Beating The Book: 2021 NFL MegaPod Week 1 Preview

you'd like to reveal? I can't reveal it because you know they're so excited here on this new fall lineup, but we can't announce anything till Monday. Okay, it's called Bland Radio for an hour. Todd Wishnev's first shot across the Battle and the season is underway. Nay Star Up, Showtimes, Docuseries, Action, Mike Took, Hello, personally, I love the guy. We always have a rotating guest on the megapod um. For those who are unfamiliar with this format, it's always Mikey, Todd

and I and then a rotating guest. Brady Cannon has been the leadoff guest on the Megapod for maybe all of those years, maybe a couple of years shy, but typically the leadoff man. And you're kind enough to do it again. Brady Cannon, co host of the greatest golf betting show there ever was long Shots, And of course, oh, by the way, past Super Contest champion ring Oh look at that, let me see that? Oh Wowiod, how often do you wear that? Very rarely? What I figured today

was an appropriate time to do very nice. Uh eleven is when you won the Supercontal and you're still playing the Super Contest? Are you playing gold to know? I'm playing the Super Contest and circumlion? Okay, no Survivor for you? Okay. Oh by the way, I forgot to tell you I have to do a Survivor pick two if you want to, that's fine. Okay. So here's the format, Todd, you'll correct me. Todd Todd is also court stenographer here on the show. So here's how this works. Mikey will give us a

Circa Millions and Circuits Survivor update. Uh, then we will get into Thursday night thoughts. If there already doesn't have to be, but if there is, how you're playing Thursday Night Football. Then it's three best bets, then of course, um your survivor, pick your favorite teaser of the week, and the final two questions of every show, what's the big favorite you think is the most likely to lose out right? In? What game do you want no part of against the side on the side. I guess that's

I think I got that right, right, Todd. That's the whole thing. There'll probably be a song relating to a southern football team as well. That's coming to alright, Mikey update if you would, Yeah, I'm giving it up to the second update. And we had a big day yesterday, Gil we did a four hundred and twenty one Survivors. I mean we're gonna be short. I mean we're not

getting to six thousand. What are you at now as we speak this moment where thirty one six still eighteen short, and remember Saturday, and we're not going to be able to get a lot in. It cuts off at two plus every ball. The proxies are going to be putting their picks in for week one, right, So you're if you're coming to wait until at today, you're you're in trouble. So I think all the theory about the New England Tampa Bay losing and all that stuff, I think it's valid.

I think it's valid that there will be people that are here in town right now that will use Tampa Bay tonight, and if they should happen to lose, we'll get multiple more entries. But if they win, will you get less entries? Yeah? I think we need we need the Cowboys the upset to get a spike, so so you don't regret that at all because of that having the deadline for Survivor after Thursday Night is played. There's been some people that said this game shouldn't be a

part of it. They've complained because now they're back in southern California and they don't have the advantage of being able to do that. But I think it works out. And give us a little injection here if it should happen, who could that be? Who could that be? And then millions, you're closer to the number. Yeah, we'll get there with the millions. We're thirty four and change with the millions,

so I think we'll go over the four thousand. I think both contests end up around with the late bush Um and again with Circus survivor the two quirks this year more than the one cork last year. There is not only Thanksgiving as its own week where there are three games and you have to strategically keep those teams responsible. Please sure, here are the three games on Thanksgiving. You must have one of these six teams available or you're already out. There's at the Lions, a snooze Fest, Raiders

at the Cowboys, and the Bills at the Saints. That's the Thanksgiving lineup. Then you also have to have teams available for the three games that are going to happen on Christmas between Thursday and Saturday, which are the Niners at the Titans, Browns at Packers, and Colden's Colts and Cards good Luck, no one's gonna win survivor what happens

if nobody makes it well? Um, And then there's the extra bonus which I think will distract people, which is if you have the Chiefs of the Bucks save for Week eighteen, not only would you win the six million, you win an additional million. You get an additional million on top for the people that use either of those

two teams. I was on with Mitch and Paul this morning Mitch just trying to figure out a strategy to use the Bucks at home win Week eighteen against the Carolina You mean when he's out in the league four just kidding, I'm gonna be out before anybody. Was a joke, all right. Look, we were on a limited time today because we we thought we're gonna be the d which will be our home moving forward. But we're at the

lovely and I do mean lovely Circus studios. But the nuts is gonna start, uh in just over an hour, so we want to get right to it. Any Thursday night, Brady will start with you here. Buccaneers are eight point favorites something eight and a half, but it's typically eight right now as we do this Thursday morning, eight point favorites hosting the Cowboys. Did you play this in any way? I did not play this game. Certainly it lends itself

to a teaser play. That's pretty obvious. She can tease down the eight to you know, one and a half or what have yet a half? Unfortunately it scanda nine. Gil just said eight or eight and a half? Check it? Here? He goes, is it nine? And I tell you what was there? Protection? Now? Finally, and I tell you what I mean. This starts to get into the territory where it's a play on Dallas, because now this line is approaching a of of three points, and that's just a

golden rule of NFL football. If one line moves three points one way, you go the other side. And this was six and a half when it opened up in the summer. I immediately liked Dallas. I thought the line should be three and a half or four and a half. Now, you know, there's been speculation about Prescott's health, the offensive line has some injuries. We're still not sure about the

Dallas defense. But if this gets to nine, nine and a half, even double digits, I still may stay away from the game, but absolutely Dallas would be the play. I'm glad I teased it because I teased it with the Rams. I tease the Bucks with the Niners. I know that's not a Stanford long teaser leg, but I did. And I teased it with the Bills, same story like, and I had no compunction doing it for for any of them, Mikey anything. I played this in real life,

and I parlayed the money line with Sabolenka in the semifinals. Nice. Yeah, I think I think she's now the clear favorite to win this. She got through what probably would be her toughest match, getting through your pick, you know Kratakova, who I think still lingering. Health issues were a factor there, but whatever happened there, yeah, um but yeah, So that's what I used it in a money line parlay with another another sporting event today. I think sabo Anka should

roll Layel Fernannis. It's great of a story. Is she is the two teamer. It's four twenty and three twenty I laid and so effectively it's minus one six. I have no opinion. I certainly would not bet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. There's just way too much hype. I mean, Tom Brady and the boys. They're all together, everyone's coming back. They have fifteen returning starters on offense, even though there's only eleven positions. They're so excited about everybody Tampa. Tom's

all ready to go. Too much hype, folks, do not lay nine nine and a half. You will be crying. Of course, they'll come out. Was gonna say, is it a contest pick for you? Is it a survivor pick? Anything? No? I don't, I don't. I may play Tampa and the survivor. It's it's definitely a possibility. I haven't decided pent yet. All right, let's do best bets three per person, will

do it. We'll do it, Snake Todd. So you don't get last last year and the year before, I got screwed because I always have to talk last and I pick last. But you're allowed to make the same picks as other picks. I understand, But I think it should be equitable. We should be an equitable show. You just want the stage to talk about a game first. Look, you don't always save the best for last. Go ahead, all right, Brady, what's your first pick? Here? My first side.

