Beating the Book: 2022 Week 13 NFL MegaPod Betting Preview

regular season action. It's Gil Alexander. That's the voice of Jeff Parlay, visa host staple on this show in the studio right by me, Hello, Jeffrey, how you doing? Man? You good? I'm good. I think we're tied now. By the way, I uh a glacial moving comeback by me. Well, after a twenty and seven start, I believe I've gone one in eight the last three weeks. That'll that'll happen um with a one in eight performance, and then from his mom's cork attic in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, wearing a yans

or yellow sweatshirt. It is the very spelt Todd wishing of everybody. How you doing, Toddy? Hey? Hey? It's very energetic, this guy all right? And our rotating guests for the week, someone who Todd was very rude to a couple of years ago on this show, and it sparked much debate, probably unbelievable. It wasn't rude anyone and let it be stricken.

For the record, please edit that out. Gil Ice is off his rocker already, Thank you, O g. In sports betting, using predictive algorithms to uh TO to determine the results or to predict the results, I should say sporting events the great dr Bob Bob stole everybody st o l L. How you doing? Bob doing all right? Todd? You were not rude to me. I don't even know what he's talking about. Bob just has to say that, Todd. We all know that he's just being polite. Okay. Gilly has

a penchant for a small streak of mischievousness. So I don't know what you're talking about, Bob. Thanks for doing this, appreciate it's good to see you. We never get to see you, so it's good to see you. Very clear camera, well done. Yeah, a new computer, new computer, Bob comes to us from Colorado. Is Deon Sander's gonna be the coach in Colorado? I hope. So I don't know, right, what do you say, Bob? You should take the South

Florida job. Oh that's the one he should take. Yeah, it's the least pressure of the three that he's been all the talent they have and in the Florida market, which he knows. Yeah. Well, the one thing that is interesting about him is though of course he will make the announcement either to overshadow the final rankings or the portal day on Monday, they'll actually put the hats on the table, like right, he's got to have all the

attention alright. Week thirteen in the NFL UM A couple of things here before we get into our best bets dumbbell of the week. Okay, I'm going off the board. This week, Josh McDaniels pitched the perfect game of making

every wrong decision and got away with it. It's amazing. It is incredible that he did everything possibly wrong and the Raiders still won the game, and they got a premature whistle correct, and they got a lucky break on the Jacob's fumble that they called that he forward progress and b has terrible goal. But but just start us all in the second half, everything McDaniels did wrong. Fourth down and one at the seven kicks the field goal. Okay, all right, sure, why not? Why not do that? Raiders?

Then in their next possession they punt after honestly, fourth and six at the plus forty five in a game where no one's getting stops should have been a considered go for it as well. They fall start doesn't matter, so fourth and eleven, of course you're gonna punt after Seattle that great drive Regino got strip sacked, fumbled, Raiders get it back. Then he decides to go for it on fourth and one in his own end and they run. The horrible play call of Jacobs has not been stopped

on a traditional run the whole game. They were on the pitch play and he loses four yards okay to Seattle, touchdown. Then Raiders go down the field after Seattle get took the lead of Raiders go down the field, score touchdown. Now it ended up working out for him. But in a minute fifty four to go and all three of your time outs, I would have gone for two. In a game where you could not get stops, I would have gone for two and try to win the game.

Right there, got away with it all right. You get to stop amazingly enough with forty seconds to go in two timeouts in a game again no one stopped anyone. You play for overtime? What how do you play for overtime when you get the ball. Yes, I know you got it at your own nine, but they haven't stopped you all day when Carr hasn't thrown the ball to them. It was truly remarkable. And then and overtime overtime fourth

and two with the plus the already eight. I know Carlson's awesome musical usually, but that isn't absolutely go for it because if he misses the kids. Yes, yes, it's kind of like with Dallas where McCarthy goes for it, they don't get it. McCarthy gets crushed for for for going for it. That's an automatic go in a game where again you haven't gotten stops, they somehow get the stops.

Jacob rips off the eight six yard run. And even though McDaniels pitched the perfect game of getting basically every in game decision wrong, the Raiders found a way to win it. Amazing. It was incredible. It was an amazing Royal Flush had Seattle in game four different times and got torpedoes somehow had Seattle pre flop fourth and two at the Seattle thirty eight, with six twelve left and overtime, he pushes the fifty five yard or right Seattle has

a shore field. All they needed a field goal. They did get the three and out build him out. These players bailed him out. I think that's good for dumbbell of the week, right, Todd. We don't need any others, do we? All? Right, did you have an in game play you wanted to share with us? A little in game thing with you? The Eagles game against the Packers.

It was the original line was forty six and a half on the total it was thirteen to seven with six minutes left in the first quarter, so you got twenty one minutes left in the half, and the total for the first half was over thirty six and a half, which meant only another sixteen and a half more points. I took the over thirty six and a half and

obviously came in. But what I get, I guess the point that I really want to make about this bet is I found and this this this happens in a lot of sports where when a game is going wildly over, very often in the end game, it's better to bet that first if it's happening in the first half. I mean, it's better to bet the first half over and not the game over, because in the second half, you might see massive um adjustments, and very often a huge scoring

first half leads to a low scoring second half. It didn't happen in this particular Eagle game, but in general, it's something that happens a lot, like in college football and even in the pros that happens a lot. So um something to look for if you like an over that's wildly gone crazy early on, play the over in the first half on the end game rather than the full game, because you might get torpedoed by the adjustments by the defense in the second half. So anyways, it wasn't.

It was a pretty easy winner because it was pretty clear that Green Bay was going to be able to move the ball, and I knew the Eagles weren't going to get stopped three the final well over they got over in the first half, or almost over the at

the half, basically I did. I was way over, but then the second half almost went under and it would have gone underhead there not been that, you know, the late field goal nonsense, but very often that's something that you see when you have these huge scoring first halfs in games that are going way over what they're supposed to be. There's a regression back because the teams, you know, spend the whole halftime adjusting for the second half with

their defense. Update the records for us, if you will, Toddy the records we have Gilly, he's already talked about his tremendous fall off the cliff to twenty one and fifteen. He still leads, though he's still leave thought tohow, I thought, I'm tied with jeff With Jeffrey, well, that's the lead. Tied for the lead with Jeffrey twenty one and fifteen. I am two games back at nineteen and seventeen. We're

starting to write the ship with the teasers. You're both five and seven and I'm three, eight and one on the teasers. We've been having some winning weeks with the teasers lately. What about the guest chair. The guest chair is eighteen and eighteen and eight and four with the teaser. That's the mode. The eight and four with the teasers for the geesers the most amazing thing. Also, i'd have the lead that Marcus Mariota's plinkoat chip went down the

