Beating The Book: Guessing Lines NFL Divisional Round Preview

of this. And uh, we'll do it in listen. We'll do it in guessing lines format fashion, not that we're guessing lines. We will guest lines, but I doubt there will be that much of a discrepancy. But it's really our excuse to go back and look at all the games yesterday, look forward to next weekend's divisional round. Uh. And of course Bill Connolly will be here as well to discuss the National championship tonight. Bill Connolly, who writes for ESPN, the creator of sp plus the advanced staff

for college football. Bill will give us his advanced dad analysis on tonight's game with Alabama favorite over Ohio State. But let's bring him in. He's the star of the show every Monday morning for guessing lines. Um, Jason, what are you telling him? Because I can't hear you. What do you think? We've got the animation ready to rap o. That's what you want with his with his funky little intro. Here it is for guessing lines. Everybody, Yeah, non sectioned

electric guitar, non sectioned by Chrisma. Yeah, Chris Andrews, everybody who runs the South Point Hotel Casino sports book. Good morning to you, Chrissie. How are you? Oh good? But I wish you had played that music a little longer. It sounded like Jimmy Page or Eric Clapton. That was terrific. Wait do you like it? Did you warm to it? Since I'm gonna say not really yes, Jimmy Page from Led Zeppelin, Eric Clapton, it was not. Um, it really should get sell with us on the music Listen did

the Pittsburgh outcome? Let's start here because I'm my big headline before we get into all this is, you know, one of the staples of this show, not just guessing lines, but just a numbers game, and we do it network wide. But certainly I'm I'm I don't know the words guilty of it or not, but certainly one of the staples is is that we go back and we lament I'll be kind coaching decisions coaching malpractice on any given Sunday, Right, Anthony Lynn comes to mind as a big as someone

who's big culprit of that week after week. I don't ever remember a playoff weekend. And I get that there were six games and not four, but I don't ever remember a playoff weekend where four out of the six losers. I'll leave Matt Naggy out of it because I think his team just stinks, but four out of the six teams that lost it was severe coaching malpractice sequences that boggle the mind. And I just questioned, like, what are we betting on? What is this? So we're gonna get

into all of that. I don't remember this bad ever in one given moment. I'm not sure if you do either. We'll get your response to that. And then was the Pittsburgh game Estuary that just make it you guys make out with that outcome yesterday. Uh, it was kind of like the least of the evils. You know, we had a lot of you know it works out this way in in you know, in bookmaking, and it really just kind of like the way we do the accounting, you

always have everything funneled into that last game. Uh So, once you know what we did, like the what ifs, you know, we looked like we were we were in big trouble, certainly if the Steelers went out right. Uh And I had a big money line on Cleveland all week, just because I knew that was going to be the situation. They were just a real popular teaser team and we couldn't knock out anything uh significant going into that, you know, teaser wise, you know, so we were I knew we

were honorable. Uh So I even juiced up the money line a little bit more and probably took back more than I should have on on Cleveland on the money line. But all in all, it was it was still like a good day. We had a good result with with everything combined when especially when you kind of looked at it. We lost the first two games, you know, and managed to win the last one, although we probably should have want a little more than we did. But all in all,

was a pretty good day. Pretty good day. Do you agree with me that we've never seen as rampant coaching failures as as we did in this moment. I don't think I'm being a prisoner of the moment saying this. In fact, I would like for listeners to the show today if when you tweet in a Beating the book, you can tweet in about whatever you want to tweet about. But if you'd like to rank these four guys Frank Raich, Mike Rabel, Mike Tomlin, Pete Carroll, just which of the

coaching blunders this weekend was the worst? Rank UM one through four. It's just I can't believe what I was watching this weekend. This is horrific. Well, you know, on my from my standpoint, I know I'm probably I know I'm in the minority. They're just interrupted one second, just to give station idea. It's Gill Alexander, Chris Andrews. This is guessing lines on a numbers game at Visa and the sports betting network Visa dot Com, Visa at footbos

Link Game Plus. And of course I heart I'm sorry, Chris, go ahead. Well, you know I always just look at team kind of you know, some of all their parts, you know, and some of the you know, I I like let's let's take the Steelers. You know, we kind of know what Mike tomline and he's not like a big analytical guy. You know, that's just you know, until he hires somebody to do that. You know, again, that's just going to be part of what their team is.

Same with every coach you just mentioned. You know, Mike Rabel, Uh, you know, he figured out some things last year where he kind of had Bill Belichick by the shorthairs, you know, because some of the things that he had kind of figured out that he learned from Belichick, but he was using them against them. But these are all just, like I said, some of the parts, you know, that creates

the whole. And uh, you know, some guys are, you know, real good at that sort of stuff, and a lot of guys are, and you gotta remember the world that they came from. You're talking about Pete Carroll, what's he like seventy something like that. I think he's sixty eight something. Uh, he's been in football his whole life, you know, he Uh, this is just kind of what he is. You know.

So I'm not sure these guys are gonna change. But I look at that and I realized that's what it is, but not to say that they didn't make big mistakes. They did, you know, but that that really isn't always my concern because to me going forward, I look at that as that's kind of what the team is like when I'm making a number of booking of games doing

whatever like that. Well, that makes sense. But I will tell you from a betting standpoint, there is some much there is some that these coaches do what they're supposed to do. But I guess that's uh, that's a naive of me and this age, by the way, Pete Carroll sixty nine years of age. Let's let's do this in the format that we normally do it again. We call

it guessing lines. We'll guess the lines here. I know that I'm only you know because I know what they are now, But I will tell you that I guessed them and I was not far off on any of them this time. But well, we'll go through and give us excuse to go through everything yesterday. Let's start with

the first of the divisional round games on Saturday. Well, the Packers are a pretty solid seven and the only differences I ever saw, I think there was a there was a couple of six and a half's when I first opened up with juice on the favorite, and then even some seven and a halfs with pretty heavy juice on the dog. I still see some of that, but the six and a halfs are virtually gone, or at least on my stream. I opened at seven. I kind

of like the higher number. Um if it if it were to goo to seven and a half, I could see going there myself. And uh, and again I think people are a little bit prisoners of the moment in all of these games. The other Rams one, Uh, their defense looked fantastic, and I think that's what guys are gonna keep in mind in this game. But I thought

seven was a good opening number. I guess seven and a half here and I'll tell you why I was dreaming, like as the Rams were winning this game against the Seahawks. And we'll get into this here in a second. But the Jared golf possibilities at a cold lambeau Field were at least worth. It took above the seven for me,

