Beating The Book: 2020 Week 2 NFL Guessing Lines Show with Chris Andrews

something here called Guessing Lines. UH. It is a tribute to the old Stardust radio show featuring the great Roxy Rocksborough UH. And this is an exercise designed to extract value from the upcoming week's NFL lines. Because I will put myself out there. I have been in a cocoon since yesterday. I do not know any of the lines for a week two and I Am going to guess what they are. Chrissie Andrews Mysa who runs the South Point Hotel cause Sports Book is going to produce the matchup.

I will guess what I think the line should be. We'll talk about yesterday's games, of course in the process, and then he'll tell me what he'll be posting here at the South Point Hotel Casino. That's how this works. I will put myself out there. I will be incredibly wrong on some of these lines inevitably, and I will let the hate wash over me. How about that? And with that said, let's bring him in Chris Andrews. Everybody. Good morning to you, Chrissie. How you doing. I'm doing great,

jolly and I could see something's never change. You're still pulling the more Murphy Brown act with a new producer every week. And yes that's true sports doing that. Thanks for noticing. Yeah, but yeah, I listen that this is uh like my favorite two hours of the week, talking to you on Monday mornings. We've been doing this for many years now, so I'm looking forward to, uh, you know, another another year. We know we're getting started. You know,

I hope we can standish, is all I keep saying. Yeah, I agree with that, and mind to my favorite two hours of the week as well. And for those looking for you know, we will touch on other sports here briefly today, but really we dive back into the uh the mix of sports and what a day across sports yesterday. We'll touch on that briefly, but really we'll get back in earnest on it tomorrow. Uh, let us begin without further ado, because we have a full slate to get

to and we'll need all the time. So without further ado, Chris, Uh, let us begin. You provide the I. I suppose we're starting with a Thursday night matchup and we'll go from there. Yeah, Thursday night, we got the Cincinnati Bengals at the Cleveland Brown Cincinnati at Cleveland. Boy, we're starting with a real

barnburn on Thursday, week two. Anyway, last week's UH, you know game aside, all right, So Cincinnati coming off their loss to the l A Chargers, a game they were in every position to win at the end yesterday, UH couldn't get it done. There was an offensive p I called late in the game on the final uh play, and then Randy Bullock. I don't know if he pulled a calf muscle or if he or if he only feigned pulling it after he missed what could have been a game tying field goals at the end of that

game against the Chargers. But the Bengals lose. Joe Burrow and his debut twenty three or thirty six for one nine three no touchdowns, one pick, was sack three times twice. He overthrew open receivers what would have been touched for what would have been touchdowns. Yesterday, UH, he did move the Bengals as I mentioned the twenty three yard line closing minutes, made a rookie mistake. UH forced to shovel pass that Ingram picked off Melvin Ingram. That was before

the last sequence. UH the in character finished where A J Green was called for the UH O p I in the end zone. And then Randy Bullock missing a thirty one yard and when I say missing a thirty one yard with two seconds left, I mean really missing it, grabbing his left his left calf which he said cramped when he planted. That effected the kick. According to Bullock says,

it's never happened to him before the Browns. UH. Maybe the most disappointing of all teams in Week one, Christie, I'm not sure not only getting beat by the Ravens, no shame in that, but just getting destroyed by the Ravens UH thirty eight to six final. In that one, Baker Mayfield thirty eight, one touchdown, one pick, sack twice. Cleveland still hasn't opened with the victories since two thousand four. All that said, UM, I don't think the Bengals are

any good. I think the Chargers just gave them every opportunity obviously is outlined to win that game. And we have a rookie quarterback in Joe Burrow not only coming off his very first game, but now on a short week, rookie quarterback, short week from game one to game two. That can't be good. I'll say Cleveland by a touchdown. Cleveland minus seven. Well, here a little high. It's mostly six. I can see, UM. I can see your logic, but

I like to lower number. You know, I went to UM, I have like a very you know, I have a very elementary, let's say grading system, you know for the game games, and the Browns by far had the worst grade of the week. And you know, I bought into it because I'm in a couple of contests and I had the Browns I think in every one of them too, and I fell into that trap of thinking, you know, here an all off season boys, this team has tons of talent. If they gets the stuff together, look out

rest of the NFL, because they're really dangerous. I bought into all of that they look like the worst team, and well from the Jets will probably give a run. There's a couple of teams out there look that, but they look absolutely horrible. Um So you know, my power rating comes to a lot less than that. But I do understand your logic. A rookie quarterback or a coach who I have a tremendous amount of questions about for Cincinnati, Uh,

they didn't show, you know. I kept saying, you know, coaches like players should get better from year one to year two. You know, I mean we're one game in. I'm not sure I wanted, you know, sole throw this guy completely under the bus. But I haven't seen any improvement in his coaching or in the team. And I think that's the team that has some underrated talent. So my power rings come to a lot lower than six.

But I do understand the reasoning. And as bad as the Browns are, at least they do have more talent and they do have a more experienced quarterback, So I can see the six. That's what I'm gonna open here at the south Point. Okay, No, no, no, huge issue with that Cleveland. I don't know what it is. And I've said this for a better part of a year now.

About Baker Mayfield. I don't know if it's the arrogance that puts me off, but at some point you have to show something on a football field, and at some point the fingers have to point at you. I don't know if we're at that point yet, but it's creeping up that way. So this is a matchup on a Thursday. Cleveland should be able to roll this team on Thursday. We will see if that's the case or not. So

you got six there, I got six. Like I said, I I think it's a shade high, but I understand the reasoning because of everything we just said, and I don't think it could. You know, you just can't affego the fact that it's a wokie quarterback playing in his second game on a short week after you know. I mean, he didn't look terrible, which war is my numbers here. I was a cube yard though twenty point two. That's pretty bad. Um, it was passer rating sixty six point one.

I always like to look at yards per tempt five point four and that's pretty terrible. Um, But he's playing another team that looked pretty bad too, so I'd probably lean towards taking the points, but I don't think they'd be uh going hard hog wild on twenty point two QBR. Remember, for folks that scored out of a hundred fifty is an average performance. Twenty point two for Baker Mayfield. I I had in games on the Chargers, for for for Borrow.

I'm sorry for Joe Burrow. Yeah not good. Yeah, don't worry. Maybe there wasn't much better thirty three point four right, yeah, semantics And when it comes to those numbers, um, yeah, I had to end games on the Chargers against the Bengals. Have no idea how they got there, but based on what we just outlined, somehow it did with mistakes from the rookie quarterback and then the Shenanigans at the game at the end with the O p I and also

with the shank to field goal. Let's go to Sunday. Okay, Sunday, we have the Rams at the Eagles, Rams at the Eagles, Rams beat the Cowboys last night for those who missed it, for those who were exhausted, like we we typically get at the end of an NFL football day, but maybe because we're not used to it more so than anything Yesterday I had a real hard time getting locked into that game last night. I don't know if it was the nature of it or just the game flow, but

the Rams end up beating the Cowboys seventeen. That one also featured of p I that came into play very prominently. An offensive p I Cowboys with thirty one seconds left, Dak Deep to Mike Gallup looked like a completed pass, but he shoved off Jalen Ramsey apparently just enough to draw the flag, and Jalen Ramsey sold it. So the Rams end up preserving the seventeen win. We'll get to the Cowboys and their play calling and some questionable play

calling at that momentarily, but the Rams win that. The Eagles lose to the Washington football team. We said it about the Washington football team. We'll talk about them later. They have a certain strength. If they held the other team to a certain amount of points, maybe they can win football games. They played it perfectly. But the Eagles, they played perfectly to that script. The Eagles were up

in this game seventeen to nothing. So all that said, you think you can win a game where you're up seventeen and nothing, where your win probability in game per next Gen Stats was nine for the Eagles. I don't know if I I that one so much. By the way I buy what I buy baseball win probabilities, I'm not sure if I buy, but that's what they said.

