Beating The Book: 2020 NFL MegaPod Week 4 Preview

long shots. Well, the one friend of Todd's is coming in November to watch the show, right that the Mike guy, Todd, it's on Twitter. You know who I'm talking about? What the guy that loves you and know you're talking about? Thanks? All right, Well, let's ground to a hall real quickly. Alright. So, uh, that's the voice of Mike Palm, one of the staples of the show, Derek Stephen's conciliary here or at the at the d at its circa the czar of Active

Content Management here at the at the property. And that's Todd Wishnav coming to uh, coming to us from his home in Pittsburgh, p A in the cork roofed home. Todd, thank you for joining us. Thank you for being on time. Actually you gave me a great in here. But when I know what the time is, I'm always on time. Although another person, I'm not going to mention who came at one eleven. We won't talk about which casino, I mean exactly mean all right, and our rotating guests for

the week, brand new guests. They flew into town. I'd like to think just to do this podcast for sure. Maybe they needed a break too. I don't know, maybe we need a little bit of a break. But it's the famed mega pod Gil, so I'm thrilled that they're here. He is the host of the pre Snap Picks podcast. It's Bradley porous. Everybody, thank you for doing this. Brad Yeah, thank you, go. I I appreciate it. Have my uh my wife here, Bethan. She's joins us on the pre

stnat Picks podcast as well. But like I said, I was good. I'm sorry, I'm sorry, I didn't know if you're gonna get this, Okay, al right, here they're a professional hosts and then they're like podcast. Yeah, I think

I fall in the latter category. No, no, no, I mean, but explain why Bethany the best part of the pre Stnap Picks podcast, and the reason that Bethany is here is explain to everybody she So, I have my cost co host of the Priest Nat Picks podcast is my buddy Russ Vaughan, and we try and get in depth and we try and make a great job. Yeah, thank you, I appreciate it. But then we have Bethany who comes in and she has her own, uh exactly how she picks, and both Russ and I and I'm actually in the

circuit contest and I'm nine in six. I like to think that's not bad, that's good, right, Yeah. But then over here I got my wife making these picks and she's thirteen and two thirteen and two. So the point, here's why Bethany is here, because we're going to pontificate about all these games. And then Bethany's just gonna say here, here are my picks, and these are better than all of your. Yeah, and it's if you really want to win and go ahead, Bethany, what would you how would

you explain to people? What what is your process of coming up with these picks? My process is very in depth and the thodical I um watch Netflix um, and I scroll Pinterest and then my husband tells me what the lines are and I go with the mother's intuition because I'm trying to pay for college here, hopefully Harvard Yale one day. Those are the big dreams. Um. So if he would listen to me and take my pigs, we could pay for that college. And they just have

to let her take over from here. So we're gonna go through our normal format and Bethany's gonna jump in when she wants to with her picks. And then everybody listening can decide, does our you know, our our exhaustive research coming up with our picks, does that trump with Bethany just comes up with whatever snap of the fingers or whatever things she sees to go up with these picks? Best book. I hope that Bethany continues to crush you.

And that's the first because at first I thought it would be fun, and then all of a sudden, she just started beating me. And it's she now. She just she gives me. She gives me a crap every time she does a show. So good morning, Bethany, are you betting these picks? Um? If my husband would let me, but well, let her. Know, it's a very dictatorship. It's a dictorial situation. At what point will Bradley start betting, Bethany? I mean, how how big of a sample size do

we need before you'll start following? And she I'll tell you here right now, if you go three and two this week, you can take over the next quarter. So she'll be eight percent for the quarter. If she does take over just in time for regression and two would be tied for third in the circum million contest. Right now, Gil, how by the way do you live to that at all? How bitter are you that you're not in the contest?

Um a little better because I let him leave me with our two children, um lovely heathens that they are sometimes to come be in the circa. And I'm like, well, I need to pick two, obviously, obviously I need to pick two. He can if he can be till you're betting, can you ve till his betting? You know, that's a great question. You know. I love this idea, I really do. This is a really good influence. I like this. He's

really what state, Bethany? What state do you guys lived in? Texas? Right? Texas? Yes, sir, oh Yeah, they don't allow that over there. I'm sorry. All right, So before we get into the format here, we'll talk about the Thursday night game. If there's anything to talk about with the Thursday night game, not exactly the greatest matchup. Maybe it's bettable, Uh, Mikey survivor update, circu millions update? What's that? Well? I mentioned a circu million.

So there's two players that have thirteen and a half points. They're leading the way. And remember this is the final week of the first quarter. More than it's more than that, it's it's like I get an update because we went over that goes into the first place in the quarters. So I think it's like a hundred and seventies some thousand in his first place, and then second is seventy five and third is fifty in the quarters. All the people that I knew I knew. I knew a nine

oh and one. I know a nine oh and one guy two weeks and a nine and one they crapped out in the week three. Yeah, So there's I think within a point and a half, there's like thirty three people within a point and a half from thirteen and a half to twelve that have twelve or more going in, so it should be really interesting, especially because we're paying three spots, not one this year. So three spots in the quarter. Yeah, each quarter pays three, so it's one

seventies something. Second place of seventy five thousand and third is fifty. This is better. I thought, oh yeah, yeah, and I already thought it was great. Yeah, and survivor, we over a hundred got knocked out. It's incredible, guest. So remember the first week there were seventeen entries that didn't put a pick in. Oh did that happen again? So now we went from thirteen eight oh five and then the incredible second week, we're only four people were

em so we had eight oh one. So I'm going through Tuesday night all the picks that seen how many people were leimonated, right, So I'm sorry, I'm like, so we should have six eighty left a hundred excuse me, a hundred and twenty one people got knocked out by their pick. But at six oh no, five five entries and week three didn't submit thank you. Five entries. That's worse than the seventeen and week one that is worse. They made it through two weeks and they didn't put

in a week three brightness for that. There's no excuse. It's just the week one has a three and oh Survivor. I'm sorry, say again, Todd sham has me a three and oh in Survivor. I explained last week, I will pick. I will pick every week a Survivor pick it will win. And because I'm not in a Survivor contest, I would have won, but didn't because I'm not in it. So if you guys really just want to win the contest,

just go with my Survivor pick every week. I am actually one of the six d seventy five Todds, so pardon me. First of all, Schem for those who missed it last week. Schem is the Hebrew word for name tame, which is the literal translation of how Orthodox Jews, which Todd wants upon a time was for God. So God has them in three and oh, Hashem would be the name correct has Chem, But he I said Chem, alright, let's get m I said, you didn't hear me video

on this. Pardon me, pardon me, I apologize Jesus. It's Jesus part of this equation. So well, denver at the jets uh Jets are now favored by one because, apparently, on Thursday Night Football, apparently, the difference between uh, Jeff Driscoll and Brett Rippon, nephew of the great Mark Rippon Super Bowl twenty seven m v P from January, the Redskins, the greatest football team there ever was not just per me but per football outsiders, better than the eighty five Bears,

better than any Patriots iteration. I could go on about this for an hour, but I won't. Brett Rippon, the difference between Driscoll to Rippon apparently is four three or four points of the line, but the difference between Mitch Drobiscuit and Nick Foles is nothing. That's I don't know, maybe that's maybe that's what it should be. But the Jets are now one point favorites largely because of that. Uh, let's start with our guest Brad Porus and his lovely

wife Bethany. You guys have any thoughts on this game at all? So I'm going to flip the script on you, Gill, because I'm gonna go straight to where you normally go the end of the podcast. This is a game I want absolutely to make me bet every game, but this one this week worst two teams ProFootball Focus, d v o A, Foball Outsiders, and I'm pretty sure Todd Wishnet's googl losh model hasn't as the bottom of two teams as well. Good knowledge. Yeah, I mean I liked inverse defense.