because we've seen him in cold weather again. There was that there was just used one example, the Monday night game in Chicago where it was only thirty two degrees fahrenheit and the California kid acted like it was thirty two below, like he was just in over his head. So the Rams get here to play the number one Steed Packers obviously by beating the Seahawks. Uh, they do it thirty to twenty acres had a hundred and thirty

one yards for the Rams. Darius Williams the big play when he returned Russell Wilson's pick forty two yards for a score Rams one at thirty to twenty. Uh. Even while a sing Aaron Donald They're all Pro tackle for much of the second half. He left with a rib injury. And they did it without a healthy quarterback for you know, more than three quarters. John Wolford started for the second straight week, but he injured his neck when he dived head first in the first quarter. Was hitting the helmet

by Jamal Adam's shoulder. By the way they picked up the flag, my immediate comment was, oh, I bet they picked that up if that's Tom Brady, Like, there's just no chance they pick up that flag. It's John Wolford, And so they pick it up. Oh yeah, it didn't seem like it was that bad of a hit. Actually, it wasn't targeting. Golf took over less than two weeks after undergoing surgery. Took over rather less than two weeks

after undergoing surgery on his right thumb. He ends up Golf does nine of nineteen for one fifty five, one touchdown, no picks, sack twice. Wolford three of six for twenty nine when he was in there, no touchdowns, doe picks. He was sacked once. Acres, as I mentioned, twenty eight carries for one thirty one in a touchdown. The Rams finished with a hundred sixty four yards rushing in this game against Seattle. They they were three of fifteen on third down, but they held Seattle to two of fourteen

on or down. They also held Seattle to eleven total first downs in the football game. Wilson and what a shell of himself he's become like in the course of one year. Russell Wilson went to front runner for m v P. It's his to lose to a guy who completed the eleven passes versus the Rams and the playoffs.

He connected with dk metcalf on a pair of touchdowns fifty one yards in the first half of a broken play than a twelve yard or with left really to make the score more respectable than you know, than it could have been. Seattle never played with the lead. They as I mentioned, two or fourtune on thirds. Their ten game home playoff win streak is snapped. Of course, you know, different crowd issue there. Jamal Adams said he played with a torn laborim in his left shoulder. Afterwards, he thought

he'd throw that in. In addition to Donald's injury, Cooper Cup limped off grabbing at his right knee in the closing minutes of that game. But can I get to the peak. Let's just sort of do the post mortem on the Seahawks if we could Chrissie, Uh, in a five minute before you go yeah, no, go ahead, go ahead. I'm sorry to go ahead. I don't want to interrupt you.

No go ahead? Okay, So in a five minute span in this game and we're talking in the second quarter, uh, he kicks a fifty yard field goal, fourth in one to tie the score up at three and three. Okay, fourth and one fifty yard field goal? Agreed, disagree, that's what he did. Fourth and one fifty yard Okay, goes in bails a mountain then dk Metcalf is screaming on the sidelines because things aren't going well for him or

the Seahawks. They're down in this game at this point, and so they forced feed to pass the dk Metcalf in a playoff game pick six. That's the pick six up talking about Darius Williams makes it thirteen to three. That's what happens when you forced feed the ball to a winding wide receiver to fifty five left in the second quarter. It's third and nine. Golf goes to acres for forty four yards and Pete Carroll with again it was stupid challenge weekend. That was another theme of the weekend.

He challenges that golf was over the line of scrimmage, which was just a yachting because it was clearly not over the line of scrimmage. So they lose the time out in the process, and then on on a late second half drive just north of two minutes to oh one left, he doesn't you know, the team's not disciplined enough. They jump off sides first and goal at the ten makes it first to goal at the five. The Rams end up taking a twenty to ten lead into the

half because they cash in on that. So it's just one that those are five different gaffs in a five minutes span that are either directly on Carroll's shoulder or indirectly, like you don't have your team prepared in any way. And at the end he was just like he couldn't believe his team had lost. McVeigh by the way goes to thirty seven and oh now when leading at halftime the Sea half, the Seahawks had been nineteen and six straight up since the start of last year in one

score games. This one doesn't even end up in one score games, So throw off. That's that, but five minute period where it's just five different gaffs that I just rattled off the top of my head. So Pete Carroll, for those on on Twitter at Beating the Book who wanted to do your rankings, there's the Pete Carroll candidacy for the worst code job of the weekend. I just thought it was awful. Chris, Yeah, but once again, you know who are these guys. You're gonna look at the

care Okay, sixty nine years old? How did he get to where he is? Where? Where was he like before yesterday? Well, it was, you know, pretty successful with USC He won a Super Bowl with uh, with Seattle. You know, so this this is just who he is now all of a sudden. I know, you know, myself and my friends, we've talked about this if they need somebody on, you know, up in the booth or whatever to tell them the

metrics as the game is going on. But if you're a guy like Pe Carroll, I can just say what I mean, I listen to some pencil neck little geek that never played football his entire life. That's what I'm supposed to take advice from. You know. And we see this all the time. And you know we're talking football force, but we see it all the time. You know, in all walks of life, guys who buy football teams. Let's

say the Washington football team. You've got a guy like Daniel Snyder, who was I don't know if he was a billionaire at thirty five, but he was, you know, pretty darn close actually a genius and everything that they ever did. Now, all of a sudden, he owns a football team and he thinks, okay, look how he's been Uh you know, fe smart I am. I'm smart enough to buy this football team at thirty five years old. Of course, I know exactly what I'm doing, and of

course you know he didn't. But you know, this is just you know, this is how the egos work on people, not just the you know, people in authoritative positions. And some guys can adapt, and other guys are just trapped within their own ego and the owned and the things that they've done their whole life, do what's right, and and won't be able to adapt. I think Pete Carroll and probably all these coaches that you're talking about fall into that category. But you know, right now we're talking

about Pete and I think he definitely falls into that category. Yeah. Well, I mean all of that may be true, some of that, some of this stuff that we're gonna go through today is just so simple that that I find it to believe that you can't adapt to certain things. Um, maybe you're right. I will tell you this. I was looking forward to this golf at at Lambeau matchup. I love that it's you said it was seven or six and a half in the end. No, no, no, it's seven.