Wentz was for two seventy two touchdowns, two picks. He was sacked Chrissie eight times, eight times through his first interception in attempts going back to last December one, but right tackled Jack Driscoll and right guard Nate Herbick there starting there, we're starting their first career games. They were missing. The Eagles were three time Pro Bowl right tackle Lane Johnson and three time Pro Bowl right guard Brandon Brooks. So much of the Eagles lack of success yesterday can

kind of be focused on that and that alone. Rams at Eagles. You got a one and no team and an O and one team. The Eagles will still be favorite. I'll say by two and a half. Yeah, you're right on. It's two and a half. But this open higher. In a lot of spots last night I saw like three and a half and four. It's not a two and a half. A little bit of juice on the favorite, Uh see a three with money on the dog. My numbers are a lot closer to pick. And I'll tell

you why. You know, you really hit on it. People look at injuries, and the first thing they look at it, of course, his quarterback. But after that they started looking at receivers running backs, probably receivers more nowadays than than a couple of years passed. But everybody overlooks those offensive line injuries and during the course of the season. And by the way, I had Washington and a bunch of

those contentests yesterday and the watch guys. Actually it's weird that because I saw wise thats on both sides of that of the Washington Philly game yesterday. But I had Washington and it really wasn't a bet on Washington. Was more of a bet against Philadelphia really for the exact reason you mentioned. With the right side of their line, they went from two all pros, the two guys starting their very first game. I mean, and whence, what do you say, has how many sacks did he have with

in my notes here yet? Uh? Eight sacks? But besides the eight acts, I mean, he was pressured the whole game. And you know, I still like wins quite a bit. But you know, you had. Last year, he had all the skill position players around them suffered injuries. Now this year he has all the offensive lineman or his key offensive linemen have suffered huge injuries that I think are really affecting this team. So my numbers, I'm gonna open

this low as low as possible right now. I see two and a half, like I said, with a little juice from the favorite, but stays like this by the end of the show. I'll just open the two and a half flat. If I see it dropped down even a little bit more, I'm gonna I'm gonna try to stay under the market on this game at two. And you know the Rams, we had a lot of sharp money on their rams, and in fact, all the wise

guys were on the Rams last night. And again I understand why you look back at just a few short years ago. This team was in the Super Bowl and uh, you know, their coach was like the hot guy in the whole league. And last year they fell back a little bit, not quite that much. I think they missed. Man, there's a lot of them uh things with their salary

cap and that's that sort of thing. But there was still a pretty good product that they have on the field, and I thought they looked good and they got a little lucky to win, There's no doubt about it. I'm not sure about that push off at the end um, but still a pretty good team may have some respect for the Rams that maybe it was overlooked by the general public. So I put me down. I like the Rams in this spot. I think they that this game should be no worse than pick them. Maybe even the

Rams are very slight favors. I think fully has a ton of problems right now. Jared goff Wasy of thirty one for two seventy five last night, no touchdowns, one pick, was sack once as biggest target was Robert Wood six catches for one oh five, a lot of that early in the game. I didn't think the Rams were that spectacular last night. I didn't think they were that noteworthy in any kind of way. So two games, no incidents yet with the lines, Chrissy, give me a third. We'll

do one quick here before the break. Carolina at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Carolina loses to the to the Las Vegas Raiders. Seesaw game Bridgewater Teddy Bridgewater first start for the Panthers, twenty two of thirty four for two seventy one touchdown note picks with sack ones. Christian McCaffrey twenty three carries ninety six yards, two touchdowns, three catches for thirty eight yards, or as defenses like to call it,

we bottled him up pretty good with those numbers. Actually, Robby Anderson six catches for one fifteen and a touchdown. But car Carolina has inexperienced secondary and they struggled that a rookie cornerback, Tony Pride, he missed one assignment that resulted in Henry Ruggs going forty five yards later, same corner allowed at twenty three yard touchdown past the Nelson Agalore uh, and it didn't happen. It obviously didn't help that Dante Jackson went down early in the first quarter

either their number one corner. UH. The Raiders did start two rookies at wide receiver, but clearly those Carolina injuries and UH and lack of experience really might have been the rule of the day or might have actually been the difference, I should say, in that game. So Carolina loses to Las Vegas in their opener. Tampa Bay loses to New Orleans. No real surprise there. Tom Brady and his debuted twenty three or thirty six, two thirty nine, two touchdowns, two picks, one of which was a pick six,

sack three times. He did score on the on the first drive of the UH of the season for Tampa Bay. They went up seven and nothing, but they end up losing to the Saints as uh. Let's call it four and a half now, four point closing dogs thirty four to twenty three. But it's the pick six. There was a mortar kick uh that ended up back in New Orleans hands as well. You take those two things out,

maybe it's a completely different outcome. I don't think this is a down grade for Tampa Bay at all here after that game, like, I don't think of them any differently. I will say, I'll guess ten points here, and we'll go to the break here, Christie, and we'll get your reaction. But I'll guess ten points. It's a numbers game, it's guessing lines. It's brought to you by bet MGM Sports Football's back obviously at bet MGM Sports Nevada, the premier sports betting app from the same folks who bring you

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Must be twenty one or older and physically located in Nevada. Please gamble responsibly as always, We'll get Chrissie's reaction to that guessing lines and numbers game at Visa the Sports Betting Network. Chrissie Andrews is here guessing lines in the NFL for week number two. What about my reaction before the break? Then to the matchup you gave me between the Bucks and the Panthers. I got the Buck's mind is ten crazy? You're too high? Are you given teams

a home field advantage? No, but I don't. I actually don't downgrade the Bucks at all for yesterday. Well, I'm looking at my power raise and I don't let me see, I don't think. I don't. I might have downgraded. Listen, this is kind of tricky. I downgraded them a point. Um. I expect them to be really good by the end of the year. It's I think it's just gonna take

a little while for Brady. You know, we talked about Baker Mayfield's qbr Brady was like one point higher, thirty four point six, and Bakers was thirty three point four. So I mean, he doesn't have it together yet. I'm not, you know, bagging on Brady. I think he looks pretty good. Some of the numbers want to reflect that, but I think he still looked like the Brady of three, four or five years ago, so which by the way, was

good enough to win Super Bowls. So I'm not bagging on him, but I think it's just gonna take a while for everything that come together for this team. You know, it's old news. Of course, we had no preseason or anything like that, so it might take a little bit of a while. And he's been known to start slow a couple of other years, although Steelers would dispute that. But I think you're just too high. Seven and a

half is what I see. I've see anywhere from seven a half to eight half, I'm gonna open seven half. I like that better. Um, you know, I thought the Panthers, you know, they looked okay, kind of like right about where I thought. You know, they had a very good game against against Las Vegas UM, which I thought was really a pretty good game. But Bridgewater I thought looked pretty good, which you know, it was a good thing. I always really like this kid coming out of college.

He had a devastating injury. I'm not sure, however, get back to where he was, but I thought he looked pretty good and I think this team could stay within seven and a half. And by the way, I mentioned the home field rating, which I've been talking for years that I think it was very much overrated, and this year I think it has to be almost nil. But Ed saying, did uh a study on it, and he put it out on Twitter a couple of weeks ago.

In the NFL. Over the last couple of years, I think his numbers for home field came like one point seven points, and I think that's probably about right. But this year, I think it's gonna be nothing. And yesterday I think I think it was six dogs one out right on the road. So I think I home field just not gonna mean anything hardly at all. So I think you're a little high with this, And no, I don't know if that subconsciously got into your thought process.

For I think seven and a halfs plenty apps. Like I said, I then from seven half to eight and half, but I definitely like the lower end of the spectrum. Well, and you scared me. I thought you were gonna say like six and a half, but at least you're over seven. So I'm not I'm not like egregiously laughably off, but I will say that it was it about home field. To me, it's about what I said before the break.

If Carolina is playing Tony Pride at corner and if they're going to be banged up on the other side and not have Dante Jackson playing, If that's the possibility, Tom Brady is going to have a field day. So that's why I came up with the ten. But you know, seven and a half, all right, I won't go crazy about that, but I think I like Tampa Bay at that number Um show show. Yeah, that's but you're absolutely

right about home field. Drew Dinsick did a great job with this when he was on the podcast earlier the summer. By the way, we will put this in podcast for him of course at Beating the Book for those who missed any parts of this and want to check back. But if you do the study of all two fifty six games this year, from the first lines that were put out, even by the numbers itself, you can tell that home field baked into the lines is worth only about a point and a half, you know, this season.