They looked at the first two weeks. I picked him last week kind of screwed me over, and uh, I'm just Brett Ripping. I don't know what I'm getting. I don't think anybody knows what we're getting. So I didn't really like Sam Donald coming out of us. See, we all know about Adam Gates. I went a part of it bred ripping at a Boise State. Just got off the practice squad the day before game time last day,

so we got off it on Saturday. There was a choice between Driscoll Ripping and Blake Bortles and Vic Faggio and crew decide to go with Brett Rippon here. Uh, Bethany, is this one of your players or no? No, this is not one of my plays. If Peyton Manning was on this team, it would have been love me some Peyton, but he is no longer with the team. Mikey anything, it's my third best bet. Come on, stop on the

total though, what who are you playing? I'm playing the New York Jets, j E t s Jets, Jets Jets. Why do you really think that Denver is going to go on the road and win with Brett Rippon? Are you kidding me? I'm with Bradley. I had Tampa I had them against Tampa Bay last week. They were they were awful. I was fooled by Driscoll's performance in the second half against the Steelers, and I don't know if that's a takeaway about the Steelers defense, but this is

a This is a must win game for Gaze. I think he's he's gone by Friday morning, tomorrow morning if they lose this game. If this game was on Thursday night, would he have been going already. Possibly? Yeah, So this is a must win game now. The only risky thing about this is if the Jets players want him gone, maybe maybe they're gonna lose. They'll lose this game. Sorry coach, but yeah, I agree with the line moving. I think the Jets are the winners here. I'm gonna use it

as one of my best places. Wow, Mikey number three, Todd anything, No, I don't like this game. It's it's ugly, it's nasty. I'll probably just in game it see what's going on. I don't really have any opinions. The Jets killed me last week. I was up big early in the day and then Mr Sam interception pick six guy gets involved, and you know they even had a chance because he roll. He rolled them right back down the field to go seven seven. Then he was driving again.

When they were down either fourteen seven or seventeen seven, he throws a pick in the end zone. So you know, I hate this game. I was harping on this all week on both the Numbers game in Primetime Action. I don't know if you heard of have an MSG plus show prime Time Action. I'm thinking about moving to New York City. I have to tell you so much fun. But I've been harping on it all week, maybe on guessing lines to the uncatchable past thing has become an

epidemic in the league. So there were like three different games, three different games where an uncatchable pass should have been called instead of a p I and they affected the games. I'm not saying the Jets would have won that game against Colts, but it was seven to seven rivers through some nonsense up into the end zone. Ball could not have been caught. They threw the flag anyway, and the

floodgates were open. Not that it might have changed the outcome, but I'm just saying, if you're not gonna call it, get the word out of the rule book. The ref The refs are fantastic in the National Football League. I mean, if you watch the Sunday Night Football game, they were only off by an entire yard on a fourth down play a terrible yeah with the zig zag spotting method, I mean that thing. That method is very strong. I mean, if you can miss a spot by an entire yard,

fantastic job. NFL off as their first zig zag spotty method of the year. I'm left longing for the days of past interference challenges. There's a bad guy thought the same thing I was like. I never thought I would ask for those, but there should be challenged. Um. Best bets time, Let's start with those, Brad your number one of three best bets. Number one gonna go against Not that I'm a big Texas Cowboy fan, but I'm going

against Cowboys. I'm going to Cleveland Browns plus four and a half I'd really like to see him get Kareem Hunt back, because whenever Hunt that he's he's a weapon. They put you know, running the ball, put him out, spread him out wide. Hunt and Chubb or a deadly two headed monster. But the thing I really like here is I like the way the Cleveland offensive line, in both defensive lines are playing. They went out and got Conklin,

they got Jedderick Wills in the draft. They already had two monsters in Sheldon Richardson and Myn Garrett, Myles Garrett on the defensive line. I like the way that the h the Browns lines are playing, and I don't like the way that the Cowboys lines are playing. They could be they could be down to Marcus Lawrence and he he could be limited as well being hurt. And whenever we thought Cowboys back, and then you thought the anchor of that team is that offensive line that big Cowboys run,

feed Zeke the deck attack. Frederick retired, Collins hurt, Tyren Smith. The only one left is Zack Martin on that line where they played well against the Sehawks and the Falcons, but they got absolutely destroyed by Aaron Donald the Rams. I like the matchup for the Browns here. I don't really don't get why the Browns. I mean, from what I've seen from the Cowboys so far, I don't get why the Browns are four and a half point dog. I like the Browns and smash Dallas defense, bad, bad,

and hurt. They were questionable coming into the year and now they're all injured. No all, but you know what, so but the key players. Yeah, especially Okay, so Cleveland. Brad's first best bet Bethany Well, obviously my husband plagiarized my notes because he is dying to win like me. Um, So I am going to go with the Browns as well as my first best bet here, but for a very different reason. I love the Baker Mayfield commercials. You know, he has clearly made the Browns his home like you

know stadium. Yeah, yes, yes, the whole team. He's such a homebody. I'm a homebody. I'm vibing with it this week. So we're gonna We're gonna go with the Browns. Browns because of Baker Mayfield's commercials. Yes, I gotta tell you, Brad, that explanation far better than yours, and I think so far better than yours. Mikey number one, same same saying, wow, wow, guaranteed losers. This game cannot possibly win, cannot possibly has no shot the brown the Cowboys. Everybody's crying about it

was a bad beat. If you had the Cowboys. I want to punch the kidding me. The game should have been over if he doesn't fumble the ball. And you know who did this? No, it wasn't your body, it was somebody else. They're like, no, it was he. I was like, are you kidding me? In the game willingly? Willingly let's go to the Boy's Like, oh no, Gil, you want watching the same game. What Ezekiel Elliott has become an energy sucking source on that team. You give him the ball, it's a zero play and it kills

their drives. That offensive line cannot run block. They're okay pass blockers, but they can't run block at all. So there's no point. And I don't think. I think he's a worse pass receiving back than I thought, because he does he he drops too many balls. He does, he does, he doesn't make quick cuts. Um, I think the wrong team's favored here. I think the Browns are the better team. I really do. And I know there will be what twenty six thousand people there, uh you know, in in

that that state of Texas that doesn't recognize COVID. But but, but, but but I think that the Browns are better on both sides of the ball than the Cowboys. I think that I don't know who's gonna win the NFC East. There's not one decent team in the whole lot. Your Redskins are still vi I'm not getting you. Your Redskins are still viable. There. The Eagles picked up ground on the entire division with the tie last week. Now, I understand why Peters if he ties the rest of the way,

That's why I wat this thing. Great week for the Eagles too, and fourteen might get it done. But the bottom line here is I think the Browns winning the game and I'll take the four and a half. Okay, Todd, please don't say look at Todd's ever ready? What are you doing, Todd? Todd? What are you doing back there? Um? I was turning on the light? Is that okay with you? Gill? That's okay? But what it's your turn? We'd rather you be in front of the game. Are ready to go?