right slot. Don't don't be given me. Don't don't start with the if if this happens, you'd have to lead. I have about eight of those. You have at least six in the last two weeks on believable how many games, and that I've managed to lose from the jaws of victory. Now that said, I have one my share of bullshit also, right, I think it's the most bob. I'm curious. Let's just have this conversation before we get into best bets. It is my theory that the plinko nature of the NFL

on the side is just getting worse. And when I say this to people, um veteran handicappers, they say, well, no, Gil, I think you and I even even have this conversation on on text, They're like, no, you know, if you can find the percentage of games where Plinko doesn't come in, maybe you're just not choosing the right games. I just feel like the that it's a higher percentage than ever before of the games that in the end, if I win or lose, it ain't me in the end, it's

just how the ball bounces. I don't know if there's any date on that. I think there might be a little more randomness due to more coaches going for two and you feel like Oh, they shouldn't have gone for two and lost because of they missed that two point conversion. And there's more of that. But maybe they should have gone for two and you're wrong and you should have lost the game. I think there's a lot more of that where you're losing or winning by a point because

of two point conversion decisions. I think there's a lot more of that because I've been on a few of those this year. That's fair, that's certainly part of it. Again, I feel like you've forgotten how much plink on nous there was in the past. No, no, there there was. There was always plinko crazy. I mean, as the person who sort of first said that, you know, came up with the plinko as applied to sports betting. I'm certainly, I'm certainly aware of that. But I just feel like,

and maybe I am a prisoner of the moment. Todd, You could be right, but I just feel like it has happened in both directions, you know what. I think it's just because we've done a really good, gut job of being on games that have been close to the number. Good job meaning a terrible you know what I mean, Yes, yes, whatever, whatever, way you want to phrase it, but a but but but also to hold on hold on the second um

this lead. No, Jeff, what Todd has to say is more important than what you but but but but this this league is so damn even at this point, these teams are so close to each other in ability. Well, that's what it is. That's why these games are are coming down to and again that's why the Wong Teasers getting annihilated early in the season. We're kind of in retrospect is ridiculous because this league is so bunched together. Well, but but it was the favorite, was the favorite, the

favorite coming down. That's why we've all justin. We've taken the underdogs the last few weeks, and the underdogs have been coming through on teaser like people love teasers. This week, though, all right, you want to start with the best bets, Let's do this. We start with the guest, as always, the great doctor Bob, my friend Bob Soul. What is your first best bet, sir? Like the over of the

Jets Vikings game. Um Gil, who do you think leads the NFL in quarterback success rate the last two years? Minimum of four games played? Mike White play four games he's played five Mike White and he has the highest success rate of any quarterback in the league fifty four point two compared to Patrick Mahomes fifty three point eight. Now success rate, Well, the thing about Mike White is he plays within the system. And that's all the Jets need is someone to play within the system. Take the

check down. They have a good defense. They don't need Zack Wilson going off script and trying to throw the ball force of all down the field. That hasn't worked for them. The thing about Mike White is when he's off, he's throwing three interceptions, and that could happen, but UM, that's not necessarily bad for and over. Either interception is gonna be returned for touchdown. UM. So the Jets offense

certainly better with Mike White. I'm not anointing them as one of the better offenses in the league, but they're certainly better with Mike White instead of Zack Wilson, who has a career success right at a thirty nine percent, by the way, which is very low. UM. Jets offenses Corey Davis back this week a really good compliment to Garrett Wilson. UM. When Davis is out they've struggled offensively a little bit more. Speaking of Wilson, Um Analyjah More

both did some damage in this lot last week. I think that's gonna work again. Vikings nickel back Shannon Sulivan ranks third to last among qualifying nickel backs and yards per route run allowed in the slot, so I think that slot game is gonna work. Mike White doesn't mind throwing those short passes in the slot. UM Jets running backs uh tend to get a lot of balls out of the backfield, and probably more with White as quarterback.

Vikings are thirtieth in the league and yards per target allowed to running back, so I think it's a good match for the Jets offense. UM Vikings have been playing well offensively all year. Getting Howkinson has helped has helped a little bit because justin Jefferson now it has a little more room to work. I mean, Hockinson has taken that intermediate route in the middle and that opens things

up on the outside a little bit. And they've been going downfield a lot with Jefferson, which has been working for them. So I think both teams will be able to score here. So um I the model pis four points and I think over forty six or less is good. That what is the total we're saying and a half? Uh, Gil, that's my number one play as well. Really yeah, I was on that too, but not as my number one play, but I have Yeah, that's my number one as well.

The Jets offense with Mike White is to me at worst, well not at worst, but it's lee gaverage at this point when with Zach Wilson it was in the bottom of the league. The Vikings defense stinks, and every point that Bob made leads me to thinking this game is gonna go over. There's one other factor to clip. Blakeman's crew is officiating this game. They are a high defensive, pass in affairs, defensive holding, the legal contact crew, good knowledge. So Sauce Gardner, as great as he's been, it's a

very physical corner. DJ Read is a physical corner. The Jets are going to get called for penalties they have not been called for this year in this game, especially when trying to cover Justin Jefferson. It was just the point by Jerry Rice right now. He's been insanely good the last month. So I think this is a high scoring game that gets aided by the fact that Minnesota's offense is is good, the Jets offense is now league

average offense is opposed to a bottom tier offense. Minnesota's defense sucks, and the refs are gonna call penalties in this game. So I think this is thirty one twenty. I think this game is in the fifties. So I'm with Bob. I'm over forty four and a half? Is that one of yours? That was gonna be my third one? But maybe I'll go with a different one. You don't have to, Okay, I'll decide alright, Um, well you're up. So what you got first? I'm gonna go with the

New York Football Giants. How many points are getting? Two and a half New York Football Giants plus two and a half, just simply for the mere fact that the Washington command Indos have won every single game and covered I believe six out of seven games in a row. Am I correct about saying that? Let me just check that every six out of seven they've covered against at Chicago,

Green Bay, at Indianapolis one. All three of those games lost to Minnesota and pushed and you know, getting three and then beat Philadelphia, beat Houston and then beat Atlanta in a game that they could have easily lost um and would have been nice for me that they depends on You've got that Washington Minnesota because they they won on that line for many yeah, one during the week it depended So that makes me better. That would that would have made him seven and oh against the spread.