But that's what I didn't want to say, is you know the red when I kind of said out like a higher and I still I still kind of like it higher, but part of it was Aaron Donald being hurt and Cooper Cup being hurt that they're best offensive player, they're best defensive player. But as of this morning, but they is saying that they should be fined by Sunday again, coaches lie and they don't have to say who's participating in practice and all that yet, you know, but they

will buy later in the week. But I would keep an eye on those two injuries because if those guys you know, are out or hampered, uh, seven is probably a pretty cheap number. Yeah, I think it's cheap. I really like the Packers and that's what I may like that game more than any of the four this coming weekend. How did how did this and and just say it one more time, how did this Rams team lose to

the Jets and kill some of us in Survivor? Because not only did Golf you know, we we we uh we harp on Jared Golf in that game and the golf face. But you know what, Aaron Donald didn't do anything in that game either, like it was an all out failed. They just simply did not show up for that game, didn't care. And again just you know, from

a betting perspective. Always keep in mind these pitfalls exist. Sadly, those of us who had the Rams that week fell into that little pitfall and that was the end of that, all right, number two. We'll start on number two here on game two on Saturday, Ravens at the Bills. Um, well, this number open between two and happens three. I guess that's kind of like take your choice. Three was my three? I really I've been a Bills guy, you know, certainly for the last two months. I thought I was gonna

like the Bills an awful lot in this game. I still kind of like them. But you know, we played that little two and have three games at self point, Well, the customers played on, so try to hold the whole number if and when I can. So I opened three, and you know, I'm looking at my screen right now. You've got a lot of money plus three. And as I look at it, I think I think the public

will be on the Ravens. The Bills won. They didn't look that great, and everybody really has, you know, recency so much in mind and some of that, you know, I know we kind of knocked that as being not very smart, but a lot of times it is. Sometimes teams are just peaking right now. I think this Ravens team is really playing well. But I still like the Bills. I think they're gonna win this game. And uh, you

know their defense. I think it hasn't been all that good for the last couple of months, but but I think it's doing I'm looking right now, that's not well, it's not the high there's a couple of high scoring games that we've got total wise, but I think I think it would be a real good game. I thought three was a good number. I could definitely see two and AVO it's gonna be right in that range. But I think the public is gonna be on the Ravens in this game. Yeah, I guess three. It was the

only thing I thought to make it. I was like, that just seems like an obvious three. But I think you're right. I think Baltimore money will come in on this just because of recency. Here. Baltimore gets there by virtue of their win over the Titans. They rally from ten points down um in the first of the Sunday Wild Card games. Lamar Jackson finally with his first postseason victory. They snapped a string of twenty one straight games the Ravens did lost by the franchise in either the regular

season or playoffs when trailing by ten or more. How about that Jackson ended up seventeen twenty four for one seventy nine, no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked five times, but six team carries for one hundred thirty six yards and a touchdown. Uh six one yard rushing game. It is rather the six one yard rushing game by a quarterback.

In the postseason. Lamar and Colin Kaepernick each with two Marquise Hollywood Brown seven catches for one oh nine four one total yards for the Ravens, and in in victory they also shut down. And this is the most important thing. Two thousand yard rusher Derrick Henry holding Tennessee to its fewest points all season. Henry ends up. Derrick Henry ends

up with eighteen carries for forty yards forty yards. He ran all over the Ravens with three hundred twenty eight yards combined in the past two meetings this year, or the past two meetings period. Rather, both Calais Campbell and Brandon Williams were back on the Baltimore defensive line, though Henry with his worst performance of the year again, eighteen for forty. Ravens held the Titans the twelve first downs.

Baltimore smothered that Tennessee offense that had tied for fourth in the league this year, averaging thirty points seven points a game. They had more offensive yard per game during the season than any team but Kansas City, and the Ravens out gained in four oh one to two oh nine. In the end, too oh nine was just fifty one

total rushing yards. Titans did have the ball at a chance to win, but Marcus Peters intercepted Tannehill's pass intended for calif Raymond with one fifty left, and that was that. Titans lost the first home playoff game in twelve years. The key moment in that game, though, Titans to me, when they were up ten to nothing, they had outgained They had gained the Ravens one six to thirty six in the first quarter, and the Ravens held Tennessee then

to minus seven yards in the second quarter. It was the third fewest at any quarter of a playoff games since two thousands since the two thousand season, But that was the moment. It was third down for Baltimore third and seven at their own twenty eight down ten to nothing. Uh, and Lamar Jackson made an unbelievable play, was flushed out,

remain patient hit Andrews for seventeen yards. That drive resulted in a field goal, and the next Baltimore drive down into three, third and nine at their own or actually me at the Tennessee thirty two left in the second quarter a forty eight yard touchdown run to tie it up ten to ten. Those two plays, if they don't convert that first, that a third down down ten to

nothing deep in their own territory. There's no way I can prove this, But if they don't convert that, that could be a Tennessee runout, just like it was last year. But instead Lamar makes the play. This year he makes the play last year he does not. And Uh. The rest is history. Will come back. WILL do more on this game, because there's so much I want to say about the losing coaches in both coming back numbers game guessing lines right here at Visa the sports Betting that work.

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betting knowledge and confidence is at your fingertips. Visit Visan dot com today. If you didn't catch Visan last week, here's some of what you missed. I have no problem Gil if the Eagles would have called the league office Sunday afternoon and after they and said, look, Fellows, we can't guarantee we're gonna play this game with all our guys where we've got a lot of injuries, we want to play Nate Suttfeld. We're not going into this game

with the intent to win the game. So if you put us on national TV, it may give you a black eye. If they would have done that, or if they would have just said Nate sutt Fell as the starter, all bets are off. But the fact that they dangled the carrot in front of the Giants and that clearly the Washington football team wasn't equipped to win the game with the quarterback who couldn't move, and then to pull it back, that's where the conflict was. So you're asking

about tanking and I'm talking about integrity and honesty. I think those are two different issues, and I think that's where the conflict comes in. Fair enough, I like the answer and and Doug Peterson's famous comment after the game, Michael, which I'm sure you loved quote, Yes, I was coaching to win. Yes, that was my decision solely. Nate meeting Studfeld has been here for four years, and I felt

he deserved an opportunity to get some snacks. And yes, Lee Harvey Oswald was on the sixth floor, and yes he he shot. Yes, all those things are okay. So we're still okay with each other. We got through that. I'm good. I'm good with it. I look, I understand. Now, just add one little flavor into this. The Eagles cap. You know they're gonna have to they'll lose two players

to fit that six pick in over the night. Do you think they'll pick a quarterback if they have a shot, you do, okay, I think the top ten will be all. I think this will be a quarterback filtered draft because there's so many teams in the top ten that need them, and there's so many teams in the teams that need them, starting with the Patriots, starting with the Colts, and some of those teams Washington football team, you know. So there's gonna be a lot of action in that top ten.

