Check it down.
Man.
The numbers told the story they always done. It's one of those idiots who believe in analytics.
This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander gons.
Good Monday morning too.
It is a numbers game at Visa, the sports betting Network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app, Game plus iHeartRadio, YouTube TV, and of course the DK Network, all proudly at Bar Canada. At the d It's Gill Alexander. It's Kelly Bidlin on this Monday morning, guesting lines for week number six in the National Football League.
Kelly, good morning to you. And let me just say, the magic.
Carpet right of the first four weeks of the NFL season is over Week five. I didn't get I'm trying to think if I got anything right.
Yeah, there wasn't much for you either. Yeah.
One in three contest week packers pending bets were terrible.
It was a bloodbath quarterly booby for me. Let's go.
I wouldn't even know how to approach that though, Like I wouldn't even know. We'll just just keep betting away, Gilly'll maybe you'll continue this.
The problem is I don't want to do derails. But the problem now that I'm thinking about your spot because you went over right over, Yeah, I was an over. The problem is with your spouse. Is still early enough in the season, right that.
Like and it's also a five week quarter, right yeah, not a four so if it was a full tough five is ridiculous, there's no way you can like sustain.
So basically you've got the worst possible, worst possiblest possible time.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, that kind of weekend.
Yeah, let's update Survivor for those who are still alive in Survivor because we always start there. We don't want to we don't want to miss you know, change that just because I'm out. And by the way, in case you missed it, hit it. That's what happened to me with Washington on Thursday night. Thank you, Sean, appreciate that.
All right?
Uh, five hundred and forty five additional entries knocked out of Circa Survivor. That means for the entire Survivor contest at Circa with one game pending tonight between the Packers and the Raiders, and I'm pretty sure only yeah, only two entries had the Packers tonight, so not my can change.
Oh I guess a few more have the Raiders.
Five have the Raiders, so incrementally something could happen here tonight with one of those or something will barring even with a tie would have both teams, so something will happen. But right now, five point forty five gone. That means seven four hundred and twenty nine out of the original nine thousand, two hundred and sixty seven are out. That means there are eighteen hundred and thirty eight entries left Kelly, eighteen hundred and thirty eight heading into tonight, which is
over eighty percent. That's eighty point one seven percent of entries gone, not quite through Week five of the NFL season. If you're wondering, how does they compare.
To last year?
Last year eighty eight point twenty nine percent were gone, So we're not even close really to last year, which had a north of six thousand entries to start with. And another way to contextualize that is eighteen hundred and thirty eight left. While that means that eighty percent plus are gone, that's more entries than we started with the first year we did Circus Survivor Wow. So it's still a mess of entries.
Us incredible growth by incredible.
Incredible shout out to Derek Stevens and crew intrinsic value of each of the remaining eighteen one hundred and thirty eight five forty one dollars and eighty nine cents.
Congratulations to those who are still live.
Dolphins and Lions, by the way, responsible for over seventeen hundred of those eighteen thirty eight left.
And there were some brave souls this week Andrey Chuck Chuck alad in Week five reps. Some of those, some of those had picked up one or two on the right hand side all the way.
Man, somebody, somebody played the giants. Someone like somebody played the giants.
Yeah, last week wo no picks to failed to submit, there were those anyway. Congratulations to those who are who are still alive Dolphins and Lions easily getting that home. Commanders and Ravens. We predicted that we anticipated the Commanders would be the third most selected and the Ravens were the fourth, So they both go down by the wayside. What we do on this show each and every Monday and up until last week was a great first instinct
of helping us win bets. Not so much last week didn't really work out the plinko chip didn't go our way.
And we thought we found we thought you found what we loved last week, though we did always happened.
But now here's the thing, because we had this conversation before we got on air, before we get to these games, because this is the whole process, we'll go through what happened yesterday and try to project forward. We're very aware when we lose bets of oh, well, if this had happened,
we could have easily won. We're not quite that aware when we win bets, or at least we don't speak to it, that the same kind of good fortune oftentimes comes our way, right, there's a confirmation bias in that, and so we'll try to do better with that moving forward. Also when we win bets. But today, just the polinko chip didn't go away in some of these and then some of these are just kind of flat out wrong about or you just never had a prayer for other reasons,
which we'll get into. Let's begin with a Thursday night game this week and see if we can't find some value.
Yeah, you want to hit the open real quick? There we go get fun. It's coming at It was here like eight hours ago. By the way, is any any English words come out of your mouth? There? Are you just like making the sad I'm.
Just trying to do my best pill Phil Swift impression. Oh is that he's a swift? Just not the swift you think? All right, Broncos at the Chiefs AFC West Battle Division of Death from last year, well, Chiefs like ten and a half.
It's the one in four Broncos against the four and one Chiefs. Can I also just say this also before we get into Carolina, for those who rode the Carolina last winless we wanted far and square in the end, we didn't need a rule. Yeah, thankfully everybody won. Everybody won that. And shout out to some of these one in four teams because they are the unsung heroes of us winning that bet. And I just want to say, I just want to go through all the one in
four teams real quick. Uh, New England, thank you for beating the Jets. We won't count Las Vegas because they haven't played a fifth game yet. Denver, thank you for coming back miraculously to beat the Bears that one time. Yeah, uh, this is all that's had to happen.
Hey, this is this is speaking to what you brought up earlier. Yeah, count cow were you're lucky.
Hey Giants, thanks so much for that dramatic comeback win against the Cardinals when you were down twenty one.
Yeah, that's the biggest one.
Well, Denver was just as bad when they beat Chicago. Hey, Arizona, thanks for beating Dallas like crazy, you beat Dallas. I don't know where that came from. Minnesota, you beat Carolina, so that one.
Thank you. In Chicago, thank you for beating the Commanders winning one game.
It's amazing how two of those revolver Cardinals too. The Cardinals are the ultimate bailout.
Do you think about like all those all those teams managed to find some ridiculous way of winning a game. Yeah, in Arizona winning and handily, it was kind of ridiculous. Okay, Denver at Kansas City, Denver is one and four. That's what triggered that in my head, this was this was a This was not a very just a maze. Like for all the NFL Sundays we go through, this was
not a great one just in terms of action. Was it that that Scott Kasmar tweet also where you said the last thirty five NFL games we've watched so heading back two weeks now, three have had a fourth quarter change of score, fourth quarter change of lead. Three of the last thirty five Jets and Denver Jets held a were held with three and out first drive of the game, but Morsted a Thomas Morristead punt Marvin Mimms Junior fumbled that set up the Jets on a Sam Equavoen recovery.
The Jets do who over at the twenty yard line. They still had to settle for a zer line thirty yard field goal three to nothing Jets, but remember that ended up being the margin of victory that turnover to begin the game.
Broncos came right back.
There went seventy five yard to Liil McLaughlin, who had a thirty eight yard rush earlier on the drive from Russell Wilson for twenty two in the end zone. Broncos actually had the lead seven to three halfway through the first quarter. At this point, the Giants and the Jets were the only two teams in Pro football to not run a single offensive play thus far while holding the lead. That would change for the Jets later. Morstead then pinned the Broncos deep in their own territory. Wilson got called
for intentional grounding in the end zone. Seven to five Denver, they would trade field goals. So ten to eight Denver. I'm gonna kill Sean Payton, as you know, because he destroyed We went after Nathaniel Hacket in the offseason, and I've berated him before because he acts like he's won ten Super Bowls. He went after Hackett in the offseason. This is the poetic revenge. This was the poetic justice that had to happen. And in this game, north side of the two minute warning in the first half, two
zho three left running clock. The Broncos have a second and goal with the Jets five. Why run a play there, Sean Payton three yard loss from mcglalklin, they have to settle for a Lutz twenty two yard field goal. H Maybe if you played it differently, the outcome of the game would have been different. Your putts thirteen to a Denver. They leave one forty eight on the clock. Now, he did get lucky there because the Jets matriculated the ball down the field and ended up with the ball at
the eight yard line running running clock. After a c j Zoma catch with nine seconds left on the clock, in no timeouts and very little urgency getting to the line of scrimmage and the half expired on him. Hey Zach Wilson maybe run to the line of scrimmage. Third quarter after a Broncos three out, Jets first play Breeze Hall for seventy two fifteen to thirteen Jets. They'd never relinquish the lead after that. Another Broncos three and out. Jets do take their first snap with the lead this year,
Zeroline Field will eighteen to thirteen. Another Denver three and out on the sack of Wilson on third down, but on the Riley Dixon punt, Xavier Gibson muffs it.
Tremont Smith recovers for Denver.
Two plays later, Broncos fumbled back on a pitch to p Ryan that never gets to him fumble. Quentin Jefferson recovers for the Jets. At this point in the game, Denver had four yards of offense in the second half.
That's not good.
This is and this is in the second ALFL where he Jets get a twenty two yard zero line field goal twenty one to thirteen Jets. Broncos then lose those four yards. On the next drive, punt zerline forty nine yard field goal, twenty four to thirteen. Denver finally woke up, went seventy five yards, made it twenty four to twenty one. On that drive, Jets got a deep Wilson a Conklin hookup for thirty seven, but third and five that Denver twenty seven and Wilson picked by Patser ten that the
Broncos four to fourteen left. Denver made some noise on the final drive. Wilson diverted third and fourteen after a sack on a two yard pass to Judy E excuse me on a pass to Judy rather, but two plays later he got ball poked out by Quincy Williams, picked up by Bryce Hall instride to the house thirty nine yards, Jets winning thirty to twenty one. Congratulations Nathaniel Hackett thirty one to twenty one. Pardon me, Jets get it done. Broncos fall to one and four, and then there's Casey.
There's not really much to say about that game against Minnesota Kelly, other than it was thirteen thirteen at the half. They had lost Travis Kelcey Kansas City had in that game. He did return, and then the second half Colts excuse me, a Chiefs opening drive to get a touchdown twenty to thirteen. They would extend ended after a Vikings punted twenty seven
to thirteen, and they end up getting the victory. In the end, Minnesota ended up with a fourth and twelve at the Kansas City twenty four with four to fifty four left down a touchdown, but they had no timeouts, no justin Jefferson for that matter. At that point, Cousins threw it up and it was incomplete, and so it
ended that way. Even though Jim Nantz was waxing poetically about this was the birthplace of the Hail Mary, it never actually happened at the end because Kirk Cousins never got the ball off down seven.