It's okay? What would you like to pick. What's your first best bet. I would like as my first best best bet the under in the Jacksonville Jaguars against the Cleveland Bengals of forty nine. I believe Cincinnati. You read Cincinnati. What did I say? Cleveland Beals? Oh, I'm sorry. The Cincinnati Bengals and the Jacksonville Jaguars go at it with a total of forty nine, and I would like to go under that forty nine. I've been watching a lot

of this Bengals now. I know Joe Burrow is the second coming of Jesus in the Messiah wrapped in one as as soon as he gets his offensive line. I never heard Jesus or the Messiah eating an offensive line. But okay, I understand Joe Burrow is gonna be great. He's fantastic. He's the best, he says, and maybe he is, I'm not saying is. And he has looked pretty good for a rookie. Cincinnati does not stun me on the

offensive side of the football. I think they're a team that can you know, they play the Chargers a lot of field goals. They seem like a team that can get you. In nineteen twenty three, twenty four, They're not a team that's gonna just light up the scoreboard. And Jacksonville Jaguars with Minshew, he's also been pretty good. But again, I think a lot of these numbers are getting inflated to the point where it's getting ridiculous. Now. It's because

so many games have gone over. I believe two thirds of the games have gone over in the first three weeks. It's the most overs we've had in the first three weeks of an NFL season in many years. I saw on Twitter somebody had it listed there and it's there's obviously been a ton of overs, no doubt. But now you notice the numbers are starting to get crazy inflated, all kind of fifties all over the board and forty nine for US Cincinnati Bengal Jacksonville Jaguar. It just sounds

too high to me. I'm sorry, I've got to go under under forty nine. These are not teams that are incredibly offensive. Give me the under forty nine. I'm gonna get the forty nine and a half. About that. See, you see what I do. I try to make it hard, so uh, we should probably have I probably buried the headline Pittsburgh Tennessee for those of visit, of course postponed because now you have five players on the Titans and

five additional Firstondel tested positive positive for COVID nineteen. First it was delayed from Sunday to perhaps Monday, then perhaps to Tuesday. Now it's delayed beyond this week and beyond next week at a minimum. So no Pittsburgh, Tennessee, which from a viewing standpoint, by the way, just let me say we hope everybody's safe and healthy from all that

and all their family members. But besides that, from a football viewing standpoint, that was one of ten games early on Sunday, so you know that's all right, we still got nine games to navigate through. It's not right. It's just not fair. You don't get to watch enough. It's it's bad because you don't have enough afternoon games for businesses to sustain their crowds there because it's beIN so far from you know, ten to three. What's what's the reasoning though they want they want ratings on two or

three games. That's still in good business model for the NFL. You have to have to ask bread Britain knows about all the politics that go behind who do I ask Britain Musberger, most intimately familiar with the pro sports and television It might have something to do with the fact that the NFL owners are greedy, wealthy men who just want to line their pockets and could care less about their fans. Thank you very much for the seditorial. What about the baseball owners, Todd? Do you think have any

thoughts about them as a group? And so that's all your people? I usually there's a small crime behind every large fortune, so I'm probably not. By the way, I will trade. I'll trade an O and three on my picks coming up if the Reds could just get one run. Come on, just war you're kidding me? Are you holding the big future stick? I am? I am one. I have a thousand and twenty two one to make the World Series? What I bet a thousand at twenty to one when they were twenty three and twenty six to

win the Pennant. That was a disgrace. What happened? Yes, I have a whole list of all their gas A guy the worst is based Ready Votos based reading. By the way, he got such a free pass because he was Votto on that Brad, you're the baseball guy. You see that play, did not Bottom was on I got up from my couch. Bottom was on second, who was running the first and second? I got up on my couch and did the whole windmill wave and I'm like, we finally got a run. Yes, And they go back

and Bottos hanging out a third phase. What does happened? How did you not score? Because he leaned back to second talking about Game one of the Reds Brave Series where the Reds just left thirteen on base first and third twice but nobody out couldn't get a run in first, sitting six and seventh, inning eleven, twelve, and thirteen. It is just horrible. So anyway, we're still zero zero here deep into this game is in totals three and a half. And anyway, my first best bet in the National Football

League this weekend is the Miami Dolphins. Tod Mymi Dolphins, Mymi Dolphins. Gil picked them, and they'll probably go down. I don't think those are the original lyrics. That's the remix. I'm going to Miami. You know, I was in the tank for them before the season started. They finally got off the schneide last week. They will have extra rest. Here will the Dolphins at six and a half point dogs at home against Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks. I love Russell Wilson. I think the world of him.

He should be the m v P. However, Uh, the Seattle Seahawks past defense is atrocious. They have given up through three games, small sample size, but still, through three games four hundred thirty point seven yards per game through the air. They're opposing white outs have destroyed them to a tune of I believe four hundred more yards wide receivers specifically than any other team's defense. Second would be a distant second would be the Atlanta Falcons. That's how

bad the Seahawks past defense has been. And in fact, I think they've given up twenty six more catches to whiteouts uh than any other team through three weeks in the NFL. That's a lot of catches beyond the next worst team. UH. Going with the Dolphins here, and I know the Dolphins do not have a receiving cord like the eighties Houston Oilers or the nineties Washington Redskins that we already referred to earlier with Monk Clark and Sanders. But I think that's a lot of points to give

Ryan Fitzpatrick. Give me the Dolphins plus six and a half and I will hold my breath betting against Russell Wilson. That is my pick. Nun number two, Bradley number two. This one feels like a trap to me, but I'm just not gonna try and overthink it. Take a page out of my wife's book. I'm going with the bills. How can you say that, I'm not gonna overthink it. I'll take a page out of my wife's right. There a formula for success. She's talking about intuition, Mikey. It's

called intuition. Sometimes a lot of intelligence just takes you down the wrong road. Bethany has women's intuition, and sometimes that's good. Now, Mikey, you probably don't know about that, because well I won't. What does that mean? Why don't men have intuition? Why is it it's sex specific gender specific intuition? Yeah, Todd in favor of men being much more analytical than women and women being more intuitive. So you know, you get one side, you get the other.

I think it's because we give birth, I really do. I think we have that ability and that just parental maternal instinct. So thanks, Todd, appreciate it. Back to pick two, What do you take it out of your wife's playbook here with this? I don't know if she picked it. I really don't, but I'm going I liked it earlier this week when I played, but I still like it at Bill is minus three. I like the Bills against the Raiders. I was down on Josh Allen going into

the year, but he's been phenomenal. He has proved me wrong. Number four in the league in QBR, number two in d v O A. And I like Sean McDermott as a coach. I think he's a really good coach. I think we talked about sometimes betting coaches. I like Sean McDermott in this matchup. And while the Bill's defense has been disappointing in the standards of them kind of being coming from top five, that's kind of what they're known for,

is playing the defense. They have been a little disappointing, but I like them to this matchup against the Raiders because I don't think the Raiders are really that good. I think they're a phony two and one. When they played the Panthers, the Panthers hung around in there with them the whole game. You know, Teddy two gloves and the new coach that they score on. They moved up and down the field on the Raiders. The Panthers everybody knew almost got him. Saints, I don't think they're good.

I think they're phony too. That was a win, kind of like a hype win. And I think you were right in fading them with your survivor Pitt Gil taking the Patriots. I think the Patriots showed who they really are their defense. This is bad when you watch it. People just gouged Raiders defense. And the other hidden aspect of this game that I really like is who the Raiders play. Next week, they play the Chiefs. John Gruden is obsessed with the Chiefs. He wants to be the Chiefs.

