I couldn't watch

anything that intent. But the more I'm watching it, I kept saying, you know, this kid ain't bad, you know, And I just I handed a QBR right here. I had lost it. He was like seven D in the sixties or something like that. So I mean, even after an interception and early interceptions, I was like to you, I thought were early interception, Okay, this kid just doesn't have it. But you know, talking to people all week, a lot of guys thought that, you know, it's really

McVeigh more than God. You know. On the plus side, you know it's McVeigh that made golf as good as he was and has and and you know, it was certainly inconsistent. But they're feeling was it wasn't going to make that much of a difference. You know, I needed to be shown. But the more I watched this kid, yeah, you know, he's not that. I'm not sure there's that big a difference between him and golf. You know, something inside me tells me there is, but you know, my

eyeballs called me differently. I'm not sure that there really is. I don't know. Arizona Christy Christie got some other media back there, Uh you know sometimes ESPN it just started talking. I don't know why just have a life of its own website. Um so I had, I said, yeah, so I had three? You said four and a half. So you would think I would like race to bet the Rams here and not if it's golf. I wouldn't um

teaser on the which the Rams? YEA, yeah maybe so maybe a teaser like on the Rams that would be the only thing. But I've done that with the Rams. Look, we did that with the Rams last it didn't work out right. So it's like you just I don't want to die with the Rams. Anymore than I already have. By the way, my six week sixteen in weeks seventeen Survivor selections would have won. So it is the Rams

who destroyed me personally. By the way, Christie, now that it's done, can we congratulate you for being one of the Survivor finalists, the one ones who got through there? Yeah? Yeah, you know, we like to get there. I can't believe all that many people wanted the perfect Yeah, I mean, I don't think we knocked out anybody yesterday. No, not one. There you go. That's for Christie's Are you and your partners?

Are you almost I hate to say this because it's wonderful because you end up with sixty eight thousand dollars as a check, But are you almost in a weird way deflated that so many people getting to the end, Like I hate to say that out? Yeah, yeah, for sure. I mean was it two three point something million? And oh man, if we could take ourselves. I mean, you know, that's pretty good score. I mean, as it is, I mean, it's nice, don't worry. I mean, I'm glad I wanted.

But yeah, there's a part of me that had visions of you know, many riches, you know, halfway stood the here and it just didn't come to fruition. Uh. Let's well, congratulations nonetheless on that. Let's do the autopsy here of the Cardinals here before we go to break. But Cliff Kingsbury, who I was killing last week for all those fourth down calls he made, and then it finally nipped him in the butt in that Saturday game against the Niners,

which really put the Cardinals behind the eight ball. Yesterday, second and seven at the Rams, thirty two, twenty seconds left and a half, Arizona's up seven to five. He has Chris Traveler passing the football and instead of just going into the half trying to kick a field goal, go up ten to five. Pick six, the Troy Hill pick six we talked about eighty four yards completely changed that football game. That's on Kingsbury to me, like, you

just don't may that call. Kyler Murray ended up eight of eleven for eighties seven before he went out with a ankle injury. Straveler was eleven of six for one oh five, one touchdown, one pick, uh, two sacks two twenty total yards. As we mentioned, they lost six of nine. The Cardinals did following a five and to start. Uh as they end up now to a oh and eight

versus Sean McVeigh. I guess, but eighty seven yards for Murray set out from the first most of the first three quarters with the ankle injury after he had to leave in the first quarter, and they missed the playoffs for the fifth consecutive season. Arizona would have clinched the spot in the playoffs with the victory. Murray returned for the fourth quarter immediately drove the Cardinals deep into Rams territory, but ended up with zero points. But that that play

at the end of the first half. I mean, it's hard to pick out one play that changes a football game, but if there was one, in that one, it was surely that. I just Cliff Kingsbury. Look, he's not gonna get fired or anything, but I just don't think he's that great at all. And that's an understatement. I've set it from the beginning because you know, it's never a big Murray guy. But I thought, you know, probably one of the things I didn't like about him was playing

for Kingsbury, who I really don't like him. So yeah, yesterday, okay, I love Buffalo. I sort of lean Rams, but I don't want to die on that hill anymore. Those are the first two games. Will get to the third game on Saturday next and other knicks knickknacks from around the National Football League. Kirk Cousins yesterday, Well, two things from that Minnesota Detroit game. Again, I don't want to harp on games that you know, teams didn't advance the playoffs.