I will say Kansas City minus seven and a half hosting Denver. You're light. It is ten and a half, which I definitely didn't say.
All right, ten and a half Chiefs ten and a half Thursday Night Chiefs defense looking dang good.
But there's some questions I think on that.
Ten and a half's a lot, but seven and a half might be love for sure, all Right, we'll come back. We'll we'll do the games on Sunday. No London this week, right, no London.
We are overseas coming back on a numbers game.
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To get the VISA NHL Betting Guide by becoming a vsentprosubscriber today at vson dot com slash subscribe. It's Gil Alexander, It's Kelly Bidlin. So two things happen in a span of five seconds apparently in that last segment. One is you actually gave the line as you gave the game out, and two I didn't hear it and just ran right through it.
So maybe maybe we should restart this whole thing. That was not our best. We just needed a segment to get sort of warmed up this morning. I know you were trying how long have we been doing this? You're trying to like cover for me. No, I I gotta get into this. And then yes, there's a game in London too.
Yeah, I have two NFL bets that I made right before the weekend, which I will share here at the end of the segment. But let's do we do You said you do a off air, You said we do have a London Yeah, we do.
Have a London gain.
Can you did a check because I know we have the games in Germany this year, but they are later in the season, so we got one more game in London. Then you're off for two weeks and then two weeks in a row in Germany is what you're gonna get from Frank First, So Sunday morning, nine thirty a m. Eastern time, I will not give out the line.
First.
This is the Baltimore Ravens at the Tennessee Tights.
First, the Tennessee Titans, and.
We will get to the Buffalo Jacksonville game once we get to those two teams, because much needs to be.
Said about that.
But Baltimore, Baltimore is three and two and they very easily could be five. And they had no business losing either of the games. They lost the one in overtime to the Colts two weeks ago, and then this yesterday to the Steelers. And it's one of these games where we'll get through the play by play, but the the the box score doesn't even capture it. Raven second drive they won fifty nine yards, just as Hilling from fourteen
to seven to nothing. Ravens, they were up ten to nothing a second intent at their own thirty three five point forty one left in the second quarter, Lamar to Hill, he was hit by Larry Ogunjobi. He fumbled, Demonte Becauz recovered for Pittsburgh. That led to a Boswell forty three yard field goals ten to three. Baltimore and the Ravens were stopped on downs at the end of the half, fourth and two. At the Pittsburgh twenty three nineteen seconds left,
they went for it Lamar incomplete, intended for Flowers. That's your first half in a nutshell. Second half, teams traded punts three times, but on the third Baltimore punt, Jordan's stout blocked it out of the end zone. Ten to five. Baltimore eleven zho three left. Pittsburgh started at their own forty four after twenty two yard return on the free kick third and eight at the own forty six nine
to fifty two left. Third quarter, pick it to Jalen Warren for twenty three helped set up a Boswell twenty five yard chip shot ten to eight.
This is seven ten to go now.
Steelers hold the Ravens to a three and out, but on the pow return, gunner Old Schefsky fumbled, Kevin Seymour recovered for Baltimore turned at nineteen yards. Baltimore set up first and goal. Lamar picked by Joey Porter Junior on third and goal to five to four to oh four left Steelers down two Steelers and matriculate picket to Robinson for ten on third and nine, pickets of Pickens for twenty one on third and four two minutes left.
They only did a field goal.
Remember second and nine at the Baltimore forty one one twenty three to go, picket to Pickens for forty one touchdown over Marlon Humphrey.
Fourteen to ten.
Pittsburgh two point conversion fails one seventeen left, no matter first and ten for Baltimore their own forty four one twelve left. Lamar sacked by Alex high Smith, fumbles recovered by TJ.
Watt.
Looks like the game was going to be over right there with neil downs, but on third down, the Steelers get flagged for an illegal formation, which stops the clock, so Boswell has to kick a forty two yard field goal to make it seventeen to ten. But Baltimore got the ball back with forty nine seconds left and a puncher's chance needing seventy five yards, but they met minus
three yard stealers when it's seventeen to ten. Lamar twenty two of thirty eight for two thirty six, no touchdowns, one pick, sack four times.
Forget, forget the procedural penalty.
Did you did you have a problem with them taking a neither on that third down?
No, because Baltimore would have they would have had barely anything left on the clock at that point. Yeah, just I they were kind of setting up, they were playing the whole position for the field goal kicker thing.
But it was like it wasn't like it was a short field goal. That's where I was a little surprised. And then they get the procedural penalty stops the clock. Is the Ravens even a chance of a shot?
Well, that was just egregious.
Yeah, in a weekend of Mario Cristobal and Steve Sarkisian though a little Jimbo Fisher out of there, It's really not. But this is what I meant by the box score doesn't capture this is that the you know, the Ravens had the three total turnovers, they had two missed fourth down convert versions, only one touchdown on three red zone trips. But what really hurt the Ravens was dropped passes. Agalore, Bateman Andrews all drop passes in the end zone and save Flowers on the first drive of the game. I
don't if you saw that. But Baltimore is matriculating and he just kind of like let the ball go through his hands on a on a like a twenty yard pass downfield. So I mean a box score doesn't Let's like when a center fielder makes an unbelievable catch over.
The centerfield wall.
The play by place as a flyball center field out right, it doesn't capture what actually happened in that game.
So Baltimore just seven dropped passes by wide receivers seven seven.
They're at Tennessee again. This is in London. I assume this is in Tottenham again, just like last week Tennessee. So I lost on this game. Tennessee cold second possession, they're down three to nothing. Zach Moss fifty six yard scampered to the house seven to three Indianapolis forty one seconds left in the first quarter. Teams traded field goals tend to six. Indian Apple first at ten for the Colts of their own twenty five four to thirty nine
left in the second quarter. Anthony Richardson knocked out of the game with a shoulder injury on a tackle by Harold Landry. The third we find out it's some ac joint stuff this morning. Later that drive fourth at inches at the Tennessee five fifteen seconds left in the half, the Colts elected go for it Minshew incomplete intended for
Kylon grantson. So it's ten to six Colts at the half, and the Titans feeling pretty good about themselves, and they feel real good about themselves after on the opening drive of the second half they go seventy five yards Tannehill to Hopkins for sixteen and thirty six. On the drive ty Jay spears in from nineteen out. Tennessee took the
lead thirteen to ten, twelve forty eight left. Indianapolis came right back seventy five yards twenty two yard PI, the big play moss In from three seventeen to thirteen, trade of field goals twenty to sixteen Indianapolis fourth quarter Tennessee. And so many of these games came down to a fourth down decision. Tennessee down four, fourth and one at the Indianapolis five, eight h nine left, Derrick Henry's stuff
from no gain by DeForest Buckner. And here's why I come back to the plink code chip just didn't go my way. He gets that one yard it's maybe it's a completely different outcome in this game. Titans didn't get the ball back till there was one minute left in the game. After Matt Gay hit a chip shot twenty eight yard field goal to make it twenty three to sixteen. Titans needed to go seventy five yards and sixty seconds no timeouts. They don't third and ten at their own
forty with thirty seconds left. Tannehill picked by Julian Blackman ball game. Colts win at twenty three to sixteen.
Yeah, there's my Tanny Hill. I know, where's the tann Hill. I know that was one of the few winners I had. Yester, Actually, I want to.
Say, but that's the thing, like we tend to maybe maybe we gloss over these when we win. Maybe we don't.
Maybe the wins or that much easier. I don't know, I can't remember anecdotally. But Derek Henry gets that one yard, or the Titans get that one yard, maybe they win the game.
But you know what they didn't. And so that's that. And you run that play every single time. Every single time.
It's Derek Hennon, it's Darren You Titans did the right the one team where you could say sneak right, which we'll get to with Arizona. That's the one team where you're like, okay, Henry up the middle and you should I get it.
That's what you should do.
I'll say it's in London. I'll say Baltimore lazy minus three against the Titans.
Interesting coming your way.
This has opened three and a half four pretty much everywhere Ravens. There are a lot of Ravens threes juiced now, So Titans taking early money.
It looks like okay, makes sense. Here are the two bets I made last week. I made a exact e bet. Remember I have the one. In baseball, I have the Phillies to beat the Astros in the World Series forty five to one. Phillies up in their series against the Braves one to nothing, and the Astro series against the Twins nodded up at one apiece. We'll talk a lot of baseball tomorrow with Sporer and Borchard. In football, I did one Niners to beat the Bills at twenty five
to one. Now, I was feeling way better about that before yesterday when Matt Mulano got carted off the field.
Oh man, but that's I don't want to overreact to top them Tottenham a turf or anything like that.
But man, where Bills guys going down left and right everybody. A lot of slippage there in that game.
Yeah, so twenty five to one is what I bet Niners to beat the Bills. I think there was a lot of jet lag involved in that game yesterday, But with the Mulano injury on the heels of the Tradavious White injury, that really concerns me. But I do think the Niners leaps and bounds ahead of the rest of the field. As we'll get to them later.
I don't want to.
I don't want to ruin that breakdown. But the did you catch this about them leaving on Friday?
Yes? Like what what? So?
So I'm glad you bring that up because my buddy who's on what my little buddy Owen who's on the Ravens practice squad, told me yesterday they are leaving today for London.
Doesn't that make way more sense?
Like if you were going to go one way or the other, wouldn't it be immediately an acclimate yourself.
More especially juxtaposed against the fact that Jacksonville was already there right the week before and I hate myself because the week before I was making a big handicapping point about Jacksonville beating Atlanta and covering that spread because Jacksonville was so familiar with that whole itinerary and how they should do it, And yet it didn't occur to me to say that same thing yesterday, you know, before the Buffalo game.
I mean I heard that.
I heard that on the broadcast, and then it was like, Okay, I guess, like, let me make a mental note of apparently this is something I need to look into, because you told me it didn't look like that was a factor in that game yesterday.