He when he gets frustrated with Derek Carr, whenever he likes to call him out, it's because he's not extending the play, giving the play second live. He's not taking shots down the field. And speaking of taking shots down the field, no Henry Ruggs, no Brian Edwards for the Raiders either. I find it hard uh for the Raiders to score in this game. And I think John Gruden in a bad spot sandwich between Road Patriots road Raiders. I don't like it. The Bills are a good team,

they're playing well. I like the Bills to win. Ruggs absences was one of the big reasons why I took the Patriots last week in that game. And I know, for a guy who hasn't done anything quote unquote yet in the NFL, just his his sheer presence spreads the field and allows Derek Carr so many more options. Uh, that's a great point about the fact they're playing the Chiefs next week. Also, we don't often tell about that, but they John Gruden knows what's ahead for sure, Bethany. Alright,

so my second pick is the Chicago Bears. And it's kind of funny. We were just talking about women's intuition and it was based on that. We were about to leave and I kissed my son goodbye. I said, I'll miss you, Boogie Bear. And then we get in the car. Yeah, Boogie Bear. And we get in the car and Brad's like, okay, instead of scrolling Pinterest for your dream kitchen, why don't you look at the lines? And I said okay, And so I pulled them up and the Bears just struck me.

I left my son. The mama bear instinct so um, according to a wife, is always right. The mama instinct is unparalleled and prophetic. So Bears, it is Chicago Bears against spread Chicago Bears picked up two? What are we giving her? What are we giving her? On the points? She she gets? Uh, Bethany gets two and a half points. I like it. She gets two and a half points against the Indianapolis her Mayfield commercial, Baker Mayfield commercial, Boogie bear to write those down. So far we're gonna get

four and five from Bethany too. Don't don't feel like we're gonna get short changed. But no, Mikey number two, I'm gonna take an under all right, Okay, I'm gonna take the Arizona Cardinals Carolina Panthers under gil Kyler. Murray is human, after all, he is human. What's your number that you have? What's your consensus? Fifty fifty one on

the butt? Um? Look, I think that I think we weren't wrong in thinking that opening game against Carolina with the Raiders was going to be an under game, I you know, and the game went way over and so then the value on the points sort of took off from there, and I really think Bridgewater is more of a control the ball down the heat, not gonna throw the ball deep down the field. They're gonna use McCaffrey, They're gonna try to run the ball, and they eat

a lot of clock. That game in Tampa Bay really should have went under two if they don't break the run when they're trying to kill the clock. And then we saw the game clearly go under against the Chargers last week. Um Arizona to Tyler Murray. They take time off the clock, they run the ball. Three picks. I'm with Todd here about the adjustment now. I was going over is the first two weeks because I didn't think the numbers had caught up. But I think they've caught

up too far now. And I think we're over adjusting to the overs because we're seeing seventy of the games go over. So I just think this is this goes back to my core and and I'm trying to find an under game this week, and this is the one that I looked at under Arizona Carolina from Mikey pick number two. So you've already got your three picks out there. Now I'm done. I think you're done. I can sweat this little excuse. I got my ass wide open on the under in this little lega game. Oh do you

have it? Se Via and Lavante under two and a half. Yeah, let's get the halftime zero zero right, we'll find a nice medal. Uh this just in the red still haven't scored. Oh, um Todd number two, My number two is well, I'm gonna I'll give you my under two because of what Mikey just said. Mikey, I I agree with you. I think there's inflation. Now the lines have gotten you know they will catch up. And um, you see all these crazy fifties all over the board. I'm going under in

the Cleveland Browns Dallas Cowboys game. Now, I know Dallas's defense stinks. I know Cleveland Brown's defense is nothing great, nothing to write home about. But fifty six fifties six is what you're telling me. That's fifty six that should be reserved for greatest show on turf, Atlanta Falcons games, Jamis Winston games. Those kind of numbers are just getting ridiculous. The Cleveland Browns want to feed the boat or a guy named Chubby Chub and that takes time off the clock.

They're not the greatest offensive team. I mean they have moved the ball, don't get me wrong. I had them over last week in a beautiful over against your Washington football team. Gil. They move the ball. But fifties six, some of these numbers are getting like ridiculous. Now. Granted, look even the Dallas UM Seattle game, which was a ridiculous over game, it should have landed, you know, low sixties.

Even that was a ridiculous game. So all I need in this game is some runs, some missed field goals, a lot of running, and you could stay under fifty six here easily. Look even in the in the Sunday Now or Monday night game. Um, you know, I had the end game over fifty six and a half in the Ravens Chiefs game, and I didn't get there because Harrison Butcker missed the field goal at the end of the first half. You get a missed field goal or two, it's gonna be very hard to go over fifty six.

So this isn't really about, you know, a huge analysis. This is just these numbers are getting ridiculous. Give me under fifty six. Under fifty six, Cleveland Dallas for dot. Uh my number two is. You know why I feel because you got to get the good number? And again, who does it? Who does that voice? Who is it? Number? That guy from the book he used to come into Look, Dad, you gotta know it's all about getting the good number.

You gotta get the good number. That guy that god with a D. All right, Uh my number two that my number two is. And I promise you I didn't do this um because of this. But Bradley and Bethany live in Houston, Texas? Is that correct? Houston, Texas? I am. I'm taking the Houston Texas everybody. I'm laying the four and a half against the Minnesota Vikings, a battle of oh and three's. Minnesota, by the way, not practicing till Saturday. Uh, they were the last team to play the Tennessee Titans.

But it might help them, but they have maybe it will, they have no positive. So this game against Houston is going off as scheduled, early early game on Sunday, one p m. Easter today am Pacific. I'm very curious why you know, we always say NFL specifically, they gotta get their reps in, they gotta get their practice in. Minnesota is not getting that this week, and the blind didn't move at all, Like that's not a thing to talk about.

That's interesting to me. Uh. And then the other thing is Houston had this awful schedule to begin the season. This is the one game in that awful schedule that they absolutely have to win. Um and I think this is a game that Bill O'Brien and Deshaun Watson to figure out a way to win. Minnesota's defense is no better than it has been. Uh, you know the situation there where their defense they're not getting really any consistent pressure on the quarterback. They comported themselves very well last

week against Tennessee. I get it, but I don't trust the Minnesota defense. The secondary is young. I think it's Houston's game. Houston minus four and a half, choging up big number two. Well you go, well, thank you. You're not self defetus, Houston Texas Fanjury're like, oh, I don't do that. Oh I am a self defetus. But this is the game they're gonna win. Aren't good They're gonna

get there. You're a big fan of Bill O'Brien, your head coach, who probably the greatest fourth and one coaches in the history of the National Football League say the rate it. I mean, they should make a statue of him and put him in the Hall of Shame. In fact, if Todd was an NFL coach, he would hire Bill O'Brien just for fourth and one consultation. Just tap his arm, coming O'Brien, tell me out here, all right, number three, Mikey, you're already happy the number three, which was j E

T J E T s jets. Wow, Bradley, you're number three, okay, number three. I had have been the rules for this one, right, Gil. It was allowed, but it is allowed. It is allowed the reason it is allowed because Mike historically did this as well. Right, did I think last year? I did? First half? Bets? Okay, good, good, Okay. I want to make sure I'm going first half. If we could be done this earlier, I would have loved it. Ravens in the first half. It was minus six and a half

at the beginning of the week. It's minus seven now, but I still like it. Minus seven Ravens minus seven in the first half, Lamar Jackson, tip of the cap, Bradley, thank you, Mr Gil. He was oh in five win trailing at halftime and a little nugget from the Warren Sharp Stats book, teams that are winning at halftime win the game seventy eight p some of the time since. And the Ravens know that. The Ravens were unbelievable in the first half against the spread last year, where they

average seventeen points per game. So far this year, they're averaging eight teen points per game. I know, small sample size, but they were two and oh in the first half against the spread before they ran into the buzz Saul

Kansas City Chiefs. I'm not selling the Ravens a bit off that loss, and they're not exactly going against the Kansas City Chiefs this week during going against Dwayne Haskins uh worst QBR in the NFL, worst quarterback corn in Pro Football Focus d v o A. And I know it's your team, buddy, but but the best part of the Redskins. What was the strength of the Redskins skill front front seven and who's missing and Chase Young exactly and Matt I and I just gone for the year.