Too long. One he was doing the gritty That was cringey enough that dance. We didn't need to see that, Kirk Cousins, but too Fourth and goal of the Detroit one with eleven eighteen left in this ball game. It's thirty one to twenty nine Vikings, fourth and one, Cousins goes back to pass. Tracy Walker just steam rolls him, perfect sack. Should be Detroit ball down to Nope, roughing the passer. I've never seen a worst call in my life. Do you see that one, Chrissy? That was truly one

of the worst calls I've ever seen. I mean, really, there's just ridiculous, absolutely ridiculous. Can you imagine Jack Lambert playing in this league? I mean he'd be he'd be fined and thrown out every single game in the first the first few snaps. Yeah, I don't you know. I said that about Jack Lambert is your you know, as a great Steeler icon. I say that about Sean Taylor from just this century, who we just you know, adore

and we canonize in his passing. He could never have played in this league, could never have played in this league. It's just it's unbelievable. Thankfully that was of no playoff consequence. Deshaun Watson ends up with the most passing yards in the NFL three Justin Jefferson new record for the most receiving yards by a rookie in the Super Bowl era. And he's probably not gonna be the rookie of the year.

I mean, we could say that for m v P stuff too, right, Derrick Henry two thousand yards might not be the m v P because of Aaron Rodgers. They need more rewards. It's like Shamon Secretariat Chrissy for those of a certain age. We'll come back. We'll continue with game to three on Saturday, Tampa Bay, Washington, Washington. So this is the five four Washington, your NFC East Champions, the eight fifteen Eastern, five fifteen Pacific on NBC. First of all Tampa Bay gets there. Tampa Bay was the

one team we're jocking for. Seating mattered. They knew that if they won, they would get to play the NFC East champ, no matter who it was. They took care of business. UH. Fourth straight victory. UH. They get by the way with their uh their win yesterday, Tampa Bay taking down Atlanta forty four to twenty seven. Fourth straight win, the first postseason game the Bucks. That is in thirteen years. They haven't won a postseason game since their Super Bowl

Championship run. To end the two thousand two season, Brady was forty one for three nine nine four touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked once. He ends up. Tom Brady does with a franchise record forty touchdown passes in his first season with the Bucks. At age forty three, forty touchdowns, twelve picks. He joins Aaron Rodgers, Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, and Dan Marino is the only players with multiple seasons of at least forty touchdown passes. Rogers has done it

three times, the others twice. Antonio Brown eleven for one thirty eight two touchdowns, Godwin five for one thirty three two touchdowns five total yards, but the one sort of bad thing for the Bucks in victory, Mike Evans carted to the locker room with a left knee injury late in the first quarter did not return. He went down trying to make a catch in the end zone and was card into the locker room after first trying to walk off with assistance from a trainer. Bruce Arians quote,

knock on wood. We don't think there's any serious damage, but we will know more in the next twenty four hours, so we'll find out about Mike Evans availability for this game against Washington today. As far as Washington, where do we begin? Uh? They became the first team in the Super Bowler to reach the playoffs fall a two and seven start, third team to win a division title with a losing record during a full sixteen game season seven and nine. Seattle did it in Caroline and both won

a playoff game. By the way, Smith two of thirty two for one sixty two, two touchdowns, two picks. He was sacked three times. Alex Smith in victory over the Eagles fourteen win over the Eagles last night, which can only be described as fishy. We'll get to that, uh. Smith two of thirty two for one sixty two, two touched, has two picks, He was sacked three times. They out gained Philly two, eight to sixteen. What a barn burner it was. But I mean, where do we begin, Philadelphia.

Let's start in the first of all, before the game even starts. All right, before the game even starts. Here are your as we knew earlier in the week. Here are your Eagles and actives, Miles Sanders, DeShawn Jackson, al Sean, Jeffrey Dallas, Goddard, Fletcher Cox, Derek Barnett. Everybody went on and on and on. They had half the team, anyone who was questionable. They were like, you're out. Then Carson Wentz was inactive. And then you're like, oh, it gets

even better. During the game yesterday, third quarter, Chrissy, fourth and seven at the Washington thirty five. It's seventeen and fourteen Washington. The Eagles leave their offense on the field and take a delay of game penalty, have to punt. That's the first one. Third quarter, fourth and goal at the Washington fourth. They're down seventy to fourteen. Doug Peterson says, all, let's go for it. Incomplete pass. Now that one, you could say he's just trying to win the game. Okay. Uh,