My first pick is the New England Patriots, and you will currently see them at minus three. I was actually able to get them at minus two and a half. And I really think this team is poised for a rebound. The only possible regression points that I see are the fact that they were plus three in turnover differential this year or last year rather and this year in the schedule, they have a very disadvantageous angle as far as a

rest perspective. There on a lot of short weeks they're playing teams that are in good positions, so the schedule doesn't set up great for them. Although it's relatively easy as far as competition, the rest angle is not great for New England. Otherwise, I think this team bounce is back in a big way. Uh. You know, they only through twelve touchdown passes last year and still won seven games.

They had the largest COVID injury opt out and players departing over the course of the entire league, and just about all those players return. A lot of those players come back from Miami their part their opponent this week. I think the offensive line is improved and will be excellent. I think the defensive side of the ball will be improved and very good. I think the running games showed to be really powerful in the preseason. And and at the bottom line, it's Bill Belichick coming off of a

seven win season. I I know he didn't come back this season because he thinks they're going to be lousy again. I think he has high hopes for this season and uh, I think he really takes it out on this Miami team. Um. I think there's a number of signs that point to New England really having a positive return to the mean this year off of what they did last year, So I think they get it started with a big victory here over the division rival Dolphins. I'm I'm with you.

I'm gonna jump in here because I too am on the New England Patriots have made a bet on him at minus student app but even at minus three, I like them. And on a week and a week one where honestly, when we went through on a numbers game the other day, game by game to figure out through the prism of our contest. But are we're gonna come

up with five picks here? A C S that was one of the few, and I do mean few, and I'll have all three of them here on the megapod where I was like, I feel really good about this. And it is the Bill Belichick factor, and it is the fact that Mac Jones and I, well, I don't know, I know it's preseason. We don't want to read too much into it. But he appears to be well beyond his years right from the right from the start, and he was Bill Belichick was hamstrung last year, remember all

those defensive opt outs. I also think it's a fade of Miami here that team uh increased by wins of five games from two thousand nineteen to two thousand twenty, and that doesn't typically bode well for the follow up. Here, this team overachieved quite a bit in two thousand twenty. They were plus nine in turve and over differential and still didn't make the playoffs. That's not a good combination.

So I think Miami probably regresses this year. And conversely, I think the Patriots have progressive, you know, a move towards the mean. So, I mean, it's kind of going opposite directions in my opinion for both of these teams. It's your number one of the three or no particularly no particular order. I'm gonna call it my number one. I'm gonna call my number one New England Patriots as well, mikey Hard I have an inquiry as to the line

and total on the Cardinals and Titus. You know, this is the official way to do it, instead of trying to change the line, Mike, he's doing it the fair way. Which game would you like? Colts and Titans? No, they don't play I like the Cardinals Cardinals. I'm sorry. The line I have is three minus oh five, pretty much as standard for the Titans, and the over under is pretty much fifty two two over, We're gonna go over here. It's really really for real. The don't remember, don't change yours, Todd.

I think it was a miracle. Tennessee won eleven games with his defense last year, and I don't see it being any better. I think that Tennessee gets better on offense with the addition of Julio Jones. They become more dynamic. They still have that eighteen wheeler in the backfield, and I think the Cardinals are going to start to click. I think there was something off last year between Kingsbury and Kyler Murray. I think that there was no rhythm that they ever got to their game, and they didn't

fully achieve what they could have on offense. I see this game playing in the sixties. I really think the numbers probably about right here. I don't know how the humidity will factor in with the Cardinals players playing in Tennessee outdoors for a dome team, so I'm gonna stay away from the side, but over fifty two is my top play. Titans, who got to the postseason last year, lost to Baltimore UH in the divisional round or whatever

the first round is called these days. UH. They lost twenty to thirteen, and the Titans this year beyond this game, minus won fifteen over DraftKings to win the division season win total of nine s minus one to make the playoffs, and no plus one one for those who are interested to win the a f C. So you're over here over fifty two, Todd, what number is that for you? Of your first three? I was gonna put it second.

Would you like to add anything to Mikey said, or well, I thought I would talk about it when I get there, but I talk about if we're doubling up, you talk about it now. Um, I agree with Mikey. I think this is going to be a shootout. The Titans games, if you watched them last year, very very often degenerated into ridiculously high scoring games because they couldn't stop anybody, and they had, like you said, the eighteen wheeler in

the backfield. They could score the ball. Um. You know, this is kind of similar to remember when we had that Tampa Bay run of overs two years ago that I kept, you know, getting on Tennessee. We're winning like crazy with the over on the end games last year. As soon as you saw it was gonna be another Tennessee game, just jump on the over and you went like crazy. So while not knowing much about these teams yet, because you know all the hype, folks, you better take

a chill pill with all the hype. Remember, you don't want to get too polluted with all this preseason talk about about teams, because how many years in a row have we seen everybody get excited and then it's something totally different plays out. But one thing I think is maybe count on a bowl if that's a word it is not. The Titans are going to probably be playing overs unless they completely overhauled their team. And the other thing is Kyler Murray goes back to pass and he

starts running and you can't stop the guy. He's he's a bared to hate. You cannot stop that against him. It's it's, oh, it's terrifying spaying against him. So I'm gonna go with Mikey over fifty two Titans versus Arizona. We still have a chance to win because as long as not more than three people have picked it, we could win. If three of us pick it, we know it's a lot, it's a loss, it's guaranteed. Science. Well, I just want to repeat what you just said, Todd,

because I think that's the single biggest thing. And we saw this in college football. All it took was one week of college football. We know nothing. We think we know stuff heading into a season, we absolutely know nothing. We might get some stuff right, but there's gonna be some things that inevitably, inevitably surprises, which, by the way, is why you're doing the Amal Shaw before the season grid for your survivor is also a fool's aeron to

go three or four weeks then do that. No, I agree it is a fool's errand, but I still wanted to do it just to kind of see what I would have done. I agree. I don't think it's a bad practice to just set a map out from the get go and you don't necessarily have to adhere to it, but you don't play survivor, I know, but I think

I don't think that's a bad way to go. I'm calling mine the Dan Campbell Memorial a mall Shaw Napkin Gate, and the reason is I'm gonna try to jam Dan Campbell in as many times again as I possibly can, because I don't think that man should be a headquarll that listen, that there's there's nothing wrong with fade in

the Jets. Last year, I did it eight times a Mall's theory here, and he didn't know about the Christmas rule when he did it on during the breaks of one show, so you have to let him, you know, go back. But he faded the Texans eleven times wow, during the course of the season, and I think through the first nine weeks, eight time games. I mean, it was just fate Texas, Faye Texas. Fay texts, well, that gets to my pick. He didn't eatn't do it week

one though I would assume no, he did not. That that's a perfect elite into Since we're gonna do things equitably for a change around here, I will pick first in the second round and I will take the Houston Texans. That's right, Mikey plus the three points, I am gonna go with the Houston Texans. And here's why Houston's gonna play Tyrod Taylor at quarterback. Now, Tyrod Taylor is no superstar, but he is a game manager who cannot turn the ball over and hopefully get you a w A lot

of times in the NFL. It's not winning the game. It's not not losing the game, and very often it's a turnover situation that loses you the game. And now I get to go at home against a Trevor Lawrence. Give me a break. Who knows what the heck that guy is with the Jacksonville Jaguars. You know it's not a good football team. You're asking them to go on the road and give a team three points. I don't I know NFL. Houston still has NFL players. Okay, I