Uh And of course besides Jacksonville, we had nobody in the stands yesterday. It should be noted Jacksonville couldn't sell all eighteen thousand tickets. It was like just north of sixteen thousand. We'll get to that momentarily. That is true. We'll get to that. We'll get the details on that. We'll do more. We've only gotten through three games, so

we'll step on it. Guessing lines for a week too in the National Football League with Christie Andrews at Andrew's Sports by the Way on Twitter right here at Visa the Sports betting network. On a numbers game, Let's get some more lines with Chrissie Andrews. Let's continue, sir, we're behind pace, Chrissie. Let's get it going. We've got the

Broncos after Steelers, two teams playing tonight. Okay, so do we even have a line for this because neither team has played obviously, Denver's playing Giants night numbers numbers, Yeah, well site unseen, Broncos playing Giants tonight, and uh, Pittsburgh excuse me, Pittsburgh playing the Giants tonight, Denver playing Tennessee tonight.

Pardon me. Pittsburgh now a six point favorite after being a three point favorite against the Giants, Tennessee a three point favorite after being a three point dog against the Broncos. I mean, I would imagine that that pittsg I would imagine Pittsburgh will be more than the three point favorite in less than a seven. I'll just put the no man's land of five and a half as a placeholder. I see between five and half and six and a half, I'm gonna open six. I have a lot of questions

really about both teams. Um. You know, I hear Drew lock sposedly looks really really good in the preseason, but you know, I don't know how much to buy into that. I hear Roethlisberger also looks really good, but he doesn't have too many weapons right now. He doesn't have uh Antonio Brown, he doesn't have Lady on Bill, So I mean, I'm not sure what else they have. The defense I think for Pittsburgh will be great, but yeah, I think six and we'll start air and see where it goes.

Site unseen for both of those teams will have fun tonight on MSG plus on Primetime Action Matt Brown, Kelly Bidland, Dad Yelle Alvari and myself do doing a Giants game in front of the New York audience. That should be pretty fun. What's next? Atlanta at Dollar Atlanta Dallas. Atlanta loses to the Seahawks. Mattie Ice, Matt Ryan thirty seven of fifty four for four fifty two touchdowns, a pick in two sacks. But but all of that, not all of that, but most of that was garbage time right

as Maddie Ice just pads the stats. Todd Gurley in his debut with the Falcons fourteen and fifty six for a touchdown, Julio nine for one fifty seven, Ridley nine for one, thirty two touchdowns, Gauge nine for one fourteen. They could really fill up a statuet when they're trying to catch up in garbage time, but they were oh for four on fourth downs, So they lose to the Seahawks, and they sublime Russell Wilson, which we'll get to. Dallas,

as we mentioned, loses to the Rams. Dac was twenty five and thirty nine for two sixty six, one touchdown. Note picks sack three times, Zeke twenty two of ninety six with a touchdown, excuse me, Cooper ten of eight ten for eighty one Seedee Lamb and his debut five catches for fifty nine yards. But Dallas managed only a net of fifteen yards on its final ten plays of

the game, fifteen netyards on its final ten plays. And I did mention earlier if you missed it, Michael Gallup making a long catch that would have put the Cowboys in field goal range with twenty one seconds left, but was called for O p I for contact with Jalen Ramsey. Ramsey completely sold it. I'm not so sure it should have been called, but let's go back earlier. Chrissie down three. Mike McCarthy curiously goes for it on fourth and three from the Rams eleven with about twelve minutes to play.

There down three, they could have tied the game up rams Rookie safety Jordan Fuller makes a great tackle on Cedee Lamb before the marker. I've said this before on this show. I've said it often. I think we're in an age where a lot of these coaches are listening to what they think they're supposed to do based on analytics and have no real understanding of what they're actually

supposed to do on analytics. And some of these play calls and some of these decisions just appeared to me to be way too cool for school and it made no sense of the time. This is not armchair quarterback because they didn't get it. But as they're doing I'm like, what is he doing? And you know, just added to the list of why the Cowboys end up losing this game. So also, I have to give a line. I forgot Cowboys minus four and all that said Cowboys minus four

and a half. Yeah, I like your number much better. It's like six. And I even see a six and a half out there. I like, actually hit a couple of six man the first Yeah. I never all off season, I didn't buy into this Dallas craft. You know where everybody's you know, it seems like every news show I watched every day was talking about Dak Prescott and how Jerry Jones blew it by not signing him to some hundred and some million dollar contract and everything else was

going to change with the nature of the team. Now that you know Herrit's out, the party's in. That was a horrible decision. I'm with you. I said the exact same thing at the time. How could he not kick? I mean, we needed Dallas in the game, so, um yeah, men were quite a bit to us. We had quite a bit of money on their ramps, um so. And and on the other side of the coin, we had a lot of money on the Falcons. Now, I know, you know they lost, and I just don't understand about

the statue. Uh they had three guys that over a hundred yards receiving and they really kind of we're number in the game, you know. Um, but a lot of wise Guy money showed on Atlanta before that game. A lot of wise Guy money showed against Dallas before that game. I think that means something I really do And I, like I said, I did six six and a half. This number is gonna come down. And I'm with you on this side. I think four is much closer to

where we should be on this game. And uh, like I said, I'm not buying into this Dallas crap that we here pretty much every Let me interrupt you, Chrissy, because we've got let me interrupt you because we've got to go to break. But that is the first one I really like. Give me. If you're giving me six and a half, give me Atlanta for goodness sake, Layton vander esh collar bone injury, cam Irving Blake Jarwin both didn't return from the injuries. Give me Atlanta coming back.

Guessing lines Chrisie Andrews a numbers game in visa these Sports Betting Network skill, Alexander, It's Christie Andrews. It's guessing lines, y'all for Week two in the National Football League. It's just like riding a bike. Um, and I have to say, Krizzy when you when you you've already uttered the first I like your line better and somehow that just warms my heart so much. So thank you for that on

the Atlanta Dallas game. Let me just repeat at the end because I think you had something to add at the end. If I'm not mistake mistaken, h Cowboys lost starting linebacker Layton vander Esh to a collar bone injury in the first quarter. He's gonna be out for a long time with a collarbone injury. And then right tackle Cam Irving tight end Blake Jarwin both didn't return from knee injuries in the second quarter. So add that into the mix. You had something to add about that game. Well,

a couple of things real quick. Shawn Lee, who has been a terrific linebacker for a long time for them, did not dress yesterday, and he's had injury problems throughout his career is getting a little long in the tooth. But without vanderis where I think it's one of the best linebackers in the league. They're really gonna need Lee, and I don't know if there's a problem or not. The other thing I wanted to say, even more importantly, one of the big outfits and far away places just

is starting to open up right now. They opened five and a half. So if you see a six and a half, if I were you, I would grab it right away. Or I don't often advocate buying a half points, but you brought this up to seven. Might not be the worst thing in the world. That you could do, but I'm gonna open five and a half. I'm gonna try to stay under the market as much as I can in this game. Yeah, and again for those who are like, hey, did you really stay in the cocoon?