Oh, we'll get to that recap, but like Buffalo looked Jet lagged for at least a quarter in that game. Yeah, kind of like us the first segment, except we didn't fly overseas.
Sorry about that.
I do have one more bet that I made of before the weekend, which we'll get to it a bit full Sunday slate of games we'll have. I think we only have a couple buys coming up, as I recall, so we'll do that guessing lines for Week six in the National Football League. Hopefully you're playing along with it. The first step towards handicapping the upcoming week's NFL action. First step towards winning some bets. Maybe not last week,
but every other week anyway. It said numbers game right here at Visa in the sports Betting Network, we get tweets at beating the book sports pick magic. I'm still a survivor, gill got one left, still out my original four War of Attrition. Good for you man, Good luck to you, Kevin Ryan. Gil funny how Bill doesn't look so good without Tom and Sean doesn't look so good without Drew coach your quarterback.
You decide, Yeah.
So since you bring it up, because I wasn't going to be annoying and do it on my own, But since you bring it up, Kevin Ryan, this is why Joe Jackson Gibbs should always be remembered as the greatest coach of.
All time period.
Period, joth Eisman, Doug Williams, Mark Rippon period. None of these guys could have done that anyway. Thank you Kevin Ryan forgiving me the entree to do that. Bronson, c are my clock's wrong? Worre's Gillan Kelly said, where's gilling Ang, We're here. We're paediatron.
May we got canceled somewhere over.
Under use of matriculating is five every Monday on ang, don't dicker with me, he said five.
I don't think we've said it yet today? Have I said it once? I think you just did once this week already.
Okay, there we go. Oh yeah, I came out of my mouth just for reading it. All right, what's next? Sunday morning?
All right, we are Sunday early morning commanders at Falcons.
Okay, Commodores lose on Thursday to the Bears, famously for some of us in Survivor Atlanta another one where the old Plinko chip just didn't go my way with Houston Atlanta. After a three and out fourth and one at the Atlanta nineteen for the Texans ten forty two left in the first quarter, they settled for a fair barn thirty eight yard field goal.
Hmm.
You don't look back at moments like that in the game, but perhaps that's why you end up losing. Atlanta then went seventy five yards, helped along by a London to John hus Smith twenty two yard trick ration rider in from seven out seven to three Atlanta six forty eight left first quarter, nine to seven Houston at the half. After a couple more fair barren Field goals.
Third quarter, d J.
Stroud Kelly sets the record for the most passes to start a career without a pick, at one seventy seven. He would add from there, he's good.
He's good. He's like first overall goods.
Like he should have been the number one picking the draft at plus two thirty or whatever I had am at. Ohay, you're gonna hear this for eight straight plus three point fifty or plus four hundred, I can't even remember. After a Texans punt, Atlanta first intended their own twenty eight Bjon tackled by Khalil Davis fumbles recovered by Dylan Horton, another fair baron field goal, twelve to seven Houston, nine
thirty five left in the third Falcons matriculate. That's two second intend for Atlanta at Houston twenty three Riddard of John hu Smith hit by Grayland Arnold fumbles. Jalen Peecher recovers for Houston, returns to twenty two yards, but after three and out, Atlanta goes seventy four yards. Ridder Shovel passed to Bijon from six out touchdown, then a two point conversion from Rider to al Gjer fifteen to twelve
Atlanta twelve twelve left. But after Houston three and out, Ridder to London for thirty two on the first play of the subsequent drive, that's that's up. A coup thirty three yard field goal eighteen to twelve Atlanta six fifty seven left, and the Texans come back seventy five yards third and nine from the Atlanta eighteen one to fifty four left Stroud to Dalton Schultz touchdown. The Texans lead it nineteen eighteen with one forty nine left.
Could it be no?
Falcons easily go downfield young Hey Ku thirty seven yard field goal to close it at the buzzer, Atlanta wins it, twenty one to nineteen. Walk off for the Falcons. Ritter twenty eight to thirty seven for three twenty nine. Good for him after people like me have been killing him. Yeah, good for him. One touchdown, no picks, he was not sacked. Four carries ten yards in a touchdown. Atlanta was minus two and turnovers in this game only led to plus
three net points for Houston. I will say Atlanta minus three hosting Washington judge based on how the market seems to love Atlanta no matter what. So I'll say Atlanta minus three.
Close.
This is Falcons two and a half. Oh okay, not as much as I thought, so even YEAHI on the Falcons the two and to half.
Yeah, pretty much. All right, let's squeeze some more and when we get Vikings at the Bears early window. Vikings already told.
We didn't really talk about the Vikings game at Chicago. Chicago, of course, beating the Commodes this past Thursday night, But that Minnesota Chiefs game. Again, the very first play of that game, which I did not mention, first very first play from scrimmage of that game for the Vikings Cousins went to Josh Oliver. He was hit by Justin Reid, he fumbled, he was recovered by Brian Cook of Kansas City and Kansas City on the shortfield. They went forty five yards on nine plays, but check in from one
seven to nothing. There was a bunch of games yesterday where something right at the beginning of the game happened turnover wise that ended up being the margin of victory. There it is again in the Minnesota game. I will say, Minnesota is going to be a three point favorite at Chicago.
A lot of lazy guesses.
Here by man just field goal again, that is dead one, I believe.
Hold on, why can I not find this? Yep?
Vikings three three? Okay, cruising all right, Seahawks had Bengals early. Seahawks on a bye this week because we have to talk about that. But Cincinnati, this is a game, okay. So we on guessing lines last week. This was the line that I was the most incredulous about this year, and it was the second biggest discrepancy in my guests versus what the actual line was in the history of this show. The first one was a seven point difference. We ended up getting the correct result based on what
our guest was not this time, we didn't Cincinnati. The main part of this handicap was that Joe Burrow can't move. He got sacked a bunch of times yesterday too.
What was your original guest, by the way last week? Was it?
Was it Cardinal Arizona minus one and a half one and a half and at the time it was Cincinnati minus four. It moved while we were on air. It ended up Cincinnati minus three. The whole week Cincinnati after an Arizona three and ould started this game. They went sixty four years Cards on eleven plays. Burrowed to Chase from two out, seven to nothing, Bengals seven oh nine left in the second quarter, now ten to nothing, Cincinnati ten and nothing.
Cincinnati.
Cards went seventy five yards third and nine from the Cincinnati twenty five Dobs to Marquise Brown touchdown, ten to seven, Cincinnati twelve to twenty five left in the second quarter.
By the way, I met seven oh nine left in the first quarter on the first play.
Uh then a three and out for Cincinnati, with Burrow getting sacked on third and five by Dante Stills. Cards then went fifty one yards Connor for thirty five on the ground the big play Dobbs to Erz for six from four out, fourteen to ten Cardinals eight twenty eight left in the second quarter, but Connor hurt himself on that thirty five yard play would not return later. The Bengals then went downfield all the way, So nol Sam downfield. I'm not saying matriculate just to go under here a
third goal. I'm manipulating the whole line.
It gives it your head all the way to third and goal at the Arizona one.
Mixing was stuffed for no game by Antonio Hamilton Senior, then again by Kayelon Wallace on fourth and goal at the one. What a stand by Arizona up fourteen ten, and you're like, Arizona's.
Gonna do this. Let's go my unders, live my card. This is great. Second place.
Subsequent drive, Dobbs throws it behind the intended receiver picked by Cam taylor Bridge to the house.
Seventeen fourteen.
Just like that, Cincinnati won twenty three left in the half, and that's how the half would end. But that was the first massive turnaround in this game. Yeah sos Bengals, seventeen fourteen. First drive of the second half, third play, Burrow to Chase for sixty three touchdown, twenty four fourteen Cincinnati Early, not even a minute and a half into the third quarter, Arizona came right back downfield seventy five yards of Mari de Mercado from eleven out. Now with
Connor on the bench, twenty four to twenty. Connor hurt twenty four to twenty. Praterer completely hooks the extra point, working with his new holder, the punter Blake Gilligan seven thirty three left and third quarter, so it's a four point game, and everybody at that point's like, oh, that'll never come back and haunt us on the spread. Here I had plus four, A lot of people had plus three and a half or plus three Cincinnati and seven
at the Arizona forty five. Burrows then picked by Keyvon Wallace when his intended receiver slips three forty six left in the third quarter, still twenty four to twenty Cincinnati. This is the biggest play in the game that shifted everything we just talked about. Tennessee had a fourth and one where Derreck Henry got stuffed, and the outcome of that game could have been very different.
How about this.
Cardinals get it fourth and one at the Cincinnati sixteen down four one forty nine left in the third quarter, and instead of putting Dobbs behind center and just sneaking it, he's in shotgun. They go east west one yard loss, tackled by Jermaine Pratt. You know what, like there it is,
I mean, the game, the outcome could have been completely different. Instead, after that, Cincinnati goes eighty three yards on fifteen Blaze Burrow to Chase from three out thirty one to twenty seven to forty eight left.
Then it was just a uh, just a disaster for Arizona.
Dobbs sacked by Trey Hendrickson, he fumbles Sam Hubbard recovered mcphersonata if field goal made a thirty four to twenty. Dobbs was then picked by Jermaine Pratt. Cards did get the ball back with three sixteen left, but that would prove fruitless. Thirty four to twenty would be your final burrow thirty six of forty six for three seventeen he's back, three touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked three times, and Chase jamar Chase, who says I'm open, I'm always blank
and open. Fifteen catches for one hundred and ninety two yards on nineteen targets and three touchdowns.
Is that good? So that's not bad.
That's a good season for some people. It's a good month he had yesterday. They out time of possessioned Arizona thirty eight ten to twenty one fifty. Anyway, I will say Cincinnati, I'm sorry about these like really lazy guesses, but Cincinnati minus three hosting Seattle.
You're pretty much right on it is two and a half or three. Yeah. Uh, these are kind of straightforward. And I went right back to the well with Seattle. You did. I just this is because Seattle coming off a bye, I mean, their offenses look good. Defense. I don't really get this total either. We're at forty six in this game. The Bengals defenses looked terrible. Burrow did get sacked three times. Yeah.
