Beating The Book: 2023 NFL Week 5 Guessing Lines Show

time it's our best instinct. Witnessed the Jaguars as the biggest difference I had between the line yesterday and the actual game line of the Jaguars roll the Falcons in London, which we will get to when we talk about those teams. And it's not just about really what my guesses are, it's about you doing it yourself at home. It's a great way to start your handicapping week. You don't have to lock into it, but your first instincts are something

that you should always note. I think anyway, historically on this show, dating back to when Chrissy and I did this, this was alway was the thing. And appreciate all the downloads for this in the megapod humbled By. It seems to still resonate with everybody year after year, week after week. So we began, well, first of all, let me just say the Survivor. Let's just get that out of the way.

Remember how last week before the weekend, I said, oh, ninety nine and a half entries my over under, and then it was like, you know, two thousand got knocked out, ninety two yesterday or this week so far, So this was the week I should have said that ninety two. Really from the beginning of the pool, one percent of the entire pool that entered Circus Survivor this year got knocked out yesterday. So we're still over two thousand entries. No one, I think a couple people have the I

think one person has that. You know, two people have the Seahawks. Nobody has the Giants tonight, so it won't change much. We will have fewer than one hundred people knocked out of Circus survivor this week.

fourteen forty eight left in that frame. After a Denver three and out, Bears go fifty six yards fields to More for twenty four, follow two plays later by Fields to Cole Commet for twenty two in the end zone. Fourteen to seven Bears eleven forty four left. Second quarter, Then after another Broncos punt, Bears go eighty five yards Fields to comment from three out, twenty one to seven Bears. That would be the score at the half, and at

halftime just Houston fields. Let me repeat that, justin fields would be sixteen of seventeen for two thirty one, three touchdowns, no picks, only sacked twice at the half. First Bears drive of the second half after another Denver punt, fifteen plays, sixty six yards Fields to Khalil Herbert from two out touchdown twenty eight to seven Bears, four to eleven left in the third quarter, and at that point in the game, pardon me, fields twenty three of twenty four for two

eighty five and four touchdowns. Man, he's good. Are you late? I mean, how many people via text or whatever were saying, I think I think he's figured out the game of football. Well. Then Denver went seventy five yards Wilson of Brandon Johnson for four out. It was twenty eight to fourteen Chicago, nine seconds left in the third quarter. Then after Chicago three and out, Denver go seventy yards Wilson to Sutton from thirteen out twenty eight to twenty one Chicago, then

nine thirty six left in the game. Then the fifth play on the ensuing drive, Chicago's up a touchdown, clinging now first and ten at the Denver forty eight for the Bears field sacked by Nick Benito, he fumbles it and scooped by Jonathan Cooper thirty five yards to the hiszy and we are tied at twenty eight with six to fifty five left. Bears them matriculate. Here is the moment of the game. Twenty eight, twenty eight, fourth and one at the Denver eighteen with two fifty seven left.

Kelly Chicago tries to draw Denver off sides. They cannot, so they call timeout, then post timeout. After failing to draw them off sides, they decide to go for it. Herbert stuffed for no gain. Denver takes over at their own eighteen, two fifty two left. Wilson immediately to Mimes Junior. How many times have I mentioned Mims Junior on this show this year? This time for forty eight leads to

a Lutz corkscrew fifty one yard field well. Denver's up thirty one twenty eight, one forty six left, final drive. You know it's gonna happen. Set back by an intentional grounding calling fields then third and thirteen at their own forty seven with thirty seven seconds left. Fields picked by Kareeine Jackson Ballgame thirty one, twenty eight, Denver, Oh Eberflus, I have him first coach fire north of fifteen to one? Are the Bears just not going to fire him because

they've never fired a coach mid season? They just want to keep that record in top.

box course stats. Four touchdowns, one pick, you sacked four times four for twenty five on the ground with the fumble loss that was scooped and scored scooped in return for a touchdown Herbert eighteen for one zho three on the ground More eight for one thirty one touchdown comets seven for eighty six sembra eighty five, two touchdowns, ten penalties, ninety one yards outgained Denver four seventy one to three eleven.

Doesn't matter because they were minus two in turnovers both in the fourth quarter the sacks scoop and scored to tie the game at twenty eight and the pick to end it. Who are they playing? Oh yeah, Washington, Washington. Talk about coaches. We just talked about everyflu Let's talk about Rivera Washingtons downfield opening drive, seventy five yard samuelin from one, seven to nothing, Washington seven to fifty two left in the first quarter. Eagles come right back, go

seventy five yards swift in from five. We're tied seven apiece one seventeen left. First quarter. Washington comes right back seventy five yards second goal with the one. Robinson fumbles before he breaks the plane, but the incomparable Terry McLaurin recovers in fourteen to seven Washington twelve fifty six left. Second quarter. Took his push for the Eagles on the next drive at the at their own forty nine, but the Landon Dickerson was lined up off side, so they

had to punt. Washington makes it seventeen to seven on a slide field goal. Halftime was seventeen to ten after Elliott made a forty one yarder. Second half, Eagles cut it to seventeen to thirteen. Elliott forty seven yarder. Washington punt hurts the AJ Brown fifty nine yard touchdown pass with Brown just weaving in and out of traffic. Roughing the passer penalty gave Philadelphia the bault the one on the conversion, so they decided to go for it. Gainwell

ran it in twenty one to seventeen. Eagles seven eleven.