It's very difficult in the National Football League to go seven and oh against the spread. It's just the kind of league as we were talking about earlier, that's going to go back and forth because the lines are so tight. And now you're going to ask the Redskins, I mean, the Commanders to continue this amazing run of football. And granted, you know they have a good defense. The Taylor Heineke

is better than you know that other guy. And uh and now you're asking, you're you're saying, okay, now you're gonna go on the road and give points. Now. I know the Giants have been overrated. I know the Giants did it with smoke and mirrors. I know all about the Giants. The Giants aren't good. The Giants aren't good. Home team divisional game. I just think you're getting the two and a half points. This game has seventeen sixteen

written all over eighteen. Uh you know some ridiculous you know number like that where it gets inside the two and a half. Give me the Giants to shock the world and all the people that will be putting their money on the Commanders. And my friend Gilly Ice who thinks the Commanders are going to the Super Bowl with marcol Rippin Heineke. I don't believe I've ever said that. Yes,

it's a problem for me. My number two pick is the exact same Pickny, So so I'll just get this out of the way before you do two in a row, Gilly, I think the wrong team is favorite in this game. I know the Giants are the smoking mirrors team. I thought this should have been Giants as the slightest of favorites in this game. At home. Washington has covered all these games in a row. What are we calling interceptible balls? Are we calling them itch itches? Heineki is itching all

over the place recently. It just basically feels like it's the good vibe Carson Wentz where the turnovers just aren't happening, but interceptions that should have happened. I t s h itches. So you're scoring at home I think I think Heinek

is gonna have one of these games. It's coming. It may not come this week, but I the fact that I'm on the Giants, my hope is it comes this week where Heineke is throwing to three interceptions on balls that should have been picked the last month plause, I mean five weeks ago, this team was an underdog to freaking Sam Ellinger. I've mean, come on now, it's it's been a little bit of a charmed run for Washington.

Now Washington plays this is weird scheduling quirk. Remember I was going to bring this at the Giants by week and then they get the Giants and land over and two. So if Washington wins this game, oh boy, huge advantage. If Washington wins this game, Washington Commanders are gonna make the playoffs. If they lose this game, then that game in two weeks is of the utmost importance for both teams. But I think the wrong team's favorite here. I'm gonna

take the Giants plus two and a half. And the fact that Todd and I have agreed on two is very alarming. So far, very alarming. Um My number two pick is the Washington Commanders let me just start there. So before the Giants lost these last two games, let me just take you guys down analytics road. The Giants at that point were seven and two. They were five and one in games decided by seven points or fewer.

Their biggest win had had been by eight points. They had been outscored one thirty one to one through the first three quarters of their games. But then they would magically go plus twenty two and point differential in the fourth quarter, which is top five in the league. UM shout out to Bill Barnwell for those numbers. Also also Wink Martindale's defense was twenty six and ep a per play outside the red zone, but then magically, when they got inside the twenty they became the league's the league's

best unit. That is, ben don't break, as people like to say, but that's not sustainable. So they've allowed teams to make it to the red zone third highest rate. That was up to the up to the ninth game of the season when they're seven and two, they had allowed teams to make it to the red zone at the third highest rate of a per game basis, but then only allowed those offenses to convert thirty eight point two percent of the time, only the Broncos were better.

So basically, and will add to that, on first and second down, the Giants had been the league's fourth worst defense by e p A per play, and then on third and fourth down, of course, then they morph into the third best defense. So okay one more so, despite the fact that opposing offenses had the fifth fewest yards to go to pick up on third downs, they were the third best defense at avoiding conversions timely turnovers as well. So the Smoke and Mirrors team, Ladies and Gentlemen is

not the Washington Commodorees. It is the New York Football Giants. We agree that they're the smoking Mirrors. We never said both. Really, what I heard more from you as the smoke and Mirrors of Washington, not so much New York Giants. So we can rewind the tape. We could rewind the tape the Giants. I believe it's I believe it's my turn number one. Now I believe it's I believe I heard what I heard. Anyway, Tod is shaking his head. He's in dismay, as if he didn't just knock Washington for

thirty minutes. I believe it was. I didn't. I just said they covered seven games in a row and the NFL just doesn't happen. But you talked about how they were smoking mirrors and not the deep dive of how smoke and mirrors The New York Football Giants are I'm gonna take as long as Washington is under three points, which they are taking the Washington football team because here's the other thing. I think they're better almost everywhere in every phase of the game. Then the Giants are there.

My number two play, my number one play number yes it is my number one play is going to sex to start it off on the Giants landed summon off. That's how it's tech sound the old people nineteen reporter, Yeah, what was that? Why the Hivenburgh is coming? Um? Okay, Seattle is seven against the Rams. Seven. Yeah, I'm I'm taking the Seahawks. I don't like laying seven points. I don't like laying seven points on the road. But the

Rams have nobody. They ain't got no Matthew Stafford, ain't got no errold Aaron Donald, they ain't got no Cooper Cup. Seattle is Jeffrey laid out very nicely. Should have won that game. Against the Raiders this past week. I actually think if you do your power rankings in the NFL, you might actually have the Seattle Seahawks still at ten. They could still be a top ten team by some people's rankings. I'm taking them, see Hawks. I don't really

feel any need to elaborate. I loved Bryce Perkins in college. Bet on him a lot um. But he's more of a guy that will beat you with the legs that he will with the arm um. So they have to be aware of that. Yeah, beat himself there. I like. See, I'll give the seven points if I get beat, so be it. That's my I got a supporting trend for you, Gil,

Thank you? Do you want to please go? Uh? Pete Carroll off consecutive losses, and this is even when his teams were terrible like last year, off consecutive losses, his teams are nineteen and four straight up, nineteen three and one against the spreads. Has been the coach Seahawks, whoa even last year when they were terrible, they lose two

up and they've covered or win. See. I didn't even know that there's a little team trend for you, not that you that I'm basing anything on it, but it's it's worth noting it is that the Seahawks, especially after a bad defensive performance under Pete Carroll, are more than likely to turn things around after two consecutive losses. He is a great motivator, he is. That is a motivational spot.

Thank you. That's awesome. I like that that. I don't hurt Pete Carroll to one now to win Coach of the Year dropping though after the last couple of weeks. My only concern with Seattle at this point is have they peaked already when you have a team and this is this game, by the way, that you just don't think so this game that you just picked us into running for the game. I don't want anything to do

with this week. But I'm just curious because they had such low expectations going into the year, which were wrong. We were wrong on that, no doubt. But I wonder if the magic carpet ride for Geno Smith at some point crashes into the crash so could Seattle still make the playoffs? Of course, that there are a whole bunch of teams that are very similar and that race for

the six and seven seed in the NFC. Right now, I think you guys have maybe appropriately so, but I think you guys have muscle memory on Genos and that's bard and possible. And I think every time Geno Smith does anything bad in the game, Todd will text, oh, here it comes Geno Smith. And by the way, he does it in that awful voice if you put a text in voice mode. And then, and what I think is, we forget. And I've said this a couple of times before, and I really believe this, we forget. There was a

time in the NFL where guys held a clipboard. And I'll use it again from the Washington perspective, whether it was Mark Rippin, whether it was Stan Humphreys, whether it was Trent Green, they held clipboards for years. And you know what, after they held it for years, they were pretty awesome at quarterback. And so I think in this case, in Gino Smith's case, we listen. Would I have predicted it? No, let me not go that far. I'm not that great.