Again, if that fourth and one play turns out differently, maybe the game turns out differently.
Like I understand, we're talking about the what the look ahead was last week when it was eight and got all the way down to three. I guess the priors, though, still hold over for this Bengals team, where they still have holes.
By the way, I don't want to give the impression that that for We're not for that one play. The handicap was that Burrow would be hampered. He didn't look nearly as hampered.
A lot better honest about.
More guessing lines on the other side, coming up, Skal Alexander. It's Kelly Bidley, by the way, nice job by the WNBA putting game one of the finals in the middle of a football Sunday.
What are they doing? What are they doing with scheduling aces win by seventeen apparently what was the other one?
Uh, it was something like in August right where they we were like, why aren't they playing right now?
Oh yeah, there's a ton of that All Star break or something, I don't remember what it was. We'll be scheduling in all these sports. Is terrible? Baseball does it every day? Right? Just like, well, there's nothing on. Why isn't there name like Friday wasn't Why wasn't there any Like I know, there was not a single thing, not a single base.
We get tweets at beating the book Blue hen Bill. My five team teaser yesterday was Miami, Detroit, Philly, San Francisco, and Alas Baltimore. Stop counting how many times I said, hope that play doesn't bite me in the button man during the Baltimore game, Catch the damn ball, he said, Scotty B seven two six. Adding to the coaching discussion, is Jimmy Johnson with Troy? He says, mm hmm, Yeah, Jimmy Johnson had Troy and not so much afterwards. So he got to the playoffs without Troy. So, you know,
Steel City jar Head. Why does Sean Payton's return remind me so much of Urban Meyer. I'm seeing the endings might be the same.
Yeah, I mean the other thing that's I mean, it's one thing to have the cocky attitude in the summer, right if you're actually winning games on the field, Like I know, the whole offseason champ.
Line was dropped yesterday.
But I mean, I don't want to say I'm feeling bad for the guy, because I'm not at all. But oh my goshness, everybody hate Sean Payton. Now, well you went from a guy that was kind of beloved like nine months ago to everybody in the NFL and all the media hate the guy.
Well, I mean yes, because you broke the code with Nathaniel by the way, Nathanien Hackett and Nathaniel Hackett and the Jets couldn't have handled it more classy, right, yep, you went after russinc. You act like you won ten super Bowls. You won one, by the way, you started as a scab in nineteen eighty seven. Let's like, all of a sudden, that's not a thing that people want to remember about him. That used to be like the worst thing you could be, right, But oh, you got
a Super Bowl with Drew Brees. And so you think you can just mouth off about everybody, Yeah, look at you.
I was. I was so rude.
I mean, I'm sure just like a lot of people like I was. I didn't have a single dollar invest in the game.
I was rooting. It is so hard for the Jets. Me too, Me too. Everyone was a Jets fan.
Yesterday Bronson, say sorry, Gil, someone didn't refresh their a YouTube TV ten fifteen am.
And I still had the show on before you. I began to worry.
Just call me Brons and see from under cloud of smoke. Okay, and then, oh, Scotty Bee has a theory also, he said Cardinals three covers against the NFC East. Gannon was the Eagles defensive coordinator San Francisco Division game first non cover.
Versus the AFC North.
So he's a theory that because he was a NFC coordinator, he is better against NFC teams and specifically the NFC East.
Okay, interesting, Okay, we have a little more knowledge there. Let's get some more lines here. What do you got early windows Sunday Niners at the Brown We still have not decided.
We still we have the first you know, we have the last winless team in the Panthers. We still have not determined the final undefeated team. Both the Niners and the Eagles still remain undefeated. Niners crush the Cowboys last night. This was supposed to be the marquee matchup of the weekend. There was baseball on between the Twins and the Astros simultaneous concurrently with the the Niners Cowboys game, and each game was done in.
A blink of They were both smackings.
It was just a night of entertainment. San Francisco beats the Cowboys forty two to ten. First drive, seven plays seventy five yards perty to Kittle from nineteen out seven to nothing Niners less than four minutes in. Later in the first quarter, Dallas first intend at their own five Pollard hit by Fred Warner, fumbles recovered by Kevin Gibbons. And I have no idea how that ball stayed in bounds.
If the Niners are going to win the Super Bowl, remember that play as a metaphor for everything that that somehow impossibly stayed in bounds.
That is everything going your way. You're talented to begin with, and you even get.
Those going, So do you ever get like I think this is just natural too. But like you know, when we see things happen, we see one replay and you're like, Okay, I know exactly what happened. Like, let's get to this already. Don't spend five minutes reviewing it. When that happened, When that play happened, Yeah, I was that guy, like, it's got to touch his leg, It's got to touch somebody's leg.
God touch somebody swore that it touched or in Burke's slough.
So the overhead angle of it, you know, Tarico and collins Worth are like, oh, oh, that's gonna be a nineers.
What are you talking about?
You're talking about it hit Burke's leg, And then they showed the other angle didn't hit burst leg at all.
I know, Yeah, this is an optical illusion. I wanted to see that replace twenty seven times. I didn't believe it offshore. They used to.
They used to offer on the in the moment replay, live replay odds will it be overturnered on?
I would have lost everything on that one, and it still existed anyway.
Niner start with the ball of the Dallas sixteen, but two plays in first play the second quarter they're up seven to nothing. Second and fourth of the Dallas ten, McCaffrey gains eight yards but then rolls over Jordan Lewis ball dislodged right into Lewis's hands, so Dallas is still only down seven to nothing. But then at Dallas three and out in San Francisco, one play thirty eight yards perty to Kindle fourteen to nothing, and the route was
on thirteen to sixteen left second quarter. And this brings the note about Matt Campbell that we have stated on this show for years and years and years, which is, how do you not win more than seven games anywhere?
Every year? When you had Brock Purdy and.
Breesehall, and Breece Hall was like the greatest Breese Hall. It cannot be overemphasized how great of a running back Breese Hall was. Parlay and I were talking about this again last night. You also had a great defense one of those years too, at Iowa State, Okay, Dallas seven eight yards Dack to Cavante Turpin from twenty six out. Mike Rico must must have had a Cavante Turpin prop because he acted like this was the greatest play that had ever existed, fourteen to seven San Francisco is seven
forty five LEFN. The second cord I was like Toiico, go on down. San Francisco then goes nine plays, seventy five yards five oh nine. That's how on the drive took McCaffrey in from one twenty one to seven. So as soon as Dallas you thought for a moment might be in this game. Noupe two thirty six left in the second quarter, that'd be the score at the halftime. At the half, by the way, also twenty one to
seven San Francisco. Third quarter, twenty one ten, Niners go seventy five yards again Purdy to Debo for forty three. The big play Perdy to Kittle for the third time in the end zone from ten out twenty eight to ten, San Francisco seven to twenty eleven.
Third quarter.
Then Dak picked by Deshaun Gibson. Third play into the ensuing drive, Niners go sixty two yards Perty to use check from one out thirty five to ten. Second play, next drive, Dak picked by Fred Warner. One play for the Niners, Jordan Mason in from twenty six forty two to ten.
You get the idea.
Dak was picked a third play of the next drive as well by Warren Burks. That's how it would end forty two to ten. Dallas was held to eight first downs, they were out gained four twenty one to one ninety seven. They were out gained one seventy to fifty seven on the ground plus three and turnovers for the Niners led to plus fourteen net. San Francisco points directly, you said
they're at Cleveland, Yes, Cleveland coming off of bye. I will say, San Francisco, I want to give Cleveland some respect here minus four.
This is your dead You're forty nine.
Ers up to five now over a draft shopper around because this is anywhere four to five out there right now.
Okay, my second my second bet that I made last week on I want to say I made it on Thursday or Friday, and I zagged while everybody's zigging here. So I took Brock Purty, not MVP, but Offensive Player of the Year seventy five to one, and Michael Montasano and I were batting this around.
Here's the theory.
If someone like Tua ends up compiling tons of stat like just a mounts a ridiculous stat line at the end of the year with the greatest show on turf that actually clipped eclipsed, which we'll get to Miami did the greatest show on turf through five weeks. We have Aaron Shots coming up on the show later this week from FTN Sports, the founder of Football Outsiders and the
creator of DVOA. He has already told us not only is he an MVP vote, but when he votes on MVP, he will always vote for a quarterback because, just by his analytics mind, the value of a quarterback is so much greater than any other position on football. So the theory about McCaffrey winning MVP or Tyreek Killer anybody else who's not a quarterback winning MVP is purged from his mind.
I get it, he's only one voter, but I'm guessing he's representative of some others as well, And so my thinking is someone who will have a much more gaudy stat line will end up with the MVP, whether that's Josh Allen or Patrick Mahomes or Tuatagovailoa, and that Offensive Player of the Year, which usually then becomes a depository for non quarterbacks, will end up going to a guy like Brock Purdy who voters will say to themselves, we can't not give this dude an award, because again he
is number one in q total QBR right now, eighty four point six. Josh Allen is a good four point four excuse me, eighty three point seven. Josh Allen is a full six points behind him. QBR total QBR QBR scored out of one hundred rock Perty's eighty three point seven. Rock Purty won twenty three point one in passer rating, a full eleven plus points ahead of Tagovai loa that scored out of one fifty eight point seven, So prety for offensive Player of the Year seventy five to one.
You can still get him at draft games at fifty to one. Shop around, you might still get him at seventy five to one for all I know elsewhere.
Oh, I hated all. I hate it.
I think it's a good call. I know we'll talk for some more a little bit about the Cowboys later.
But they dropped down that there's a clear top tier in the NFC.
I don't think you can count the Cowboys in there. Oh, I think there's a clear top tier in the NFL. It's one team, It's the Niners, and that.
Four or five six is just musical chairs. More guessing lines on the other side. Dan LeBatard next on DK, We're coming back. The numbers told the story they always done. It's one of those idiots will believe in the analytics. This is a numbers game, Gil Alexander, our.
Number two one numbers game at Visa, the sports betting network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app, game plus I Hard Radio, YouTube TV.
However you're taking us in. We appreciate it.