know they lost the guy. There was a little massage issue. Okay, I understand all that they still have. Look when you're doing your massage situations, you gotta be careful. The point is it still has a National Football League team, and it's not like they're playing against a great team at jackson Ville go on the road. Well, and it's also that Urban Meyer thing, and I said this to you on a Numbers game this morning, Like this just reminds me some of the stuff that urban Meyer did in

the offseason. The arrogance has a chief of staff. For god's sakes, there's somebody who is called a chief of staff that you have to go through to get to Urban Meyer. This is very spur Or esque to me. That's what the old Malcolm Gladwell blink thing. I just think they could be bad in a way that we

think of the Texas right now. Yeah, you're asking them to go on the road and the National Football League going on the road is hard for an Actually their third straight road game, their last two preseason games around the road as well. There you go. You know, do you think there's a chance that Urban Meyer doesn't finish the year? Yes? I do you do well? Which would be had more heart problems he was. Look if the stress was too much in college where you're god right

now now you have to answer to people. But the other thing is his worst season was eight and three his first year at Bowling Green. He went of his games. I mean, he never lost it all. He's not what happens when he's two and nine? Well, like he's never had to worry about an offensive line being bad? Like,

what's that he doesn't he can't even compete with him. Yeah, I saw the prop at Westgate who quits first Urban Meyer Mike Palm from the Nuts, but ump number two fire Urbans plus money there plus money, all right, Brady number two number two for you. I am going with the Atlanta Falcons. Oh, Mike Brady and I are sharing a brain, and the Atlanta Falcons lost a number of close games last season. That should adjust to the positive.

And of course Arthur Smith comes in as the new head coach, and I think he's really going to give a boost to that offense that struggled in the red zone. And I think Kyle Pitts gives a big bost to that offense as well. And we saw how Arthur Smith did with tight ends with Tennessee, so I think that's all a positive. But maybe the biggest coaching higher they

made his Dean ps as the defensive coordinator. This guy, all he's done is coach for New England and Baltimore and he's been fantastic on the defensive side of the ball. Matt Ryan, by the way, eleven and two straight up and against the spread and home openers, and that second loss was last year. So I think Matt Ryan gets it together this year and the Falcons. A lot of people and maybe yourself as well, Gil, A lot of prognosticators out there that I respect, expect good things out

of the Falcons this year. Um and basically just a positive regression because they lost so many close games last season. Um, I'm not completely on that boat, but I think this is a really good spot for them, and this is also a fate of Philadelphia. Jalen Hurts has not been good. He's won one game in his career and it was one New Orleans was on their third straight game on

the road and they were starting a backup quarterback. He also has a rookie head coach who has never called plays before, So I think that combination a rookie play caller, if you will, with nearly a rookie quarterback, and this is really rebuild for Philadelphia. They played fourteen different combinations at offensive line last season. They gave up over sixty five sacks. I believe it was Their defense was twenty

eight in the league against the run. They just have a lot of problems and this team needs to rebuild and they may be good in a couple three years from now. But I think right out of the gate only lay in three points. I'll take Atlanta. I didn't do the actual snake because I would have gone to Mike Mikey, I think if I had done the actual snake, But let me just since I'm the same as Brady here too. I agree with that, and also like the premature reports of Matt Ryan's demise, like everyone who wants

to bury him. And I'm not sure why that is. Is it because Tom Brady is so good at forty three and now forty four years old? Is because Aaron Rodgers is so great at thirty seven and Matt Ryan is not quite those guys. He's still one of the top half of quarterbacks conservatively in the NFL. And I don't usually make much of preseason, and I know that's that's ridiculous to do, but if there was one preseason game that's stuck in my head this year, it is

the Eagles performance against the Patriots. You left that game and you're like, Wow, this team could suck badly, and I have a feeling they might. And so the Falcons at home with Matt Ryany's the better quarterback Kyle Pitts, as as we both agree, and I think a lot

of people do, is gonna be phenomenal with Atlanta. I think at Lanta's defense, as long as they don't as long as they don't crap out entirely, they do what They've got the better coordinator now, and they have the better coordinator, and and many would say that Arthur Smith is a coach of your candidate. By the way, when we did the thing for Visa for the Pro Football Betting Guide with our division picks and our wild card picks, I found myself writing in the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC.

So I'm on the fact concerned about the fact that Matt Ryan is a into another very good quarterback, but not great quarterback named Philip Rivers, who loves to break your heart in the big spot. It's at the thirty five yard line, third and six late in the game, you absolutely need to stay in field goal range, and he takes a sack. Rivers was really good last year for the Colts, and that may be here. That may

be a decrease at quarterback for them this year. No, no, I agree, but I've only lost four point five million dollars on Philip Rivers inside the five yard line. Just needs to get me across one yard to to cover a spread. And so that's why I have a little thing in my heart for Philip Rivers, and I don't like But anyways, so you guys aren't concerned, Well, there's always a concern for everything, but for this slate where it's like picking the worst of the evils, in my opinion,

that's definitely a pick for me. I feel really good about both New England Atlanta. Did you bet Arthur Smith for coaches the year? I did not. I think the Coach of the Year will go to Sean McDermott because I think it was sort of a Stefanski versus McDermott thing last year, and it's still problem. That's the fancy, you got it. But I think there's a bit of a know the snub vote this year will come into play. How about Sean Payton one? If they're good, they don't

get to play at home. He loses the receiver, he loses breeze. And I think Jamis Winston is going to have a decent year. You know, the function of those interceptions is also arians philosophy about throwing the ball down the field. Okay, I know he had thirty three said, but other than the eighteen is the most you ever had in years. So what about Brandon Staley with the Chargers. I don't know, if you watch those preseason games, they

look very disorganized. You look like Anthony Lynne was still there. If you watch those He made a lot of tactical mistakes in the preseason. So the first year and being a head coach, it's a whole different ball. Wax the you know, the guy that would pollute the Coach of the Year market though for me, the one that I would if I had a you know, the McDermott bet Belichick, because if the Patriots do anything, you know, those guys

are voting and and girls are voting. For my second pick, Gil is going to be an under, and I'm gonna take the Broncos Giants under forty one and a half. Now I bet the Broncos when it was one and a half, I'm not going to give at three. I think that's a big difference going on the road. But

I think there's two things in factor here. I think the Giants are susceptible to a team that can rest the pastor because Daniel Jones holds the ball and he holds the ball, and he holds the ball and he holds So when they go up against teams that have a good pass rush, I think they're in trouble. And then the other thing that plays to the under is obviously Bridgewater. Bridgewater is gonna dank, and he's gonna dunk, and he's gonna and they're gonna run the ball and

they're gonna play. Fancie is gonna try not to lose on offense, said that this morning, right, the John Fox school of the NFL coach just be competent, right and and win nine games. So that's that's my play under forty one and a half there, All right, Todd, would you like to go first for number three? Sure, I'd love to go first, Gil, Thank you, You're welcome. Um. I'd like to bet against a team that hails from the same division as the Miami Dolphins. Miami Dolphins, Now

you've got the song, folks, you love. I had to shoehorn it in because I didn't have anything to say Abo at the Dolphins excepted to his brother is better than him. You know. It's creepier to do that with him present because we have to endure it. Yeah, okay, anyways, I'm gonna go against the New York j E. T. S J. I'm gonna take old Matt Rule and the