Redskins actually pace the play pretty fast as well, So I'm on offense, so I'm not too concerned about not enough possessions to get to cover the seven. I like the Ravens for the full game to cover the thirteen or thirteen and a half. But the Ravens first half mentality to jump on people and get on their throat right from the jump. That's why I like him the best in the first half, little back door prevention. By taking the first half, you don't have to worry about that.

And the Ravens could not obviously have looked worse on a bigger stage than they did on Monday night. Uh. We talked about this on a Numbers game earlier this week. Do you ever remember a team there's obviously examples of this.

Do you ever remember a team that was such a douze dr bob sterm a bully against inferior opponents, and then when they place somebody at their level, whether it's Kansas City this past Money and our Tennessee in the playoffs, just absolutely have no shot at coming back in games. They have no come from behind ability gets bad. And when they get behind, but but how about this gil Kansas City scored and they missed the extra point, they're up six three. The Ravens come out and they get

a big run to midfield? Just tripping? What tripping? Did you? We lose this red scheme? Look at this so over? Why nothing? The game's over? They can't it's insurmountable. Insurmountable. They left see you in too much? Anyhow? Who are these people clapping? The tripping call changed the whole game because now behind the chains they had upon they got down to scores. Where was this tripping? I don't know where the tripping you like, you talked about several times

go on your show. That could have completely changed the complexion of that game. And we as fans and as betters don't acknowledge that enough. Don't tell me it ended up being a blowout, but you just never know that absolutely was the fulcrum player the game. Um bethany number three? All right, Todd, this one you're gonna absolutely love. Um. I am taking the Cincinnati Bengals because I am a Joe Burrow believer. I think he's the baby goat, I

really do, um so. And also he has this like California vibe to him with his blonde hair and just like his swagger. I'm originally from California, So she took over that. When did you move to Texas? When I was just turned eighteen. So she's fully adopted. Yeah, it's fully adopted. I teach or I taught at Meadville High School for four years and it's very rural, a lot of thick accents and um yeah, so I picked up

on it real quick. School was actually seven against the spread. Hey, they're volleyball teams number one in the state of Texas right now. Baby, So but yeah, I'm taking Cincinnati Bengals. So what's And the reason is because he's the baby Goat. Because he is the baby Goat. I like him. I don't know Baker Mayfield commercials. Yes, Boogie Bear, Yes, baby Goat. Sorry, what are you yelling for me? At his mom? What is he doing? A special guest for you here on

the megapod? The big man himself. That's right, that's who I think it is. Jeff Wow, are you kidding me? Jeff Pearls in the house in Pittsburgh. Wow, how do we know that's Pearls. There's a guy with I'm asking a cap. We don't know. I don't Jeff Pearls. Jeff Pearls, were gonna get you on the podcast. I gotta get you on the megapod later. You know, I I Dodd's cameras at the size of a peanut. Parlay, Are you there to play tennis? Is that why you you went

to Pittsburgh? Yes, I am here to play Todd and tennis weather permitting right now? How far is the drive to play that road match? Yeah? No, Well I spent the night in Western Maryland the last night sleep ready to take on Toddy tomorrow. He's on he's on a drive. He's on a drive to see his girlfriend. So he decided to stop, stop through and take a beating in tennis like old times. Parlay, what do you do Thursdays at one pm Eastern? Are you available? I'm available whenever

you'd like? All right, Parlay future future megapod podcast. What's the name of the podcast? Parlay the the Parlay Cast. So at some point, Gil, you might have to pick up some royalties. Hey, yeah, that's uh. I did not get approval on that name. Parlay Cast. Very nice. How many times a week do you put it out? Uh? Two as of right now, but looking looking to be three in the next week. Jesus, Okay, two's enough, Jeff, Let's I know, I know what, but what the the

people that Todd's gonna come on. You gotta come on at some point, Mike's gotta come on. It's gonna be a good old time. This is a nice little union up in Todd's fortress here in Pittsburgh. The best part of this is that Parley is doing this thing with his arm and I forgot about that. Yeah, you got it. I love that so so bad. Jeff Parlay making a guest appearance. That's a nice surprise. Good to see you guys matching outfits too. That was very cute, very cute,

very nice blues on both of you. Parlay. I'll be in contact, will schedule something here. Awesome sounds good? All right, Jeff Parlay and Todd wishnep. What's the line on new tennis match? Todd's well, in a game to six, a regular tennis set to six, I'll be giving seven and a half. Seriously, what is there you guys playing with us? But it'll probably be five five. I mean, I don't know how he's going to get a game. Honestly, now, I'll get a game, Gil. It's not taking that sitted dad?

All right? Where are we? I lost track? What are we on? Bethany has just given her a third. Oh, Todd, your third. My third pick is I'm going against Brad poor ass. I'm gonna dunk on you. That's our big lot. Brad I actually love, by the way, we're just joking with. He's outstanding guy. We all love Brad Porus. We're not really thrilled with some of his friends in the baseball world, but you know, and uh, and of course we like

his wife as well. I am going with my third pick directly against Brad Porres and I'm taking the lost Vegas Raiders, baby, the Raiders. And here's why I'm taking the Raiders. The Raiders were in that game against the Patriots. Now, they got belichicked in the second half. Don't get me wrong, Yes they did, and they are undisciplined, and I don't really love them that much, but I think Gruden is

moving things in the right direction. They've played some of the look that game against the Saints was very impressive to me. I thought they played very well that night. Deserve to win the football game. Now you're asking a Buffalo team, to me, is a mediocre football team. They're not that great. They almost blew a twenty eight the three lead. Last week, you're asking him to fly across the country to a COVID infected city with a brand new stadium and asked them to somehow get three point

win the three point spread. I don't think they can do it. This game has a feel to me. I don't think that the Bills can cover the line. Give me my old Los Vegas Raiders plus three plus three OPO. Very rude Todd was expected. Yes, what you reading about? Friends in the baseball world? I'm sorry, we can't elaborate on. Oh gosh, do you know? Really? No, I don't know. Oh yeah, nofir Okay, I'm talking to say who it is? Brad Porous has a friend in Major League Baseball who

whenever I bet on him hits into double plays. Whenever I bet against him, he had three run homers every single time. It's unbelievable. I can't wait for him to hear you already going him to hear it. Remember, write it down from Mike because mikey can't wait Brad that I'm just kidding around, but he really does kill me every time I met against It's your guy. Yeah, Brad's best best Brad's best buddy. Yeah, cost us a lot