I had four and a half. I'm shocked that this would be six and a half. Let's move on to the next one next week that the Niners at the Jets, Niners at the Jets, too, oh and one teams after Week one. The Niners lose outright UH to the Arizona Cardinals and do so as six and a half point favorites. Jimmy Garoppolo nineteen two nine, two touchdowns, no picks. He

was sacked three times. Rahe Moster fifteen for fifty six, also caught four balls for yards and a touchdown, But the Niners were two of eleven on third down and oh for two on four and that'll usually do it in high leverage situations. Garoppolo led the Niners down to the sixteen yard line at the end of the game before throwing an incomplete pass the Trent Taylor on fourth

and five that ended their late comeback attempt. UH. And then the Jets they lose to the Bills, and that score probably wasn't as close as the final score indicates. Sam Donald thirty five for two fifteen, one touchdown to pick sack three times. Jamison Crowder was the big target seven for one fifteen and a touchdown, but really most of that was on the touchdown, so that's a little misleading. And Levian Bell was ruled out in the second half

due to a hamstring injury. The Jets managed one first down on their first five possessions of this game, and that pretty much wrote the story for the day because the Bills went out to a big lead on the strength of that. Only eighteen minutes and thirty eight seconds total time of possession for the Jets in that game, So the final score of twenty seven to seventeen not nearly as close as that score suggests. By the way, the Niners just to be thorough lost their game outright,

uh to twenties six and a half point favorites. But San Francisco will be favorite here and I have them by a full touchdown. I had San Francisco minus seven here. Chrissie, Well, you're dead on at seven. I think that number is a little short myself. Um I think the Jets just look horrible. Adam Gays looks totally clueless as a coach. Sam Donald has regressed, and you know they have a a back oop. Evidently they thought quite a bit of certainly in the last couple of years. Although, like I said,

he's regrets. But this is when you're supposed to go out and try to load your team with, you know, free agents and guys that could get to to a Super Bowl. This has been the formula in the NFL the last couple of years. When you have that quarterback on the rookie deal, you have money to spend under your cap. You know they did none of that. They're totally mismanaged. That poorly coached Donald. I didn't like him too much coming out of college. I thought he had talent,

but he didn't protect the ball ow enough. He needed good coaching. He's not getting that. But I you know, I'm gonna open seven and I don't want to just open seven half. I know it'd be an automatic play for guys, but this is what I'm gonna try to stay above the market because I think the Jets are just absolutely horrible. And I didn't downgrade the Niners too much.

They've thrown in some clinkers in the last year or two, but I think they're gonna still be a really really good team and uh, a playoff team and one of the NFC favorites to make the Super Bowl, one of one of them. I'm with you on all that. Same thing up the Niners. I don't downgrade them too much. Actually, Cardinals gonna be really good. And I'm with you about Donald. Same thing that I said about Baker Mayfield applies to Donald. We might not be there quite yet, but we're getting

there pretty quick. Uh. As to focusing on maybe those two guys aren't really gonna make it. Uh. And I certainly feel that way about Donald, even more so than to do about Mayfield. All right, let's move on to the next one here, Buffalo at Miami. All right, Buffalo. We just talked about Buffalo beating the Jets. Uh, Jared out excuse me, Josh Allen, rather pardon me. Shallon in victory thirty three for forty six for three twelve, two touchdowns,

no picks, uh, sack three times. But on the ground Josh Allen doing Josh Allen things fourteen of fifty seven, also scored on the ground. But when I say Josh Allen doing Josh Allen things, he also lost two fumbles. First player to top three hundred yards as the Buffalo Bill starting quarterbacks through the air since to Rod, pardon

me not, Tyrod. To Rod Taylor had three twenty nine in a thirty one overtime lost to Miami back in you believe that Stephen Digs in his debut with the Bills eight captains eighty six yards and as I mentioned, with the Jets time of possession, Bills had it for forty one minutes and twenty two seconds. Buffalo's d was a force in this game. They lost Matt Molana to a hamstring injury in the second quarter, and then after outside linebacker or excuse, and then and then I believe

right after he uh he he injured it. I'm trding he injured it right after he picked off Sam Donald's pass over the middle. And then the Tremaine Edmonds didn't return after hurting his shoulders. So the Bills sort of overcame those injuries. Tyler Bass choppy day as a field goal kicker missed two field goals. Um, and they're playing who Miami? You said Miami was a real disappointment to me. Yesterday I had them plus the points against the Patriots.

They didn't really look good at all. Ryan Fitzpatrick twenty of thirty, no touchdown passes, three picks, he was sacking ones, and they were two of ten on third down. They only had two hundred sixty nine total yards of offense did the Dolphins, and they lost DeVante Parker, their top receiver, who left in the third quarter with a hamstring injury. I would imagine Buffalo has got to be favorite here.

I'm wondering if Miami is going to be this team that I chronically feel better about than the market does. I have Buffalo minus two and a half at Miami. WHOA, you're way low there, he goes, there's the first embarrassment of the year. What is it? It's five and a half And I even thought that was maybe a little light. I'm looking through the numbers here, Fitzpatrick no touchdowns, three interceptions. This QBR was seventy two point seven. Yeah, figure that out,

and I just double checked. That's when he's got you know, I don't know where they came up with that number. I had Miami two yesterday and I thought I thought they would really show. You know, their defense played pretty good. I didn't think this Patrick been good. And they're offense didn't look that good. And we're talking about Josh Allen, I mean, wasn't. He's showing in progress, whereas um, you know, Sam Donald is not. I mean, Alan is showing progress.

He's still wildly inconsistent at times. But he did have that three hundred yard game. I thought you were gonna say they didn't have a three hundred your games is Jim Kelly, uh the way the Buffalo office. But yeah, that's another um. But I see improvement out of this kid, and I think he fits that team very very well. So I see five and a half. I'm probably not going to open it six, but I see a four and a half out there. I'm gonna stay high on

the market in this game. I know you've you've been a big Miami man, and they've been pretty good catching catching points, but I don't I don't particularly like him in this spot. I think I think that's a little cheap. So I'm opening five and a half. But you know, you'll probably on Miami and this one. But there I can't join you here. I'm on Miami. I'm not gonna let one game sort of like take me off of my entire feeling on that football team. So I like

much like I liked Atlanta in that earlier game. I think I have a second pick here. I think I like Miami. If you're giving me all those points, I will take the Dolphins. Let's squeeze in one more here before the break. Minnesota at Indianapolis, Boy oh boy. Two teams that lost. UM Minnesota loses to Green Bay Cousins nineteen two sixty two touchdowns, a pick, sack twice. Feeling was a big target six for one ten and two touchdowns.

They had the ball for for eighteen minutes and forty four seconds, but an absence of a pass rush from the Vikings. Daniel Hunter was on the men with a neck injury. Everson Griffin, now with Dallas after ten seasons with the team, and gok Way didn't do anything in this game and they got rolled by the Packers. Then there's the Colts, who many a survivor pool went down with the Colts. Thirty percent of survivor pools went down with the Colts alone. By the way, forty two of

survivor pools already out of the circuit contest. But Colts alone Rivers was thirty six or forty six for three sixty three and their loss to the Jaguars one touchdown, two picks they lost Marlon Mack looks like a roughshert Achilles and uh. The theme of young rookie kickers not playing well. I mentioned Bass missing two chippies for Buffalo Blanketship missed an easy, costly kick for the Colts yesterday as well. Rams kicker missed one early. Also, UM, I

don't know what to make of this game. This to me felt pick amish. We have thirty seconds here, Chrissy. I liked your number Bettergill. It's three. I uh, Colts three and even higher I saw yesterday, but it's coming down. I said, if you see a three Flint, I would go out and grab it. Yeah, and you know I did that thing for Matt humans on quarterbacks. And the first thing I said was why did they signed Philip Rivers. I I didn't take my chances with Jacko. We were

set and maybe try to draft one this year. I would not go with Philip Rivers. I'm not going to change my mind here this game. I think picked on this plenty here, and I would not be on the colts under any circumstances. Colts By, it makes no sense to me. All right, let's just let's review the first hour. Chrissy likes two of my lines better, and then one

of them Buffalo Miami he thought was ridiculous. My part, Uh, I like the vikings a lot right there, My goodness, all right, the whole it's all this whole exercise designed to extract value. I hope you're playing along with us. It's guessing lines. We continue with Chrissy Andrews right here in the numbers game at Visa, the sports betting network. Um, let's bring him back, ladies and gentlemen. Here's the star

of Guessing Lines. It's Christie Andrews, who runs the South Point Hotel Casino sports book here of course at the tip of the strip he's the author of. Then one Day, remember all those story times we used to do on Guessing Lines, both on the podcast uh and here on a numbers game. It's all in book form in a much more fleshed out fashion, with extra stories as well. Then one Day, Chrissy available where all books are sold. Still I'd go to Amazon Best man a great honest answer.