Panthers minus the four. You know what, Kelly Bilin said that he had Matt Rule say to his face when he covered Matt Rule wherever he was that you pronounced it Matt Rule. Oh, I'm sorry, I'll take Matt Rule along with Jeff Carley. It was like the Travis Kels thing this offseason. He was like, no, Matt Rule is what many doesn't he just let you go to? I mean they wait for years and they say, by the way, well, Howard Stearn's producer Gary Deleabate, Um, you know Delat his

real name. But anyway, Um so the Carolina Panthers, I'm gonna take a minus four. Here's why I like Matt Rule as a coach. I think he's gonna turn I mean he's already started to turn the franchise around. Um, I'm not buying the B y U hype. Come on, b I watched every B y U game last year. Zach Wilson had it time to have a buffet, a cup of coffee, could do whatever he wants. There was all kinds of time to throw. Now he he granted he might be great, but he hasn't proven anything to me.

Now he's behind us a subpar NFL team's offensive line, and now you're gonna go ask him to be a superstar offensive line supposed to be pretty good. I'm not saying that. I said the subpart team. I didn't say their offensive line in general. But the point is it's not a really good team. The Jets are not a really good team. Are they are? The Jets a good team? Are talking about the offensive line? You don't say the whole but the point Okay, But the point is he's

the quarterback of this team. It's a brand new situation. I just see it as too much Zach Wilson hype. Let me have the Carolina Panthers at home minus the four. I have a good coach here, Robert Salam maybe a great coach. We haven't seen anything about from that yet, right right, Okay, so let me get you know, Look, the truth is all these lines are impossible. Let's be just real about it. Okay, the lines are impossible. We don't know what's going on with any of these teams

that bet the damn games in game, folks. But for the fun of the megapod, I'm gonna take Matt Rouley minus four, thank you, Okay, Brady number three. I am going with the Arizona Cardinals. And this kind of ties into Mike Palm's play two on the over. I don't know if Arizona is going to be great this year. They added some players that are up there in age, J J. Watt, what have you. I don't know how

much that is really going to help them. Your your friend Ed Fang brought up a great point about Kyler Murray. This guy had bad interception luck. He threw a lot of interceptions, but he actually was above average as far as throwing bad balls. So that should change a little bit. He should throw less interceptions this year, should turn the ball over less. And if you look at the wide receivers that they've added there in Arizona, and you alluded to it as well, Mike, this team I think is

very much built for an over team. Their defensive secondary, I still think is still weak. They're going up against the team in Tennessee that has gotten progressively worse defensively all three years under Mike Rabel, So I think both of these teams are going to go back and forth and put up points. Very interesting. Cliff Kingsbury in his career, when his team scores more than twenty five points, he

is fourteen three and one against the spread. So this guy loves to get involved in a shootout, and I think that's what we're probably gonna have here. So I'll take the three points with the Cardinals. I also think Tennessee is really set up for regression. They were plus eleven in the turnover differential last year. Ryan Tannehill has been playing so far above his head. I mean, what did he have sixty seven percent completions last year? Derrick Henry?

Is he going to rush for two thousand yards again? They lost a lot of players. They lost John new Smith at tight end. I really don't think Julio Jones at thirty two years old is going to make much of a difference here. They lose Arthur Smith, their offensive coordinator who made it all happen. So I'll take the Cardinals plus the points. Um Cliff Kingsbury Besides the Anthony Lynn category of botching games late, Kingsbury is pretty up

there on that list too, though, isn't he do? I remember sort of anecdotally us bringing him up several times last year, very questionable calls. I remember one game in particular that hurt very badly. Yeah, so I I I'm not sold on him yet. That doesn't have anything to do with your pick necessarily in Week one, but I just wanted to point that out, Mike number three. I'm gonna take the Rams against most of the Bears. I just don't see Andy Dalton doing anything with this team.

And god there, you know, I know it was the preseason, but they were playing second stringer, second stringers on defense and couldn't stop anybody. I mean, he just went up and down the field. I think there were nine out of twelve possessions that were in touchdowns against them at one stretch during the preseason. I think their defense has has started to regress. I think there are yes seven and a half. Yeah, I'm sorry, Rams seven and a half. Um,

and I think you know they're gonna put Dalton. They're gonna start Dalton here because uh, you know they're going up against the Rams defense, and so they want a veteran to play against the Ram Stevens. But you know, Stafford is used to the Bears. Staffords played against the Bears all the time. He's been successful against the Bears that they don't drop that ball in Week one Swift

in the end zone they beat the Bears. Right, He's had leads on the Bears where they did you know, Detroit's famous for having a ten point leading the fourth core they run the ball in the line three times and trying to run out the clock. So I'm not with a mall that he makes them the favorites to win the NFC. Stafford, but I think this Bears team is not a playoff team. I don't think they're an eight and eight team eight nine. I think this team is in for a regression uh this year. And I

actually make this line about nine myself. This is a game where if it was Rams minus seven and a half, let's say Week five, weeks six, where you had the prospect of justin Fields and the one Achilles Heal of the Rams is that they have no depth this year, I still think they win the NFC, but it it obviously requires like it does for every team, that they stay healthy, but specifically with the Rams they have so

little depth. But in Week one, where it is Andy Dalton and the Rams don't have to worry about that, I will do the minus seven and a half easily as well. Like I love that play and it's one of those where if the Bears can beat you on that tip of the cap, absolutely no problem. Andy Dalton doesn't scare me. And I've got the Rams going to the Super Bowl this year, where I believe they will be defeated by the Kansas City Chiefs. Rams right now

plus one nine to win the NFC West. By the way, the forty Niners are shorter than them at Draft Kings. Uh ten and a half is their season win total. Their minus two Rams to make the playoffs, plus six fifty right now to win the NFC fourteen to one to win the Super Bowl. I got a minus seven and a half your football team to win the NFC East. I did. It was four to one. I did. Um. But you know that their schedule, since you bring it up, is is fascinating because they have the most accumulated rests

days on the opponents side. It's on the one hand, it's super difficult, but then at the end they have the weirdest scheduling quirk I've ever seen in the history of NFL schedules, which is, not only do they have five of their six division games in the last five weeks, but they have a doubt. I think it's Dallas Philly,

Dallas Philly, which I've never seen before. Ever, it's once in a while you'll see a team play to opponent twice in a three week span, but there's never been a situation where you do it consecutively like Dallas Philly,