unders Todd alright picked number three. By the way it picked number three was not easy to come up with. This is the problem with contest. You gotta have five five. Yeah, um and so pick. But three to me was a toss up between Arizona and Cincinnati since Bethany went with Cincinnati. I'm taking Cincinnati because Bethany's thirteen and two. Uh. It was a toss up between those two. Uh. I like

the Bengals. I like Joe Burrow. I think this is by the way he was told by his coaches he's gotta be smarter with the football because he shouldn't take as many hits. And I'm Burrow, I'm like, how about getting me some offensive lineman for God's sakes? Uh. He is damn good. I like him. I have absolute trust in him. After two or three football games in the National Football League. It's amazing how quickly. That's why we talk about these guys. Uh like Trabiscite. Oh well, he

doesn't have, you know, great players around him. Dude. I can tell Joe Burrows great from day one period. Uh. And I don't think Jackson. I think look again, can we let two or three weeks change our opinion of how we felt about a team like Jacksonville. It was mere weeks ago when we thought this team was total tanking for Trevor. I don't. I mean, they did have the Week one win. I get it. They have come to Earth that game against Miami and Jacksonville will be

on extra rest here. I get it. But that game against Miami showed just how bad of a football team they are. Gardner Minshew was visibly frustrated on that football field with not being able to do anything on offense. Cincinnati's only given a field goal here at home. I think this is Joe Burrow's first win as a professional quarterback. I will take Cincinnati. Thank you, Bethany pick number three. You're welcome. He remember were you a fan of Cheers?

My mother didn't let me stay up at once. They're too young probably to remember. There was an episode in season two Todd where Diane was winning the football contest every week? Do you remember it? And and she and it was frustrating Sam. She would pick because of which mascot would win in a real fight, like she would say, of course a bear would be the call. And she was winning every week. To pull mascot handy gamp because I don't know f it's afropole or anything, but I

just thought i'd bring that. I find that you're you're diminishing Bethany's methodology. Oh no, I didn't have nothing to do with Bethany. Was just a side remark. What what's your wife's record in the contest. She doesn't play, She doesn't. She's a Seahawks fan, that's it. She just follows the Seahawks because she worked for a year at the University

of Washington Hospital, So she's a die hard Seahawks fan. Bethany, you've given three picks generous enough again, Bethany, thirteen and two on the year, not in a contest, but thirteen and freaking two. Uh, and you have given your picks already. They were to recap. They were helped me out with the first one. She had Brown Bears plus two and a half. She liked Browns because of Baker Mayfield Bears plus two and a half she liked because of Buggy Boo and three because she thinks that that guy from

LSU was good. Yeah, this book Bear, Baby, Goat and Baby. Do you want to give your fourth and fifth or would you like to hold that um for the priest that picks your teaser. You do whatever you want to, go ahead and give him because we'll probably, uh, we'll probably just go through a little partlay together. I went some money on five of them, you know, five team Round Robin had five team, the fours threes. I don't want to if it's before it's time, I don't want

to make you come up with me. But if you already have them, if you have, you got him. Okay, number four, Oh, number four, Um, the lovely and the best competitor I've ever watched in any kind of sports. Tom Brady, Oh, my goodness, of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Like there was a little more going on there, right, Tom Brady? Who's that? Oh he is the goat and uh very attractive. So so tom Brady, she's laying the

points with the tompa what do you call him? The tomp okay, So not only the baby goat but the actual goat. Yes, uh, Tampa Bay laying seven against the charge a number five and number five is an equally attractive coach here in this situation, the Rams with Sean McVeigh. Do you like that thing with the hair that he does though, I really do it works for him, it really does. Interesting Like did you watch Hard Knocks when he was like, oh jacked, Yes, yes, Sorry, that's not

the word I was going to use. But by I'm not comfortable with your wife talking about how great looking all these guys are not very good, Bethany, I was on your side. What's what's puzzling Todd is that she's so into the looks and yet she's married to Brad. He is the sexiest man a lot never wanted. Mrs alright, So number five for Bethany is the rams. You're you're laying all thirteen against the giants. That doesn't deter you, not at all. Alrightnpecy goes five and oh here, I

wouldn't be shocked at this point. I wouldn't. All she has to do is go three and two and then she takes over your circle. She can have in the next quarter. Okay, we're holding you that teaser of the week two team. By the way, we're doing okay on teasers this year. Everybody two teams six point teaser of the week. Brad, do you have one? Yeah, for sure, I do. Uh, you don't delve in this do you Beth today? Your specialty is just five picks and out, five picks and out usually. But I would love to

do a teaser because I love the word. I think it's so fun when we when we started the Priest and That Picks podcast. She uh, she goes, do I get to do a teaser? I'm like, do you really want their? No, She's like, I don't really know. I just I want to do a teaser. You talk about teasers. I want to do a teaser. She likes the word unbelievable. All right, what's years. I'm gonna, as I already mentioned, Browns from four and a half, I'm gonna take him

up to ten and a half. And then there's another game I like, just regular against the spread where I'm getting a lot of points. I'm gonna with the Lions up from four and a half to ten and a half against the Saints. The Lions they look good. I like the Cardinals. I like what I've seen out of the Cardinals and Kyler Murray. They went in the defense, played well against Kyler, made him look human. As we said before, and we already know the news is out

is out. Drew Brees can't pass the ball down the field. Drew Brees can't pass the ball down the field. I would hope that Matt Patricia. He he frustrates me mightily, but I would hope he can put together a game plan to shrink the field on Drew Brees. Breeze can't get the boy on the field. Tenant a half points is too much. I said this on Guessing Lines the other day. I'm so tired of the Taysom Hill stuff. Why have we anointed this guy the Swiss Army knife

for everything? Oh, he's that, he's just the best. Let's throw twenty million at him. Why why have we decided that about him? But like, don't get me started again. Um, Bethany, you you like the teaser, You like the word. Do you know what a teaser? You know? The six points and the two teams, you know all that stuff, right. Um he kind of explained it to me a little bit, But um, I just want to do it based off of what I like to call it, the sexy teaser. Yes,

it's just taking a turn, taking a turn explicit. No, So I'm gonna put Tampa Bay and the Rams together in my sexy teaser. Retractive men, especially pretty good teasers. Tampa Bay down to basically winning Tampa Bay minus one against the Chargers and the Rams down from thirteen to seven for young Bethany Rams. Tampa Bay two teams, six point teaser Mike Gate. I'll take the Buccaneers as well, down to one, and I'll take another team down to one.

The Packers on Monday Night against the Falcons alright to win basically for both the Bucks of the Packers. Toddy number. Make sure you get the good numbers, because I like to get the good number even though I'm not really getting a good number here. I'm taking the Las Vegas Raiders up to nine. I just don't are you betting them on the money line? You love this gigd? Why do you love them so much? I just don't think the bills are that good. I really don't. I mean,

what are the bills? You know who anointed them? And now you're gonna ask them to go all the way across the country to win on the road like this. Las Vegas look good against the Saints. Do you forget that? I mean they got Belichick last week. Give me Las Vegas plus the nine and then give me the Russell

hustle and bustle Seattle Seahawks down to pick them. I know they're going against the great fits magic, but I think Seattle can get out of there with just the w So give me Las Vegas and Seattle, please, And I'm taking Sampa Bay, seizing them down to one uh and I am going to actually go the other way. I know this is not a Stanford Wall teaser leg, but I'm gonna take the Dolphins and tease them through the seven and the ten, the twelve and a half Dolphins.