fourth quarter, seventeen to fourteen. They decide, you know what, let's put Nate Sudfeld in, who was inactive for the previous fourteen games. Uh, fourth quarter, fourth and inches, two minutes left, it's twenty to fourteen. Remember Washington was just shy of midfield. It was a big moment in the game. If they don't get this first down, Eagles get the ball with a short field, Eagles jump off sides. Okay, Doug Peterson quote, Yes, I was coaching to win. Yes,

that was my decision solely. Nate has been here for four years talking about Sudfeld and his insertion in the game, and I felt he deserved an opportunity to get some snaps. Unquote. Come on, Chris, what were we watching last night? Well? What are you going to find out about Nate Sudfeld in the fourth quarter of the last game of the season. You know so much? I don't know, I mean, but but what I mean, what's the motivation? You know, I'm not sure that's where you know, you have me questions?

What's the motivation for all this? You know? I mean they hate the Giants that bad. I mean, they're still playing Washington as a division, right. You know. Um, I just didn't understand the motivation. But you know, um, and by the way, they still covered the final number. I was the highest seven on this This game was a disaster every which way. Um, But I don't know, That's what I still need an explanation, you know, the wise

what why? Yeah, because in the end they go from about the ninth pick in the draft to the sixth pick in the draft. Still, I mean, look, that's not a negligible thing. I don't want to say it's completely irrelevant. Uh. Jalen Hurts was seven seventy two. Uh, he was not good. He had a twenty five point four passer rating. He was not good through the year. But eight for thirty four, two touchdowns. That's the dimension. He adds sud Felt five of twelve thirty one, no touchdowns, one pick. He was

sacked twice. Sudfeld hadn't thrown a pass his twenty eighteen was picked on his second attempt. He also lost a fumble. So the Eagles move ahead of Detroit, Carolina, and Denver in the draft. All could potentially be in the quarterback market. But that's that's what they did for. If you saw Sal Palestonio last night on Sports Center, he was not happy. Not happy. It's sort of like the Eagles de facto

reporter for ESPN. Uh. He said, it was like a real sort of uh, goes against everything that Philly stands for. My words at his but it was very very I guess I put it this way. What makes Philly so special that they did that and none of the other teams that had nothing to play for didn't do right. There's a lot of teams yesterday that have been long out of the playoffs and they put up an effort because that's sort of what you do, right, that's the

spirit of the game. But Philly just decided, Nope, we're not even gonna act like it. And whatever Doug Peterson said after the game, those are all lies. They just they didn't they put it. They did not put forth an effort. It was an in game extravaganza for Washington Bettors as well. And I just I don't know that one's gonna have repercussions for a long time. Well, you know, I'm just gonna go back to you know, the motivation could be three draft choices, you know, I mean moving

up three spots in the draft. You know, Um, is that really the moment? I don't know. I mean it's hard to figure. But you're right though. The mantra is in listening for every individual, every team. You need to play play the game that you're getting played multi multi millions. You need to play the game the way it's supposed to be played. I had Tampa by ten. What was it in the end for you? Uh? You know, we opened seven and a half. We wind up going an

aide on action. I can tell you you're talking about the Bill is going to be the big teaser leg. I think it's gonna be camp I'm already seeing it. So alright, we got Sunday's games to get to and when we come back, Jason conn makes a case for Washington coming back on a numbers game Vista and these sports betting that way. The last thing about the Bucks and Washington, Chris Um, you say the Bucks A lot

of teaser legs on the Bucks. I mean, I think the Washington defense can really mess with a statue like quarterback like Tom Brady. I really do believe that. I just don't know how Washington scores either, so I'm more interested in that forty six and a half total that seems high to me. Yeah, I'm not the total guy myself, so that I'm not usually not my racking. I gotta tell you though, before we go on. My my numbers came to Tampa nine, uh, with no home field advantage.

But like I said at the beginning of the show, I think I think the home team does mean something. So the seven a half eight I'm okay with. But you know, listen, I've been around a lot around a long time. There's no slam dunk, you know. I mean, there's there's always upsets every year, particularly in the first round. So uh, you know, we'll be careful about these teasers. So all I can tell you Washington football team at FC East Champs. However, they got there all right Sunday morning.