It's skill, Alexander. It's Kelly by delon uh producer number nine, so much more than a producer right here from bar Canada at the de Guessing lines for week number six in the NFL really haven't found much value, Like the lines have been pretty easy guesses so far in all these games.
Sort of hugging the three in a lot of them.
Yeah, not a lot a lot of crazy action for me either. Bet on the Seahawks, bet on the Sea. I said the smart, smart thing off the air where it's okay if your Bengals laying three on the road at Arizona, now you're laying three at home to Seattle. You're basically telling me the Seahawks and the Cardinals are the same guy, the same team if we're giving three for home home field advantage, so you know at least kind of close to that. So yeah, I played the
Seahawks plus three. It's not not a huge I'm not trying to fade the Bengals like this is a team I was high on in the off season.
I just think that's quite the jump from one week to the next. We get tweet at beating the book. That's good.
That's a great way to think of it. JJ watering Hole. Happy to have one entry left and survivor. I know you fell out and that sucks, but I'm absolutely blown away looking through picks, four different entries, four different participants. He guess had had all ten left, ten entries left and used every one of them on Washington, survived four weeks of carnage where seventy seven percent are gone, and go all in on Washington.
Woo wow.
And then people are responding to my Brock pretty offensive. Player of the year bet broad Street Hustle Podcast Party one hundred to one over at Advocate Clash synonym for a fan duel, of course, mile High, David Prety sixty six to one at MGM Master of Puppets, I see the path for Offensive Player of the Year award. But if San Francisco goes sixteen or one or fifteen to two, and he keeps putting up these numbers, how do they not give him MVP regardless of to his stats and
at least a five lost team. Master of Puppets, you may be very right. I'm just saying that at seventy five to one, where I got it. I like my path as a bet there, I really do. I think, you know, it's hard for us to see the way San Francisco is playing. But if they do lose three or four games, because you're right, they go see if they go to use your records sixteen and one or fifteen and two, that's a whole nother Uh, that's a whole nother story.
But it's a long season.
Uh.
If on the other hand, they're fourteen and three or thirteen and four, then I think I'm in play. Let's see.
Mile Hi David. Of course they limited me, he said. I just want to throw that in as well, real quick, because I just want to I just want to get this in because we we nail talk college football till after Monday. You had Miami in a money.
Line that's part of a parlay. Yeah, I don't where I had the Ravens in there too.
Oh you did, Okay, I was gonna say, I know, I know some folks who did have Miami on a money line in parlays, and it killed brutal.
The thing is the Mario crystabal thing is real quick for those who missed it.
Again, all all Miami had to do was kneel on the football go into victory formation instead.
We talked about.
So if you've been a Numbers game listener for long enough back in twenty eighteen, you will remember it distinctly. When with Justin Herbert as their quarterback Oregon, all they had to do was kneel it out against Stanford. Stanford might have gotten the ball back with like five seconds left in that scenario, so it's because they had one time out, but it's a little different, but all he had to do was kneel on it. Stanford ends up that they end up running the football, they fumble, Stanford
recovers at Stanford ends up tying it in regulation. Stanford ends up winning in overtime against Oregon. At Oregon, this happens again this time, the game would have just been over.
Period. All Miami has to do is kneel on it. He doesn't.
They fumble Georgia Tech three plays later a forty two forty two yard I believe it was forty two yards, don't hold me to that. But a touchdown pass just a dime thrown for a touchdown. And by the way, the wide receiver almost slides too early before he gets like just pass the goal line. I'm like, oh my god, could you imagine if Georgia Tech and lost it on that? By the way, that was uh, oh God, that was uh. I don't want to get the uh. I don't have
the I don't have the wide receiver's name. Donald Donald Cheney was the guy who fumbled it from Miami. Haines King to Malik Rutherford for thirty then King to his right, perfect past to Christian Leary behind the defense. Did you see Krystal Ball's press conference?
Okay, so.
I didn't like see a broadcast quality video of it, but I saw like one with grainy audio. And he's talking about he's talking about he's prattling on about taking a time out and recalibrating and oh he emphasized two hands on the ball, like he's going through all these different things. I'm like, bro, just say you blew it. Just say you blew He's just dancing where It's like, come on, man, just own up to it. There is no there is nothing you can anyway. It's just the
worst Tim was it? Tim Hasselbegas is the worst thing he's ever seen in coach it was.
That's as bad as anything I've ever seen. And it's always tough.
I didn't see the press conference, but man, if he's really like that, I mean, what do you do all football practice? You're going around preaching to your quarterbacks and everybody on the team. Take responsibility for what you do on the field. You made a bad call, bro, Like you made a bad call.
There's there's this sick responsibility some R and B.
So I can't remember what it was like. Ain't no party like a something like a black street party or something like that. There There ain't no stupid like college football coach stupid.
There just isn't.
College football coaches are their own level of just absolute stupidity and get paid millions.
God bless everybody who bets that sport. Like man, I was on u C l A on Saturday. They almost had three heart attacks just on Saturday alone. These guys can't kick. They miss open passes.
The coaches at Steve Sarkis, we'll get to this though, Steve Sarkaesan, maybe run the play clock down't yeah?
Oh man, all right, right, yes, sir, Penanther's a dolphin.
Theh to five Carolina Panthers the last winless and boy did they earn it at Miami.
Miami's four and one. Oh my god, is this spread gonna be high?
Thinking about lay too, Carolina. I don't even know how much I have to go through this. I'll just go through the first part. First time, Detroit touches the ball, three plays eighty two yards. Montgomery in from forty two seven to nothing. Detroit ensuing drive second and seven at their own thirty one, Bryce picked by Aiden Hutchinson. It's like a scree tried a little dump off pass at Aiden Hutchinson like just stuck.
His arm out. Did you catch the note that he has four career interceptions? Now? Does he really? Yeah?
That's incredible, Yeah, that's incredible. Super athletic short field for Lions. Five play drive golf to laporta fourteen to nothing. Panthers then did go seventy five yards on fourteen plays, So it's fourteen to seven, but it was seventy five yards on fourteen plays. Like there's again. I love Bryce Young, he's a great kid. But this is why, this is why got killed in the NFL draft betting, because I just thought, there's no way they're drafting him number one.
I love the kid, but it's like fourteen plays to go seventy five yards. That drive took forever, but they
do cash it in fourteen to seven. And then after a Lion's turnover and downs, when they failed to convert a fourth and four at the Carolina thirty seven, This was the one moment in the game where Carolina was actually into it, but Miles Sanders immediately fumbled on the first play off scrimmage on the ensuing drive, recovered by Will Harris, and then the Lions converted a fourth and one on a Montgomery three yard won on their way to a Golf to Reynolds.
One yard touchdown pass twenty one to seven.
The route was on because the first play the following drive, Brice got picked by Jerry Jacobs twenty eight to seven. It was twenty eight to ten at the half. Then they just traded touchdowns thirty five to It was thirty five to ten and thirty five seventeen forty two, seventeen forty two, twenty four is your final minus three in turnovers for Carolina that led to plus twenty one net
Detroit points. Carolina every bit the zero to five they ought to be in every bit the worst team in the NFL currently for sure.
Miami.
They crushed the Giants. First drive for the Dolphins eighty nine yards two at a waddle from two out, seven to nothing Miami. Then after GNO missed the fifty five yard field goal, Miami first and tend the Giants forty three thirteen minutes left in the second quarter, a Chan tackled by Xavier McKinney. Fumbles were covered by Timbodeau, but the Giants can't do anything with it. Three and out Miami.
Then third play following drive eight Chan from seventy six yards out, fourteen to nothing, Dolphins ten oh two left.
Second quarter.
Now fourteen to three game. Now this is where I was like, Okay, wait a minute, the Giants could do something here. Fourteen to three game Miami has a third and goal to the Giants four on a drive where Tyreek, by the way, was clocked at twenty two point zero one miles per hour on a sixty four yard.
Pass and catch.
Miami Dolphins players hold the top seven speeds recorded in the NFL this year.
Twenty two miles an hour. It's insane. HS.
Next, you're seeing the open of six million dollars. Man, this is before your time. It's the greatest television show open of any in history. I invite you to YouTube and later after the show, not now, but it's like a minute long Steve Austin, a man barely alive.
We can rebuild him and he becomes bionic. So oh, it's the greatest thing in the childhood. I mean another show.
They clock him at like sixty miles an hour running. Tyreek's at twenty two. He's almost there, as you know, Okay, but then it's the Dolphins are knocking at the door to go at fourteen two was picked by Jason Pinnock off the deflection one hundred and two yards of the house, fourteen to ten Miami, it would be seventeen to nothing at the half a lot of Miami.
First half backers lost on that. Oh it's brutal. Yep, all right.
A first drive of the half. Second half, Miami's up seventeen to nothing, seventeen to ten. Pardon me, two out of Tyreek for sixty nine most of it yak twenty four to ten. By the way, that's a great example of why is it really to come on like these guys are just incredible? Tyreek is ridiculous. It was twenty
four to ten at that point. Later, say score to a lazy picked by Bobby o'cara kay that led to a guinot field goals twenty four to thirteen, four to twenty second, four to twenty six left the third quarter, but the Dolphins went seventy five again. Moster had a
run of twenty three on the drive. He took it in from two out thirty one to thirteen, and at that point Miami passed the greatest show on turf, the two thousand rams for most yards through five games, two thousand, five hundred and forty five, and that was still with a quarter of football left. Later, Daniel Jones got sacked by Van Ginkel and he was knocked out at the game.
So Tyrod Taylor had to clean it up for the Giants, but thirty one sixteen was the final to a twenty two of thirty for three oh eight.
Two touchdowns, two picks. He was sacked once.
Eight Chan eleven carries for one fifty one in a touchdown a fumble lost. How about eight Chan for Offensive Rookie of the Year? Huh do you know what his hill eight for one to eighty.
One in a touch By the way, I just pulled up each in stats, nine point seven yards per play for Miami, nine point seven tiles h n on the season, thirty eight carries four hundred and sixty yards in five touchdowns.
It's more than ten. That's more than eleven. It's twelve point one. Twelve point On's insatan Miami by seventeen. Is that too high? Yeah, you're too high. Fourteen.