Dallas Philly. That's that's so so. On the other hand, even if Washington succumbs to that schedule where they have all the you know, the opponents have the most rest against any team in the NFL, and Washington being the case, even if they're down, if they're middling, let's say they're I don't know, with the with seventeen games. Let's say they're five and seven, and you're like, this team is

not going anywhere. They got five division games still to go, they can still with the last five five out of six at Giants is the last game, No. Five out of their six division games for the last five weeks, so with the Giants being the last week of this season. So I think the way you play Washington is you wait, now that we have dynamic season win totals, adjusted season wintals where you don't just have to bet this stuff

pre flop before the season starts. I think you wait for them to sort of succumb to that bad schedule, and then before that final stretch you hit them at a really favorable not because they're they're going they're going through the ringer those first eight it's brutal, whereas like a team like Kansas City or or I think it

was Tampa Bay, pardon me, Tampa Bay. If they can get through their first half of the season, like their schedule gets so easy that we're going to give you the Tampa Bay schedule after their bye, give us the games, and which week is the by the Tampa Bay Bucks have a bye at week nine, it looks like, and then they have at Washington, Giants at home, at Indianapolis, at Atlanta, Buffalo at home, New Orleans at home, at Carolina at Jets, Carolina at home. So Buffalo is the

one real bugaboo were there. But that's so their funds on the road could be a tough spot. How do you feel about the Colts? I think they win that division? Really Wow, that's very I can't spake a team that Tennessee with that defense. Yeah, it's horrible, horrible. They they've masked it because they've scored so many points, but it's got awful. What is the team that you guys think the general market or whatever the preseason buzzes. However, because we all have shows and we we suck in all

this information for three months. What do you think the team is that most people have wrong, either to the bat or to the good this year? Oh boy? Um, maybe the Tennessee Titans. You know, I've seen some people that are high on Tennessee. Uh. Maybe the Buffalo Bills. Now Buffalo is strong, for sure, but they really peaked quite a bit last year and they could be set to slide down the mountain a little bit now. I think they have a great head coach. Um. Maybe the

Cleveland Browns. I talked about this with the Miami Dolphins a little earlier, where they jumped and exceeded their wins from the prior year by five. So to Cleveland, that usually doesn't go well for that team the following season. However, Cleveland may be immune to that because I think their coach is great and they've actually improved their team a lot on defense. I mean, they have a loaded roster, so they may be immune to that. But Tennessee is a team, and you know, Mike and I talking about

the Colts to win the division. I think Tennessee is gonna fall off. I want to ask you this, Brady, do you temper your future bets or tend to want to play to the negative on these two teams, the Vikings and the Ravens, whose quarterbacks will not get vaccinated, d not to know anything about it and need to need to doing their research. Mikey, Yeah, hopefully there's some information. I have not taken that into account because it is

ten days. It's different if if if you're vaccinated, you just need two negative tests to get back, and we are and we are. Let's just say we're not making any political states. It's a football. You have to know this. You have to know this. Maybe another team that I think a lot of people might be too high on and I think you and I like the Vikings to win the NFC North is the Green Bay Packers. I agree. I mean Aaron Rodgers, you know, hit New Heights even

for Aaron Rodgers type numbers last year. Look at Matt Lafleur, He's twenty eight and eight straight up as a coach. It's like the highest winning percentage ever. I think the coach though A good question, Lebron James is the coach. I think they're probably you know, you know there they could be set to fall down the hill a little

bit too. The team, I'll I'll answer my own question for me, and it's it's not exactly because I think the Seattle Seahawks have earned some respect certainly over the years. Because but my thing with Seattle is this Russell Wilson covers up so many warts by his superman abilities that I think that day that he's no longer able to

do that. And I don't know if it's this year, I don't know if it's next year, but whenever that day is, because you know, the peat Carroll is all about, Oh, established the run with Chris Carson, and that was already a big deal between Russell Wilson and Pete. Carroll sort of took away his m v P candidacy last year overnight. Whenever that day comes, that team is going to fall off a cliff, and I think that's always one to watch out for. I've seen very mixed reviews on Seattle.

Some people love them, some people are ready to pick him for the Super Bowl, and some people think they're not gonna be one. From the other side, you guys are all talking about teams that might be overrated. How about a team that might be underrated. Maybe the Houston Texans are really not gonna be as bad as everyone says because everyone has them penciled in and oh and oh, and how many games were there this year? I believe most people have them well. Their season win total went

from five and a half to five to four. Okay, so every there are three point dog at home to a one in fifteen team with nicky quarterback, the first time head coach at no offensive line, think about that. They'll never be evor in a game this year? Right? Are they really that bad that there's only a few games this season that they are a dog of less than five points? So I don't think they can. Tyrod

Taylor is not that bad. I believe he was in some he didn't he I don't know if he still has this, but for a big part of his career he had the record for the fewest um turnovers of any quarterback who taking that many snaps. And that's what I love. And remember, there's tons of games you can win in the NFL just by not turning the ball over to I mean a lot of times you just make the other team make the mistake and you you end up I mean that's why the NFL is so maddening.

All right. So typically at this point we asked for a survivor pick. But I will be honest with you, I haven't. I don't have mind yet. I don't know I'm doing that today after the show, do you have yours toime? I'm either going to do Tampa Bay or the ring MS. Tampa Bay will kill me if I do. If I don't do Tampa Bay. But but I'm you know, I don't know. We'll see, Brady, you're not in surviving I'm not. But I think I would go with the Rams, you would go with the Rams. I would go with

the Rams, and you would go with the Rams. Um. Yeah, I'll have to check the grid. Maybe I should play it from the Rams. Spelled your demise last season. Will you go back to the well with Week fifteen, Jared Golf at home against the Jets. You're still going to make that play again? Gil, You're not gonna no, no, no regrets with has to regret because he switched his play, he went away from his chart and his ruling never plays a road game, and he played the Steelers at

the Bengals on that Monday night game. He had on his chart Tennessee against Detroit at home. They want by like he went against his grid, He went against his great because he wanted to save Tennessee from and I agree he regrets. You have no regrets. First of all, you should have been out when the Raiders were playing a certain Yes there was a camera on me when that touchdown was or you would have seen an and a wild animal. I was going ballistic the So the

mall has that regret. The only thing that I have is lament because Professor Admires when there was about eighties seven or whatever many entries left, Professor Admirers did the power rankings of who had which teams left, and I was power ranked third. Ah brutal. You know it's funny. Last year we have say, Week seventeen is so hard, so unpredictable. Who's playing? Did they need to play for anything?

And all thirty six entries that entered Week seventeen all one last year, right, nobody got eliminated on the last How many people one of the thirty six I think and they got sixty eight? Remember the last day we were at bar Canada. That was fun, that was awesome. Man, had everybody come into the sweat day or whatever we call it. All right, so teaser of the week, you want to do a six point to team teaser one every week? I have something to say about my teaser.

Do you have something to say about that? Can we start with someone else? The shirt? But Mikey, how are you starting? How are you? Um? I'm gonna tease the San Francisco forty niners. That's why I didn't want. I wanted to go first, Go ahead, you said no, let someone else go first. I'm gonna tease the San Francisco forty nine. Coddman, he goes first every time, down to make up for last year and the year before exactly. I'm gonna tease him down to one and a half.

I'm gonna tease the Rams down to one. M hm. Sure. I got no problem with those that on the NFC West right, best division in football, and I'm doing that just sorry. Think about Robert Salado getting this job with the Jets in the division he falls into with those coaches. I think that's the best division of coaches of any division in football. Belichick Florist and absolutely yea, so it falls into that division. And McDermott for that's a tough division to start out in, Todd, what would you like

to say about you? I was going to do the same, the same teaser. I like the Niners because first of all, it's Dan Campbell, that's number one. Number two, it's Jared Goff. They always killed Jared Goff. So you know, give me the Niners minus the one and a half. And I mean, if the Niners can't go on the road and beat beat the beat the Lions, I mean, give me a break. And then I was going to do the Rams as well. I like the Rams. I mean, you get to go again.