What you got, I think morning Ravens at the Titans. Okay, So this is the one I mentioned at the top of the show. Five of the six of these, you know, ballpark. This is the one that I got wildly wrong. This is one of five. Eastern ten day and Pacific ten oh five am Pacific start on ABC and ESPN. Baltimore at Tennessee. Baltimore gets the fifth seed. Lamar Jackson yesterday UH ten of eighteen, three touchdowns, one pick. He wasn't sad, but eleven carries for ninety seven yards. He's the first

quarterback with multiple one thousand yard rushing seasons. Is Baltimore just takes care of Cincinnati thirty eight to three. J K. Dobbins thirteen for one sixty two touchdowns. They were eleven of seventeen on third downs five five total yards, including four oh four rushing. Second team in the Super Bowl era to have four hundred plus yards on the ground. Fourth teams in nineteen fifty to rush for more than four hundred in a single game. Forty minutes and twenty

seven seconds. That's how long they had the Bowl. UH. Tennessee gets there with a dramatic win over Houston. How

many dramatic losses did Houston have down the stretch? UH fifty two yard reception by A. J. Brown moments after a fifty one yard field goal by Houston tied it with eighteen seconds left, and then Sam Sloman's thirty seven yard field goal doinked off the upright and through for the forty one thirty eight victory Tannehill eighteen seven for two sixteen but seven of thirty eight two touchdowns on the ground. That's the dimension he adds and Derrick Henry

thirty four for two fifty and two touchdowns. He's the eighth player in NFL history with two thousand plus yards rushing in a season two thousand twenty seven. Um is where he ends up. Congratulations to him. We'll see if he can get in the m v P votes with that. We shall see only three of the previous seven did not win m v P. Who got to two thousand yards? Dickerson Lewis, Chris Johnson, Jamal Lewis. That is uh first player to lead the NFL and rushing in consecutive seasons

since Ladanian Tomlinson in two thousand six and seven. A J. Brown ten of one one in a touchdown four total yards to eighty eight rushing for Tennessee. Uh here was my ridiculous guest where I learned I was way off on. I had Tennessee by four, Chris, and I was told it was I was told it was the exact opposite of that. And the seed by four I mean not

seeing their defense the defense is awful. I gotta tell you, my power ratings came to Baltimore four and a half's like four, but again giving a little something for home field. I thought it, you know, I thought it should be three or three and a half. Let me see if you got that much. You know, I got a little Ravens money, not much, nothing surprising. You know, they love road favorites the public certain maybe early Bettors probably better. Um So, I I think the number might be a

shade high. I think I like three a little better. I don't feel like messing around with that number right now, though, but you know, wow, that defense with Tennessee is just really it's not good. It's not good at all. Here's the thing. I'm willing to acknowledge that my number is wrong, but I also hate I also think that number that's up there is dreadfully wrong, like to me on retro you know, retrospect hearing that this to me is a toss up. And here's the thing with this game. These

are the most game script dependent teams ever. If Baltimore goes up hard to catch, if they fall behind, they're really not that difficult to beat. They're not They're not built to come back. Tennessee is kind of the same way, although we see Tennessee has the ability at least a little more of ability to come back than Baltimore does. But these two teams met in the postseason last year when Baltimore was the number one seed and Tennessee got

him and got him good. Uh, if you're giving me more than three points, this is a bet on Tennessee for me, big time, big time. My number might be wrong, but it's absolutely a bet for mead three and a half. So I don't think they don't have any trouble getting No, I don't think so. D I do see um couple of spots Christ and Pinnacle wants a little bit of juice on the dogs, So maybe you want to jump in fairly quickly and get it while you can lay eleven at hand. Okay, but that's the number. I've seen

nothing but three and a half. Like I got the little juice adjustments here and there, but three apps the number. All right. I like Buffalo, I like Tennessee so far the most. Alright, what's what's second on Sunday? Bears at the Saint All right? Back to the NFC, The number seven seeded Bears and the number two seeds Saints. The Bears finished the season nine and seven Saints when the NFC South twelve and four records Chicago. Uh, there they

were in because Arizona fell to the Rams. Quite frankly. Uh. They're the third team since the seventy merger to reach the playoffs after losing six in a row at one point during the season. Mr Bisky Uh in Chicago's loss to the Package yesterday was thirty three or forty two for two fifty two, no touchdowns, one picky sack once Montgomery sixty nine and touchdown on the ground, nine carries excuse me, nine catches for sixty three yards. Uh in the air, five of six on fourth down. Go kept

converting four downs. But they lose. They get in, as I said, because Arizona loss to the Rams. New Orleans Drew Brees played twenty two of thirty two for two oh one three touchdowns note picks. He was sacked twice in their thirty three to seven route of the Panthers. The Saints route of the Panthers time Montgomery. With all of the Saints running backs out time Montgomery was in there.