Oh see, I was gonna go fourteen and a half. But usually when I guess fourteen and a half, I'm always undercutting.
Oh I hear you. There is a thirteen and a half out here. I am haafly considering I will lay that.
Yeah, I because the Dolphins aren't the best team in football, but this is a game where they will score one hundred bajillion points.
I think.
Another important note too is Carolina has their buy after this game, so it almost feels like they're limping into this game and fix whatever in the by.
I can't believe I went high on that.
Coming back more games to guests numbers game Visa these Sports Betting Network.
Numbers game on VSA the Sports Betting Network.
Hey, before you make it x bet, be sure to visit Visa dot com to check the current betting splits data.
Nowhere the money and bets are moving every game well.
The betting splits pays is updated draftings ods every five minutes, so you can see changes in all the action. Find out where the public is betting based on the number of tickets and where the money does not match the public opinion. You could check out not just today's actually, but future events as well. Betting splits yet another way that Visa is here to make you smart better year round. Check them out all today's betting splits for every game
at v SIN dot com. Steve Fenzick has just texted me six million dollar man reference cash is at one hundred thousand to one.
On the show, I was telling Kelly.
This the greatest off air conversation I've ever had with you, Gil, this is the most fun conversation.
I loved, like so many of my men of my age currently, when we were kids, and I represent an old generation, I loved the six million dollar man Steve Austin, played by the great Lee Majors, so much that I used to run slow motion next to my mom and then I would stop and squint. He had he had long distance vision, and I'd go, I'd squint and I go, your target, yes, And my mother would be like, what are you doing? Why are you behaving like this?
Like I wanted to be.
I wanted to be Steve Austin so bad, Kelly that I wanted to get into a major accident.
Yes, Jill said this off so that I could become bionic young child. Gil would like to have been Time Bus, to have the opportunity to be rebuilt in.
The same way that I want to get bit by Spider so I could be Spider Man.
You don't want to be that, I hear you. No, it is the it is the you said it. It is the mind of young boys and we barely grow up. I was laughing at you, but even me from my age group. It was the T one thousand from T two. It's I wanted to be made out of metal that could just like reform like this.
The biggest secret, like our girlfriends and wives don't know. It's like, and here's the thing, I don't know that my brain has really evolved.
Right, I'll be like, let's be let's be honest.
You still wish you could be him, right like you got If you knew you could be rebuilt, you would take getting hit by a bus walking.
Tyreek can run twenty two point zero one miles per hour. Steve Austin goes sixty.
Bro Oh my, you know what.
We're talking about fictional characters right now. But I texted you about a real human being who's my new My new superhero is that it is a man who made it into the Pro Football Hall of Fame two years ago, had an incredible NFL career, is worth an estimated forty five million dollars, and he's.
A whole one year older than me. And his name is Calvin Johnson.
And I've never felt like a bigger loser in my life than what they showed him at the Lions game yesterday.
Calvin Johnson gotta figure it out. You gotta figure out. He's not even forty yet. He just rolled around with all that. Buddy.
Calvin Johnson just represents some of it. He's like, not everybody loves football, not everybody loves getting hit. He's like, I did everything I needed to do. I'm the greatest there ever was.
Just walks around like a king. Now a king. Oh man? That was good? All right. I don't even know where we're at. Coultt Jacks, Coultt Jags, Colts we talked about. They end up winning behind Gardner. Minshew Richardson ended up nine to twelve for ninety eight, no touchdowns, no picks, one sack before he was pulled from the game his shoulder injury. We'll get the details further details on that.
Day, Minshew eleven of fourteen in relief for one fifty five and the Colts seven point went over the Titan Zach Boss twenty three for one sixty five and two touchdowns. And then the case of the Jacksonville Jaguars. They were in London, they had been in London, they'd already won a game in London, and the Bills show up on Friday Friday. Good in some buddies saying it was Thursday either way, late in the week and they seemed legit. Jet lagged early, yes, eleven to nothing Jacksonville in the
first quarter. Buffalo didn't get their first first down till the closing seconds of the first quarter. They did not cross midfield until just over four minutes were left in the half. They didn't matriculate eighty six yards in all to cut the lead to eleven to seven uh one fourteen left in the half, but Jacksonville went downfield with ease.
They got to third and two of the Buffalo twelve with seventeen seconds leftn a half after Buffalo may have bailed out Jacksonville by calling a time out with Jacksonville not set and only three seconds on the play clock, and aj Apanessa hit Lawrence's arm, forced the funnel and recovered it. So the Bills went from worrying they're gonna give up a quick seven and try to hold Jacksonville to a field will to not giving up a point.
And the Bills had the ball to start the second half, so you're like, wait a minute, maybe the Bills will figure this out, maybe they'll win, maybe they'll even cover.
No, just just a terrible second half for Buffalo.
In what amount it was it was. First of all, Jacksonville went ten plays ninety two yards. Etty had in from six with seven forty four left to make it eighteen to seven. Until that point both teams had really been gaining a lot of yards and just not scoring any points. It's a really weird game. There was tons of yards but very few points scored. So then it was eighteen to seven Jacksonville seven forty four and left. Buffalo then went eighty five yards, helped along by both
an unnecessary roughness and roughing the passer penalty. Then after an OPI in the end zone then negated, gave Davis touchdown from nine out. Allen went to Davis from nineteen out two point conversion field eighteen to thirteen jackson befour h three left. Here came the scoring Jacksonville third and fourth their own thirty one three fifteen left Lawrence to Ridley, who had been killing Buffalo. Calvin Ridley had on third downs all day, does it again this time gets them
for thirty two. Two plays later, after the Bills had used their last time out in from thirty five twenty five to thirteen Jacksonville two fifty six left your figure, that's the ball game.
But no Buffalo four plays is.
All it took him Allen to Deontay Hardy for forty three, then to Davis for twenty nine. They go in from three two plays later, twenty five to twenty on sidekick coming, but it fails and again the big upshot of this game, Matt Mulana believed to have a leg fracture out for the season.
Jags win it.
By three, excuse me by five, twenty five twenty Lawrence twenty five to thirty seven for three fifteen, one touchdown, no picks. He was sacked five times, seven carries for thirty one yards, two fumbles, loss at ten one thirty six on the ground in two touchdowns, Ridley seven for one to twenty two Jacksonville four hundred and seventy four
total yards of offense. They out gained Buffalo on the ground one ninety six to twenty nine and out topte him out time of possessioned him thirty eight twelve to twenty one forty eight.
Yeah, domination when the Jags had to have with especially when you're talking, had to have regardless. But then you get a sleepwalking Bills team lost sleepwalking, and it was yeah, I have a lot of Jags Division tickets. That was when it was evident that the Bills were sleepwalking. It was like, man, Jacksonville, don't blow this because it's kind of been the story of their season so far.
You rack up the yards and stuff, you're not getting the points, not scoring I have.
So here's I've come to this with Trevor Lawrence. I've made my piece with Trevor Lawrence. He is a great pure passer, like purely passing, is super on time, on target, but he has very little feel in the pocket for somebody coming at him, and then when he gets hit, he has a very high rate of losing the football compared to others.
You just described to la bar Jackson, I think too, say Jacksonville minus four over Indianapolis? Dead on? Who nice? Yeah? Dead on there? What's next? Next up we have the Saints at Texans. Oh boy, Saints.
Saints shut out the Patriots thirty four to nothing. This is the game I wanted no part of you, Matt, like I was wrong on everything this week. Played the stupid Patriots. You did contest, Yeah, that was one of my contest losses zero zero game New England second possession, third and six of their own twenty four Jones Mac Jones picked by Tron Matthew twenty five yards of the house pick six seven to nothing New Orleans seven oh two left. First quarter, Then Chad Ryland missed a forty
eight yard field goal. Like nothing is going right for New England even their field goal kicker. Saints go sixty two yards card Thomas for twenty six, Carda Shaheed for twenty five. The Big Blayze Camara in from two out fourteen to nothing New Orleans fourteen twenty three left in the second quarter. Then after New England three and out, New Orleans goes sixty four yards Carda Kendra.
Miller for thirty three.
The Big Blay Cardo will Love from five out twenty one to nothing, ten to forty seven left second quarter. That'd be the score at they have opening drive. Third quarter, third play, Jones pitches poorly to Rmandre Stevens. Ramandre Stevenson balls loose Saints Cameron Jordan falls on it leads to a group a fifty four yard field will twenty four to nothing. Then the Patriots go four and out. That
includes a twenty eight yard pickup. The reason I bring that up is because that twenty eight yard pickup from Jones to Kendrick Bourne put the Pats over the one hundred yard total total yards mark finally in the game. And then later in the corner later in the quarter, Jones was picked by Pete Werner. That one wasn't really Max fault on that one, but still Saints take over the New England thirty one. Six plays later, Carl to
Foster Morow six yard touchdown. I was thirty one to nothing, ZAPPI was in the rest of the way, you get it, thirty four to nothing. Car eighteen of twenty six for one to eighty three. The Saints held the Patriots to eight first downs and one hundred and fifty six total yards, twenty eight of which were on that one plan, and it didn't mean anything. They out time of possessioned New England if you will, thirty nine thirty four to twenty
twenty six. They were plus three in turnovers that led to plus seventeen New Orleans points.
Yeah, Saints defense is good. Patriots offense is worse, much worse.
Wheer them. I mean, this is Bill Belichick's nightmare, nightmare.
It's like the only reason I included the contest. I never never do this, Gill, right, but I'm like, you need one more, right, Bill Belichick, Yeah possible. He falled out on his face again after what happened last week. This is getting embarrassing. I mean, I had unders and all to unders on the Patriots before the season, but
this offense cannot do anything. And now you get to the point where it looks like the defense is kind of acting like, well, we got no hope on the offensive side of the ball, and now we're seeing these scores start to trickle up on the other side. I don't know if this defense is as good as everybody thinks right now and they've lost.