What did I say? Yeah? Alright, Brawley, what was your first leg? The Browns? Browns and Lions? Brownson? I want can you make this Mr Monkey palm over under? On weeks that Drew Brees gets binched? What week do you think he has, Benjamin, I don't. That's a tough one because the city, but the city, the city owes him a lot, and it's his last year. My boy, I would it's hard. I'd probably put it at put it at sixteen and a half because I don't think it's

happening week SI. You know what I mean? He throws it at least as hard as Chad Pennington used to think about I mean I was talking about that the other night of the baseball game, like I thought that the chain Bieber will come out of the game. But then you think to yourself, how difficult must that conversation? Could that conversation have been for Sandy Alamar, an interim manager, to go up to Shane Bieber and say, hey, thanks for your cy young sixty game season. Uh, you're terrible tonight.

I'm gonna have to take you out. It's an impossible conversation to have. Well, he didn't have it. It was he should have done it, but it's it's a hard conversation, and yours is exponentially worse. Right, Sean Payton to go up to the Drew Bees and said Drew Brees and say, yeah, I know the community super Bowl. The conversation probably should have happened in the off season, right, and this was the time to retire. It isn't this Drew Brees last season?

I think he's going to NBC. Yes, it would have been last year if they have made it got to Super Bowl. I mean, you guys making him sound like he's the worst quarterback in the NFL. He's not that bad. He just can't throw the ball beyond yards. Other than that, you can't. I mean, so you just did dink it to Camara and he makes eight guys messing at toow. Matthew Stafford really can't throw it beyond fifteen yards either, but you know nobody talks about him by the way

I tell you the story. And when I went to the when the Hall of Fame inducted Art Monk and Dark and Darryl Green in two thousand and eight, and so this was I knew this was the last my last boyhood heroes to go. I've never been a can before I went. And we found this high school field that the the high school there in Canton for Masilon, I believe it was. It's like one of the biggest high schools. Paul Brown coach there and everything. And we found like a bag of footballs on their beautiful stadium

football field, and I dropped back to past. My high school buddies were there. We all met to see the skins be inducted, and I dropped back to past. I threw the ball as far as it could and it was like it's perfect spiral, and I thought I threw that ball fifty yards and my buddy Spirow came back, he caught the ball comes back. I was like, Spiral, how much did that throw? I guess gil twenty nine yards? I thought Todd. I thought he was gonna say he

ruptured Achilles nine yards. I was like, okay, maybe I should lay off Drew Brees, Mike, give me this the ball back, give me the ball back, the balls back? Can I get those tennis balls back? Yeah? Bastard? Alright? Uh? Did you give your cheeser Toide? Yeah? I already forgot. You gave your cheeser because it's raiders everything for you today? Yeah, I'm still alive and survivor are you still alive in surviving? Yes? I'm sorry? How many times are we going over this? Yes?

I had two entries, one of them crapped out. The first week I've had Tennessee and Cleveland and last week New England, so I threw used. I've used Pittsburgh, Green Bay in Cleveland and I won all three and now and folks know I'm going to continue to win every single one. What I'm sorry, Why are your three better than my three? I don't unders in they're not better. I'm just I'm just I thought I was going to give my survivor, then you give your survivor. Well, oh,

the others don't get to pick their survivors. Okay they're out. Okay, out, you're out. It's called survivors. You go ahead your what's yours? This one to survive? My pick for survivor who I have not used is the Seattle Seahawks the Miami Dolphins.

Can get it done and put the winner circle. Remember, folks, Hasham will make me go sixteen to know this year because I am not in the Survivor contest to ultimately screw me and keep me from winning money and YouTube can be a big winner if you just follow me. By the way, your pick was not well received here at the D the beautiful D Hotel here in Las Vegas, by any of a city at the table. It was met with a groans. Not that's a dicey selection. We'll see how many people use it in the real Survivor

this year. I don't think that many will be using this. I don't think so. Which is a great strategy if you get through. I uh, because I have actual survivors strategy. I don't listen to simpletons. But go ahead, are you referring to us a sim I am actually I'm going to take and I'm not thrilled about this pick, but if I actually do the grid and my Survivor strategy and looking forward to future weeks, which I don't think Todd is really doing, let's be honest. Oh yeah, I'm

gonna take the Uh. I'm gonna take the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Survivor and hope that Anthony Lynn plays his role properly for me to advance. So I'm gonna tear a Chargers here we go. So I'm gonna take the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. That is my week for Survivor pick, because I don't really see an opportunity to use them any time else except for maybe late late late in the season, and hopefully Survivor will be over by then

and I'll be your winner. So Tampa, whether the Chargers are going to have any guys get stabbed in the heart with the needle and do not do not have that information that advanced that uh. Last two questions final two questions of each and every megapod through the years are always the same. The first, which of the big favorites in your opinion is the most likely to lose outright. Uh, there's not a lot of big spreads here. So the only two that qualify by our normal numbers, Well, I

guess uh Seattle qualifies too. So Uh, Baltimore thirteen point favorites down the uh down inside the Beltway to Washington. Actually the stadium is uh, it's inside of building. Baltimore thirteen point favorites at Washington. Then there is the Seattle Seahawks six and a half point favorites at Miami. Oh, I'm sorry, the Rams thirteen point favorites hosting the Giants. Pardon me, Tampa Bay seven point favorites over the Chargers. Uh, the Kansas City Chiefs, Oh I short changed it. I'm sorry.

There are some Kansas City Chiefs seven point favorites hosting the New England Patriots and the San Francisco forty Niners hosting Philadelphia by Evan green Bay seven and a half Monday Night against Atlanta. I was thinking a last week's GTCH. So there's plenty of these, which Bradley, in your opinion, is the most likely to lose out right Now, I have a prediction. I think everybody's gonna pick the same team. The Seahawks. I'm wrong, You're gonna did you want me

to say the Chiefs? I forgot the Seahawks. Saw Seahawks most likely lose. We used to mention when Fits gets on a role, Fits gets on a roll. I'd love to see Byron Jones come back. But I still think the strength of the Dolphins team with Xavien Howard and Noah igbanagay is can mitigate somewhat Russell Wilson, if that is even a thing. And that that Seahawks defense has been bad, they really haven't been very good. I think the Dolphins matchup well. I think Fitzpatrick will have time

to pass. I think he can move the ball down the field. I think the Dolphins can score. And this is also another spot where Seattle is going from Washington to Miami, and Miami has extra rest and and and the other motivating factor. I like in Flores a lot. I do. I like Brian Flores. I think he's a good coach there one in two if they can get to two in two in this spot over Seattle, a mark he went. I think this is a spot where he knows he can kind of turn the season around.

So I really, really, really like Miami to win this game. I have him overseason win till six and a half. I actually have a ticket on them winning the a f C S eleven one because I liked the number. Bethan Ney, did you want to pick one of those? So this like the person who's gonna lose? Yeah, So of all those are the biggest favorites on the board. But if one of them is going to lose? Outright, what team is the most likely to be that team? Of the big favorites, they say green Bay, Bay Bay.