I'd go to Amazon. I don't know about where all books are so so they never got into Barnes and Noble. I don't know why we we We haven't occasionally at the south Point gift Shop, and it seems like they sell out pretty quickly over there, which I guess a good thing. But Amazon pretty safe. Yeah, well, it's your constituency here at the south Point gift Shop, I would imagine. Yeah, all right, let's go to another one. By the way, we're still in early games. What is the early late

game thing? Uh? How does that break out next week? With yesterday? Were nine early and three late? Yeah, ten early games. I have my TVs in my aneliminate one. Please? All right? What's well? I lecross at the by the way, we said it before. If I said again, you like the Vikings plus three flat, go and grab it now, grab it disappearing. Uh. We have the Lions at the Packers. We already did it, didn't didn't At the Packers we

talked about both of those teams opponents. Lions are oh and one after their loss to the Bears, which I have much to say about, and the Packers. Uh. Aaron Rodgers. This just in good at football. Beating the Vikings yesterday and beating the Vikings by a score of forty three to thirty four by far the highest scoring game in the NFL UH this weekend to fourteen. Thirty eight points were scored in the fourth quarters the Vikings. Uh did

a lot in garbage time there. But as far as the Packers are concerned, as I said, Aaron Rodgers thirty two of forty four for three sixty four, four touchdowns, no picks, wasn't sacked at all, his first full game he ever played anywhere in Minnesota without being sacked. Davante Adams is just his dude. Four team catches for one fifty six two touchdowns. Valdes Scanty had a good game too, uh four four catches for ninety six and a touchdown, five hundred twenty two total yards of offense for the

Packers held the ball for over forty one minutes. Uh. They had their way with Minnesota's defense. Minnesota's defense renovated this year. Minnesota's problems that gave you know, Kirk Cousins got a big contract. Obviously Dalvin Cook did, so you ended up with two quarterbacks named Mike Hughes and Holton Hill for Minnesota with their third round draft pick, Cameron Danceler saying, plenty of action all of them twenty three

years of age or younger. No Xavier Rose, no Trey Wayns, no Mackenzie Alexander and Aaron Rodgers just feasted on him. So the Packers will want to know you think Aaron Rodgers remembers they drafted Jordan's Love their first round pick. Oh yeah, watch this Jordan Love. Um, Okay, Detroit, They're up on Chicago twenty three to seven, and Chicago scores makes it twenty excuse me, twenty three to six. Chicago scores makes no problem there, right? Uh? Then Detroit is up.

They they trade a couple of drives, they punch a couple of times. Detroit Chrissy is up twenty three to thirteen over the Bears with four oh seven left in the game. Just over four minutes left, they're up ten points and Matt Patricia decides to attempt a fifty five yard field goal. Now, how many times through the years, on guessing lines and on the megapod and on a

numbers game have I talked about this? When when they kick these long field goals and miss We don't have a proper assessment in the National Football League as the as to the damage that that does long term. Lombardi talks about this too, right, I think Lobarti said there were twelve of these attempted yesterday, only five were made beyond fifty. So I'm not gonna I'm not gonna play armchair quarterback and say that they're all bad, uh, that they're all wrong to try, because they're not all wrong

to try. But when you are up ten points with four oh seven left, you do not kick a fifty five yard field goal attempt of fifty five yard field goal against Mitch Trabinsky and the Chicago Bears, you just don't. You punt it. And again, just like what we're talking about with Mike McCarthy earlier, going forward on fourth down with twelve minutes left, this is not coming, you know, armchair quarterback, And this is at the moment I'm saying to myself, what in the world is he doing? And

of course they missed the field goal. Chicago comes down, they cut it to twenty three to twenty. Then Matt Stafford throws a horrific pick that gets batted up in the air and Uh, Chicago scores again give Trabisky credit, but the Lions every bit as responsible for their demise in this game as anything. Uh. Matt Patricia now has blown a fourth quarter lead, Chris in eleven of thirty

three game he's coached. Think about that, thirty three percent, one out of every three games he's coached, they've blown a fourth quarter lead. Stafford was seven one touchdown. The costly pick I just mentioned was sack Juan's a p By the way, Adrian Peterson in his lines, they buw fourteen and ninety three just four days after signing. But that was the deal. At twenty three to six, they give up a touchdown, they miss a fifty five yard field goal, then they give up a touchdown, then a pick,

then gave up another touchdown. Uh. They did drive to the Chicago sixteen with a chance to win on their final possession, even after all that, and then rookie running back DeAndre Swift drops a pass in the end zone, just drops it. Uh, And so it's just the most Lions thing ever. And then the subsequent play, Stafford throws another incomplete pass as time expires to complete the entire collapse.

But I mean, that's Detroit Lions football, everybody. They opened their season by blowing an eighteen point lead at Arizona last year and having to settle for a tie. We all remember that, and here they go yesterday. Remember they finished three twelve and one last year with that one being the opener, and now yesterday happens. All that said, green Bay minus six, I'll make it just shy of a touchdown. Uh, you're pretty much dead on. I see a little bit of five and a half as well.

I like to six a little better, even though my power ratings, I'm a shade lord. I think I'm gonna have to downgrade Detroit even more. Though after yesterday, yes Swift dropped that ball in the end zone. We needed Detroit pretty good. It was kind of a weird thing. But he had a lot of heard a lot of buzz in the off season about how destroy was a team they had a big chance to upset that division, and I had a lot of money on their season

wins over etcetera, etcetera, all that sort of thing. But then yesterday, for some reason, and I didn't see this across the market, but I had a lot of guys that bet Chicago with me yesterday. Like I said, I ain't see that everywhere else, but we definitely had it. Um, so I needed Detroit pretty good when Swift dropped that ball, and that was pretty unbelievable. On the other side, I thought Aaron Rodgers looked so good. He looked as good

as he has at any time in his career. I can't believe that this team made no moves in the off season to try to get Rogers to a Super Bowl one more time. They were on the doorstep last year, and I know they were much their record was much better than they actually were, but they still made it to the NFC finals. Um and Rogers uh carried them there pretty much, but they he needed a little bit of help yesterday this year, and they just never gave it to him. Anyway. I see five in that stix.

I'm an open six, even though my power rings come a little lower by like six. I just think people are gonna bet the Packers, And I don't know how much confidence can you have in Alliance after you know, just for everything you just said. Yeah, you know how I said earlier that the Eagles had a nine win probability per next Gen Stats against the Skins, which I against the Washington football team, which I don't necessarily agree with. You know that that the whole algorithm with. But here's

what I do agree with. The Lions had a nine eight percent win probability per next Gen Stats win probability algorithm. Meet Matt Patricia. That's exactly what happened yesterday. All right, what's next? Uh, dear lord? Uh Giants at the Bears? Alright, so Giants haven't played there, playing the Stillers tonight, your Pittsburgh Stellers, um Chicago with that win, Chicago's want to know.

So I'll say, you know, place holder without having seen the Giants, And obviously injuries can happen in that sort of thing. But I'll say, uh, Trabisky, by the way, twenty of thirty six for two forty two, three touchdowns, no picks sacked once in that game. The Bears won that game in despite going two of eleven on third downs and then Trabiskie throwing the three touchdown passes the fourth quarter to rally them from the twenty three to six UH deficit. I'll say Chicago as a placeholder by

three and a half. Just for the heck of it. Well, another time I liked your number better, but uh it's five and a half and even a six out there. Well it looks awful steak to me. You know, I don't know what to ticket for Bisky, to be quite honest. We did two years ago he looked like he was a coming quarterback. Last year he was horrible for three quarters.

Yesterday he was horrible, horrible, And my dear, my darling wife been on Detroit and texted are just as a joke, I should take a picture of Rabisky with his helmet on because he'll be carrying a clipboard the rest of the year. And of course he scores three types after eat me and her too, by the way. Uh so, I don't know what they think that, you know, five and a halfs just looks too high to me. But you know, I don't know how bad the Giants are.