But like, I don't know that we should be that surprised because their defense, their defenses, that's the other concern to that defense started. They're playing Bryce Perkins though, So let's go Yeah, it was again this is my mind was more a long term thing, like there's seven point favorite. They should win the damn football game on Sunday, and if they don't, then the question I just asked is going to be asked pretty much by everybody they lose

the football game, Yes, for sure, Jeff. The only thing gil is that this this this stinks of a Pete Carroll over conservative offensively game. That is true. Yes, we do not want to make any mistakes here. We will win this game if we don't turn the ball over. I do think they're going to try to run the ball a lot more. It would be good, it could be bad. I mean that has that has served Pete Carroll well up until the last couple of weeks. But yes, there is always it's tod s turn. I already burned

my first two. God, wait a second, McLaurin and the Hey fambos, the Giants already Hey, I'm sorry. Anyways, my second we're on the spectrum do you think you are? I'm just curious far over to the third sta just curious. Yeah, okay, So my second pick is gonna be the Detroit Lions. I'm gonna go with the Detroit Lions. How many points. Am I getting a point in that game? To me? Or you? You are getting? You are getting one, although you know it's funny there's some books that have them

favored by one. But yes, you're getting I don't know how what are what are on my screen in front of me. I'm I'm seeing Detroit plaus one. Okay, I'll take pick or we'll give you one Detroit Lions plus. I just think that, um, something's going on over there the last. First of all, that Buffalo game was eminently winnable by Detroit and not with it seems like not with smoke and mirrors, Like they're really not bad. They can move the ball, their defense, I'm not saying their

defense is anything great. It's not. But they that Giants game, they were on sixth three, they got to turn over and then they just dominated that late first half early second half thing where they scored and they scored again and put that game away. That's something a good team does. And that was on the road at the Giants. The

Bears game. Granted, they got really lucky in the Bears game, I will give them that, and then they beat Green Bay the week before that, but they hung in against Miami the week before that at home, they were ahead of Miami in a ridiculous first half. I think the score was like twenty four. Yeah, I mean they were beating Now. Granted before that they had some stinkers, but in the last five games in a row, they seem to have really figured something out here. Jacksonville. I think

there maybe average, slightly above average. I don't know what they are. I granted they beat Baltimore, but what's Baltimore anymore? You know the Raiders game. Okay, they beat the Raiders in the game the Raiders gave them. I don't have a lot of faith in Jacksonville going on the road and playing amazing. So give me the Detroit Lions. I think. So there's like there's like green shoots of of something

good happening in Detroit. Green shoots what, you know, like like green shoots when just starting to sprout, you know, something new is starting to You never heard the term green green shoots. Dr bobb Is, I'm sure has heard that. You did not grow up on a farm. Neither did I, So I have no idea what he's talking about. Anyways, green shoots means like, you know, just like something starting to sprout over there. God grew up on a farm.

The thing about the Lions, I will say this, and this is gonna be just like completely anecdotal, but they do feel like they are the team that leads the league in the most have no reason not to win this game and then finish with a with a with a final drive where you're left thinking that was what they came up was to try to win again this week, Campbell was it was an honorable mention for the Dumbbell

this week. But the way you managed the clock at the end of that Buffalo game, they ran an extra play in front of the two mid a warning that in essence cost them the game. So you know, the trimp but that was Buffalo. That was against Buffalo. I underlook. Look, Detroit has been much better the last five weeks than they were at the beginning of this season. So but again, when you're when you're a when you have a coach that is not particularly good, you find ways to lose games.

Gas Bell has found ways to lose games. They sure they sure have. They sure have. Yeah, for sure. Remember maybe they were a green sprout last week though. Yeah, here's my notes on that Detroit game. Fourth and fourth and inches at the Buffalo forty seconds left, same Brown for seven second and fifteen at the Buffalo forty seven fifteen yard past the same brown. Lions have all three timeouts waste ten seconds, but apparently was a time out.

Lion settled for fifty one yard field goal that hooks in with twenty three seconds left and the Bills went down. So that was the thing about that. It was so funny because you and Kelly were on air, because I was talking to Kelly and he was like, we couldn't figure out what was going on. I had the benefit of audio and couldn't figure out what was going on, which was did Dan Campbell just decide not to use the time out and then because there was a replay

retroactively got one or did he actually call it? We don't. We don't know, We don't, Yeah, we don't know, alright, Bob, I never thought they were gonna beat Buffalo. I just thought they were going to hang in and they didn't. They did. Bob, you've got a snake. Here, you get two and three here, look at that. Um. We were talking a little bit of the Seattle Rams game. I like the under. I took under with the Rams last week.

I'm going under again. Um, A couple of reasons. Obviously, the Rams offense right now, can you think of a worse offense recently? Maybe two thousand eighteen Arizona Cardinals with Josh Rosen at the end of the year. They don't be anti semitic. Don't do that, Bob not on this showy Um. You know they're averaging only sixteen point two points per game for the season, and now they don't have Cooper Cup and they're at a third string quarterback. Alan Robinson was the only other running back who was

above zero and expected points added. He's out. So it's Bryce Perkins averaging two point eight yards per past play and three replacement level receivers to throw too. Um. And not only are the skill positions horrible, but the Rams are last in the league and past blocking efficiency. So this offense, uh no, buy the only thing that points toward that helps the over and all. As Aaron Donald was out, but I already mentioned that I think this

is a peak Carroll conservative special. I think they're gonna just let's not make any mistakes, Let's run the ball, let's not you know, throw the ball down the field too much and cause interceptions. Let's just hang on the ball. And I know the Rams run defense is not going to be as good without Donald, but it's still gonna be decent. I mean, they're good run deep fens. They'm

not gonna fall apart completely without Donald. And Seattle ranks with thirty thirty one in success rate offensively running the ball. They have a lot They had a lot of big plays early in the season in the running game, but success rate is more predictive than you know, the big plays. Uh. And they have not been able to run the ball recently because people kind of like, oh, let's just avoid giving up the big run play, and their success right

running the ball for Seattle is not very good. I think they're gonna still try to run the ball a lot, and that I don't think it's gonna work um as far. You know, the Rams have some you know, some matchup some good matchups in the secondary. Uh. Jalen Ramsey is still a top cornerback. He'll probably shadow metcalf Um. Tyler Lockett obviously had a good season, but Troy Hill is

a good Nipple back. But I think there's some things going on that that matchup wise you're gonna help the Rams defense even without Donald, and I think part of it is Pete Carroll playing conservatively. I don't think the Rams, even though Seattle's defense is terrible, I don't think the Rams can score more than fourteen points against anybody. So I like the under there. Let's number. What number are

we given Bob their time? Yeah, released it earlier in the week at forty two, but I'll go under forty one. And let's just the only way you los is if Bryce Perkins there's three picks in his own end, which theoretically could happen, but that that's that's on. Well, the thing is about running quarterbacks. They don't throw a lot of picks as they tend to take off and run