I was talking on the Numbers game. You call him what do you call him? The beige rifle? What do you call him? I think the beige I believe the beige water pistol against the Rams top top defensive line is it's not it's not a great matchup. Is because if I remember correctly, Andy Dalton is not the most fleet of foot, that's correct. I believe he goes back to pass. Isn't that bad? At TCU he moved around

a little bit, but he ran a little bit. As he's become more water pistol like, he's become more Statuesque as well, and I think that the Rams will maybe have the eighth grade picnic back at the quarterback Gil. We want to encourage people to sign up for Circus Survivor, right. It's a huge overlay and Mike really needs it to save his job. So we was on the record early saying this was the fool's errand guaranteeing six million um.

But that is the awesome contest name Beige water Pistol, pistol Age, water Pistol out in front and Circus Survivor. After four weeks, what's yours? What's yours? Brady? What's your favorite teaser? I have the Washington football team and I got them at plus one, so I took it up to plus seven, and then I'm also on the forty Niners down to one and a half. Um, Washington, I don't think is a bad bet. Now they've actually moved

to a one point favorite in a lot of shops. Um. You know, there's not a huge difference between a one point dog and and a one point favorite, but there is a big difference from a teaser perspective. So I didn't get across the seven, but I've got it to seven and Uh. If you look at Justin Herbert's record against head coaches that were former defensive coordinators, he's like oh and four. And of course Ron rivera former defensive coordinator,

former defensive coordinator for the Los Angeles Chargers. So I think Washington's in a good spot here. Rivera knows how difficult his schedule is coming up. He's got to get this one in the wind column. Uh. So I think Washington catching seven is a good play there on the teaser. And then I also went with the Niners. If I had to bet this game from a side perspective, I would probably wait because it'll probably get to eight, maybe even eight and a half, and I might take a

shot with the Lions. But I like San Francisco at only minus one and a half. You are a bold man. Chargers, by the way, plus four fifty to win the a f C West. Uh did the Chiefs not? Did they leave the a f C West plus four fifty on the Charges nine and a half season win totally? Yes? Plus one oh five no minus one yes no to make the playoffs. Um, some people are teasing both sides of that same game when that thing was top niner.

No talking about Chargers in Washington last nighter in fimetime action. We saw it toggling back and forth their favorite. Ten minutes later they were favorite. So some people are, yeah, I don't think people don't know what you can do but you can't. Yeah, I don't. I don't disagree with that. I mean, this should be a field goal game. The the issue here is that Austin Ekeler mysteriously disappeared from practice yesterday. No one knows quite why and I haven't

hear anything this morning yet. And Curtis Samuel, who Washington fans were super excited because finally Terry McLaurin has somebody on the other end of the field that he can shine with. Curtis Samuel growing injury yesterday and there's some buzz that he's gonna be out for a long time. So that's not good. So just you know again, COVID we have to worry about. By the way, we never really flushed out your vaccination thing like, but I think

that's a massive issue this year. It's why you have to wait to put in your survivor and you're and you're against the spread picks for millions until the very last moment because you just don't know what's going to happen with this. You can't you can't afford to have forty eight hours where you're like, oh my god, I hope nobody does. But if you're vaccinated, you can test positive, can't you. Yeah, but if you're unvaccinated, if you're unvaccinated,

you're going for ten days too. Even if you test negative, you can't come back for a minimum of ten days. You could miss two games. You mean, if you test positive out ten games automatical days and the other one. The other one you just need to negative tests to come back, so you may not miss the game if

you're vaccinated. So thick out. And again no political states were talking about from a FOOTBA handicap standpoint, think about that if you're if you're Kirk cousins teammate, or if you're Lamar Jackson's teammate, or if your corson wins his teammate, Like you've got to be thinking to yourself, you're like, dude, well,

Kirk Cousins. I saw him at Michigan State doing a germology He was like a PhD student there if I remember correctly, So he probably did all the all the research about he knows about m R n A. I know he did the studies himself at Michigan State, didn't he. I don't recall that you Lamar Jackson said in that press conference. That caught my attention when he you know, he got it a second time about he's gonna talk to it's a very person an all decisions. He's gonna

talk to his teammates. Oh, by the way, the Ravens are the third most vaccinated team in the NFL, right so as they they've been very good about it the players perspective. And he's gonna go out there and try to get some information. Is he doing Is he going to do the information on the pain pills they're going to give him as soon as he has like a problem, because maybe should do the research on that. Only too fully vaccinated teams Atlanta and Tampa Bay. I believe only

to fully vaccinaty teams. You have to you have to wonder if Tom Brady had something to do that, like you're getting vaccinated. You're gonna listen to that, dude. Final two questions? Are we already there? Final two questions? I believe what was your No, we didn't get your teasers, So I can't use Tampa Bay anymore, even though that is my most teased team of the week that I've actually put into my account, seizing them every which way we do things here based on what it is that

I already stated, thank you correct. So as a result of that, um, the teams that I teased Tampa Bay with, namely Buffalo, the Rams, and the Niners, are the only kids. I'm sorry you were thinking about Buffalo against, but those three remaining. Pittsburgh is the most threatening of the three opponents, and so it has to be San Francisco and the Rams.

Sorry to do that, but if the Lions can beat because essentially that's what it comes down to you, right, if the Lions can beat San Francisco or if the Bears can beat the Rams, what do you what do you say? You're like, I have a feeling that Campbell guy is not um going to be a good football I just think I don't do anything no analytics to this. I've seen this movie before and guys who said we're gonna do what we do, we we're gonna eat you know,

we're gonna eat chainsaws in here. This is not always the kind of guy who ends up being Bill Belichick. Is it may not, it may not work out long term, but I have heard that the morale around the Lions camp is pretty high. Yeah, here here's any is. My mother used to say, morale, morale kill. Like I said, I don't know if it'll last. This is an interesting angle. And one of our hosts took extra time off this summer really to study prop market and he came up

with this. This bet Dan Campbell to be the first coach fired at one. And he made this argument to me, And I think he's a good argument. Not just based on the fact that they might be really bad and they might be O and eight and he might get whacked, but how about the fact that who knows what this guy's gonna say in a press conference and a political a great people if they say something like I never even thought about that. I think it's worth a flyer, very good. But it's a great angle. But you but

you know what urban Meyer has already exhibited. He said, Yeah, he's already showed us that he says the wrong things in press conference, so he would be the thing that I'd be worried about that too. Yeah, that's that's and by the way, that that has gone too far with it. I mean the guy that the Notre Dame coach said his team should be excellent. He was just kidding around people. Can we all just calm down and take a deep breath.