The Washington twenty eight hurts to Brown on the double move, touchdown thirty one to twenty four. Iggles, but a taunting call on Brown because it wasn't enough for him to score, he had to taunt. It was kind of weak tonk call, though, Skins take the penalty. On the kickoffs. They started their

own thirty six with one thirty six left. Washington matriculates after a third and seventeen conversion a fourth and two at the Philly forty five with forty one seconds left, Howel to Diami Brown for sixteen, then McLaurin for eight, McLaurin for eleven. They end up with a ball at the Eagles ten with five seconds left incomplete to McLaurin, but one second left on the clock that Sean Dotson touchdown river boat ron Mike tuchas he decides to kick the extra point. Later he would say he thought his

offense was gassed. Oh okay, Sam Howell, Welcome to the NFL. This way to go, Sam Howell, By the way that was his welcome to the NFL moment. So we go to overtime. Washington wins the coin flip third and five at their own thirty nine, twenty two left in overtime. Howel to McLaurin for twenty five rule to incomplete on the field, ridiculous replay showed green between his second foot and the sideline. Did it not? Did it not? But they were brutal, just absolutely brutal call there, twenty nine

yard tresswaypunt. You know what happens next fourth and one at the at midfield. Took this push successful and then after an intentional grounding call and hurts the temporarily put the Eagles out of field goal range. Hurts the DeVante for nine Elliott field goal fifty four. Eagles win thirty four to thirty one. Howell finishes twenty nine to forty one for two to ninety one touchdown, no picks, but he was sacked five times. McLaurin the incomparable eight for

eighty six should have been more. I will say Washington by four and a half on Thursday night hosting the.

everybody what you just said off air? When you looked up at the TV screen, What did you say?

Everfluce bet. We'll see if either or both can get home. Keep this in mind, though, about both Chicago and Carolina. Both ow and four the Bears own both draft picks. The Bears own both draft picks because of the Bryce Young trade, so currently if the NFL Draft were to happen right now, Chicago would be drafting one and two. It's amazing. It's amazing, all right, one and every Bears fan after I said that just went and how are we gonna botch that?

make it ten to nothing Atlanta at that point. This is in the second quarter when it was ten to nothing Atlanta at that point. Kelly had one first down and then they had a drive that started at their own thirteen. They did matriculate three first downs later, so three more, two more than they have the or three more than they have a whole pre part of the game.

They have a first intent that Jacksonville forty five Ridder picked by Darius Williams sixty one yards to the house seventeen to nothing Jacksonville, and at that point it was kind of just the Jags cruising in the rest of the way.

they left points on the board. They could have like really put the nail in the coffin at this point, up seventeen to nothing already they had the ball at Atlanta seven to fourth and one, Lawrence was sacked by David Anyamana. Halftime remained seventeen to nothing. Then third quarter Atlanta did go seventy five yards to start the half, twenty four on the ground, all but twenty four on the ground. By the way, I should say Bijeon for thirty eight was the big run. Ridderd and London fifteen out,

it was seventeen to seven. Then after they traded punts, McManus field goal up to the lead for Jacksonville to twenty to seven. That was from forty three and then Atlanta matriculated but fourth and three at the Jacksonville six six oh five left. This was when the game really ended. Ritter incomplete back of the end zone intended for London. He only got one foot down.

two oh seven, one touchdown. No Pixy was sacked twice, eight carries for forty two yards, and you know Jacksonville was plus three and turnovers that led the big one obviously the pick six and all of that. So I just want to say, we'll get to it when we get to Atlanta. But this overrating of Atlanta in the market every week is been the most successful thing in NFL betting this year.

finally a punt. Miami punted, Buffalo punted, Miami punted. Then the Bills go fifty nine yards most on an Allen to digs fifty five yard touchdown catch and run, twenty eight to fourteen Buffalo. That was the first real more than one score separation of the game. Two fifty two left in the second quarter. At that point, third play following drive, third and one at their own thirty four

for the Dolphins, two twenty left in the half. Most are hit by Matt Mulano, fumbles Terrell Bernard recovers, leads to a Tyler Bass fifty three yard are thirty one fourteen Buffalo at the half. Remember that's after they went touchdown, touchdown, touchdown, touchdown, touchdown to start the game, twenty one to fourteen Buffalo lead. And then they started to build that lead. Second half opening drive, Miami does go seventy five yards two A to Barrios from eleven out, thirty one to twenty. Miami

down eleven, decides to go for two. That's interesting, eleven and nine. It failed, nine thirty left in the third quarter. Bass ads a thirty three yarder thirty four to twenty Buffalo, five twenty one left in the third, then to a

third play following drive picked by Micah Hyde. Bill set up at the Miami twenty five up fourteen already four plays later, Allan to Diggs thirteen yarder forty one to twenty three minutes left in the third, and then the Dolphins end up fourth and one at the Buffalo forty seven down twenty one forty four seconds left in the third two in shotgun. Always love that. On a fourth and one sacked by ed Oliver Tredavius White with the non contact achilles injury, I fear it is ruptured and

he is done for the year. Allen to Gabe Davis for thirty four. Allen in from eleven forty eight twenty Buffalo five seconds in to the fourth quarter, and that would be the final score. By the way, they didn't get any more than that, as the last two Dolphins drives ended with turnovers on downs. Allen finishes twenty one of twenty five for three twenty four touchdowns. No Pixie be sacked twice, four carries for seventeen yards and a touchdown,

digs six for one twenty three touchdowns. The Bills were plus two and turnovers that led directly to plus ten Buffalo points. Remember now with the Bills season thus far, they lost the opening week by six and overtime to the Jets. Since then, and I guess that's the Raiders Washington and now Miami, they have won by twenty eight,

thirty four and twenty eight. We are who they thought they were, who we thought they were without question Buffalo at London, despite Jacksonville's comfort level in London, despite the fact that they've been hanging out there now and they'll actually be sightseeing today. I'm gonna say Buffalo by six based on what I just said.