right right. He didn't last week until the end of the to the end of the game where he had Yeah, let's just for people who are new wish to sports betting, newish because we always have to keep that in mind. Well, Bob is talking about Bobby will back me up here if I say anything wrong. Success rate versus sort of explosive explosive backs with someone who you always prefer in

terms of predictive uh from the predictive angle. You prefer someone who's getting four or five yards a chunk consistently as opposed to someone who's getting one yard two yard. One yard will just make it a bizarrow example, zero yards minus one seventy four zero one zero one, because that that sort of pollutes the predictive nature of anything. Is that correct generally? Oh, Jeff, oh, he said yes, I guess he said, yes, Okay, you're up. No, it's Bob again. Oh Bob, you gotta see your snaking Bob

your next? All right? Um, I don't really have a great I like the Raiders. I use them earlier in the week in a teaser um and that teaser no longer apply. So I still like the Raiders. The Raiders here it's one of those situations where the Raiders on expected points added per play our point zero four three higher than the Chargers this year, but they're underdogs at home,

and the only reason is because their record sucks. When you compare the records of the two teams, Charges have a better record, I think that the only reason that the Chargers would be favored is because the win loss records was so different. But on the field, the Raiders

have actually played better than the Charges this year. And if Corey Lenz Lindsley is out Pro Bowl center for for the Chargers and he isn't concussion protocol only of players or that in the first week of the protocol actually play, so it's likely that he's out, that makes a big difference. Herbert has been pressured pressured at two point five seconds or less pressure of the time this year, which is a league high. When Lindsley is not in the game, that goes up to thirty eight percent pressure

with him the first two and a half seconds. That's not good. Um, you got Max Crosby going up against the right tackle Pipkins, who's terrible. UM, So I think Crosby is gonna be in the backfield the whole time. They'll get pressure up the middle of Lindsley doesn't play. UM and without Mike Williams, Michaelis might try to play at the high ankle sprain, Probably not if he does play, probably not that effective. I mean last week Herbert had a career low three point eight air yards per attempt.

And I think they're have to get rid of the ball really quickly again. So I don't think they're gonna have the explosive plays down the field. I just don't think it's a a good massive for the Charges offensively with the injuries that they have. Um and you're talking with Josh Jacobs running for two hundred plus yards last week, why not do that again? I mean, the Charges are last in the league and yards per run allowed at five point four, so Jacobs should have another good game.

Derek Carr is getting more adjusted to his new receiver group after the injuries to you know, some top receivers. He's starting to play better with the new guys. I think he's averaged seven point nine yards per past play the last two weeks, so he's starting to come around with the new set of receivers that he's gotten. I think the Raiders are at least as good as the Charges should be favored by a couple of points, so I'll take the one and a half. There, it is

one and a half for one. What is he getting, Todd, I'm seeing I'm seeing one and pick and we'll getting down. Oh yeah, it's mostly it's most actually it's mostly Picked plus one us And that's uh, what what? What? But one thing I will will will say real quick, the a f C playoff race. As ridiculous as this is going to sound, the Raiders are going to have a say in it. This game here. They played New England

in a few weeks. Um. Obviously they had to say in the NFC playoff race last week that a f C chase for that seventh seed because I think Cincinnati, even with that absurdist schedule, is going to find a way in that race for the seventh seed between New England and the Jets, and and l A is going to be fascinating to watch the last five weeks NFC two by the way, Yeah, both both for sure. Todd, You're fine. What do you have left? You have got one leg? One left? I was gonna go with that

that over forty four the Jets. That that was what I originally wanted. But I'm gonna do something different because Bob and uh Jeff are both on that already. Um, I'm gonna go with h very still a lot of confidence. This. That's a great point, boy, this is great. I'm gonna go over in the Dolphins. You need to borrow coin, Todd. Dolphins and Dolphins. Yeah, that I don't like as much, but um, I'm gonna go over forty six and a half in the Miami Niners game. Um, you know, Miami

has been the consummate over team all year. Great offense, defense not so great. Obviously, this could go under if the Niners shut down the Dolphins. But does anybody really shut down the Dolphins. I know that my stores. My stores had a big game on him. Believe it was a Sunday night don er where we held them to sixteen points. We couldn't get the W, but we did hold them to sixteen points in that. But um, you know, I just don't see a lot of people stopping Miami

on offense. They're just so you know, awesome on offense. Um, you know, other than Minnesota, I did did stop them. What was that game? With two? I think was too in in the Miami game. I don't think he was. That was the first game to his first game back after the concussion was the Pittsburgh game. Okay, right, so too was out for that game. So with two. Uh,

Miami's offense has been you know, pretty outstanding all year. Obviously, we know all about the receivers, and I think that the strength of the of the Niners defenses up front rather than their secondary. So maybe Miami can move the ball on the Niners. And I don't love the Miami defense at all, so I think the Niners will move on them too. So over forty six and a half. Usually don't get such a low number on a on a Miami game, but it's you know, it's due to

the Niner defense. Obviously, Um, Kansas City did score forty four points against the Niners. UM. So there have been some times Atlanta scored twenty eight against the Niners. There have been some times where the vaunted Niners defense did not show up. So let's hope that happens this week. And I'm gonna go over forty six and a half in the Miami Niners game. Good games in the NFL this week, yes, and we are watching the game I'm

gonna take in Sunday night. Uh, because the NFL didn't want to didn't want to change on Jerry Jones for whatever reason, brutal, So I'm going I'm going with a wishnev here, I'm going under in the Cowboys and the Colts at forty four and a half at that, So, I look, that's I'm sorry to steal what you've done.

Probably I think seven times already with the Dallas under but Jiff Saturday was also in the running for the dumbbell with whatever the hell that wasn't didn't use is the first time out until thirty seconds, which, by the way, it should clarify, the timeouts would have gotten used still in that time frame. It's just the fact that you rushed your third down play for no reason, not using

it correctly. As soon as Matt Ryan slid. It should have been an immediate time should have been in a meat Ryan who slid too early, and then after the game was like, you know, I didn't know, you know, he should have known where it was. Lucky he's not a he's not an experienced struner. Gilly something is you've got a thirty something very close to you know, old quarterback who just ran when he's something yard, you take

a breather. Ya, Yeah, definitely it was. But he was tired from the week before where he ran for forty yards against the Raiders two weeks ago. I think two weeks he was tired even more. My point then two weeks two weeks ago alright, so under forty four and a half in Dallas. In Indianapolis on Sunday night in Indianapolis. Defense isn't completely terrible. They they have their moments. They've

been good at times this year. This feels like one of those where Dallas gets out to like a seventeen nothing lead and then they just try to take the air out of the football the entire second half, and Matt Ryan will get sacked by Micah Parsons probably three times. At least one of them will knock Indianapolis out of field goal range in the MANNII Special. So I'll go under forty four and a half in indian Dallas total. By the way, team to rule for under in the cults.