Welcome back to a numbers game with Gil Alexander. With the football playoffs and basketball games every week, it's time to get into bet MGM Sports Nevada, the premier sports betting app. Bet mgm is all your favorite wagering options along within game betting, boosted out specials, and much more. Just download the bet mgm app today, stop by any MGM casino on the trip with your state issued idea to open an accounts start places sports bets for manywhere

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Uh guessing lines, not really guessing lines, but uh, letting you know what the guesses were. Wild Card Weekend Look Back, Divisional Weekend to look Ahead. Christy, you agree with me, There's no way I can prove it. But that third down early and I know we're like, oh, we're all about the Ravens. But if that play doesn't happen, I don't know, maybe the Titans roll them again. Well, I'm with you because I know exactly the player you're talking about.

When we needed we needed the Titans pretty good in that game. And uh, when it was ten nothing. I really thought that the Titans were gonna just blow them away. It was just totally dominate the game. Uh. You know, we've kind of seen that in the past, and I thought it was just gonna happen again. And that was just a huge play that kind of sparked that team. And you know, these things happened during the course of

the game. You know, one thing I say to a lot of people I have probably mentioned on this show, games could take on a life of their own. Uh, and this is one of those situations where the life of that game, the flow of that game, the outcome of that game changed dramatically on that one play. I really do believe that. So I'm with you all the way. I know exactly what you're talking about. We've seen that happen, you know occasionally sometimes sometimes that you know, you can

overdramatize what happens. Early in the game, the team scored touched own that they didn't. But I think this really was key because I think this is a team that, um, you know, maybe could easily have lost confidence in themselves, you know, had they lost again to a team that's kind of dominated the uh, to a quarterback that maybe has not had great success in the playoffs, but they converted that they were back in the game, and really, um, I mean it was made the dominated from there on

and became a whole different game. And the key sequence, you know again, ten fourteen left in the game. Ten fourteen left in the fourth quarter. Second and two at the Baltimore forty down seventeen to thirteen, Titans ball Tannehill incomplete. They got Derrick Henry, and I know he's not having a good game, but they got Derrick Henry. Tannehill incomplete, intended for Brown. Third and two at the Baltimore forty

ten ten left down seventeen to thirteen. Tannehill. Fourth and two at the Baltimore forty down seventeen thirteen, with ten oh six left, incomplete, intended for John Hus Brett Kern punts next drive after a Tucker Field goal, then the Tannehill pick that's sealed the deal. Fourth and two at the Baltimore forty down seventeen thirteen, with ten o six left, They punt Jason, can you give can you give us

perspective on that? Can you throw up that tweet about this if you think we're making a big deal over this decision. Well, this has historical this actually is historically an anomaly. Uh. It simply doesn't happen fourth and two

at the Baltimore forty down seventeen to thirteen. This is the Mike Frabel and by the way, of all the four coaches, I'm singling out Carol, Tomlin, Reich and and uh Vrabel, Frabel is the one at least expected this from um and UH And here it is, this is we have to actually this is the Pro Football BOT fourth down decision BOT UH recommendation, very strong go for it plus seven point nine win probability if you go for it. Uh. And then here's the perspective from I

believe it's pro football perspective. Is it let me get this right, pro football perspective. They put it in historical terms, and they say, and it goes a little something like this, where is it, guys? Okay, But basically what they're saying is it just doesn't happen. It's the first time in their entire database, first time in their entire database, that this has ever happened in this situation. I'll give you

the exact comment. It's the first time all the way back to that a team in the playoffs punted on fourth and two from this field position down by one score in the fourth quarter, and he does it. I mean, look at it. By the way, that's hard to believe that it's the first time, because you know, I can see some conservative coaches doing that, and it's hard to believe that's the first and only time in their database. You're actually right, that is a little hard to believe

that it's the first time. But that's what it says according to Pro Football Reference. Uh, not a shock that Tony Dungee and Chris Sims had no issue with the point, of course, right exactly, That's what I'm saying. It's a shock that that's the only one. Right. We'll get to the Buffalo side of this momentarily. In the indie side of that, Uh so much. So many things to discuss, but the line finally intend seconds. Christie, what was it that you put up three or two and a half? Here? Oh?

I opened three and a two and a half. Now I think, yeah, I think if you missed the three, I think you ain't let me get it. I don't think it's going to be around anymore. We'll do the Buffalo side of this next coming back right here on guessing lines. You want to make every game interesting, skill Alexander, Chris Andrews here as well. Um, people are like, wait, this isn't your normal guessing lines for or Matt Well.

You were just going through these in chronological order, this next, this upcoming weekend and marketing back to what we saw this past weekend. So I never really got a chance Chris talk about the bill side of this, because we've already we've already submitted Pete Carroll and uh and Mike Vrabels Gaffs on the wrong end of the Rams and the Ravens. Buffalo there a f c's champs for the

first time, hosting their first playoff games. His n Josh Allen two touchdown passes another on the ground seven to twenty four win over the Colts, their first playoff win since December of nine. Five. They nearly squandered to to ten fourth quarter lead. Philip rivers fourth and eleven from Buffalo's forty seven. At the end, he heaved a deep pass for t Y Hilton, surrounded by defenders uh Micah Hyde broke through, knocked it down that sealed the deal.

Buffalo has won seven straight now since the Arizona Hail Mary for its longest winnings Greek since hundred fans in attendance. There alan twenty of thirty five for three twenty four for those two touchdowns Doe picks sack twice eleven and fifty four in the ground with the touchdown dig six or a touchdown. They were only two of nine on third down. They allowed four hundred seventy two total yards

by Indianapolis. Indy was nine of seventeen on third There were two of four on fourth seventy six total plays. Let me just start in the first half. For those people who had Indie plus three and a half in the first half, you had about a ninety nine percent cover probability in that up ten to seven third and goal at the Buffalo one with two minutes left and the half. Couldn't do it. I couldn't do it for the Colts all all season long. Are those short yardage situations?

Why not kick up field goal? What? What's people? These teams are allergic to field goals. Chris fourth and it was fourth and four and fourth and goal at the four after three yard loss, they go for it. And of course in Philip Rivers fashion. It's like off the fingertips. I just don't understand, well, I think that, you know, I think there is like a misunderstanding of a lot

of the metrics that are out there. Is uh that that you know, kind of it is to the field goal in certain situations, but that's not you know, fourth and one and fourth and four are you know, two vastly different things. And I think that sometimes guys, um, you know, yeah, go get the three, you know, I mean, they gotta do things like that. But there's there was you know, we're gonna talk about Buffalo for just a second. You know, we needed Buffalo pretty good in that game, too.