A lot of money showing against him tonight, but I kind of like him to night against Pittsburgh, and I've got numbers gotten too high, so five and math. I'll probably opened five as a placeholder and see if anybody wants to do anything with that. You're so right about Drabiskuy, though, if that fourth quarter doesn't happen, and obviously the fourth quarter did, so none of this is the narrative that

we'll talk about today. But after three quarters yesterday, he was despite all the choppy performances yesterday in the league, he was the worst of the worst, right, Like I mean, he was missing passes that were just like you couldn't believe some of the passes he was missing. But yet he gets it done in the fourth quarter of a big way. So let's give him credit. And he's got the Bears to a one one and no record, at least with the assist to Matt Patricia. What's next Jaguars

at the Titans. Well, you know, what do you make of the Jaguars? We were saying tanking for Trevor and it's funny, my buddy, he said, he goes, you know what, I still think they're taking for Trevor. I think the Colts gave them the idea that they could win this game, which I think is an interesting take on it. Gardner Minshew Chris was nineteen of twenty for a hundred and

seventy three yards. He had one incomplete pass, three touchdowns, no pick, sacked four times, twenty two yard or to Quelling Cole was the game winner, the eventual game winner in the fourth quarter. They only had two hundred and forty one total yards of offense in victory against the against the Colts, as you know, touchdown dogs more than a touchdown dog in this game. And as I mentioned earlier,

there were sixteen thousand, eight hundred tickets available. This was the only game that had spectators sixteen thousand, eight hundred tickets available in Jacksonville. Only fourteen thousand, one hundred were distributed for the league's loan game played with fans in the stands on Sunday. And then Tennessee they haven't played yet. They played a night too. As we said, their three point favorites now after being three point dogs against the Broncos.

Will see how that goes. But placeholder ish, I'll say Tennessee by a full ten because there's nothing Jacksonville did that made me say to myself, well, they're good at football. Yeah, I see ten is the predominant number for sure. I see as low as nine and a half and it highs eleven. Um, No, I made tends a pretty good place to start. Yeah, they got more than double a total yards. Did you realize that? Um so? And uh? First down twenty seven to seventeen against them Indianapolis Scott

but in he got two turnovers. Anyway, we know who won again. Mens, you, I thought it looked pretty good. But I mean, I think the players on the field are tanking for Trevor. But you know, h spelling, fourteen thousand seats might have management tanking for Trevor. So we'll see what happens there. But yeah, I think I think tends Okay, they looked a lot better than I thought they would, but let's not go crazy yet. We still look up and down that line up that they just

don't have too many players. I think tends a good spot to start here. Yeah, I'm not sure. I'm not sure sold is the right word. I think it distributed. They didn't even distribute all the taps. Yeah, I don't even know how many how many of those were actual sales. I have no idea to look into it further. But the point is there were still three roughly just under three thousand empty seats that were available. All right, let's do another one here. Uh, the Washington football team at Arizona.

All right, So I'm smiling because let me just say this. I've said this about the Washington football team maybe five different times during the off season and and and I think last year as well. This is the type of team that is built with a really good front defensive seven and if they can hold the opponent and then the number I always used was to seventeen points, they can win some games that way. Well, yesterday they held

their opponent to seventeen points. By the way, they were down seventeen to nothing against the Eagles, and they managed to win the football game. That is exactly the formula that will work for the Washington football team. And it's exactly what manifested yesterday because on offense there really hadn't much to say. Dwayne Haskins seventeen of thirty one for one seventy eight touchdown note picks with sack three times paid part. Peyton Barbera did score twice, but it was

the eight sacks of Carson Wentz. On defense, two from Ryan Carrigan, who Skins Fans passes Dexter Manly for the all time sacklist UH in Washington football team history, one and a half from Chase Young Chris one and a half sacks from Chase Young, he forced a fumble, he actually kind of forced to. He is a disturbance back there.

And as I said, all summer there, there was never a chance they weren't gonna pick him second at it de Matha High school um ninety second career sack for Carrigan if you're scoring it at home, And I mentioned they had the seven percent win probability they overcome the seventeen and nothing deficit and beat the Eagles too. If the Giants lose tonight to lead the NFC East by themselves at one and oh, if that happens, let's go

Washington football team. By the way, Daniel Snyder mentioning that they could keep the name Washington Football team permanently if fans decide that they like that, or as I like to put it, that's his of not having to pay the investor who who got all those other names. That's my hunch. It's called me crazy. Only two hundred and thirty seven total yards for the Skins offense. Two d

thirty seven total yards. Haskins jumped in to give his teammates a halftime speech because Ron Rivera was getting a pre planned I V in his first game since learning has a form of skin cancer. Riverboat Ron he had a moment. He went for it on fourth and one from the Eagles five with the score tied midway through the fourth quarter, and then Barbara ran for the first down and then scored from the three to give Washington to seventeen lead on their way to a twenty seven

to seventeen victory. So good for the Washington football team, but they're at Arizona. Kyler Murray is the real deal. Twenty forty two thirty. It doesn't look great on the statuet one touchdown, one pick, you know, two time sacked, but it's thirteen carries for ninety one yards and a touchdown. That's the dimension. And DeAndre Hopkins Chrissy fourteen catches for one fifty one. I talked about this on Friday, just

howiculous that trade was once again. But you know the biggest one of those fourteen the throw that set up Kenyan Drake's go ahead one yard score with five oh three to play that led the Cardinals over the n twenty, overcoming a pair of fourth quarter deficits to beat the NFC champion Niners. I'll say the Cardinals by seven points full touchdown against the Washington football team. I see a little bit of seven, but mostly six and a half.

And that's exactly what my power ladies come to. Before we get too far into it, I'm no art critic, God only knows, but in the end zone for yesterday they have Washington. Then in small owners football teaple, just call it. Just call it Washington. That looks so ridiculous. Anyway, I'm going off subject here. Uh, you know, Kyler Murray, I didn't like him coming out of college. I'm gonna have to be the first who ad minute. He looked really really good. It looked really good last year. It

looked really good yesterday. Better than the stat sheet, uh projects. This team isn't bad. And I'm kind of with you on Washington, by the way, I had both teams yesterday and my various contest very nice. I think Washington, Yeah, you know, Washington in there in the trenches is pretty darn good, and we just tend to overlook that when they don't have the skill position players that make the headlines. But you know, they're not bad in the trenches. And I thought it was a good match up because I

thought Philly was particularly vulnerable in the trenches. Um, but uh, I think six and naps are good number. And I think both these teams might be well. Washington I had near the bottom of my power raying Arizona kind of in the middle. But Washington might be a little better than advertising. I think even Arizona might be a little better than advertised too. That makes six naps a good number. YEP, I got no problem with it. We've got four games

to get to. I assume we're in the afternoon next week, and then we'll get to uh the Sunday and Monday night affair only tonight the double header exists for Monday night football. And again remember it's Pittsburgh and the Giants. Pittsburgh favored by six, up from three, and then in the nightcap Tennessee and Denver, Tennessee now favored by three a mile high in the Mile High City, I should say, uh,

once being three point dogs, now three point favorites. Obviously, von Miller's injury having a lot to do with that. Courtland Sutton is still a game time decision for the Broncos in that one. So doubleheader coming tonight seven ten Eastern ten ten for the Tennessee Denver game. Three hours after that, we'll get to more guessing lines. Four more games to get to week two, not only here on a numbers game at Visa and the Sports Betting Network,

but also on the Beating the Book podcast. Coming right back with Chris anders It's Gill Alexander. It's Chris Andrews guessing lines for week two in the National Football League. If you're just landing on the show, it's a tribute to the old start up show. I'm in a cocoon. I'm guessing lines. I've been on it more than most, but there's been about three games already. We're I have been woefully off on and I think in two of those three cases Chris said like my number better, but

in a third the opposite. But nonetheless, the exercise is designed to extract value first look at the upcoming week's NFL lines, and that is the point of this entire exercise. By the way, I mentioned, you could very well be playing this, or really should be playing this interactively with us guests along with Chrissy once he gives the matchup. Guests along with me, uh Cliff Ritter one oh one. I also enjoyed talking to Chris and Gil for two

hours every week, even though they never seem to hear me. Yeah, though, that's the problem. We can't hear you. That's that is the one thing about the interactive thing that I left out. Um, all right, Chris, let's do one more here. Ravens at

the Texas, Ravens at the Texas. Well. The Ravens couldn't have looked any better as they crushed the Browns thirty eight to six, picking up right where they left all, I guess, not picking up right where they left because they lost in the playoffs, but you know what I mean from the regular season standpoint. And then there's Houston,

which will have extra rest. Hey, there's the first time we get to say extra rest after they're loss to the Chiefs, which wasn't nearly as close as the final score suggested the fourteen point margin of defeat on this past Thursday night to the Chiefs. But Baltimore yesterday against the Browns. I mean, what do you say about Lamar Jackson twenty of twenty five or two seventy five, three touchdowns, no picks, sacked twice, but he led the team in

rushing also seven carries for forty five yards. Remember he had thirty six touchdown passes last year. Marcus Brown was his favorite target five for one oh one, but he also got it to Snead four for sixty four and a touchdown. Mark Andrews two touchdowns on the tight end position with five catches for fifty eight total. J K. Dobbins added two touchdowns in his debut the criminally underrated j K. Dobb Ins at Ohio State. Even as much as hype as he got, I thought it was criminally underrated.