If you can get under seventeen and a half, Actually, that's that's delicious because you know Mattie Guys is going to take some sacks. First, all female officiating crew for the Germany Costa Rica that's coming up. By the way, I saw the Lucaco misses. My god, Lucaco had had two expected goals that scored zero. I had under two. So I was very very lucky. Toddy, all right, we had I had Belgium not to advance at like plus four or something, and I wish I had bet more

money on it. Hold on it. Okay, I'm gonna give you my third pick, and I'm gonna let the hate wash over me before I do. Let me just ask Bob a question, because Aaron shots are buddy over at Football Outsiders. He has the Minnesota Vikings the nine and two Minnesota Vikings rated twenty second in d v O A. Where do you? Where do you have them? I'm gonna have to look this up. Hold on a second. You get another view of Bob's home as he shifts the camera looks it up. Bob used of looking. Yeah, I'm

still looking. Okay, Well, well, Bob looks. I'm gonna tell you in my Ghoulosh model that Gilly I have him down much further. Maybe not twenty two, but I have them down much further than you would be. They're not good on defense, and Kirk Cousins is still the quarterback. Enough said they're not good on defense. They're really bad on defense. I don't know if I've mentioned the defense. Okay, I actually I had the middle of the path, middle

of the pack. Yeah. Here, I agree with Bob based off of what you said on Guessing Lines on Monday, I'm not surprised by what you're doing. Yeah, this is all guessing lines for me when when we guess the lines on Monday, not only me, but Kelly was also Kelly biler Was was incredulous at this line. Uh, I thought Minnesota would be would be much more of a favorite in this game. There are three point favorite. As

long as it's three, they're absolutely a pick for me. Um. Chris Simms had a very interesting point about Mike White the other night, which I which I think he's the only like he's the se Us to me to be the lone voice saying this, which is all right, I got your Mike White. He was awesome through the rain, nothing bad to say. However, they really, in one respect did Zach Wilson a disservice because they threw Mike White in against the Bears after trading their biggest players on defense.

And so Mike White was allowed to play this defense, which would make him look good. Zach Wilson was not allowed to play against this defense, which would have made him look good. And so here we are, and now what he was saying about the Jets in general, he goes, now, you can never go back to Zach Wilson, which was his bigger point. Um, I listen. Obviously we've liked Mike White. He did throw five touchdowns at eight picks last year. I get it was Oh he threw four of them

in one game, so that's a little skewed. But uh, only three points on the vikings here. I'm not ready to anoint the Jets quite yet, and I like your point about Sauce. Sauce Gardner for a rookie, has gotten a lot of leeway playing cornerback. I expect at least one or two flags going his way this week. Again, the main reason that I was fully planning to go head to head on you on multiple games this week, and I backed out and went with that over instead

after seeing the officiating. That concerns me because the Jets are significantly more physical than Minnesota at the tots point because Minnesota's defense is bad that they're not they can't cover anyone. But I am that's my only concern as a Jet fan in this game, that Minnesota is going to get a bunch of points in this game on penalties that will get called by this officiating crew that

will not get called by most officiating crews. Yeah, that is the main reason I did not actually come in here and go head to head with you on the Jets with this sauce Gardner. Meet justin Jefferson, and I listened the Vikings. I don't think the world beaters either either. I don't think they're winning a super Bowl, but they're They're essentially the same team they've been. It's just the Plinko chip has gone their way this year, and so I I I'm given the three without compunction here on

the Vikings. Here comes to first push of the year for anyone. Oh yeah, we haven't had push yet. Somehow our picks have not had a push. That's amazing that it's incredible. Wow, it's a good point. Okay, by the way, Gail, to clarify, I just looked it up. I was having computer difficulties in the ask. Id the Viking whoa one one point one point, but but one point six points worse than an average team that's injury adjusted, twenty one

point six points worse than an average team. What are your top five, Bob, if I might ask, Well, now I have to go back. I silly me thought they were listed, you know, a numerical order that they wouldn't be that hard to find a numerical order. Uh. Surprisingly, the model still likes Baltimore as a top five team. So now we're going alphabetical. We're a alphabetical order. I'll give them to an alphabetical order. Baltimore, Buffalo, Dallas, Kansas City,

and Philly an alphabetical order, are my top five. Okay, so Baltimore's fifth is what you're saying. They're in the top five. I think they're just find ways to do stupid stuff. Okay. Interesting. I think what the modelers are noticing is the fact that Vikings are bad on defense, but I think the offense is actually pretty good, and that's why I would put I would put them slightly more in the you know, mid to late teens than thee But let me ask the follow up questions. So, so,

Kelly at a numbers game, like everybody does. We do our power rankings this year and this I'm not being prisoner of the moment, and this is factual. This year we have had the least movement from week to week. We just do the top ten, the least movement in the top ten from week to week in any year ever period. Because so many of these teams are actual

Drek they're not good. The middle of the league is soft, so the Baltimores of the world, like, who hasn't had some combination of Kansas City, Philly and Buffalo as there one to three? Who hasn't had the Cowboys. I'm trying to think of the Nine, the Ravens, and the you know as the next group, and then who hasn't had like the Bengals, Dolphins or whatever like. Then it gets to start getting a little murky. But essentially every other year that stuff would change all the time. Not this year.

I think there's twelve teams that you can consider for your top tad and then it really falls off after twelve. I would consider Minnesota one of those quite frankly, but I guess I'm in the minority. Look Minnesota to again. Their offense right now is very different because Justin Jefferson is playing at a level that is insane how well he has played the last month. Again, I really again, I was fully ready to come in here have the

Jets is one of my top three picks today. But again, the the officiating in that game, he's going to play a role. Sorry about that Washington Atlanta ending, and that was so bad soa right is that Heineke down on the field. It is oh my, heine keys out. They're gonna have to go to the backup. Who even is the backup now of Carson Wentz is still there is and it's like a shrill in the ear. Okay, let's do the teaser of the week, Bob. We start with

you two favorite two team six point teaser of the week. Yeah. I actually released one this week, but no longer qualifies.

I took the Raiders plus whatever it was eight and a half in the Jags plus seven and a half or eight early in the week, and that is no longer available, So I had to uh scramble here, and I'm decided I'm gonna go with New Orleans plus I mean, excuse me, New Orleans plus nine and a half with the Giants plus eight and a half. And the Giants have only lost by eight points or more twice and Washington's only one by more than seven once. Um, that

seems reasonable. And New Orleans just they just they have the same defensive scheme that they've had in recent years with the new coaches down, so that hasn't changed, and that defensive scheme has given Brady some trouble recently. Um, losing work is huge. He was probably maybe the best offensive tackle in the league, and now he's down. Uh, they're they're down four starters now, the Tampa Bay offensive line. Um, it's pretty easy to scheme against a team down four starters.