other position I have to vote for a quarterback. I want to try to disabuse him of that notion this time, because, first of all, it's not meant to be a quarterback award, it doesn't have to be. And you have two guys in Christian McCaffrey, not so much Tyreek Hill after yesterday, but let's just take Christian McCaffrey. Christian McCaffrey has six hundred yards from scrimmage in four six touchdowns. Six hundred

yards on scrimmage. That's on pace to set the NFL record Chris Johnson holds it, which I believe was over twenty five hundred yards in a sixteen game schedule. If McCaffrey just continues to do this and he breaks that record, or if Tyreek ends up with two thousand yards on Dolphins team that wins tons of games, you're really going to give it to just a random quarterback and you're gonna save Offensive Player of the Year for one of those two guys, McCaffrey or Hill. I just I just

don't want to. I hope we're not in that phase where MVP is just a quarterback. I think we've gotten there, I think, but it's we can't we can't reverse that. What is it set and study? No, I don't know, but.

two six? Were you joking about it? The Bears win on Thursday night? Carolina still plays Week five. Yeah, but the wording on the ticket is last winless team, right, so I'm not exactly joking about it. Quite frankly, touchdown Jasus Riverboat Ron the first coach to ever claim his offense was too gassed to go for two in the win. I guess that Philly defense was getting stronger as they gave up the tying touchdown draft.

absolutely right. That is a potential survivor play Bruce doe Bingen NFL season. If the NFL season were over today, the Bears would have the top two draft picks. Will they trade up with themselves? Maybe? So that would be the very bearest thing today. We've made a trade. There's a trade at the top arch indel. I hope I'm saying that right. The Daggs do not cruise into anything. Gil. They hand paddled their inflatable raft ashore. That's probably that

is an accurate description. That's pay Church. And then the King of car Seats said Bears were only minus one eighty to miss the playoffs at draft kings before the season. Hard to believe. Yeah, I think he means before the season. I would imagine before the season. Oh and we get text. Steve Fezicks texted in talking about my comment about why is it's set in Stone? Did Moses bring the tablets down?

About MVP being for a quarterback? He said, here are your fifteen your oops, tablet crash, make that your ten commandments? Brilliant comedy. Remember that History of the World. Paul on mel Brooks. Maybe that was one of the fifteen, the five that got dropped. All right, what's next Sunday?

Houston had a fourth and one at the Pittsburgh twenty eight up thirteen seven or nine left in the second quarter. Stroud incomplete intended for Andrew Beck, but it wouldn't lead to anything for the Steelers, who then down thirteen. Kelly, I know this is your favorite thing. Fourth and one at their own forty nine, with four to thirty five and left in the second quarter, they just decided to pun it.

foot three, two hundred and thirty pounds. Just fall over. No you want to go shot No, I'm with.

offensive rookie of the year, short shot. He went sixteen of thirty for three h six, two touchdowns, no picks. He was not zacked. Nico Collins seven for one sixty eight two touchdowns. The Texans held Pittsburg to two hundred and twenty five total yards. I'll gain him four fifty one to two twenty five, held Pittsburgh to just twelve first downs. And then we talked about Atlanta losing to Jacksonville.

Desmond Ritter in that game against Jacksonville was nineteen to thirty one for one to ninety one, one touchdown, two picks. He was sacked four times, lost to fumble. Bijon though was good fourteen for one oh five five catches for thirty two. But as we said, Atlanta was minus three and turnovers the uh scoop and score being the orcuse me the pick six being the big thing in that one Houston at Atlanta I have as a pick.

And then Kirk Cousins did his thing, completely ill advised pass to the corner picked by Sam Franklin Junior, ninety nine yards of the house. Great effort, by the way by Cousins to get the angle, only to get trucks.

yard field goal to end the half. After some horrible clock management by the Panthers down the stretch of that half, thirteen to seven, nonetheless Carolina when they went into the locker room. Then second half, after a trade of punts second and seventeen for Carolina at the Minnesota twenty eight. This is when the whole game changed. Four h nine left in the third quarter, Bryce hit by Harrison Smith, fumbles picked up by DJ Wanham fifty one yards of

the house, fourteen to thirteen Minnesota. Then after another Carolina three and out Minnesota again, cousins Jefferson from thirty out twenty one to thirteen Minnesota at the end of the third quarter. That was the last play of the third quarter. Teams traded punts in the fourth. Then Carolina down one score down eight, matriculated the ball down the field because of course they do. It's a Vikings game. They can't

win anything cleanly. Fourth and one at the Minnesota thirteen with two h one left, they decided to run the play before the two minute warning, and the Chewba Hubbard gets four yards, so at one fifty eight the two minute warning, Carolina down eight and they have it first down but Bryce first down by the way at the nine first and goal, but Bryce is sacked. Bryce Young sacked on both second and four downs by Harrison Smith, and with Carolina having burned one of their timeouts in

that sequence, it was ballgame twenty one to thirteen. Vikings Vikings off the schneid. Bryce ends up twenty five to thirty two for two oh four, no touchdowns. No Pixi was sacked five times. He did lose that fumble that was the key play of the game, only two hundred and thirty two total yards, Minnesota only had two sixty five. By the way victory, the time of possession advantage for Carolina thirty eight to twenty nine to twenty one thirty

one didn't matter. They lose again, destroyed by a full seven. Uh, you are light, my friend, Detroit nine point favorites in this I am light.

I was convinced to draft c J. Stroud because c J. Stroud is way better and he's bigger for the NFL. Bryce Young is too small, and they would ahead and drafted Bryce Young. If this hits Carolina last winless, I will make up for all of that and like double it back the other way. By the way, Kevin Clark, there was an entire draft news cycle that quoting anonymous executives saying you can't take c. J. Stroud because he did poorly on the pre draft equivalent of a BuzzFeed quiz.