Eighteen cares for one oh five and uh Manuel Sanders nine catches for sixty three yards of a touchdown and one of these great moments in week seventeen where a guy hits his incentive and moats in the middle of the game. He needed eight catches uh to reach it incentive clause in his contract and earned half a million for catching sixty passes. When he caught his eighth pass, he just raised his raised the sands while sitting on the ground. Drew Brees, We really, we really wanted to

get him made catches, Breeze said. By the way, the Saints were plus five and turnovers in this game, five turnovers for the for the Panthers, but again they were without their top two running backs, including Camara and their fullback. Breeze sits out five games this season with oaken ribs. Michael Thomas is nine games with an ankle injury. And I just mentioned all the running backs out due to a COVID nineteen outbreaking Yet twelve and four and win

the South. Who's your coach of the year, Chris Well, I still think it's mc dermott. You're hinting strongly it's paid, you know, I don't know. Listen everything you say about them is true, and maybe they go on to win the Super Bowl. I don't know, but there's a little part of me that says, you know, I'm not sure they're that great. I don't know. That's just you know, I don't know. I don't know why my bias is there for that, but it is. I mean, they're plus

five in turnover. Just I think got hued the score a little bit. You know, I don't know, And I'm not sure Breeze is capable of taking them all the way to the Super Bowl. I just I'm not I don't know. It's just me, but we're gonna get to this number. My number came that, you know, seven plus I got written down here. I guess you know that's with no home field. Yeah, seven plus with no home field advantage. And as I look at it, I don't think the Bears are equipped to play with the top

teams in the league. And they are one of the top teams. I understand that when I'm talking about the Saints. They're one of the top teams for sure, But I'm just not sure the Bears can compete with with the team that that is in that is at that level. We talked about the winner of the NFC being terrible, and Bears are pretty terrible too, So you know, I don't know, but I'm looking here, and I mean I'm looking at my Live action right now, and I got

nothing on Saints teasers or money line. I mean, you know, a couple of bucks, not much, but I'm surprised that there's not more going through the Saints already that that, to me, looks like that would be the teaser leg I would like the best. I already bet a bill Saints teasers already in my account. So I'm with you, okay, yeah, um yeah, I'm with you on the Saints. I mean, look, I think green Bay should be every bit of I think green Bay's more of a lock. Let's put it

this way. In my mind, they're more of a lock to get to the super Bowl than Kansas City is in the a f C. I think that's a's and that's a combination of how Kansas City has played and their competition. The a f C is stacked, like he's just stacked with teams, and I just don't think the NFC all those teams are so flawed. Uh. In the NFC, we have one more game to get to. Uh. I'll ask you to stay for five minutes after the break here if you could Chrissy to to get to it.

But give me the game and at least I'll do a little short of preamble on its Steelers, Browns and the Steelers. Of course, Uh, they played yesterday. Steelers had Mason Rudolph playing, uh, playing quarterback, and they had a lot of other guys out. Pouncey and what uh leap to mind as guys who were out of that game.

They lose to Cleveland to twenty two. Pittsburgh covers. Nonetheless, the Browns nearly blew a fifteen point leading the fourth quarter, but Pittsburgh failed the two point conversion with one twenty three left, and so the Browns clinch a playoff berth for the first time since two thousand two. Since then, they've had a hundred and ninety seven losses as a franchise, fourteen double digit loss seasons, oh my god, and seven coaches since their last playoff appearance. Uh. They were winless

as you were called, just three seasons ago. It's their first eleven win season since. Congratulations to the Browns and all of their fans. Baker Mayfield seventeen of twenty seven yesterday for one six one touchdown note picks. He was sacked four times six carries for forty four yards, Nick Chubb fourteen for one away in a touchdown. They did it, but Olivia Olivia Vernon suffered an ankle injury in the fourth quarter. He didn't put any weight on his leg

while being assisted to the medical tent. He was carted to the locker room. And then rookie wide receiver Donovan People's Jones suffered a concussion late in the first half while jump in to make a catch and getting drilled by Shawn Davis. So we'll see about those two guys. They've dropped seventeen in a row. Have the Browns at Hines Field? Of course not this iteration of the Browns, but it's kind of their kryptonite. Give you my guess,