And then there's Houston on Thursday night. Watson twenty of thirty two and defeat for two fifty three, one touchdown, one pick, was sacked four times, got it to Fuller the fifth eight times or one twelve. But man, did they miss DeAndre Hopkins, who, as I mentioned, caught fourteen yesterday. You know, for the Cardinals, I'll say Baltimore, this is at Houston. I'll say Baltimore minus six. Give DeShawn Watson a little respect. You're a little like six and a half.

I even see one seven out there. I gotta tell you, I liked the seventh bet or here. Once again, I'm gonna say it probably probably most of the year I'm not giving anything for home field advantage to these teams. And uh yeah I had my notes. Boy, I think they could use DeAndrea Hopkins in the game. Um but anyway, Yeah, you know, Lamar Jackson, I thought last year, you know, he deserved to be in the unanimous MVP, which he was.

But I even do ast year, I always said I liked the Shawn Watson better long term, I'm not so sure, man. This kid still looks really really good. And you know what I think of John Harbazer coach. I think he's terrific. Uh. You know, Texas have to say thank you, Mr schedule maker. Scheduled in the top two teams in the league. Wee just oneed to Oh it gets worse and not worse, but it continues to be tough for them for the first four to seven weeks of the season. It's a

brutal schedule for Houston. Yeah, they do they geez, they couldn't. They couldn't draw any worse for games one and two. But I made this number eight. You know, I think even seven the shade blow. But I'm gonna open at seven. Um. Well, I just think this Raven team is really really good and I believe I don't thing much of Cleveland. They showed to be terrible yesterday, but a lot of that had to do with just exactly how good Baltimore is. You know, they were the best team, you know, weeks

went through sixteen last year. They just lost in the playoffs, and you know, you can't make excuses they lost their loss, but you know they you know, they're my My grading systems still have them the number one team in l A and I still have them at a tie with Kansas City right now. And uh, you know, I just I think they should be more than a touchdown here. I'm not crazy about land points, but I think the

favorites probably the late Tiger. I'm gonna open seven. You know, I went through the mechanics again of that DeAndre Hopkins David Johnson trade, uh, this past Friday after the Texans game on Thursday night, and again Bill Barna went when he wrote the grading of that trade for Houston, he gave it an F and he said, to DeAndre Hopkins, lose a limb that I didn't know about. But it really can be distilled. So I won't get into the mechanics of the trade again, but it just can be

distilled to this one sentence. The Houston Texans, with apologies Deshaun to Deshaun Watson, got rid of their best player for a song. It's just unforgivable. Coming back Guessing lines a numbers game at Visa these sports bending network Ye. Guessing Lines continues week number two. Christie Andrews, who runs the sports book here at the South Point Hotel casino at Andrew's Sports on Twitter. The name of the book is then one day, Chris, do we have by my account,

do we have one more afternoon game on Sunday? Uh? Yeah, one more and Sunday and Monday night. All right, we'll get to the prime time after the break. What's the last afternoon game? Chiefs at the Chargers. Chiefs set the Chargers. Okay, so the Chiefs win, they're on extra rest. They beat the Texas. We just talked about Patrick Mahomes of thirty two for two eleven, three touchdowns, no picks. He was only sacked once in in what you Know, I was doing the MSG plus show Primetime Action, which we do

Monday through Friday night for those who missed it. We started this last week. I'm doing double duty now, so MSG plus if you have it in your cable package or on your dish. We do in game betting Monday through Friday night seven to tend Eastern four to seven Pacific, And from my vantage point watching it live while doing a show, which isn't always the most nuanced take, it just looked like Andy Read and the Chiefs were like, let's not show much. Let's just kind of get out

of here with the win without injuries. We'll just do our thing. We won't really open up the playbook. Clyde Edwards Hilaire twenty five for one, thirty eight in a touch and he was a bell cow. I think that was the biggest surprise. I have him his Rookie of the Year before the season started, but I didn't think he'd be a bell cow. Uh. Ten straight wins now dating to last season for the Kansas City Chiefs, the

charges we mentioned hold on for dear life. Against the Bengals, they get a really bad Joe Burrow decision late on a shovel pass that Melvin Ingram picked off. Then they get an o P I called on a j Green fortuitously. Then they get Randy Bullock to either pull a calf muscle or not, but shanked what could have been a game tying field goal with thirty a thirty one yard attempt, just a thirty one yard attempt. So they overcome all that, they overcome Joe Burrow over just overthrowing two guys for

a touchdown as well, and they somehow win. But the Chargers are just doing they just do Chargers things. To Rod Taylor was sixteen and thirty for two oh eight. This team is way more talented, I think than their performance suggests. But they just looked terrible to me yesterday. And by the way, you know, Anthony Lynn with some strange decisions, we'll get we we have a full season

to go. After Anthony Lynn, I'll say the Chiefs by ten, I mean, it can't be less than ten, right, Wow, I see eight and eight and a half, and that's just what my power ratings come through. I definitely like the eight and a half a little better. Um and might be a little much, but maybe not, maybe not. And I always say Chargers tend to do chargery things. Well, they tried to do it yesterday. But don't worry because Philip Rivers still big chargery things even though he's in

Indian Appolis. Still, um, yeah, the Chiefs you know, yeah, they dominated and looked like it was here. Yeah, okay, yeah, they dominated, you know, so I think they got a lot more left in the tank. I don't know if they're going to show it this week either, but they could win by ten standing on their heads. I like, I'm gonna use the higher number here like that not a power ratings uh number, but more like just thinking

could easily happened. So I kind of like the Chiefs in a little bit in this spot, but I like getting half better than certainly Okay, yeah, I think it's one of those I mean, I'm with you, right, The Chiefs could win by twenty and it wouldn't surprise me they go with my seven. It wouldn't surprise me if they just take their foot off the gas. But well, I just wanted to point this out from what I said right going into the break about DeAndre Hopkins, because

that sort of got lost going into commercial. I went through the mechanics of that DeAndre Hopkins trade at the during Friday show after the Thursday night game against the Chiefs, But like I really mean when I said, like at that moment when they made that trade. There are there were people defending that trade for the Houston Texans and I, you know, and I didn't get it at the time and I still don't get it, and all it took

us one game to bear it out. Obviously it's only one game, but like when you trade, this is the it's the one sin you cannot justify. You can't trade your best player for nothing and then act like there's some football bases to it, like, because you completely lose your fan base doing that. If I was a Houston Texans fan, I would be so angry at that at allowing Bill O'Brien to make trades like that. And there seems to be this underlying thing with that football team.

I know we're not talking about the Texas anymore, but I just want to make this point. There just seems to be something underlying with that football team or I just wonder it's like, do they really trust Bill O'Brien, like those those players is play for and wow, you trade me at any moment. Anyway, I just want to say that the chi the Chiefs destroyed them, and I, uh, yeah, I firmly believe they could roll the Chargers here. I could see them keeping it close. You have it at

eight and a half in the end, Chiefs Chargers. Yeah, I'm okay, all right, we'll get to the primetime games. We'll have one more break. We'll get to the Sunday night game next week. Uh and the Monday night game. So far, I like three of those. Still, Minnesota against Atlanta, that's the one I think that I like the most.