Why we tolerate so much junk science every spring? Spring is beyond me? Remember this? Amen, Kevin Clark coming back? More guessing lines, Next skill, Alexander Kelly Bidlin guessing lines for week number five in the National Football League, even though Detroit was like north of seven points. I don't know that I'm racing to lay that though. They're a big survivor. I would imagine Option this week though, plays green Bay on Thanksgiving, so you may want to save them.

I forgot that we started out with two quadruple headers Tomorrow on the show, We'll have Borchard on, We'll have Spore on, maybe we'll get Towers in here. It'll just be a baseball fest soaked with baseball tomorrow. One more to he's speaking of Eric Giger. We talked about Desmond Ridder earlier, Eric Giger, who is the last quarterback a team. And now this is gonna provoke a lot of discussion too.

We're gonna get twenty answers on this. Eric Gieger asks out loud on Twitter who is the last quarterback a team intended to start from jump, who was less viable than Ridder with no young guy in waiting?

six thirty one left in the second quarter. Then after a Cincinnati three and out, Titans win seventy three yards, including a Tannehill fumble that was scooped by ty J. Spears for twenty two So even when they were fumbling the ball, they were gaining twenty two yards out of it. Henry in from twenty nine on that drive, seventeen to three Tennessee with three fifty eight left in the second quarter.

Then after another Cincinnati pun Tennessee goes eighty yards Henry to Josh Wiley two yard touchdown jump pass from Derreck Henry with thirteen seconds left in the half, and it was twenty four to three at halftime. And honestly, the way that Joe Burr was playing and not being able to move out there, it was ballgame. Titans would only add a folk thirty five yard field goal in the opening driver of the second half and that would be

it for the scoring. It ended twenty seven to three, as the second half was ruled primarily by punts in a trade of turnovers that amounted to nothing. Tannehill eighteen of twenty five or two to forty one touchdown, one pick. He was sacked three times. Henry twenty two for one twenty two on the ground, he was the leading rusher in the NFL. Congratulations to all have that. Yesterday he scored a touchdown on the ground, one for one, passing for two yards and a touchdown. He also caught one

pass for eleven yards. They outgained Cincinnati four hundred to two eleven, and really Tennessee's win over the Bengals twenty seven to three is more of a commentary on Joe Burrow and his injury status than it is taking I mean, I say taking nothing away from the Titans, but I guess I am taking something away from the Titans the Bengals. Like, we'll get to the Bengals because this is not about the Bengals. This is about the Titans in this game. But we got to get to that discussion. Titans are

at Indianapolis. You said, Okay, Indianapolis loses to the Rams, but boyl, Boyl, boy, was this a game opening drive. Rams went downfield seventy five yards Kyron Williams in from three seven to nothing Rams eleven thirty five left first quarter. After Indianapolis punt, Rams go ninety four yards Stafford to Nakua Puka nakula matata for twenty six with an unnecessary roughness tacked on the big one Kyron In from three

fourteen to nothing Rams three forty left first quarter. Richardson would fumble on the third play of the next drive on second and six at the Rams forty eight tackled by Ernest Jones, recovered by a Kilo Witherspoon that led to a Maher forty yard field goal seventeen to nothing Rams. The Rams would get it to twenty nothing by halftime.

Both teams missed field goals to close the half, so twenty to nothing Rams and by the way, then they made it twenty three to nothing on a fifty one yard Brett Maher field goal twenty three to nothing at the beginning of the second half. So the Colts then finally get off the mat down twenty three. They go seventy five yards Richardson to Moe Ali Cox from thirty five out two point conversion good cutting a I guess a seventeen point lye to a fifteen point lead at

that point twenty three to eight. Richardson to Zach Moss in the two point conversion five twenty six left third quarter. Then, after Stafford was picked by Kenny Moore on the Rams second play from scrimmage on the subsequent drive, the Colts were set up at the Rams forty two, but fourth and seven at the Rams thirty one, they go for at three forty left in the third quarter, Richardson incomplete

intended for Kyle Granson. Maher then misses a forty eight yarder for the Rams, so the Colts get it back, and this time they do go sixty two yards Richardson to Alex Peers for thirty eight and unnecessary roughness call tacked on the big play in that sequence. Four plays later, Richardson in from one twenty three to fifteen, they decide to go from nine to eight at that point with the extra point Rams still up by eight now, then

the Rams punt. Colts immediately go eighty three yards, including a fourth and four conversion at the Rams twenty one Richardson to Kylon Grantson for seventeen that set up the score, and Richardson to Andrew Ogletree on that drive for twenty one twenty two and the touchdown pass of five yards to cut it to twenty three to twenty one with one fifty six left. Now, ladies and gentlemen, it's time for our weekly Sean mcvag moment. Are you ready? Down? Two?

Set up for the two point conversion? The Colts are about to get flagged for a false start, but McVeigh calls time out good just before the false start to get that in. Thank you, Sean McVay. And with that reprieve Richardson and Michael Pittman, wide open two point conversion. We are tied at twenty three with one fifty six left. They were down twenty three to nothing.

and then their book ended seventy five yards. First play of the drive, Stafford to Nakua for twenty last play of the drive, Stafford to Nakua for twenty two in the touchdown first touchdown of Pooka Nakua's career, ninth catch of the game, one hundred and sixty three yards. Ballgame, Rams win twenty nine to twenty three. Richardson eleven for twenty five, only eleven forward passes completed eleven for twenty

five for two hundred two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice, but ten carries for fifty six yards and a touchdown, one fumble loss. They out They were outgained by the Rams four sixty seven to three to twenty nine, and they were out time of possessioned, if you will, by the Rams thirty nine forty six to twenty four twenty five in a game that went into overtime. This

is an interesting one. Tennessee at Indianapolis, I got lazy and just said a pick em here, No, I said, Tennessee minus one and a half I split the difference between the three and the and the pick them here Colts won.

they were forced to pass it being down twenty to nothing. Yea, But man, if as long as they're not out of the game and he's able to use his legs a little bit more, he makes this offense so much more dangerous.