Uh so you know, we're you know, I mean, I look back and I'm not sure how we want all this money for this weekend because we didn't win up a whole bunch of games, but that was one of them. We need a Buffalo pretty good. But you know, the whole time, like I don't, I looked at it like Buffalo didn't stopped Indianapolis as much as Indianapolis stopped themselves, and uh, you know that's a concern for this Bill's defense, I think. But don't you know, and and again I

don't want recency two to influence be too much. I mean, it's one game. They are on a hell of the streak. The only game they've lost, like a couple of months was that Hail Murray passed to Arizona, which was an absolute miracle. So I don't want to knock them too much after one game. But that really was the truth of it, that their defense didn't stop them as much

as Indianapolis stopped themselves. I want to, yeah, I want to, and I want to get to the closing sequence of this game, because yeah, I mean, this could have gone terribly wrong for Buffalo in the end. You're right, Indie

kind of stopping themselves. Frank Reig also, by the way Josh Allen, of course, and the Bills once they failed to convert on fourth and goal at the end of the second quarter, matriculate the ball all the way down the field, they get in the end zone and down goes in these plus three and a half, So the first half that was unbelievable. But Frank roy also said

he re at it. He said he regretted that. He said he regretted rushing to challenge a play where he thought Bills running back Zack Moss fumbled early in the fourth quarter. The decision left the Colts with only one time out the rest of the game. Reich had time before challenging the play because the cart was brought on the field to take the injured Moss off the field, and he still challenged it, and it was just it

was against stupid challenge weekend. The Colts ended their season in which they won eleven games the first time since reached the playoffs for the second time in three years under Reich. Um Rivers ended up with three D nine yards, passing. His career playoff record drops to five and seven in completing his first and potentially last season with the Colts,

pondering retirement. Only one a f C Championship Game appearance in his career, but that the last sequence from from Reich's gaffs to Sean McDermott almost saving the day twice in that last sequence for his team, first the time out to get them to review the pitman fumble in the closing seconds of the game because they weren't all gonna look at it, even though the ref said after the fact that the replay booth you know did did initiate it, so Buffalo got their time out back, even

though it apparently wasn't a fumble. You can follow all that, but he he was the one that had to initiate that review, and then somehow it didn't go the Bill's way.

They said that it stands not a fumble, and so then it was this weird thing where the clock it was bizarre two seconds seconds, They like stole three seconds from the Colts, and then the clock wines and the Colts have no urgency to run the play, and Sean McDermott ends up using that time out that they gave back to him in a sort of NBA or college

basketball foul to give kind of way. He lets it go to five or right before they're about to snap, he calls the time out, so he effectively they effectively lost eight seconds. It was the weirdest thing, and McDermott basically saved his tried to save his team the first time,

saved his seat the second time. The difference between nineteen seconds and fourteen seconds in that situation is massive, massive, and the Colts become the first BEEN Playoff history to lose a game while gaining at least four hundred fifty yards with no turnovers according to Alias prior to Saturday. Prior to Saturday, such teams were eleven and oh so

many weird things. And the announcers also, like Charles Davis, there was a when, you know, when they were going for it from trying to make it at a six point deficit as opposed to an eight point deficit. They got the penalty and so it was a one yard two point. They correctly went for it, and I thought the Colts didn't. Charles Davis was like, no, this is stupid. That shouldn't like. I was like, I don't even know

what I'm watching. Sometimes with the announcers, either a Buffalo minus three and you said that's where it started, announce two and a half, and yeah, I think you're right, Baltimore money is gonna come. I think it's bolling more money. I'm not sure that's the winner of the games. That fact kind of like the Bills still, you know, but I do think, um, uh, if your Bills, if you're looking to play the Bills, my my hunts would be a weight. I think the money is gonna show on

the dog Man. Okay, well those are Saturday games, so we got we got of Saturday games finally, but again between we we just went through Carol and Vrabel and Rich Like, I don't remember a weekend like this. We're the losing coaches were this bad? Just again, I get the set. You think I'm exaggerating it, but I just we got one more to come. Still, we're not done with Mike Tomlin still to come, but we'll talk about

the two games on Sunday. Cleveland, Kansas City and of course Tampa Bay, New Orleans will look back to the last this past weekend as well. Much to be discussed coming back right here on a numbers game at Visa the sports betting that worried. All right, Christie, we're off to Sunday. Finally, what do you got still? The Cleveland at Kansas City? I guess ten? Was I correct? I believe I was. Yeah, it's pretty solid. Ten. That's that's what we open. And it seemed like just a solid

number to me. They had to be about a ten point dasit. Uh So that's that's where we opened. That's where we are. I'm looking right now. Um, you know a little bit of action on the game, not much, but a little bit behind the Chiefs, but not all that greatly surprised if uh Cleveland gets a good yeah in public cold the share money on in this coming week. No practicing, no head coach on the sideline. Forty eight to thirty seven win, their first postseason win for the

Browns and more than a quarter century. Uh. No Kevin Stefanski specifically, no Pro Bowl guard Joel Bitonio. We talked about that with Jeff Schwartz last week. Denzel Award back in Cleveland. All tested positive for COVID. They'll all be back next week. But I mean, there's nothing else to say about this than the beginning of this game. The first snap of the game, market Marky's pouncing snaps it

over Big Ben's head, touchdown. Brown's Karl Joseph recovers on a play where James Conner and and Ben had a shot at at first and and Connors would have slid by it, and Ben had the urgency to pick that up like Cam Newton did in the Super Bowl, like none whatsoever. He's like, look at that, look at that ball. Oh you you recovered it. So that's the first play.

Second drive. M J. Stewart picks off Big Ben three plays later, Mayfield to Landry forty yards on a forty yard touchdown pass on third and four, fourteen and nothing. Third Pittsburgh drive. They punch when they couldn't convert a third and one, three and out, six plade drive later, Hunt a Levin yard touchdown on the sixth plade twenty one and nothing. Fourth Steeler drive, Sheldrick RedWine picks off big Ben returns at thirty yards three plays later, Hunt

eight yards twenty eight to nothing. Christie, the only thing I thought about was Doug Williams and the Washington football team in Super Bowl twenty two and the second quarter of that Super Bowl. For those of a certain age, Washington scored thirty five unanswered points in the second quarter of that Super Bowl, and I've never seen anything like that. This was about as close to that as I think we've ever seen. Well. So that was a great series on for me. I love that. I didn't love yesterday

so much. Now I was on Washington that day. I went home. It was you know, so I talked about games taking on a life of their own. After that second Brown's touchdown, that game took on the lights of the town. The first one you could overcome, second one a little a little tougher than the third one. And I didn't even see the fourth touches and I left. I was coming home, but I had my daughter texting. I didn't want to listen to the play by play. I didn't want to do I'm I was zoning out