Minnesota against Indiana, Indianapolis, excuse me, Minnesota against Indianapolis. I like Atlanta getting all those points against the Cowboys, and I like the Dolphins getting all those points against the Bills. That Ravens one was interesting though, against Houston getting more than a touchdown. I have to rethink that one coming back. We'll wrap it up prime time right here, guessing lines on a numbers game at Visa these Sports Betting Network

Skill Alexander, it's chrisy Andrews. Let's do some primetime games guessing week two lines. Let's go Sunday night, Chris, New England at Seattle, New England at Seattle. Both teams want to know New England behind Cameroon Newton, as tim As Todd Wishnett was saying on the podcast this week, cameeron Newton. Cam was fifteen of nineteen for one fifty five, no touchdowns through the air, no picks, was sacked twice, but he was fifteen of seventy five on the ground for

two touchdowns. The added dimension of having Cam Newton instead of Tom Brady. It will take Tom Brady, but you know what I mean. Uh, And they get the win over Miami and do so in much greater fashion than I certainly thought they would. Uh. Seattle beats Atlanta. Let me just say this, Russell Wilson is the leader in the clubhouse for National Football League MVP, a man who has never received a single solitary vote in his entire career for m v P, which has to be the

most ridiculous stat that exists in pro football. But yesterday he was thirty one of thirty five thirty one of thirty five for three twenty two, four touchdowns, no picks. He was sacked three times. By the way he led his team in rushing tells you about Seattle's running game. He only had twenty nine yards rushing, but he had a twenty eight yard led the team in rushing as well.

And may I just say his past the dk metcalf DK Metcalfe caught four passes for ninety five yards and a touchdown, but that touchdown was on a fourth and five at the Atlanta thirty eight, and it made the score twenty one to twelve. Russell Wilson lofted what might be the prettiest past you'll ever see all year. Could have just walked up to him and placed it in his hands. It wouldn't have been any better than the passing through five hundred six total yards of offense for

the Hawks. Uh Seahawks are gonna be a favorite. I'm gonna say they're more than a field goal favorite, Chris. I'll say they're minus three and a half. They are four. And I even see a little four and a half. I think I like the four. That like the four better. Um, you know, okay, first of all, you're talking about Russell Wilson, you know, and they talked about in the obviously and you heard a lot about it. Who would you start

your team with? Almost everybody said Patrick Mahomes, you know, reasonable, uh ye statement, But if my number two picks would still be Russell Wilson because all these other young quarterbacks, you know, Jackson Watson already run down the list. We hope they're going to be good, and they think they will be. But I know this kid's good. And when I just read thing for Matt Humans about quarterbacks, if he never throws another path, that's like he's a he's

an automatic Hall of Famer. I can't believe how good this kid has been. I just can't believe it. All that being said, I think can't Cameron Newton. I think he's gonna be great for New England in the short term, but you can't run the ball like that throughout the whole season at his age. I mean, you know, and he's coming off injury problems, but right now he can. You know, he certainly can, you know week one, and I think I'll be able to do a week too.

So I think there's number a shade high and anything. Uh, you know, you have to adjust these um according to how are they gonna play like right now? And right now I thought three was actually a decent number. I think I have no beef with the four because I think Seattle is really really good. But I think New England is gonna be very good as long as Newton could stay healthy. I just don't think he could do this for sixteen games at his age is history of injuries.

I don't think you can, you know, but right now I do think you can. I would lean towards taking the number in here. I want to jump all over. I think four might be a shade high, but it's four and four and a half. I'm gonna open four here. I'm with you about New England, and I ain't got no beef with No. Four either. I guess three and a half. But if it's four or four and a half, that that sounds probably even better to me. Uh, Seattle, New England. Maybe. I mean, that's a great Sunday night

game to watch though, that's for sure. Next week between the Patriots and the Seahawks Monday Nights, Sir New Orleans at Plus Vegas. Another game between two one and oh teams. New Orleans doing so by beating the Buccaneers. We talked about that earlier, in a game that probably again, if you don't have to pick six. I know it's ifs, but if you don't have to pick six and you don't have that mortar kick, maybe it's a completely different outcome.

But they get the win and then the Raiders in a very back and forth game with the Panthers end up getting it done. Drew Brees for the Saints. Let's start there in a battle, uh, the historical battle of the oldest quarterbacks ever to face each other in NFL history. Drew Brees really didn't light it up. Eighteen of thirty for one sixty two touchdowns note picks. He was sacked once.

Michael Thomas, two time All Pro wide receiver Michael Thomas appeared to be limping in the fourth quarter in in a game in which you only have three catches for seventeen yards. So and we've said this about Breeze for a while now, he kind of seems washed, a little washed up a little bit to me, like, I don't know if that's I really don't know if there's the arm strength Las Vegas Raiders. If you're a Raiders fan,

I guess you gotta be happy about this. Derek Carr twenty two of thirty for two thirty nine one touchdown note picks, wasn't sacked. Josh Jacobs and ninety three, not one, not two, but three touchdowns. The Raiders scored on six of their first eight possessions against the young Carolina defense, as I mentioned that started three rookies, but they needed an offensive stop a defensive stop to seal the victory.

The we're trailing thirty four to thirty were the were the Panthers, and then Panthers new offensive coordinator Joe Brady called a handoff to fullback Alex Arma instead of Christian McCaffrey on fourth and inches at midfield. He was stopped at the line with one minute eleven seconds left. McCaffrey racked up a hundred thirty four yards from scrimmage and scored two touchdowns, but the Panthers elect to go away from him on the most crucial play of the game.

By the way, they lost both right tackles two injuries did the Raiders Trent Brown in the first quarter, Sam Young in the third quarter? Um Saints are gonna be favorite more than a field goal, less than touch I'll say four and a half and five and a half, look a blanket. That's pretty much what I see. My numbers come to higher than that. And I'm kind of with you on Breeze. I think even last year, you know, the offense and like, yeah, you know, I told you

I wonder about Roethlisberger's tools around them. I don't wonder about readers tools around those. You've got some really good ones um and a really good offensive coach. Defense looked pretty good, I thought, but that may had just been Brady getting used to his new offense. A lot of money showed on New Orleans yesterday, quite a bit, and all from money from players that I highly respected. And again I think that has to mean a little something.

My power rings do come higher. Again. I'm not giving any for any home field, but I think this is a shade light. I'm gonna wind up opening five and a half, but if this number goes up, I'm gonna go up with it because I think a lot of the public will be on the Raiders with their first game here in town, even though there's not gonna be any fans in the stand. Uh. But I think it's a shade light. I think I kind of feeling New Ralengs the right side here, all right, Chrissie, Just like

riding a bike. As I said earlier week two, guessing lines, we got through it. I don't know how we did, but we did. And let me just review and I'll get to you right after this. What you are looking at um, but for me, Minnesota, Atlanta and Miami, Minnesota, Indiana at Indianapolis. I thought that was ridiculous that you said indian Apples was a three point favorite. You already mentioned it's coming down, But if you can find the threes, grab it immediately for goodness sake. I like Minnesota. I

like Atlanta. If I'm getting six and a half of dollars, that doesn't make any sense to me. And then Miami, I guess two and a half. I was way off on this guest as well, but this is the one of the three that you weren't on my side with. But I'm not gonna let one game sway me. I like all those points for Miami against Buffalo, and the other one I'll can say, I'll say, I'll really I will reconsider. Pardon me that I said Baltimore minus six against Houston. You're saying you like it a little more

than the seven. I might have been off on that, but those are those first three for sure. What about you? Well, I agree with you whole hardly on two of them. I like Atlanta. I think that that number is way too high. I like Minnesota. I think I don't know why the Colts will be the favorite. And I like the Rams against an equal team that I think just has way too many injuries right now, and I think

this plays well into the Rams hands. So that's the that's the three games I like quite a bit this week. And that's and that's Chris andrew Yeah, that's the right, the first of all, that's Chris Andrews, the contest player talking, not the bookmaker talking right there, right, and and yes we should that's the caveat that we say every every

time with Guessing Lines. We have an entire week now to to just have our brains destroy what we thought and initially and completely talk ourselves out of our initial reactions to this. But oftentimes the initial reaction is the best for sure, Christie, I appreciate it man as always, Thank you so much, my pleasure, Chris YouTube, Take care Chris Andrews. Everybody Week two Guessing Lines will talk to him one week from today for Week three. Is the

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