Swando's idiots will be analytics. This is a numbers game with Gil Alexander our number two of a numbers game at Visa and the sports betting network, Visa dot Com, the Visa app game plus iHeartRadio YouTube TV. However you're taking us in, we appreciate it. Skill Alexander is Kelly Bidlintle Eye from bar Canada at the d There's nothing better than Monday mornings in football season. Like there's just

not enough time to go through all this stuff. We get tweets before we get into games because we got a bunch of games to get to here. We get tweets at beating the book. This is from Table Max. He said, how about them Mastros? Never a doubt? Absolutely, by the way, I hope everybody jumped in on the Astros, never a doubt, because the Astros clinched yesterday with a win and a Rangers loss cuinch the Al West. So we hit that at plus one twenty the day that

we bet. That was it plus one winning or minus one twenty the day we bet? Even in my pocket, in my pocket, I can pull it out right down and tell.

feeling about the Hamlin comeback Player of the year odds? Now? Cheers? Okay, so DeMar Hamlin did they fixed us because Deamar Hamlin played football yesterday, but he only played special teams and we said, we decided if he played one play on defense and made a play on defense, then he's the comeback player of the year. Are we allowing for it on special teams? We kind of do, right, by the way. I don't see the odds correct, I don't know.

the thing. If ever Flew survived this, he probably can survive anything because now every every subsequent game, no matter what happens, if they do anything good, they'd be like, oh, they're improving. See never Flews. Maybe I don't know. Maybe all right, let's get let's get to some games.

two and turnovers though the Dolphins. Was that led directly to a plus ten Buffalo net point result of those turnovers? Miami, I put it in between the seven and the ten, I said, Miami minus eight and a half. Sight unseen on the Giants tonight.

is that how you pronounced that first play? So you're like, Okay, New Orleans is gonna stay. They're only down four. What a big play New Orleans made there at the first half. At the end of the first half. But the first play on the ensuing drive, first and ten at their own one. After the pick, Adam Brentis fumbles Antwine Winfield Junior with the hit in the recovery, and two plays later, Mayfield to Trey Palmer from one out and with nineteen seconds left in the half, Tampa Bay makes it fourteen

to three. And basically that's all she wrote because it was a field goal in punt fest in the second half, seventeen to nine Tampa So they're up a score, they're up eight points. The Bucks then go seventy five yards. This is in the fourth quarter Mayfield god Win for forty two the big one forty two yard play. Mayfield to Devin Tompkins from five out for the touchdown. Twenty three to nine, Tampa three forty four left. That was it.

New Orleans had a four and out. Tampa added to McLaughlin twenty eight yard field twenty six to nine with two twenty four left, and that's how it would end as Jamis came in and immediately threw a pick. Kelly one play one pass thirty for thirty d Delaney picks it off Derek Carr twenty three of thirty seven for one twenty seven, no touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice. He lost the fumble. Jamis won pass one pick Camara. This is a really weird statline for Kamara. Eleven carries

for fifty one yards and thirteen catches for thirty three. Yeah, that's you gotta try to do that.

New England had a took his push that failed fourth and one at the Dallas forty one thirteen forty nine left in the second quarter, Jones was stuffed for no game than after a Dallas punt second and twelve with their own eight, Jones was sacked. This is where the game gets out of hand. Mac Jones sacked by Dante Fowler Junior Layton vander esh recovers eleven yards to Paydirt

sixteen to three. Dallas. Little trickeration on the two point conversion angered at golston Us eighteen to three Dallas eleven oh nine left in the second quarter. Then it was twenty one to three when Jones, who had just completed a broken pass, a broken play crossfield pass. He went back to the well. He's like, oh, I did it

once the first time. I could do this again. Oh yeah, Second and ten of the Dallas forty eight, with one h seven left, he tries it crossfield, picked by Deron Bland to the house fifty four yards, twenty eight to three. Dolls of the half at the half. By the way, that was after Jones almost threw another pick right before the half ended, right, so we just threw it in

the linebacker's chest, I believe. Second half, first drive, fourth and two with the Dallas forty for New England eleven forty nine left in the third quarter, Jones picked by Bland again. That led to a Dallas field goes thirty one to three. Anyway, you get the idea. After a Pats three and out, Jones was finally benched by Bailey, bench by Belichick for Bailey Zappi. Belichick would say later

that it was it wasn't for a performance. It wasn't for a performance, really, Bill, He goes, it just seemed like the right thing to do. In his Belichick voice, Ye.

So I just made it New England minus three one and a half. Okay, they have a mac Jones massive problem.

otherwise he'd be playing already. But Mac Jones has the other thing where like he is kind of pissy on the bench, like in these past weeks, right, he's like barking at people. It's like, Bro, you're Mac Jones. You can't really act this way you have you don't have the Tom Brady pedigree to do this. So I don't know, Like he won't be He's not gonna be the quarterback next year. But I think you're kind you're stuck with him for the rest of the year.

to ever get broken in baseball. They could, but you know it's a tough oneing no one's ever gotten past forty four the way that he's so far ahead of the rest of that field. Alvin Kamara thirteen plus catches. No one with that number of catches has ever gotten below seventy yards receiving. He had thirty three. That's why I said it was Damasi. Only Skull adds this. He says, uh, forgive me, but is it really a took us push?