the music. What the Steelers are doing? And uh I walked into doors. Nothing um so, but it did take on the lights of the town. But you know, we wound up. It was one of those games we needed either the Browns to win out right or the Steelers to cover, and of course need Steelers. That was opening Steelers to cover was gonna be the outcome. But that was you know at that point that it's virtually impossible. That's just not gonna happen. Um you know, but listen,

kudos to the problem. But how do I can't say one thing? How come Kevin Stefanski couldn't be on the telephone? Yeah, I don't have the answer. I don't Yeah, I don't know. Competitive reasons issues, Okay, there you go. Okay, did we not have some extenuating circumstances this year? You know, games being played on Tuesdays and Wednesdays and all that other stuff that they could have said. Oh yeah, he could be on the telephone talking on his team. Yeah. I

mean it's crazy. You know. Listen, I think Stefancy for one of the guys up for Coach of the Year. I think he's done a hell of a job with this team. How can he not be allowed to talk to them on the telephone and text or whatever. I mean, that's just it's insanity to me. I don't Yeah, yeah, it didn't endim ma nering yesterday, but well, you know where I'm going with this. First of all, let me

just get the details. Cleveland first playoff games since two thousand two, the first postseason win of any kind since beating New England uh New Year's Day ninety five, first playoff road wins in sixty nine. Again, just doing it despite practicing just over the once over the last two weeks, having lost seventeen straight at hines Field, scored as many points in the first quarters they had in the previous twelve first quarters. In Pittsburgh, Steelers led the NFL and sacks,

but failed to get to Mayfield even once. Cleveland's forty eight points, the most Pittsburgh has ever given up in the playoffs. Mayfield thirty four for two sixty three, three touchdowns, note picks. He was never sacked. Browns gave up five hundred and fifty three total yards five hundred and one passing. Big Ben's final stats forty seven for sixty eight for five oh one, four touchdowns, four picks, was not sacked. UM plus five in turnovers is all you need to know.

Plus five in turnovers. But here's the sequence, though, So it would be one thing if Pittsburgh just went away after the twenty to nothing deficit, right, but down thirty five to sixteen just over halfway through the third quarter, they score a touchdown and make it thirty five to sixty, and then for a moment you're like, oh my, could we be talking about Buffalo Houston oilers come back? Like what is that? Was the other sort of NFL historical reference.

It was the Doug Williams Super Bowl and then the big Frank right come back and you're just like, it is that what we're watching? So they're down nineteen, and correctly they go for two, they don't convert. Okay, fine, next drive they score again to make it thirty five to two, twenty two and here because they went for two the previous time. You're like, oh, well, they clearly get it. They should go for two again to cut it to eleven. Nope, they kick an extra point to

make it thirty five to twenty three. What are we watching? Chris Like, I'm just like, I cannot believe this is happening. Math is hard, I get it. Yeah, come on that That twelve point deficit is just you know, And I remember I was going back to college and I want to say, like three or four years ago when Tennessee was playing Kentucky, I want to say, and he was Florida came and they went up by twelve in the

fourth quarter, and they kicked to go up by thirteen. Well, you know, the thirteen doesn't know it's no different than twelve at that point that they have to score two touchdowns and you know, you know, in the fourth quarter, like of course in the first quarter, death thirt teams are nice beleeve. Uh. Yeah, I don't know what he was thinking on that. I don't know. You have to try to cut that to eleven, you know, you have to try and do that. And now I don't know.

Al Michaels goes into the break and says, yeah, no, by the book, that's what you gotta do. Kick the extra point there. I'm like what. And they come back from the breaking out Michael's because out of my goes, rarely makes that mistake. He's like, yeah, on review, he corrected himself. He's like, I don't know what book that is, but he probably should have gone for two. And then Chris Collinsworth says, not have gone for one. I'm like, what, Okay, then,

of course I haven't even gotten to it yet. That's bad enough. Fourth and one at the forty six to start the fourth quarter, it's thirty five to twenty three. They try to draw Cleveland off sides or whatever the hell they were doing, sending forty five players in motion, and it didn't fool anybody, and they punt, and then of course Cleveland scores a touchdown on the ensuing drive. Mayfield calmly takes them eighty yards in six place, forty

two to twenty three. Katie bar the door. Here's the quote from Tomlin after the game quote, I wanted to pin them down and maybe provide a short field for their offense. I just wanted to keep the momentum going. In terms of field positioning unquote. See, we just spent an hour, haven't stopped them all day? You know, why, why did you think this time you were going to

pin them in their own territory. I'm not if I were, if I was an owner, if I was an NFL owner and I was a little more volatile than I probably ought to be, I might have fired Mike Tomlin after that game, Like I really, I just I can't. We just spent an hour going through four losing coaches in Tomlin and Vrabel and Reich and Carol, And I don't know which was worse of the bunch, which was the worst of the bunch. But I just know I don't remember one weekend, let alone a playoff weekend where

you had that many. Maybe in a regular season weekend there have been, and I just you know, we just get tired of naming them all. But in a playoff weekend, and like I said, I don't include RIVERA was fine and defeat Naggie. I just think his team is so bad that I can't really blame him. But those other four guys, I mean, some of this fall squarely on them. So in the end, when we go to these three games and we still have to get to uh. Obviously, we still have to get the Tampa Bay New Orleans

here after the break. But Casey minus ten uh Buffalo, he said, minus two and a half right now for Baltimore Green base seven against the Rams. I like the I like the Packers straight up. And I think a Green Bay Baltimore teaser feels awfully good to me right now for a grip. Yeah, you know, I'm gonna have to go look and see what we did on teasers for the week. I know we've actually had a really good year like booking teasers, believe it or not. Interesting.

And that was another one I looked through and I had Michael in my office, you know, you know, on Saturday, and I was showing them because you know, Michael's always we couldn't beat the teasers. We couldn't be well, we beat them more than you think, you know, and some guys, I know, you've done really well with teasers this year, but overall the public has note but that sounds like a pretty good teaser. The one you just said, it

really does sound pretty good. Sounds good until, as you say, Christie, the games take a take on a life of their own and yes they do. You're like, yes they do. You're like, I guess this Pittsburgh teaser like I have is not gonna hit. We'll come back. We'll do the last of the four divisional games, coming back right here on the numbers game it Vista these sports betting netwhere Tampa bad in New Orleans is the final game. I ended up with New Orleans minus three and a half?