And Brady doesn't like pressure up the middle, and they haven't been playing well anyway. So I just think it's gonna be a fairly close game. I do think the Bucks defense will step up in New Orleans. Is not gonna light the light the scoreboard on fire. But I think staying with the nine and a half is fine. And like I said, to take the Giants plus eight and a half is the other part where you're gonna hate me for this. But where do you have a

Tampa Bob oh Gil Now I have to go. But I didn't realize this was so difficult for you to find. I have to pull it up with my experience. On a second. Surprisingly, No, they're not that much better than average. I still have about two points better than average, which is puts him in the in that that's reason fourteen range. That's in that you know, yeah, because I think they're deeps better than it's been. There was another dumb Bell of the Week pot potential with Todd Bowls, with the

way he utilized the clock. I don't even remember the details. Do let Brady go down at the end. And also that was strange right there, they were like, we'll play for the half. Oh, we just completed a past. It's very very strange, very strange, shocking. The Todd Bowls, who again was not a good head coach with the New York Jets, is still not a good head coach with Tampa Bay. Buccanty, He'll always study, He'll always be a Super Bowl champion in the Burgundy and Gold. Alright, Uh, Todd,

you're you're a teaser. I'm gonna go with the Ravens minus two and a half. I don't really want to explain why, but I believe they're playing a guy named Hackett. So I'm gonna take the Ravens minus two and a half at home and the Bengals plus eight also at home against the Chiefs. I think the Bengals are getting their house in order and going for a playoff push now. And uh, you know, while they may not win the game, I think they can they can definitely keep it close

against the Chiefs plus eight. Oh, I guess by the fault, I gotta put the Giants eight and a half in there since that's one of my picks. And then, uh boy, the second leg is tough this week because a lot of these favorites that are in that range. To tease down, here's something that that that is what could possibly could possibly go wrong with the Shawn Watson's return to Houston. What could possibly go I'm not doing that, you know. Again, I think I'm gonna I'm gonna upset some of the

math people here. I'm gonna take Atlanta only the seven here against Pittsburgh. How the Steelers aren't beating anyone by a touchdown, so I'll take Atlanta up to seven in the second leg. Atlanta was a huge consideration for me. In the end, I decided to do something that I know I'll regret and go Seattle and Baltimore. Oh, teasing two favorites now, But that's the total what could possibly go wrong? That is totally the what could possibly go wrong? Teaser?

Like I just again hack it, as Todd said. And then I have the Seahawks, you know, laying the point, so I'm it as well. Tease him down to essentially have to beat them, and that that that that Baltimore one. Even though they there's nothing that Denver has shown that they should be able to play that game closer than the field goal have raven team, Like I said last week, they scared the crap out of it? Do they really? Do they? In the in the negative way? Yes? No,

I'm with you. But the thing about Hackett, and again this is a parably. I didn't I didn't mean for this to be the prisoner of the Moment themed show today, but do you? I mean, who has been worse than Hackett through through ten eleven? So we're this is the I'm quantifying all this by the non urban Meyer division. Uran urban Meyer is his own category because of the offer of the field stuff stuff. Tom Seula is up there, he's up there. In recent memory, I mean Denver has had.

I mean, look at the collection of coaches Denver has had since Kobe advertised. Fan was better. I mean, Fangio was better, but he was still bad. Fans Joseph was not good. I mean it's crazy to Denver again, they have gotten since Peyton Manning retired, haven't been able to find a quarterback. They are coaching that Kobi at who

I thought was always an average coach. Is Bill Parcels compared to the last three guys that we've had at least four Hackett incidents with the with again with again in the Hall of Famer being your home crowd counted down your play clock for you. It's Ron Lynn esque Ron Lynn? Oh wow? How about Mike Tyson. Mike Tyson I always made the playoffs? Ron Lynn was the worst in game code, so many mistakes. Let's let's throw let's throw a fade at the goal line every single time

and see if that works this time. I mean, they could not score in the red zone. They made so many mistakes in decision making. When he was the head coach of the Charges were one of the most talented teams in the league and just couldn't win. I know Lynn made the playoffs, Anthony Lynn in the discussion, but

we're talking about Anthony Lynn, right, Anthony Lynn. Yeah, I mean Anthony Lynn is still probably I mean what hack It has done with a roster that again, remember before the season, the Denver Broncos by the betting markets, were a consensus playoff team which would ended up being obviously very wrong, but they have gone from potential playoff team in twelve weeks too. Oh my god, this is an unbelievable all time train wreck for that franchise. Anthony. I

will say this about Anthony Lynn. Anthony Lynn was also torpedoed by the fact that, like Philip Rivers, would do some dumb ship at bad times and games. Also, the biggest Anthony Lynn thing is the is the punctured lung. We would never have gotten Justin Herbert on the field if a team doctor had not punctured to Rod Taylor's long not that soon at least, and not soon. And but if you watched Hard Knocks, Anthony Lenn had no intention ever of playing Justin Herbert, not a year one.

So like the fact that you can see this guy in practice every single day and never consider playing him, like that's all we're going with the other guy. Even at one time with that Hard Knocks, He's like, oh, the kid has a pretty good throws a pretty good ball. I'm like, oh my god, no kidding. So that was kind of bad. Where do we go to here? Did I get my teaser? Yes? I did? Um okay, oh yes,

we get to the final two questions. By the way, we have any Thursday night football thoughts tonight, Bill's Patriots real quick. We usually do that. At the time we skipped that. All I'll say is, before Dion Dawkins was

ruled out, I was very much ready to consider Buffalo tonight because just has to feel it gets Yeah, if it gets the three, I'm probably gonna end up with it. This has the feel of what remember last year? The first game was that wind ridiculousness where New England had Mac throw three passes in New going out tough them. The second time they played in Foxboro was I think it was Week seventeen where we all thought you and

I both thought New England's gonna win the game. They're gonna win the af c's Buffalo is gonna have to go through the wild card, and Buffalo went there and beat the living but Jesus out of him. It would not shock me if that happens again tonight. I think New England's defense just got fat and happy because they played Zack Wilson, Sam Alaner, Zack Wilson, New England just taking money, Bob, What do you make of this game tonight?