Pieces if this continues, and it's a big if, because they got to crushed the last two weeks, so to anticipate them getting you know, crushed every week might be a little much. But if it were to happen, you are getting to the point where when when you discuss Bill Belichick' legacy, you'll be, oh, incredible, six super bowls, unbelievable, And then in the very last sentence in a whispery, you'll have to be like Hey, did kind of suck at the end though, with a braining I mean, who
are they playing at Houston? You said, yeah, Stroud Stroud twenty of thirty five for two forty nine in defeat against the Falcons. Houston was plus two turnovers in that game, but that led to only plus three points for Houston. I'll say New Orleans. I still don't have my hands wrapped around New Orleans. I'll say minus two and a half. I guess yes, because it's not three, right, so it's gonna be a tick below that.
These are kind of easy guesses on these.
This was the I don't know if I'll do this with the Texans this week, but it goes It goes back to that Falcons game.
Falcons commander's commanders catching two.
Points, like, hey, I'm gonna I'm gonna keep looking to tease up, tease up against the Falcons. It's just they can do what they do with the do what they want on the ground with their defense man. But I don't see I don't think they're winning by multiple scool.
Is it weird that the only team I like so far is Miami laying all that no jeez, coming back board guessing lines. We are overrun by Steve Austin six million dollars man tweets on Twitter, So I'm just not gonna let me just let me just blanket answer some of them. One, Yes, I had the the the the action figure where the sleeve rolled up and you could see the bionics in the forearm.
Yes, I did have that.
And uh, not so much a crush on Lindsay Wagner when Bionic Women came, because I still had eyes for Pharah Fawcett Majors when she was older, Charlie's Angels that one year couldn't really get over.
What did you say about her one time?
Oh?
She Farah Fawcett Majors. Was that's a great call you have. She's the She is the first girl who.
Ever made me feel funny. Was the way that I processed. She's the first girl that made me feel funny. I was like, I don't really understand this feeling. Mine's the mind children, very strange guessing lines. We really haven't found that much value, so we figured to give you some value elsewhere. We got some rock party in there. What was the other one, Oh yeah, the the Niners exactly with the bills there you go.
We got more running for afternoon games with the afternoon window.
Before you do it, fack Physic chimes in. This is my favorite thing of the whole thing. Physic chimes In was the best episode ever. Was the one where they they were held hostage with Larry Zanka and they played football versus the bad guys.
Phenomenal. Someone wrote that script. It's great, all right, languid though. Patriots at Raiders.
H Okay, we just went through the Patriots getting housed by the Saints. Mac Jones twelve of twenty two for one ten.
Uh.
That's the guy they wanted to trade up for. He would have been better than Trey Lance. He doesn't finish the season twelve for twenty two for one to ten, no touchdowns, two picks, He was sacked twice. He lost the fumbl Zappi three of nine for twenty two in relief. Again, the Patriots only had eight first downs one hundred and fifty six total yards. They were out time of possession thirty nine thirty four to twenty twenty six that were minus three, and turnovers led to plus seventeen New Orleans
points and then the Raiders. The Raiders played a night against the Packers. Do you have any play on tonight's game?
Here, I do have the Packers tea in a teaser leg closed to close out. You did the Texans from yesterday. Okay, I'm getting hit up for tickets for this game. I have no feel for.
This is the game I wanted no part of tonight. Do people hit you up for tickets as often as they hit me up? Like I have any connection whatsoever? Probably not. I don't get a lot of people hitting me up, but I have no connection.
Whatsoever, no connections whatsoever. Yeah, I made this a pick them because I have no idea how you can line this game right now?
Oh yeah, this is fast. It's fascinating to me. This is Raiders three. Whoa yes, full three, full.
Three on the Raiders them. I think it opened most places two and a half. It got bet up to three in the words.
Of Ron Flatter and the pronunciation of Ron Flatter.
Why I can't answer that I do have a bet on this game. It's on the total though, because I don't understand this either. I went under forty three.
On this game.
I mean, I'm not saying I'm bet I'm rushing to bet the Patriots or anything where the Patriots are any good.
But why do the Raiders lay three? Yeah, I don't know. I bet you it comes comes down after they lose at home today series, I have no feel for that game today. All right, Cardinals at Rams, So we do have to discuss that. So Arizona, as we talked about, lose to the Bengals.
Dobbs ends up fifteen of thirty two for one sixty six, two touchdowns, two picks, He was sacked three times. They were minus two in turnovers that led to plus ten Cincinnati points and they were out time of possession by the Bengals thirty eight ten to twenty one to fifty. Okay, the Rams, the Rams, you know how you just said that, Oh I needed one more pick in in my millions,
The Rams were mine. Eagles take the opening drive seventy five yards, Hurts to Goddard from six out seven to nothing, Iggles eight thirty seven left first quarter and suing drive fourth and long fourth and a long one pardon me from the Philadelphia twenty two four h five left of the half, Stafford to Cup for twelve, his fourth catch of the drive.
He'd get.
He'd catch another for a fifth catch on the drive. Rip my Puka Nakua Offensive Rookie of the Year ticket. Then Stafford did at well from three out seven to seven to to one left in the first quarter. No one told me that Matt Stafford, Matthew Stafford and Cooper Cup do a podcast together. There's no chance Pooka naku
was winning Offensive Rookie of the Year. It's like, have you ever you ever play a pickup football game where the quarterback and like his best friend were on the field and you're like, I'm mom, open every play, You're not gonna it does matter, I gonna throw today.
That's it feels like Pookaakua, Now that's anyway? Uh, seven to seven.
After the team's trade punts, Philly gets a thirty four yard fieldal from Elliott.
They go up ten to seven with two to fifteen left in the half.
Rams went seventy five yards in one hundred three seconds, though Stafford two Nakua from twenty two out touchdown fourteen to ten.
Rams.
But this is when you knew it wasn't gonna work out thirty two seconds left in the half, when they go up, When they go up fourteen to ten, thirty two seconds, Hurts to Brown for thirty eight with a horse collar tacked on. Then Hurts underthrows Brown in the end zone to induce the flag, and with two seconds left in the half, first and goal at the one, Tukus Bush converts easily. What a drive, touchdown drive thirty
two seconds, seventeen to fourteen Philly at the half. And by the way, I'll repeat what we said on the megapod two megapods ago and when Matt Brown was on with us on Friday, two fridays ago. You should not ban the Tuchres Bush. You should not. You know, should other teams be doing it?
Yes? Should you ban it?
No?
But should you allow the defense to be able to push on their teammates back? Yes, because unless you do that then it's ridiculous.
Yeah, agreed.
Third quarter After the Rams punt, Eagles go downfield first and tenth the Rams twenty seven to forty one left in the third quarter, Hurts picked in the end zone by a Kello Witherspoon Rams punt, then Philly takes over eight minutes off the clock eight minute drive, but settle for an Elliot twenty six yard field goal twelve twenty nine left twenty to fourteen Philly, and then after another Rams punt, Elliott twenty six yard field goal twenty three
to fourteen Philly four h six left back door open though, but Rams stopped on downs get it back again with one oh one left at their own I'm not sure what yard line back door still open that would go nowhere A special ballgame stafford twenty one of thirty seven to two twenty two, two touchdowns, no pick. He was sacked four times, Cup eight for one eighteen Nikua seven for seventy one into touchdown. Rams were outgained four fifty four to two forty nine Rams by four and a half. Hosting Arizona.
This is five and a half to six oh FA Rams, which seems pretty aggressive to me as much as I like the Rams. But staying away from that one, all right.
Next up, do we have one? Yeah? Time for one more?
Four to twenty five Eastern Eagles at Jets, Okay Eagles five.
And oh just like the Niners.
And when we do our power rankings, like I say, Niners are one, I've had the Chiefs lodged at number two, which is again the Niners are one. With a bullet Yeah, for Chiefs are a two, and then then it's sort of like three, four, five six Bill's Eagles Cowboys.
Who am I forgetting Bill's Eagles Cowboys? Duh, Bill's Eagles Cowboys, Bill's Eagles Cowboys?
Oh uh, Dolphins, Dolphins, thank you for Cock's sakes. Anyway, we've been we've been musical. By the way, did you all enjoy that four seconds?
By the way? Really on fired? Uh? That musical chairs.
I think Philly goes back to the front of the line again because like they're they're just ridiculously good.
I was gonna say, yeah, I think they're they are two to me. Yeah, but you're, well, there's a gap. I don't know if they're two, but they're three to six over the Chiefs right now.
Maybe so, I think so.
Hertz ends up twenty five to thirty eight for three h three, one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked once fifteen carries seventy two yards in a touch Brown he's very mouthy brown is these days?
Have you noticed that aj Brown? He's gotta get you, gotta.
Talk shmack up every time he catches the pass six for one, twenty seven Goddard eight for one, seventeen in a touch. Again, they outgained the Rams four fifty four to two forty nine, and then the Jettisons the Jetropolitans in their win over the Broncos. Zach Wilson nineteen of twenty six for one ninety nine, no touchdowns, one pick.
He was sacked four times.
Breece Breeze Hall, one of the great college running backs you'll ever see, twenty two for one seventy seven in a touch, three catches for seventeen.
After the game, cj.
Ozoma went asked about his reaction to the Jets went over the Broncos after all the offseason stuff. Blank him and blank them unquote. Actually haven't written down in my notes except with not blank.
Oh yeah, I was just because I didn't really catch many many of the guys going after they asked, and he said, blank him and blank them.
Absolutely.
Philly by seven on the road against the Jets. I mean, their defense is still good. The Jets six and a half. We are under seven everywhere. I don't think it's hit oh seven anywhere, but six six and a half you're in that range. Pretty much pained six and a half now, So the Jets, remember, I'll say this again. Before the season started, right the six game gauntlet with Aaron Rodgers, I said, they'll take a three and three right now
if you get them to truth Zerum. When they won the first game and Aaron Rodgers was done for the season with Zach Wilson, I said, okay, they're one to zero, they'll take a two four. Well, they got their second win yesterday, so don't expect them to win here. This would be a gravy win for though, it really would, but this thank god for them that the gauntlet ends after this one.
Yeah, this is uh, this game's interesting.