If the tuk Us push fails, yes, because you're still trying to push the took us yep games, What do we got?

not gonna play on Sunday. But then like Mary Kay Cabot, right, who covers the covers the Browns, She's like, no, I just talked to DeShawn. He's absolutely playing. He's a go. Only to wake up Sunday morning to find out, Oh, Deshaun Watson not playing. So that was fun. Uh, dtr

going for the Browns. Brown's second drive of the game, second and three at the Cleveland forty five dtro Are picked off Dorian Thompson Robinson that is picked off deflection by Brandon Stevens returns at fifty two yards first play from the ten, lamar in seven to nothing, Baltimore six

thirty eight left, first quarter, seven to three Baltimore. Now second and three for Baltimore at the Cleveland thirty six ten point fifty three left in the second quarter, Lamar fumbled Maurice Hurst recovered, but the Browns couldn't do anything with it, and then Baltimore, after a punk, goes ninety three yards and eight plays, seven of which were on the ground. The only pass play was for thirty six to Mark Andrews Lamar in from two out, fourteen to

three Baltimore. Then after Cleveland three and out, Baltimore was seventy four yards, including converting a second and twenty nine on a forty three yard connection. Is Zay Flowers Lamar to Mark Andrews from six out with seventeen seconds left and a half twenty one to three Baltimore at the half, three touchdowns versus the vaunted Cleveland D that had given up just one touchdown up to that point in the season. Up to this game. Second half, teams traded punts three times.

Then dtr threw a pick with nine to forty six left in the game. Geno Stone took it back thirty six yards short field thirty eight yard drive for Baltimore. Lamar hit Andrews from eighteen out with six point two left, ceiling the deal twenty eight to three. Baltimore a trade of punts and another dtr pick later, this time by Kyle Hammonds. Kyle Hamilton, pardon me. On the last play of the game ended it. Lamar fifteen of nineteen for

one to eighty six, two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked three times, nine carries for twenty seven yards, two touchdowns and one fumble loss, Andrews five for eighty two touchdowns. Baltimore held Cleveland to one hundred and sixty six total yards. They were plus two in turnovers that led to plus fourteen Baltimore net points. And then Pittsburgh we already talked about, lost to Houston. Kenny Pickett fifteen of twenty three for one fourteen before he was hurt in this game, no touchdowns,

one pick. He was sacked three times. Tru Bis in relief three of five for eighteen nase fourteen of seventy one on the ground, one catch for thirty two. Pittsburgh was out gained by Houston four fifty one two twenty five. As we noted, doubled up on first downs twenty four to twelve. Baltimore just keeps on chugging. It looks like Mitch Trubisky at this point with Pittsburgh no picket, I will say Baltimore by three on the road.

comes to the Ravens. But man, this team is really banged up and they are still just picking up shugging what I mean like shugging like we always we've talked about, you're banking these wins, like these wins are banked and no matter all these injuries, you're still getting through this in a very tough division. What a great organization it really is, all right? First, uh, late window game Eagles at Rams four.

Eagles had eleven penalties for eighty one yards. Washington always gives them trouble and then the Rams beating the Colts in overtime after coughing up a twenty three point lead. Stafford twenty seven to forty for three to nineteen, one touchdown, one pick. He sacked twice. Kyron Williams twenty five for one oh three and two scores. Poka Nakua nine for one sixty three in a touch first touchdown of his career. Thirty nine catches in four career games, the most by

any player in his first four games of their career. Ever, five hundred and one receiving yards in his first four career games, the most by any player the first four games of their career. They outgained in Indianapolis for sixty seven to three twenty nine a thirty nine forty six to twenty four to twenty five advantage in top Philadelphia minus four.

They're incredible. After an Arizona punt, Niners won sixty two yards for a touchdown mccafrey in from one seven to nothing Niners. Then after another Arizona punt, Niners won seventy five yards, including a party to Kittle nine yard conversion on a fourth and five at the Arizona forty two plays later, McCaffrey in from eighteen fourteen to nothing nine

Ers two plays into the second quarter. Then after the Cardinals make it fourteen to three on a Prater thirty eight yard field goal, Niners go another seventy five yards perty to Ayuk for forty two. The big play Perdy to McCaffrey from six out twenty one to three Niners five twenty two left in the second quarter, and you're like, Oh, they're just gonna roll them, noop, not Jonathan Gannon's Arizona Cardinals.

Cardinals go seventy five yards, including a fourth and two at their own twenty one three forty five left, fake punt at their own twenty one down eighteen snap to the up back of Egil Turner. He gets two yards. Then they matriculate hops to Michael Wilson from sixteen out twenty one to ten San Francisco right after a Dobbs to Wilson thirty three yard connection. We go to the half. Second half after a Niner spunt, Arizona then goes ninety

nine yards Dobs to Marquise Brown for forty one. The big play Dobbs to Michael Wilson again from made out twenty one to sixteen. Two point conversion fails on a James Connor run four to twelve left in the third quarter. Oh boy, oh boy, oh boy, they're only down five

and half. The survivor field has the Niners. The Niners, though, then because they're the Niners, they immediately go seventy five yards, beginning with a Perty two a Uke thirty four yard pass play, Endian and McCaffrey one yard run twenty eight to sixteen nine ers fourteen twenty two left, and then after an Arizona punt San Francisco eighty nine yards, methodically, surgically clinically Perty in from one thirty five to sixteen with one to fifty nine left ball, but the spread

was still in doubt. Kelly last two plays from the fifteen yard line. Ertz drops a short touchdown pass, then Zach Pascal can't make the catch in the corner of the end zone either. What an escape for Niners backers and a brutal loss for Cardinals backers. Dobbs ended up twenty eight to forty one for two to sixty five, two touchdowns, No Pixie with sack ones twelve carries for forty eight yards and Mike Wilson seven for seventy six

and two touchdowns. Cincinnati at Arizona, I will say the Cardinals by one and a half.