Christie'll give you what he put up. Cleveland at Pittsburgh closed things out next on a numbers game at Vista the Sports Betting Nowhere. Christie, we'll get to uh your thoughts on this Cleveland Pittsburgh game and uh my line as well. See what you're posting. But first a reminder the name of the book for a Chris then one day available for purchase at Amazon, then one day forty years of bookmaking in Nevada from the Great Chris Andrews. And then some T shirts that are Chrissie related over

there in the Vista store. I like your number better, Chris, Yours is coming. By the way, we ordered you one. Okay, thank X. Double X. Yes, we got the double X. As you said there was there was more available, but we want the double X with you. Last thing about this Cleveland Pittsburgh game here, uh Pittsburgh yesterday. Mason Rudolph, for what it's worth, nine for three, fifty two touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked once, but it won't be

worth anything because Big Ben will start. Claypool five for one on one in a touchdown, Dion three for ninety six, Juju six for sixty five in a touchdown. They were eight of seventeen on third downs. Pittsburgh was two of two on fourth down. I mean Cleveland really couldn't get him off the field that easily. They lost four or five this year since an eleven and oh start. That was the Steelers season eleven and oh. Then they lost four of their last five Big Ben twenty three, two

and one in his career against the Browns. So the Big Ben stat career against the Browns and that Browns at Hines Field stuff. Take all of that for what it's worth. Obviously a lot of that has nothing to do with these two teams. But I wanted to get it out there once and I'll never repeat them. But I guess, Pittsburgh minus four, what did you end up putting? And you're a Steelers guy, how do you feel about this? Okay, my numbers came to five plus, you know, so again

five with no home field advantage. It opened three and a half everywhere last night. I opened it four because I do really like the Steelers. So as I see it climbing now, it's pretty solid. For see a couple of straight three and a half's here, and pretty solid form that plan on staying ahead of it. Let me tell you a couple of things. First of all, you know, I've followed the Steelers a long time, and obviously they've

been in the Browns division since, you know, forever. Uh, this was a huge emotional monkey off their back that would say, you know, pick your cliche for the Browns to win this game, make the playoffs, beat beat the team that has owned them for twenty plus years, a huge just you know, so I think, you know, it's hard to say they gotta let down for the playoffs, but I think it was a big monkey off their back. And I think that this changes a lot of things.

On the other hand, for the Steelers, you know, they went in they knew you know what in play Ben didn't play pouncing in play Uh you know, they went in with half a loaded gun. Um. I think there's gonna be way, way different. And I know they have not finished the season strongly, and I know they have no running. This is gonna be, you know, a reverse emotional. Whatever Cleveland is feeling, you'll see the reverse for the Steelers. I think this number is way too cheap. I really

thought this should be about six and a half. And uh, I do like the Steelers this week. I think it's gonna be very difficult to the Browns to beat them two weeks in a row, just you know, an impossible task, and I don't I do not expect the Steelers to lose this game. And I'll tell you truth, even at six and a half, I probably bet the Steelers, you know, because I think they just beat them. But I thought six and a half was a good number. If you're putting your bedding hat on, then is that the one

you like the best of these six? Absolutely? Yeah, no question, how very emphatically. Uh for me, it's for me, it's you know. And again I will be clear, because Buffalo I like a teaser leg more than anything. But I think I also like Buffalo laying the points. I definitely like Tennessee getting the points, and I do like Pittsburgh laying the points. And I guess what I'm thing is I like the three a f C games way more than I like the three n FC games. Is that

what you generally came to what was after Pittsburgh? For you? After Pittsburgh, I have to look around a little bit. I'm not I'm not that sure, you know. Um listen. I'm not a big teaser guy, you know, but I'd probably have the Saints and Bills, and a teaser would be my hunch because I'm gonna um now, I like the Bills a lot to win the game, you know, covering seven, there's a lot of fluky things that can happen,

but I think they win the game. And I don't think the Bears can compete with the Saints at a level where they had a chance to win the game, you know, sometimes nine and a half, I see, you'll probably see a ten on this game before post. You know, you could. I've seen the NFL games where teams are never really in it as far as, like, you know, having a chance to win the game. That could still

cover a number like that, you know. So I'm not sure about you know, laying the points, but to me, the Saints and Bills looks like a really solid teaser for me. Kill Alli Xander numbers game right here at Visa and the sports betting network Visa dot Com, the Visa and at food Boast Link game plus, and I heart Christy appreciated as always, will do the same thing next week. Okay, my pleasure, my friend, Good luck you too, Thank you so much. Chris hanthrews everybody. Stalcom Sports Book director

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