I know everybody's for you know, great comment. The next day somebody on Twitter said, today everybody's looking up who John McVeigh. But John McBay did it. It is a response to a question. He's trying to force being funny. At the end of it. What's not funny is because the kid died on the tower. I know that. But in the light of Brian Kelly's tenure at Notre Dame, they think about that when he says, I've got to tell you a good story about my my dad, who

did it three years ago, four years ago now. And he we used to call it the Bob. He used to not like listening to the customer service people give him the runaround. So one time he told he asked the DSL people when he was trying to get it set up, where are you guys located? And he's like, oh,

I can't tell you, sir. He goes, well, your building should be bombed, you know, because my dad would talk like that when he would get like real riled up and the guy said, sir, I'm gonna have to report you so so we used to do that all the time. So he has a bit of the Dan Campbell and my dad used to have it. So I just see that that attribute to Mr Wishnet everybody but but Dan Campbell and David Culley in in uh Houston because he had the famous press commerce. We said fourth down were

I know analytics. We're just gonna trust our would analytics. So you have monoliths and then you have anilys Yea analytics. I was like, wow, he really is into analytics. Okay, final two questions the staple of every megapod and thank you all for being a week one Brady, thank you

as always. Um Okay, the big favorite most likely to lose out right, otherwise known as sort of a money line parlay killer, and we should mention with some of these teasers, by the way, check to see if a teaser is a more cost effective way to do it or a money line parlay. Always check about that kind of their favorite. Here, I'm gonna go with the Kansas City Chiefs. I was going to give the candidates. I

wasn't gonna include them. Oh you weren't going to well, because if I gave six points or higher than you could, then you could pick the Chiefs. But I mean, there's not that many things. Chiefs against the Browns is gonna be too easy, even answer it's only about three games higher than six, isn't there? Well, it's Box Lions and and three. I got three to two. Those are six and a half. Okay, so we started six and a half Tampa Bay. I bet you this might close it.

Six and a half might close five Tampa Bay, Buffalo, San Francisco and the Rams, and that is all. Well, if that's the case, then I would probably just have to say Buffalo. Um. And that's I'm getting ahead of myself. That was really kind of the answer for my next question. Uh, you know what game? I want no part of um. But you know, the Steelers, as we've seen the last three or four or five years in a row, they start out hot and they fade late. So and there's

so much I don't know about this Steelers team. I think we know that their offensive line is shoddy, but is it improved? Is not Jay Harris going to make a big difference. Big Ben at thirty nine years old. Is he still got it or is he going to regress? The defense we expect is going to be good again in Pittsburgh Buffalo, are they going to be another juggernaut or are they going to slide back a little bit? So I would say the Steelers um are the best shot as far as a big underdog to win out right.

So Buffalo the team most likely to lose that right of the big favorites. Mike, I agree with him. My answer was Chiefs, and then I take Buffalo. This is a default position here because I cannot see the other I can't see even a little bit on the road, not a little bit. They did this two years ago. San Francisco had propelled them. They played those two road games. They went one at Tampa, they went and stayed in Cleveland, and then they went and beat Cincinnati and that their

Super Bowl season. They have a chance to do that again. To two road games against weak teams to start the season. They're like a million and oh against Jared Goff. To what most likely lose that right? I would go, I think my Picksburgh stores are a little bit live. We look if we can figure out how to protect Ben and that we got a chance to throw the ball down the fill with Chase Claypool on at And let me tell EANs, uh, y'all, youns are gonna have to understand.

I'm down at Bett Rivers all the time, down at the casino, and you know I got the parking even on store game day. You know it's like sixty bucks to park at the casino on store game day now, But if you've got the right card, you can park there at all you want. But anyways, I love my stores. I'm it's the listen, I'm on Buffalo. Given those choices, Buffalo, it will always be the same pick on that question. But given those choices for sure, heading into week one,

how do you think na Harris will do this? I like Naja Harris. If we can get give him a little scene, he just needs a little scene in there. I think he can really do stuff. That guy looks real good. Now I'm a little nervous he might get beat up like gold at se Kwon Barkley. He was another guy we didn't like your don at Pittsburger's been state. But anyways, I'm just telling you youns are gonna have to if we can balk. We need to balk for

Ben Roeth's Barker. If we can do that, we're gonna be something that was Ben's last name, Ben roethis Parker. That sounds very difficult. It's not easy to say these things, all right, and then the game you want no part of On the side, Brady, you already said Buffalo Pits. Yeah, Chiefs were my big you know team that I figured had the best chance to lose out right, And I want no part of the Steelers and the Bills. And you know, basically I explained why I I think Steelers

taken the points is very reasonable. Um, I think the Bills are a team that we saw last year with Brian Dable that really just steps on the neck and piles points on teams with that offensive, you know performance that they put out in So I think there are a possible team that you know, you lay the wood with two. But no, I I can make cases either way for both of these sides. I want no part of that game. I'll tell you who I want no part of. I got about six six. I want no

part of any game in any NFL. I'd like to watch. In five minutes into the second quarter, I'll decide, but I want to bet on. It's just a quick reminder we should all be betting tennis and golf or bend the damn games. In game, folks, you get so much information. Okay, here's what game. I don't want a pregame at all,

and that's Carson Wentz against Seattle. Is Carson Wentz a good quarterback or a bad quarter I remember when he was like an m v P or something and some other guy went to the Super Bowl and then then he became a terrible quarterback. What is Carson Wentz? I don't know. And the other thing is Frank Raikes a great coach, and then you got Russell Wilson on the other side. What I have no idea what I'm going to see in this game? LUs the lines flipped, you know,

it's it's it's impossible. I agree with you. I'm literally looking at more than five games I could answer this question, Mike, would you decide? It comes down to me between Packers, Saints and Jets Panthers, and I'm gonna take Jets Panthers because I want to take a weight and see approach on Zach Wilson. I thought he looked good in preseason. I think he throws a really nice ball. It's not football.

Can I just want to say one thing. Enough with the preseason and now I'm not yelling at you, per se because I like you, but these people who talk about pretense, it's not football. Nobody's playing football. But go on, I think, but not a mike. I thought it shows a really nice ball, and I'd like to take a wait and see approach on him. I don't really want to touch this gate. If you put a gun to my head, I would probably take the points here, even

though even though Todd is on is on Matt Roule. Look, we've been OPO before. We have sometimes I've won, sometimes you want well. I was right though, about the fact that you said Kirk Cousins when we were filling in for Gil. That was yes, that was the famous week where you don't want to live in a world of

Philip Rivers is a Hall of famer. Remember remember that way, Cospa schellum, you should you should say something bad about Philip Rivers, a guy who only cost me eight hundred million dollars inside the five yard line with ten seconds ago, Phil, do something passive friends at the one again, Passive friends at the one again Passinger ferens at the one again, Phil, you can't punch it in? Maybe could you sneak once? Phil Coachellum with your poor American Hebrew pronunciation shows that

God forbid. The show is for everybody. But this was a holiday for you this week, wasn't it? Monday was? Well, it was it was Russia shuna for the Jews. I am a renounced juice. So we do not celebrate that we go on a numbers game on those two days we do. It's a little bit of a difference. By the way that that week you were talking about with Philip Rivers comment was also the week where Todd Wish and I did thirty minutes of solo numbers game. Well,

they threw me. They threw me to the wolves. I didn't know I was going to And then I said, then I believe why did you have to? It was raining. It's gonna take me extra time because Mike he throws me to the wolves. I don't even know that I'm the soul guy. Somebody's got to find your career on mass Yes, and I have a big and I have a huge career in town and you get ten minutes on this. I couldn't even make it on the nuts. Can you believe it? I didn't even get to be

on the nuts. I tried. I tried, Todd. Hey, hey, I don't before we go? Are we done now? Because I want to get mine? But you have to really throw it down to one of five. Yeah, because I like your I like I like your Jets, Carolina, Charges Washington. I have no idea, uh Seattle, Indianapolis. I don't have no idea Minnesota, Cincinnati. I have no idea Jacksonville, Houston, even though some of you have conviction, I have no idea in Arizona, Tennessee, which I know you guys really like.