She didn't feel the Green Bay vibe. Not not a fan of Aaron Rodgers, I'm getting no, she hates his eyes they're big. Actually was very neutral on Aaron Rodgers until last week when Mike to Rico in the middle of the UH game last night, I mean last week, said that Aaron Rodgers was reading the book The Holographic Universe, which is a wild book and very very entertaining for quantum physics lovers and who people who wonder about the nature of reality, and it really made me love Aaron Rodgers,

who I was totally neutral on. And uh, it means he's a big thinker and whatever. I don't care what you guys think about him, Todd. One of my first long conversations with Todd was about quantum physics, and Todd and I got a spirited debate about the subject. So no surprise to me that that would impress you. For lovers of quantum physics, there's a set, there's a phrase, and the nature of reality and the nature pardon me. Seattle Seahawks, Seattle Seahawks, Todd. I think the most likely

to lose is the San Francisco forty Niners. You know what I don't know about this team. I believe that they don't really have the same porn star loving quarterback that they used to. And uh, I have a feeling that, you know, the Eagles might come up and bite them. Bethany, you gotta love Jimmy g right, Um, not really, that's an upset right there. I'm with I'm with you, Dodd. San Francisco, too many injuries, Philadelphia is just that that you couldn't you couldn't have a worse opinion of the

Eagles right now. Uh, from what you've seen the first three weeks oh two in one. A team is never as bad as they look from one week to the next. I think that if the injury angle is why I would choose the Niners here. Uh, Seattle would be my second choice on that, but San Francisco's who all go with?

And then the final question if we lived in a bizarro world and we had to play a side on each and every one of these now fifteen games on the NFL slate because of course Pittsburgh and Tennessee is postponed. But you've got one free pass, Bradley, You've already given yours Thursday night, Denver in the turday, what game would it be for you? Bethany? Is there a gamer? You have no feeling? Yes? I do. Um, I'm not sure you're going to be liking liking this one, but I'm

gonna say away from Houston, yes, Uh. I just want to stay away as from Bill O'Brien as much as I can. And he never smiles, you know, he never smiles. And I don't really like his play. Calls a whole lot the ball. I mean, you have Deshaun Watson like, what are you doing? Smile? You know, so as fine a reasoning as I could come up with. Well, he's always pensive. He's pensive because it's fourth down. In three quarters of a yard and he doesn't have anything that's playable.

He has pensiveness on his face, hence why they normally call time out in that spot. Mike, I don't like this about Bears and Colts. I don't. I'm very confused on that game. There's a lot for me. Yeah, there's a lot there. I'm not sure I really understand either team. They might both be overrated. I don't know how good his foal is going to be through the course of a season. I mean, he had a nice quarter and a half against Atlanta, who has now become you know,

the Hall of Fame tankers and blowing these leads. I mean it's just incredible. So that's the game. I just won't take any part of Toddy, and I think there's tons of games that shouldn't be touched. Ridiculous choices. Arizona and Carolina, I don't know. I mean, I love Kyler Murray, but you know, last week they just showed me they're not elite yet. Carolina. I don't know what's going on over there. Teddy Bridgewaters and he's managing the game. He's

not managing the game. I don't want any part of it, as witnessed by the fact that I could barely get to a third pick in the NFL this year. I agree this week, I agree with that completely. I hear Denver in. I mean, I'll just go through through candidates. Denver in the Jets, New Orleans at Detroit scares me, Indianapolis, Chicago, to your point, Mikey, Arizona, Carolina, kind of Jacksonville. Since that, even though that was my third pick, you know, I

don't know, I don't love it. Uh and then uh yeah, I mean on down the line, we talked about Philadelphia s Francisco as well. I'm gonna end up with Denver in the Jets, though I'm with Brad Thursday night. I mean, I know, Mikey, I gotta you have conviction, But like, would it shock you if Denver won this game, wouldn't shock me. I wouldn't be shocked at any outcome. This is such an in game things, so Denver and the Jets would be my pick. Thank you too, all. Once again,

Todd wish No from his lair in Pittsburgh. Thank you, Todd. Uh no problem, folks, and uh, you know, if you're not betting in game, wake up you you might really like it as a public service announcer for in game betting and Todd Wish now Mike Palm, Derek Stephen's conciliary here at the at the whole Circuit Sports operation. When

is circle open again? The evening of October Tuesday is the black tie affair, and then at midnight, so technically on the start, let me just take a moment to praise you and Derek for the wonderful leather bound was it leather leather bound invitation that you sent out to everyone lucky enough to be invited to this That in and of itself was was impressive beyond belief. I don't even know how the actual party itself could have the opening itself, could top that. I could. I could stare

at that invitation for days and study it. He's hired a world class MC for a black tie affair. When we go up on the pool deck at ten o'clock and we have the whole year, George say, most Nathan hotdogs eating, it's phenomenal, George. She is going to be Most people don't know him by name, but yeah, they that is that guy. The invitation. I'm gonna tell you how powerful the invitation was. My wife really didn't want to come, but after she got that invitation, now she's excited.

Why didn't you want to come? There's a lot. There's a lot that goes into it. There's a lot, and I'll be paying zero attention to her that night, because you know what I mean. That's part of it. Yeah, all right. So, so, by the way, kudos to a there by the way commercial that Derek has Now that's everywhere on ESPN. That didn't cost anything. No, that was that was probably cheap. We saw we were watching that, we're watching the game, and then what's it on on

ESPN right now? Brad, Brad, before we go, you should tell your friend that he should ask me to bet against him every game of the Major League Baseball season. He will break the record for home runs of Barry Bonds. He will also have the Triple Crown and be the greatest hitter in the history of Major League't just do it for him? Why don't you be a good person and just do it for him? And then why does he have to ask you? Well, because I need some

monetary Uh okay, okay, okay. And thank you to our guests who flew in again and they needed to get away from from the kids. I'm sure for at least twenty four hours. But nice of them to come and do this in person. Uh, Bradley Poris and his wife, Bethany. Bethany, your also took Brad's last name. Did you concede on his last name? I did, even though my maiden name was way cooler. But it's okay. What was your maiden name?

You want to share? It is Slick? Oh my god, what that is a step down, Bethanie, Slick was totally killed. I told him, I said, it's a great baseball name. Great right, right, so, but that name is awesome. Thank you. I appreciate. In fact, if I was Brad right now, I would check my bank account because that sounds like a con man's name. Slick the greatst Thank you to both of you. The name of the podcast is the pre snap Picks podcast available or all podcasts are distributing, sir,

and your co host name is Russell Bond. All right, you wanted to say something I was gonna say. You were from Texas and if you you know, well, first off, if you see these players, you know they get invited the White House sometimes and they don't come, and I always thought, I always tell myself, you know, if I ever gotten invited to the White House, I don't care who the president is, I'm going. And you the second best thing an invitation to the Mega Pond. You're a

good man. I'm going. And you know from TENN who the host was. I didn't care who. As long as Mikey Palm shut up, I was going to be here. But you, you all you bring a gift, Gill, so I got this, this something, a little something you always talk about on your show. Who do you? Who do you think is gonna win the m v P in baseball? No, there you go, that's yours for you, Gil, for you,

you didn't really get me a very good number. I know it's not the best number, but I just got here even money, not the amount is not relevant, the prices. He got even money on it. Why do you tartal total gambles responsible? That's pretty terrible, Thank you man, it's very that's very kind of you. This is gonna cash? Should I get Should I give you back your steak on? This is that you don't read gift and you don't get a bad number. Those are the very number. Thank

you to you and thank you to Bethany's slick. Appreciate it very much again. Pre Stap Picks podcast from Bradley and Bethany, who is thirteen and two looking to build on that. Thank you to you both. Thank you to everybody listening. We're live at the dach At every Thursday until Circue opens and then that's gonna be nuts live at Circa. Can't wait. Thank you for listening, Good luck with all your picks. In Week four of the NFL well time Battle Dog that the Battle Battle