season window. I haven't looked at it. Over might be the play right now because that team is great. It is great in terms of what their expectations were. Jonathan Gannon and I know because they're one and three, he can't be considered for coach of the year, but he's honestly doing a coach of the year job for that team. That team, that team is so live every game. Can't have more respect for them. And you're saying Cincinnati is favored before. You gotta be kidding me.

you got four. The only place that had the four left was where in.

this last night? Somebody on ESPN, OH, I think it was Tim Hasselbeck said, but Checko runs like he's angry at the ground. It's such a great description. Then a Jets four and out after the Jets punted fourth and one at their own forty one. This was sort of the underrated thing of last night's game that neither of the announcers seized on. Sala kept like taking points off the board potentially, so fourth and one at the at their own forty one, he decides to punt down ten

to nothing. Casey then goes eighty nine yards, Mahomes to Pacheco for thirty three, a big play on the drive. Mahomes to Gray for thirty four to the house three plays later, seventeen to nothing. Kansas City. At that point in the game, three twenty four left in the first quarter, Chiefs had run eighteen plays and scored seventeen points, so that's pretty good. Then a six play drive for the Jets. They have to punt it third down for Kansas City

at their own seven. Now here's where things start to shift. A face mask penalty is called on Juwan Taylor in the end zone for a safety, but replay showed that Juwan Taylor, oh, he didn't wait till the end zone to grab the face mask. He grabbed it outside of the end zone. It should not have been a safety. Nonetheless, seventeen to two Kansas City, thirteen twenty left in the

second quarter. The Jets that matriculate Wilson to Lazard the big play thirty nine yards, they settle for a zer line thirty one yard field goal on fourth and three at the KC thirteen. Sala elects not to go for that seventeen to five, nine to fifty left in the second quarter. So again all these little moments that sort of get washed away where Sala's like, well, just we'll punt it, or we'll kick the field goal here. Whatever. That came back to haunt the Jets later. But again,

Tarico and Collins, we didn't really sees on it. Mahomes immediately picked by Ashton Davis by the way on maybe the worst pass I've ever seen Patrick Mahomes ever throw way underthrown intended for Gray than a horse collar that wasn't called on Casey's Derek Noddy set the Jets up at the Kansas City twenty nine Six plays later, Wilson to C. J. Zoma for one out, seventeen to twelve Kansas City, six twenty six left in the second quarter.

Chiefs go downfield. They escape a CJ. Moseley pick when Mahomes and Kelsey weren't on the same pageh Butker from thirty seven twenty to twelve Kansas City, two fifteen left in the half. Then the Jets get to a fourth and one at the Casey thirty four to thirty seconds left, zerline joints of fifty two yarder first plan suing drive Mahomes picked by Moseley, twenty to twelve Kansas City. The app. Mahomes just played the worst app I've ever seen him play.

Jets get the ball. Second half, Jets go seventy five yards Wilson to Lzard from ten out, two point version Wilson in from two twenty to twenty were tied ten forty left of the third quarter, three and out for Casey, three and out for the Jets. Casey punt first place. Subsequent drive first and ten to thrown fifteen Breese for how many yards? Here We're all lost it here Breist

goes forty three yards with the drive stalls punt. Kansas City gets a Butcker twenty six yardfield goal to put them back up twenty three to twenty ten to fifty one left in the game. And then here's the play second to nine at the CAC forty nine for the Jets. Wilson, after a game in which Collinsworth and Tarrico bent over backwards to praise him for every little thing that he did in this game. In shotgun, he fumbles the snap whoops recovered by Tershawn Wharton, seven to twenty four left,

seven twenty four left Kelly seven to twenty four. Basically half of the quarter, and the Chiefs are up three, and the Chiefs are going nowhere. In fact, they're going backwards from the Jets forty seven, and they end up because Mahomes almost through another pick, they end up third and twenty two at their own forty one A six twenty one left. Mahomes runs for twenty four, then third and twenty at the Jets forty a defensive hold called on Sauce with four to nineteen left and another first

under three minutes. The Jets started forced to use their timeouts, but it doesn't matter because Casey runs out the clock twenty three to twenty Kansas City, including Mahomes sliding after he passed the sticks, but right before he got to the end zone on third and eight from the eleven with two minutes left. That sealed the deal. Sorry, conspiracy theorists, that's how you win the game. He was supposed to do that. He did it correctly. Chiefs win by three.

Wilson in defeat twenty eight for thirty nine for two forty five, two touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked twice and of course the fumble lost, which was huge. Who are they playing? Man? Denver? Denver Wilson in defeat to the Bears twenty one of twenty eight for two to twenty three, three touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked once in the win. Pardon me over, Chicago outgained by Chicago

four seventy one to three eleven. Denver was plus two in turnovers where we talked about both in the fourth quarter, the sack scoop and score a tie the game at twenty eight, and then the pick to end it from Justin Fields Jets at Denver. Remember before the season, I said with Rogers the gauntlet of their first six games for the Jets. With Rogers, if you give him the three and you give him truth serum, they'll take it immediately.

As soon as Rogers got hurt in that first game with the Achilles tear, the Jets still won that game. They're one and oh, I said with Wilson through the six game gauntlet, they should take the two and four immediately. This is the game where they got to get the two. They gotta win this case. They got to win this game at Denver. I'll say Denver minus one and a half. I split the difference between a pick him and three.

three yards. And then Minnesota with that win over Carolina Kirk Cousins twelve completed forward passes for Kirk Cousins twelve for nineteen for one thirty nine, two touchdowns, two picks, He was sacked twice. Jefferson six catches for eighty five yards.