What did you come up with? I like three? Better? Um, And this game actually opened three and a half almost everywhere, but I can see, and so I went to three. And I was the first one to go to three. And then naturally, you know, the guys poured in and laid the three. But I told him just hold the number, hold the number. I think this is going to settle in it three and I don't want to play, you know, listen to you know, I got of dodges three almost

every single week. But now when I got a dog and went a big playoff game could be pretty consequential. I think this is a great matchup. And we talked like games taken on a life of their own, you know. I look back that the New Orleans Buccaneers game early in the year for New Orleans just absolutely obliterated them. That was a game that I did not think cocon's life with its own, you know, New Orleans was just really you know, trampled them. But I do think Camp

is a different team right now. And uh, I think three was a real good number here. Yeah. The reason I said three and a half is I figured two, you know, double digit stompings deserved the hook. Uh. And to your point is those final scores were thirty four to twenty three and thirty eight to three. Let's not forget that one. That was was a very peculiar game that death took on the life of its own. By the way, Felika chiming in on what you were saying, well,

you stop making sense, he says. He's is like the like the College Football Committee actually thought about that. Um. All right, well let's start with this with Tampa Bay at New Orleans. Tampa Bay beats Washington. They beat the Washington football team thirty one to twenty three on Saturday night,

first playoff win for the franchise. The Bucks franchise is two thousand two, their Super Bowl year, by the way, when they won it all with coach John Gruden, Tom Brady against Washington forty three one, two touchdowns, note picks. He was sacked three times his forty second postseason start. At his nuts forty second postseason start, Mike Evans caught six passes for one nineteen yards five hundred and seven

total yards of offense for Tampa Bay. But they beat a Washington team, which was really the one team that lost this weekend where you almost want to stand up an applaud for them. Taylor, Hicky, Taylor, Heinecky, everybody, Uh, maybe Washington's quarterback of the future. I mean, it's unbelievable. Yeah, just just bear with me for a second because I have to get my fields on this. Don't let me have my moment here. Twenty of forty four for three oh six, forty four for three oh six off the street,

one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked twice. Six carries for forty six yards and a touchdown. I knew when he scored that touchdown when he dove at the pylon, I knew he heard himself. They were trying to figure out afterwards. I was like, it was on the touchdown. They thought it was like a subsequent hit. I was like, no, when he landed on his chest, but it was his second pro start, his first ever in the playoffs. He had only appeared in eight games lifetime. He was signed

December eight by Washington to the practice squad. He was taking online math classes at his alma mater, Old Dominion ODU when Washington called him to be its quarantine quarterback. Remember the Denver New Orleans game was such a horrific event for the A Broncos, the Kendall Hinton game that Washington was like, well, we gotta get ourselves a quarantine quarterback in case that happens to us. Hey, let's get this kid from ODOU. Taylor Heneke used to you know,

Ron Rivera had him over in Carolina. So that scramble for an eight yard touchdown, by the way, by diving at the pylon in the corner of the end zone, banged up his left shoulder. He didn't look the same on the next drive. Cam Sims was his big target seven for one oh four. But Washington, I just want to say one last thing about Washington. They had Alex Smith. Poor Alex Smith, after the seventeen surgeries, comeback player of the Year. There's nothing you can say bad about Alex Smith.

Clearly the calf just couldn't hold up. Here, Dwayne Haskins, Kyle Allen, who was the other guy that Rivera brought over for Carolina. This kid comes off the street and is by far the best quarterback of the season by far, and so like all year, I'm like, they don't have the quarterback of their future is not on their roster. Uh, he's gonna get a shot at it, shouldn't he? Oh he'll get shot. Yeah. Absolutely, they deserved a shot and

no doubt about that. Um obviously not that talented or wind take on a math course of months ago, you know, but kudos to him were really just an admirable performance. I'm looking up this qb are real quick here at sixty three point two is qb R. I mean it's really good. Um, so he he played terrific. I mean he's gonna be a folk hero I think in Washington for years to come. I think, uh, you know, and

well deserved. I mean he really yeah, I mean, you know, we almost pulled off this game, you know, I mean they he gave it a shot. They had to run at it, you know, why not. The amazing thing about

that game the Tampa Bay Washington game. And this shows how none of us know a damn thing in the end, like even those of us who thought Washington could keep it close and maybe even cover our our game script to do that, our path of doing that was, oh Young Payne, Alan Sweat, they're gonna mess with Tom Brady. He's a statue. Uh, that's how they're going to keep it close. Instead, those guys it virtually nothing like Chase Young couldn't get to Brady, wouldn't even close to Brady

all game. And instead it's this kid again off the street who was taking math classes. He was the one who kept him in the game. I just did nothing, nothing about this game. No one had this game, pegged nobody. Uh. And so Tampa Bay gets to play New Orleans for a third time, and I guess, well, you know, Tampa Bay. They you look, they left a lot of points on the on the board to right, they left a lot

on the table. They're going in to play New Orleans, the forty three year old against the forty one year old, and it's uh, New Orleans who gets by Chicago. They do so twenty one to nine. In the end, a Jimmy Graham touchdown catch and a great catch. It was at the buzzer wins Bears teaser legs. But if you got the worst number, if you got the worst number, it does not get you the plus eleven and a half. Excuse me, it does not get you the then the minus eleven and a half. I should say, we're saved

by that, or excuse me. The plus eleven and a half's were not saved by that, right, Those who had the Bears were like, oh, no extra point? What's the rule? Well, the rule is the Minneapolis Miracle decided there's no extra point in that one second. I had one second on the clock. They would have had to have kicked the extra point. But we talked about that on the megapod. We did, Yeah, a couple few weeks back, we were

talking about the Minneapolis Miracle creating that rule change. Um. By the way, how much did Jim Nance want that last Drew Brees touchdown to count the one where he waved it over? And Nance is like, no, but it's a touchdown Tony, And Tony's on delay and his COVID protocol.