And make it three? Make it three. Um, you know, and by the way, I don't like to go against Belichick after a bad defensive game. It's true, and there there's some stats to back it up, um under blotchick. When the Patriots have given up more than twenty eight points, they are thirty five and ten against and spread the

next week. And look it up with the post Tom Brady era eight no no c Yeah, even in looking up this year, even actually any time to get twenty seven or more in the last two years, I think they're nine and o against the number the next week in the post Tom Brady era. So the one thing that has continued for the pages and when they have a bad defensive game, they tend to cover the next week. So I wouldn't necessarily be betting on New England here,

but I'm I'm not gonna bet Buffalo, all right. Feels In gave me to me, probably probably Matthew jude On against the backup left tackle Skit would would scare me if I had Buffalo. By the way, if Buffalo, I said this on the Numbers game this morning. I have two bets that I made because of the Chris Mortenson report about Josh Allen's u c L a couple of weeks ago. So I have I have Jets and Dolphins a FC East futures, which if they get home, is complete luck for me because I thought he'd be out

Josh Allen. Turns out he's played and has not been as good. So maybe not completely lucky, but I have like the Jets at twenty one, the Dolphins at five to one. If the Bills lose this tonight, they'll be oh and three in the division. That is completely bunched up. That will have lost all three divisional road game. That's correct. So the Jets and Dolphins coming up the next two weeks, you're behind an a ball if they lose tonight, that's

that's big. This ball game tonight. Alright. Final two questions, as they have been for every single episode of the Megapod since its inception. First, which of the big favorites is the most likely to lose? Outright? Your candidates, Cleveland

Browns and DeShawn Watson the return of the Shawn Watson seven point favorites on the road against the Houston Texas. We're talking about out right here. Baltimore Ravens eight and a half point favorites at home against the Denver Broncos, the UH Seattle Seahawks, seven point favorites on the road against the Los Angeles Rams, and the Cowboys Sunday night ten and a half point favorites against the Colts. Which of those four, Bob, do you believe is the most

likely to lose? Our right, none of them. But if I had to choose one, I'd say Cleveland because you just don't know what you're gonna get with Shaun Watson. I would think it's a big Nick Chubb game. That's what I would imagine. Yeah, but it is. It is Hughes, so I certainly don't see losing, So I guess I guess Cleveland would be the one. It is the Houston Texans, as handicapper. Some handicappers like to say it is the Houston Texans super Bowl going up against the Shawn Watson.

So there is that little element, Todd, It's the same one I have. Who knows what you're going to get from this team with Now, I don't know what the massage capabilities are in that stadium, but I don't know. I think who knows what you're gonna get? It's first started seven hundred days serving eleven games suspension for alleged sexual right there on the screen there, what'd you say? I said, he knows where the massage room is in Houston, that's right, not from the road team locker room. He

knows you're the home team locker room. Jeffrey Baltimore Ravens to the Hack had led Broncos because that defense is good. There's again what Bob said is right. I don't think any of these big favorites lose. But there's just there. As I said last week, and it proved out perfectly because the way the Ravens blew that game to Jacksonville, it's kind of what they've been the whole year. There's something wrong with the Ravens. I just can't I just can't put my finger on one. I think it's Baltimore

as bad as here's the thing. You have to deduct two points for Hackett. I mean, look, Baltimore co winness gave one to six very easily. But since I asked the question, I think the answer is Baltimore, all right, And then we live in a bizarro world and you must better side Bob on every single one of these games.

But you are allowed one free pass. What is the game? You want? No part of Baltimore, Denver. There you go, Baltimore. I was good, Baltimore. Bobby look good without the classes. By the way, Bob Bob stole everybody without the glasses. Thank you. You're very welcome, Todd. We'll give me one part of I don't want the Eagles Titans game. I I don't want because I feel like they're starting to have some little cracks in the armor. And also, you know Rabel can pull something out of his tough us.

But on the other hand, did the Titans have enough talent to stay in this game? So I'm gonna stick away from that because the Sirianni annoy you as much as he annoys me. By the way, I think I'm on an island with us. Yeah, there are some people on Twitter that are with you. I love the guy, but I I can see why he rubs people. They're all like great games though this weekend, Todd, just mentioning

Titans and the Eagles. Actually tonight between the Bills and the Patriots is Awesomehin Washington, the Giants and then the Jets and the Vikings, And of course what you just said really might be the best of the bunch, right, Dolphins Niner. That's the Cincinnati Cincinnati Kansas City is awesome too on paper, and this is gonna be awesome, which means the best game of the week is gonna be Uh, it's gonna be Jacksonville Detroit. UM. By answer to your

question is Green Bay and Chicago? I have they both suck? We have no idea who's playing quarterback for either team? No, thank you? I got one Monday night football? Okay, Tampa Bay New Orleans. I want like that game. I would want no part of. By the way, why isn't Jamis playing? Are we just done with He's never playing again? Forget that? Forget that question? Why is Andy Dalton still playing? I don't care if you play Jamis or Taysom Hill some

more question play somewhat other than that. I just, by the way, I fast forward to Monday night. I can't imagine being interested in this football game, like I just can't imagine a matchup that I will be less interested in. I'll probably in game it, but I won't know part of it. Pre flop. We've done all we can do. Mega Pod Week thirteen, National Football League, Uh, Jeff Parlay and Todd before we leave, Before we leave, Heaven's sakes, a thirty two yard field goal set up here for

the Giants. It's gone, upset Todd. When you were a child, did your mom like, was there their episodes like this where your mom was just like, we've got to make him an Orthodox Jew immediately? Is that? Was that how that happened? Or did you just wear you're born into it? Yeah? Oh my god, I can't wait now. Uh. And of course our guests kind enough to join us on the megapod every year. And Bob a masked by Kelly to say, will you be on a numbers game at your standard

slot tomorrow, Mountain, Yes, Yes I will. We celebrating a five and two on the season win totals that I gave out on your show before the season started. College football season win totals. Last year, you were like a million in zero. Weren't you like last year zero? Yeah? This year I ended up eight and three, nearly got the nine and two with East Carolina. I needed East Carolina to lose, and Temple needed one yard and two downs pretty much ice that game and didn't do it.

So basically the East I got the ball back and scored to win and off went nine into but eight and three. Would you say that college football season win totals? Now officially, if you had to say one thing you do better than anything, is that your bread and butter? Now, well, I'm fifty five and twenty three on those gilts, So yeah,

there's your answer. Jeez, good god. But that's the beauty of season long, right, you can overcome negative variants, although in college football it's harder to overcome negative variants than any sport, right because there's only Yeah, I just spent a lot of time working on my team ratings in the all season, so that you do, I've seen it with my own eyes. He does indeed hardest working man in sports handicapping Dr Bob at d r Bob Sports on Twitter, Dr bob sports dot com for all that

he does. And by the way, Carl Sack greatest NBA handicapper out there as well. In the Dr Bob fold give Carl and I started to his season too. He's had a couple of unlucky outcomes here, the last couple of ones, like he's still thirteen and three years. The Spurs let all game last night, then they end up losing they had to push. Yeah. That pushed the other night with Atlanta, that's the ball, yes, and then and then they had to foul the end. They made both

free throws, the push. Philly made both free throws the push. I was like, it looked like a winner the whole way. He's awesome three and one if I'm correct, even with those, yeah, he's incredible, even with the yeah, a couple of rough ones lately. Thank you, Bob, appreciate it, Thank you Todd, Thank you Jeffrey. Good luck with all your bets this weekend and the week thirteen in the National Football League