Minnesota held Carolina only two hundred and thirty two total yards, but Minnesota only had two sixty five themselves, and Carolina out time of possession of them thirty eight twenty nine to twenty one thirty one case minus six at Minnesota probably light on that.

of pulling off this upset. It reminded me a little bit of that Kirk Cousins you like that game when he played at Washington, where up until that point in his career he was a historically epic turnover machine. Yep, RG three. He had to sit behind RG three. RG three got hurt, scuttled away, obviously tragedy. And then Kirk Cousins became the starting quarterback and he was just historical rate of turnovers. Now a lot of people are sort

of snickering like is and he's still on a historical turnovers. No, then he was really historical, and then they were down twenty four to nothing. Washington was in a twenty fifteen game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home. They came all the way like Kirk Cousins. I remember at the end of the first half he hit like Jamison Crowder with a pass, then he hit peerre Garson with another they scored, and you're like, ah, what a great drive from Kirk Cousins. And then the second half he was like,

Oh my god, who is this guy? And they came back and they beat Tampa Bay and that's what sparked the hole. You liked that thing. I sort of felt like, if the Jets had pulled that off last night, that was gonna be Zach Wilson's you liked that game, but it didn't happen.

sort picks by sport, matchup event add more. Check the top VSA Experts leaderboard of view, betting records, profit and ROI and see which VISA expert has the hot hand for VSON Pro Picks, betting, splits, power rating, splos twenty four to seven video access. Become a vcent Pro subscriber today. Sign up today for only nineteen dollars for your first month at VSA slash Subscribe, we get tweets at beating the book, Michael Burns pointing out I'll be headed to

the window after the show. He's absolutely right about that, Joe Abraham, I have been guessing lines for decades on Sunday Night, and I've never been I've never ever been close to as wrong as I am on Cincinnati at Arizona. I had Arizona at minus two and a half. Bet them last night at plus five and a half, I had no doubt Gil would be right there with me. I sure was go one, just me, Eric Eric at e fezy four fifty. Would you take Zach Wilson over Desmond Ritter right now in Atlanta?

slow down, and like, let you get blown up. And then Kirk still hustling over his heart as he can, and Franklin just pumps on the brakes, reel lightly and demolished Cousins.

total yards. They were plus three in turnovers. New England had three, Dallas had none, led to a net plus seventeen Dallas points, as we pointed out, fourteen of which were immediate on the scoop and score in the pick six San Francisco in their win over Arizona Purty Brock Perty twenty of twenty one for two eighty three. I've been doing this show for you for over a decade.

I don't think I ever remember. I could be wrong somebody completing or attempting more than twenty passes and only having one incomplete twenty for twenty one for two eighty three, one touchdown, no picks, he was sacked one's. Perty did not throw an in completion till his fourteenth pass that

was in the third quarter. And then McCaffrey twenty four one oh six and three touchd on the ground seven for seventy one in a touchdown, receiving thirteenth straight game including the playoffs, that McCaffrey has scored a touchdown in a Niners uniform. That breaks an all time franchise record previously held by Jerry Rice and I mentioned earlier when we were talking about MVP. He has six hundred total

yards in four games. The record is held by Chris Johnson north of twenty five hundred yards from scrimmage in a sixteen game schedule. Like McCaffrey could beat that at this pace, at this pace, he would.

and O'Connell. And I think pointed this out, like if you glance at Aid and O'Connell, he's about the same size, maybe a little taller than Derek Carr, but he's wearing the same uniform number He's about the same size and if you glance at his face, he almost looks like Derek Carr. You're like, wait a minute, did they get Derek Carray. Chargers took the opening drive of the game eighty six yards, ended in a Herbert twelve yard touchdown run. Teams traded punts and the Raiders won sixty four yards

ad O'Connell in from one. It was tied up at seven apiece forty five seconds left in the first quarter. Then after Cameron Dicker, the kicker thirty three yard field goal to put the Chargers up ten to seven, and with ten thirty six left in the second quarter, Raiders first play of the subsequent drive, O'Connell, intended for Davante Adams, did hurt himself. Michael Davis tried to break it up. Davis's weight landed on Adams. I think his hand specifically,

I don't know. He went to the locker room. He would return, though. Two plays later O'Connell was sacked. I thought it was the tuck rule, but he fumbled. They recovered and they ruled it a fumble recovered by Chris Rump, then helped along with by a Jerry Tillery on sports and like penalty hitting Herbert when he was already out of bounds, and a disqualification ensued Herbert to allen from seven out seventeen to seven Chargers seven to twenty left.

Second quarter, fourth subsequent drive, O'Connell, sacked by Khalil Mack fumbles, Austin Johnson recovers six plays thirty five yards later Herbert in on fourth and goal from the one. I guess on the Drew Brees play twenty four to seven. I guess he was over twenty four to seven. That would be the halftime score. Second half, after trading punts, the Raiders cut it to twenty four to ten on a Carlson twenty two yardfield go four to fifty one left

in the third quarter. Herbert then picked by Trayvon Marriing, but just results in another trade of punts. Then the Raiders do go sixty yards Jacobson from one on fourth and goal after McDaniels fails to challenge on the previous play when Adams appeared to score a touchdown that was ruled short Esventually two plays later, McDaniels is like, eh, let's make it more difficult. He doesn't challenge it then down eight instead of going for two. He's old school.

He kicked the extra point, so add him to the list of coaches that don't know to go for two. Twenty four to seventeen, three to fifty nine left. So you're figuring the Chargers have this big lead. Oh my god, are they gonna coast into a victory? Of course not. Chargers four won at their own thirty four, three thirty four left, Herbert stuffed on an attempted tilk his Bush Raiders ball fourth and ten at the Chargers twenty two.

All the Chargers need is one stop, of course, not O'Connell to Adams for nineteen, but first and goal at the three chance to tie the game O'Connell picked by Asante. Samuel only has O'Connell to pat and he goes down for no reason.

O'Connell twenty four to thirty nine and defeat for two thirty eight, no touchdowns one pick him sex seven times.