I don't know all of those are candidates for me. How about the Raiders? Have no idea. I'll tell you why you will get. It'll be fourth and four from about the thirty three yard and somebody's gonna kick a field goal. I'm gonna tell you that right now. But he's gonna. I would actually go with I think it's the Jets and Caroline of all of those, just because I have the least feel for either of those. Two of that bunch. Anyway, I want to ask you to

about your thoughts on the Giants in the postseason. San Francisco Giants. I know you're both first team games. It worries me, um, because that pitching staff is a little older. You know, they're not necessarily built like the Milwaukee Brewers are. We know the Dodgers are a jugger not. Um has been incredibly lucky. Yeah yeah, but this team, I mean, how about yesterday's win against the Rockies. They just continue

to find ways. I think that Chris Brian addition is huge. Um. There may be just a little more magic in the air like they've had in the past. If you look at it on paper, it scares me. But there's something about this team, and Brady can vouch for this. They probably had no business winning the World Series. They did dominant, uh and they have some of those same guys. Buster are still there, Crawford still there, Um, Brandon belt is still there. They have the veterans. Sadly Panda is not

there with them. But what Brady just said, the the word magic Again. I always joke with anybody who bets against the Giants on my show, I always did you factor Giants magic into your model, and as the year is going on, this team is way more magical than any of those World Series teams were. It's unbelievable in game them yesterday and the sick sitting plus five fifty down a run because you're like, they'll figure out a way.

It just happens. And so I do think to answer your question, I think the most obvious baseball bet is staring us right in the face, and nobody's talking about, which is the Giants to win the World Series. At eleven and one, we've got so locked into this thing that the Giants are not built for the postseason. They don't have the top shelf starters that the Brewers do. They don't have the top shelf starters that the Dodgers do.

But we have seen now how it doesn't. It's not about your starters as much anymore as just having lots of really good pictures puzzling and putting them as a puzzle together. So will they win the World Series? Who knows? But at eleven to one, give me that. And they just took two out of three from the Dodgers. Well that's the thing they want to play. The Dodgers never make up any ground against them head to head, They've taken seven of tens and they all star break from

the That's the thing. Do you think they have to win the division? That there's too much in jeopardy in a wild card game because they don't have that you can count on for that game. Yes, I do think they have to win the division. And picking up a game on Tuesday was a bear. On Wednesday rather was a big deal. I have futures on both the Brewers and the Giants to win the National League Pennants, so

I hope they meet in the National League Championship Series. Well, the wild Card will play the winner of the West, right, so it's probably gonna be two West teams in that divisional round because Card plays the best record, which is going to be in the West. You could have the Dodgers play the Giants. If the Dodgers win the wild card games, they play at the Giants, right, you know, and in the American League right now, not to make it all baseball, but will be a far more missard.

The Yankees are in jeopard here and the Blue Jays out of nowhere. You can still get the Blue Jays at a great price to win the American League. You can also have Charlie Montoya's bullpen. The bullpen has been good in New York. Here this series, this game where they rallied to beat the A's, they suddenly have this faith and they're all hitting. They want in a row. No, they can hit, they can hit, but you're gonna get

real nervous late in the game. I I'm just saying, if they get in there, remember how that home crowd was into when the Joey Jose Bautista days. I'm gonna tell you, in the last time, in the last two months, maybe even three months, the two best pitchers in baseball Adventurers and Robbie Ray. Yeah, no doubt got hurt. He got hurt. Okay, So before we go, I'm sorry because I got into it. I got into it with the yesterday on this So I believe that this is the

most moment so news flash. So so I believe when we talked this briefly day, but I didn't get to the point that these markets, these Baseball award markets this year are more driven by these unbending narratives than ever before. So Fernando Tatis might win the n L MVP, and maybe he deserves it, but minus three hundred and like Lon so does eighty one? What are we talking about? Can't hide him anywhere in the field. Right, he's a butcher, Right,

he's a butcher. At American League Brook of the Year, Vonder Franco is about to break. He's at thirty eight straight games getting on base safely under twenty players. The record is Frank Robinson forty three. He already passed Mickey Mantle. And yet he's the third shot I get because he hasn't played as much. It's a Rookie of the Year. You don't have to count counting stats like how is

he four to one? And so the one that he and I got into was American le M v P. And yesterday he went crazy about show Hey, O, Tony doesn't even deserve consideration. I very quietly at first described it. I'll go, E, you're crazy, like you're dying on this hill. They're gonna be a fifty and he's gonna be fifty and twenty five homers and stolen bases. He's leading the league in home runs. He's got an e r A of you know, he's a cy young candidate. What are

you talking about? Babe Ruth's he's hiding and batting against smell. And you know he used to say, who were the greatest sports players of all time? It was Michael Jordan's, Babe Ruth, Babe Todd. I said, not only is he had the m v P this year, he is vying for one of the greatest individual seasons in the history of the sport. No, He's point is right, though, that Vlad would be an m v P and almost any other year, and he's not even really being talking. What's

a starter? Well, that's what I'm saying. Well, Lad never walked his way out of a game. And in the Yankee Stadium in the bottom of the first Jason is telling us we have to wrap up because I believe the nuts is about, Oh my god, the nuts. Probably not even the nuts. Todd Wishner will be spilling in for both. Are you going to be on the A block and would like me to be on? Yeah, I would like to have you on the A block. That would be nuts. Does that sound like an invite? I

think it sounded like an invite. Um, thank you for listening to the megapod. Thank you Brady, thank you Todd and Mike Todd, you're not gonna be with us, And I just want to say how delightful it was to get the hang out with Mike Palm in person and bust his balls and you get to bust my balls. We used to have so much fun at the South

Point watching them. In fact, the first time I ever met Mike Palm, I was walking around South Point with one of those big soundboxes, and him and his boys, like Polly, We're all making fun of me that I was like some loser walking around at the sound box. Meanwhile, the sound box is the greatest thing ever designed. And Mike you started to come over once I gave him some free popcorn. All of a sudden, these my best buddy. And then we bonded over the goal with one t

night bonded. We bonded over there. There was a goal off. There was a goal. It was Toronto Mega Leaves against the Boston Bruins. There was a goal with point one seconds left, but it wasn't a goal. But it was a goal that they shook hands. That wasn't a goal. Some places at four one someplace, me and Mike both lost. All right, we gotta go everybody that had Brady Cannon Megapod Week one guest catches. Thank you guys, thank you for listening to the Megapod. Good luck with all your bets.

Week one in the NFL