I think I'll have a piece of the Eagles somehow. I don't know, maybe money line parlay or something like that. The Eagles are they just like those drives yesterday against the Rams, and I know the score wasn't like this massive defeat, but they held the like there was that one driver was over eight minutes. It only ended up with a chip shot field goal. They just they just wear you out.
It's yes, it is. It is that.
It feels like it is just they're wrecking your soul because it's like they come back that next drive.
It's like they'll have one of those drives.
Then they come back the next one and it's like, oh, aj Brown's wide open by twenty yards, like chunk play, chunk play, chunk play.
It's crazy that no doctor Eric Eager I talked about on the megapot had this theory about how the Eagles, you know, they haven't really beating anybody last year this year, Yeah, but they just keep banking wins y, Yeah.
Keep bankling.
And this is like they just played their preseason, the first three games of the of the NFL regular season.
They're rounding into form.
We got a few more games to get to guessing lines numbers game Visa and these Sports Betting Network.
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He and shout out to everybody out there who signed up using the promo code ANJ Yes eight numbers game.
Yes got us on the Thank you to everybody who signed up using the promo code A n G.
Thank you for bringing that up. Kelly here, we were making a big deal about it, and we should. Absolutely we gotta feel we gotta feel appreciate you.
Shout out to IgA Shiantek, world number two. After seventy five straight weeks at world at number one, wins her sixteenth tournament at the age of twenty two, her sixth one thousand events.
You already has four slams. Who's number one? Sablenka? That one that won't last long. The way Ega played it was she basically told the entire tour, hope you enjoyed that. While it lasted, She'll be the goat. Mark my words. We get tweets at meeting the book.
Jesse Welch props to I believe it was Pritch in the off season who put the listeners onto a chan offensive rookie the year at thirty five to one when I got it?
Wait wait wait, wait waitit did Pritch? Did anyone recommend a chand I didn't hear a single person? And how was he? Reason?
Thirty five to one was the other part of that? Yeah, that Martin Bans brother. We took a school field trip to Edward's Air Force Base in Mojave, California, back in the seventies when the six Million Dollar Man was in its heyday and we got to see the actual wreckage in person and original Chase plane footage in its entirety. We were gods at recess the next day. Gods, that's awesome, gret one, Tom Stephan, how many points would you need to take Carolina this week?
Oh yeah, that's a great question. Oh great question, because I guessed seventeen. At least twenty one. Look, I'm being dead serious, been at least twenty one points. I'm being dead serious too. And by the way, it's because of the way Miami can score, right, it's like they will, it will.
Come in bunches, and that thirteen and a half is gone, it's fourteen oh everywhere, yeah, fourteen oh oh, last one here, Djen Southern gent Hey, Kelly, if it makes you feel any better. While at Georgia Tech, Calvin Johnson patent today water treatment system that brought clean drinking water to millions of destitute Africans and he didn't see a dime from it. He's not only a beast but also a hero.
See better, better reason for him being a hero? You're right, that's actually a great thing he's done. Wow, I really, what have I done with my life?
Absolutely nothing?
He played played at Georgia Tech too, but they were still in the triple option days, right, all those great wide receivers rolling through there.
They're like Paul Johnson. Was that the name of the head coach at the time? Was that his name? I don't remember?
But why are you making it like Kelly Bidlan versus Calvin Johnson, Like couldn't we all say this about.
It's just COM's because he's like my same age. We're the same age, I see, because I think we can all say that, like, look what he's done with his life.
What are the wide receivers? Like three wide receivers that rolled through that offense. Remember that it was like the triple option. They finished the season with like eleven catches and then went to the NFL. We're all like stars.
I look, the Barry Sanders Calvin Johnson thing is one of the greatest things ever I know. Detroit Lions fans have mixed feelings about it, but they.
Were both like, well, no, we were Look, you can hold both thoughts in your head at the same time.
You could be angry as a fan. They retired.
We dominated the sport at our position. We never won a damn thing. We've made tons of money. They're tired of We're tired of getting hit.
See you later. Yeah, like getting hit all the time probably not fun. And we're both in the Hall of Fame.
Four to twenty five Lions hit Bucks, Lions at Bucks four and one Lions three and one Bucks who want to buy golf, by the way. And victory over the Panthers twenty of twenty eight for two thirty six three touchdowns. No Pixie was sacked twice, two carries for zeria yards but a touchdown. Montgomery Fantasy Guy for everybody. He's doing great this year. Nineteen for one on nine in a touchdown, two catches for twenty Lions were plus three and turnovers that led to plus twenty one Detroit net points.
I will say Detroit minus three on the road at Tampa. Who was idle this week? Yeah? Good call.
Believe it opened two and a half or three three. It's three and a half at DraftKings now in favor of the Lions. Wow, this is the week with the most static of all. Lines like these are so close to three on.
A lot of these.
Yeah, all right, primetime now, primetime game, Yeah, Primetime Sunday night.
Giants at Bills.
Not threeeees subjected to the Giants yet again. Boy, I'll tell you the the I have two alt season win totals from before the season, the Washington alt over eight and a half. Not looking so good, but this Giant's under looks great. Giants are one and four after their loss to Miami. Daniel Jones before he got hurt, fourteen of twenty for one nineteen, no touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked six times. Tarrod Taylor was nine of twelve for eighty six. In relief, they gave up five hundred
and twenty four total yards. They were out game five twenty four to two sixty eight. Not quite a doubling up, but almost, and Miami was plus three and turnovers that led to plus ten plus ten points in that game for the Dolphins. And then Buffalo, as we talked about, lose to Jacksonville in London and Tottenham Allen twenty seven and forty for three point fifty nine and defeat two
touchdowns one pick. He was not sacked fourteen on the ground fore a touchdown Digs eight for one twenty one and a touchdown gave Davis six for one hundred and in touchdown. Buffalo will not be quite as big a favorite as Miami is against Carolina, but I will say that they are two touchdown favorites fourteen, which they are. I'm not not as big as my guess. My guess was seventeen, right, Miami was actually fourteen. Yes, I will say Buffalo then will also be fourteen. Okay, but if
you said no, but no, let me rejust that. So if you said Buffalo's fourteen, excuse me, Miami's fourteen. Buffalo can't be fourteen. They gotta be thirteen they are fifteen.
Ah, I think I would think of it the same way you are, Like, I'm surprised. I'm surprised by that.
I'm surprised the Bills are more heavily favored against the Giants than the Dolphins are against the Panthers.
Yeah, I mean I thought it would have been a tick the other way. Yeah. Okay, Wow, Well.
I guess we're talking about a point between fourteen and fifteen here. Still, here's the other question, Like, I don't know what Daniel Jones status is, but like, if it's Tarad Taylor, are any worse off?
I don't think that. Okay.
I usually get kind of upset with some of these comparisons about like backups being worth more. I think Torod Taylor is one of these guys. That is, you are break even at worst with Toron Taylor filling in right. So, right now, to Rod Taylor in his career, which has been you know, journeymanish parapatetic issue, he has one great skill.
Do you know what that skill is? In his whole career? He does not turn the ball over. Yep, he does not turn that.
I mean, look for an offense that is it is short on weapons. The fact that you can just run the ball more consistently and better with him with his legs.
That just helps.
It's gonna help any offense that's struggling, all right, right, Monday Night Giants the last team not to take an offensive snap with the lead. Thus far this season, thirty one other teams have taken an offensive snap with the lead.
Giants have not done that yet. Man, all right.
Monday Night Cowboys at Chargers. Three and two Cowboys against the two and two Chargers who had the week off. The Cowboys who got by the Niners last night, dak fourteen of twenty four, one touchdown, three picks last night, three sacks, and again Dallas only mustering eight first downs against the Niners. They were out gained four twenty one to one ninety seven, one seventy to fifty seven on the ground. They were minus three in turnovers that led
to plus fourteen San Francisco net points. So I will do this this week because this is a tough line to make. I think of all the games this.
Week, this is the toughest.
Well, we got so many, there's so many injury question marks on the Charger side. We're still though, we don't really know because they had a bye week.
So if Dallas was.
At home in this game, I think it would be an easier line to make, and I would say Dallas minus four.
And so I want to make this Dallas minus two on the road ding ding ding ding ding. That's what it is. Two two and a half right now? Yep? Okay, okay, so Dallas interesting. I really don't I don't know what to do with this game.
This is another one I think, like last night, I can't wait to watch it. I don't think I'm gonna be doing anything with it. Betterguise, Yeah, I wouldn't touch this game. You gotta first of all, the Chargers. How can you touch any game the Chargers are involved?
That's what I was gonna say. I'm still I'm looking for.
I think I'm looking right now in my head for a dancing partner with the Commanders for a teaser. This would make a lot of sense. You're catching two at home, tease them up. But I don't try to even trust the Chargers that cover a teaser, like.
Oh, you already call the Commanders as a teaser. Yeah, I just I don't know who I'm gonna pair it with. Yet I think I think I'm gonna.
Play that, oh catching nine ish against Atlanta or whatever it is, eight and a half, whatever it is now.
Yeah, yeah, I think so too.
Heinike revenge game. No, it's just I mean, it's it's nothing that the Falcons and Ritter did have. He had his best game every yesterday. But you're these spots. It's the same sort of line you were catching with with the with the Texans.
I'll tease it up.
I'm gonna keep teasing up against the Falcons. Okay, So who's gonna buy Green Bay? And Pittsburgh is on a buy or on buys next week? So this is the first time at the end of guessing lines this year where I've asked the question, so what do you like best? And usually the first the first five weeks of this season or first four weeks ever long we've done guessing lines. I rattled off teams this week.
I don't know what I like like.
I like Miami, which is ridiculous, right, that's this chuckiest chuck thing ever. Yeah, I'm kind of with you on Seattle catching the points against Cincinnati, and I'm god, do I really want to lay these points with San Francisco on the road against Cleveland.
I just am not sold on Cleveland.
I mean another another game full of injury questions, right, I mean, what's Deshaun Watson's status.
You would assume he's but he's fine this week. But you're assuming.
Patriots Raiders under il. I like that one, but we haven't see the Raiders played it. By the way, if you make the Raiders more than three, I'm grabbing. The Patriots had to say it.
I mean, come on, ba ba back back back