He's like, no, I don't think so, Jim. And finally it wasn't anyway that was such a weird game because it looked like at one point it looked like it like the Bears waved the white flag right fourth and nine at their own twenties six, with seven forty five left there, down twenty one to three, they punt, like who cares if you lose by eighteen, you might as

well lose by a hundred, So they punt there. And then subsequent to that, they have this amazing goal line stand against the Saints, the one where Bruce touch Breeze a parent touchdown did not count, and then they matriculate the ball nine nine yards for the Graham touchdowns, like the weirdest, Like what what's happening? Um? But I don't, you know, in the same way that we talked about Vrabel and Reich and Tomlin and Carol, I don't hold this over Naggie because I just don't think his team's

that good. The Bears were held to eleven first downs, They were one of ten on third downs. They only had two thirty nine total yards, only forty eight rushing. They only had the ball twenty one minutes in two seconds. You know, Saints had never previously allowed fewer than fourteen points in a playoff game, they allow three plus that last touchdown, so I guess nine here, and um, you know what, Breeze thirty nine for two sixty five, two touchdowns,

no picks. He wasn't sack Kimara ninety nine on the ground a touchdown. Dante Harris kept the Saints really ahead in the first half by himself. It seemed like seven catches for eighty three yards. So, I mean, I don't know New Orleans is about. I don't know how to feel about this game, Chris, because New Orleans is about what I think they are, which is to say something about them worries me, and oh yeah, yeah, go ahead. I was just gonna chime in there. And you know,

I've never been the biggest Saints guy. I think that they're good. They're real good. You know, you've got Peyton and Breese, you know, a very good combination coaching quarterback. But I look back, even the year they won the Super Bowl, I'm I had Indianapolis in that game. Obviously I was wrong, but I look back, I'm just not crazy about this team, you know, and every year they're highly competitive. You know, they're right in the playoff Nix

and the Super Bowl mix, and I don't know. You know, it's hard for me to pinpoint exactly what it is with this game. You talked about games taken on a life of his own. What I and I get the guy's name that the Bears, guy that dropped that sound passed. Yeah, that could everything? God could that have changed the game like they get mighta um, you know, easier to say now, of course, But I don't know. And that's why I say,

you know, and I know they've beaten Tampa twice. The one that they won by eleven was a three three whatever. That Yeah, So I mean that was that wasn't okay for that? That wasn't terrible. The other game, I mean, they totally smashed Tampa Bay. I mean, you know that was you know, they crushed them from the beginning. But those two games mean something, Yes, they do mean something for sure. But I just think right now Tampa Bay

is playing its best ball of the year. I always think there's just a little something missing out of this New Orleans team. It's hard for me to put my finger on because their defense is very good, you know. Breeze, I mean he is a Hall of Famer, no doubt. Peyton is a great coach, But I kind of like Tampa in this game, you know, even plus the three. You know there was three and a half earlier. You might see that again. I'm not sure, but I like Tampa.

I think Tampa is gonna win this game. This is you know how on the megapot, I asked the question, which is the game I want no part of? Like if you live in a bizarro world, you had to bet a side, and we do it during the regular season, but we also do it for the playoffs. If I had to bet three here on the side and take one pass, this is probably the past for me, Like

I have. There's so many different outcomes on this one for me, you know, because I could just as your scenario is exactly right, I could see Tampa Bay rolling. I could see New Orleans roll. I just don't have a good field for Normans. But here's my favorite tweet of the weekend. You show this one, Jason. This this is one because all year I've been saying, how yeah, great, Sean Payne is a great coach. But I just don't buy into the Taysom Hill thing, right, like everybody anointed

Taysom Hill. Oh you just he's just a Swiss army knife if you do everything with them. And I'm always annoyed by it because because the line for me is always he does everything worse than the player he's replacing. He's not as good quarterback as Breeze, He's not a good running back as Camary, is not as good a

receiver as Thomas, and Tommy smokes. I don't know if if his son has been listening to the show, but he says, I'm watching the game on Nickelodeon with my three year old son and he just asked, quote, Daddy, why did the States insist on forcing the football to tastom Hill when he doesn't do anything that well and they have two better quarterbacks and four to five better playmakers on the roster. I'm so proud. It's just exactly

I feel. I don't know, Tommy's very funny. I don't know if that's his son actually said that, or that's Tommy channeling through his child. Um, but yeah, kid me three years all to come up with that. Sign him up for me. Did you catch any of the Nickelodeon broadcast? Probably not, huh No, I did not. Jason, do we have do we have the real quick the Nickelodeon tweets. I mean, the one thing that was cool is that they had uh, Young Sheldon explaining, so here's a touchdown

where everybody gets slimed. That's an Adam Schefter tweet. And then they do explain like Young Sheldon explained all the calls, which I thought was interesting. And then there was a third one where to kick a field goal and it's like SpongeBob SquarePants big face, which got me to giggle as well. But if I was a child and they had Nickelodeon, I wouldn't have watched the game on Nickelodeon because I was like so serious about football from age six.

I would have been like, turned this girl, this crap off. It's a great idea. They had to figure out a different environment to to play around with. That was definitely the game to do it on, though, because boy was it otherwise. If you didn't have a bet on that Chicago New Orleans game yesterday, it was unwatchable. This betting things gonna catch on. Yeah, yeah, obviously we had action every game, but yeah, you're right, that was pretty unwashable.

Yeah alright, So in the end, then as we look back at these four games in our final two minutes. I think I like straight up by like Green Bay the best giving seven, and then the tease I like the best is Green Bay Baltimore. Basically, what I'm saying is I love Saturday much more than I like Sunday. How about you? Well, I like the Packers. Like I said, I kind of wanted to open this game seven and a half, but I didn't want to mess with it just yet. I like the Bills. I think the Bills

are going to beat them. I think they'll beat the Ravens, although I think the public will come in strong on the Ravens. I like I like Gampa Bay h plus the three, but you know, again, you're kind of pretty close. I think they win the game. The game I would stay away from is Cleveland Kansas City. That's the game, you know, ten point favorite, you know, I think that

numbers dead on. You know, I've seen teams lose by less than ten with never having a chance to win the football game, and I think that could easily happen here. Or Kansas City could just blow them out. I don't know how much. How about that five plus yards of the Browns gave up? Do you chalk up to the nature of a good question for you. How much of how the game was where Pittsburgh just needed to sling an all game, or how much of that is the

Browns just can't stop anybody, period. I think that's part of it. You know. When the Steelers cut into twelve, you know, I thought, I thought, man, are they gonna pull this game out? Because I mean they were, they were rolling at the time, and I thought there was a legitimate chance that they could do it. And part of it was the fact that haven trouble stopping teams, you know, uh, And I'm not sure they're gonna be

able to stop Kansas City. But does that mean Kansas City wins you know, six or twenty seven something like that. I think, you know, I certainly can see the game. I would stay away from the uh you know where I on the megapot have to stay away from one game that would be it that happening very easily. So yeah, I think I think a lot of people will agree with you on that, And I the more you say it, the more you might be right on that. Christie, I thank you as always, um again in the name of

the book. Then one day Chris Andrews, everybody, my mission book, Thank you, sir. Oh my pleasure, my pleasure, my favorite good talking to you to? My favorite UH way to start Mondays during football season. Happy to do it through the playoffs as well, coming back my favorite talking good talking to you to, My favorite way to start Mondays during football season.