Tom check it on Man Now Down Now Thursday morning, November Beating the Book Podcast Megapod Times Gil Alexander thanks everybody for tuning in. You know how this works. Week thirteen in the NFL. We will tackle it as always the show brought you by the score x dot com th h E S C O r e x dot com. Remember if you win the pool of beating the book listeners, if you put in the promo code GIL G I L L, you are qualified for the Beating the Book pool.
The winner at the end of the regular season will beat on the Megapod with Me, Marco and Ace wild Card week. So I am here to update the standings currently with five weeks left in the season. The leader right now is profitable gentlemen profitable plus he has indeed been profitable. Number two topsch left, not top shell off, mind you. He misspelled top shelf perhaps and called himself topsch left, So we could have a guy who misspelled top shelf as our guest here on the Megapod Well
Car week. He's up Dieto the Greek is up twenty six percent, the Wick up percent. Those guys tied for third and then Vitamin g up so whoever wins it, whether it's in that group or someone lurking right behind that top five, whoever's at the top. After week seventeen, you will be on the magupod with this wild card week. We look forward to it and pumped that you've been score X and all year long. Once again, it's th h E S c O R e X the score X dot com on the show today. You heard that laugh.
That is the recognizable laugh of one of the pillars of the show. Thirty nine years in the business. That like goes back to the Eisenhower administration. No, not quite, not quite that far back, ladies and gentlemen. It is Marco to Angelo. Good morning, Marco, good morning. I'm doing very well. I can't wait for the Derby. When I introduce you for the Derby as a man who's seen all Kentucky Derbys live, that's always fun. It's always fun for you. Maybe that's more accurate. You're right and on
my left out of the sports betting diaspora. Ace, good morning, Ace, all right, thanks for having me brother. Nice to be back after the break. Yeah, I got a request. Yeah, by the way, thanks to everybody I know. We had a couple who were like, not a little more than a couple of people who are like, where's the megapod? We never do one Thanksgiving week? Marco, we never do one Thanksgiving week? And when's the other time we never do one? Wee I did, we had, we had gone
away from it. And then for some cockamami reason I got in my head, I was like, let's do a week seventeen pods. You're like, why we never do one. I'm like, oh, let's try it. And it was stupid. Um Ace, I gotten requests about you this week. Uh, somebody wants a blah blah blah from you at some point on the show. And then they also want a they want a Patrick Mahomes member update, which I can't even believe that came out of my mouth. But a Ace is not a fan of the Chiefs and that
has not worked out so far for him. And on the show today, Ladies and Gentlemen, our esteemed guest, as always, we haven't had Teddy on in a while, and that is my mistake and nobody else's. From Sports Memo, Ladies and Gentlemen, the Great Teddy covers Good morning, Teddy, Gentlemen. Great to be here. Thanks for being are I appreciate you doing this. Always fun having you, Hey, the pleasures
all mine and hopefully this time. There was one pod that I remember just being vehement and arguing against all you guys, and then I was completely wrong when Monday Night you guys mocked me, and I think maybe that's why I wasn't on from Oh No, if we have being in arguments, I'll try to be on the right side of them. Teddy, we mock everyone, We mock each other. It's kind of what we do. All right, Let's start as we always do in reverse. Will start with Monday Night.
It is a NFC East. I hesitate to use the word clash, but basically, if the Cowboys lose tonight on Thursday Night Football to the Saints, which might be the highest rated Thursday night football game of all time, we shall see. But if the Cowboys lose that game and the Eagles end up beating the Redskins, we will have a three way tie on top of the NFC East at six and six Cowboys Eagles at Redskins. We'll see if it pans out. As it is for this game, the Eagles are six six and a half point favorite.
Consensus in this game on Monday Night, it will be Colt McCoy again for the Redskins. Redskins on extra rest here having lost to the Cowboys last Thursday and Thanksgiving refs refusing to make some calls on the Cowboys, man just say, as a Redskins fan, kind of a p I rapage that wasn't called, kind of a targeting that was heard up in the booth that wasn't called. But you get the idea. The Redskins didn't win the game. Didn't cover unless you got it early. On guessing lines.
I said eight and a half was ridiculous. If you got it early enough, you were you want on the Redskins. But most people did not win on the Redskins. Anyway, they lose that game. Offense is just decimated really, Besides Jordan Read and their starting center, everybody's different than was the case from the beginning of the season, although Trent Williams and Morgan Moses get in and out of the
lineup at tackle. And then there's the Eagles, defending Super Bowl champions, who have just not looked anywhere near the way they did last year. Much of that the fact that they're not having the same success on third down conversions, which they were just lights out on last year. A lot of injuries in that secondary. But they come back from a nineteen to three deficit against the Giants last
Sunday win at twenty five to twenty two. So again a chance if things go break their way here on Thursday night as well, to be in a tie after all that twelve games of the season atop the NFC East, Teddy, how do you feel about this game? So, you know, the Rescues were a team that when they got off to that hot start, it really felt real like Washington
was going to be there for the full race. But when your offensive line gets decimated with injuries and you were talking about it, you know, uh yeah, puts a real damper on everything that you're capable of doing. You know, last week you talked about all the key plays except the one that actually what's the point spred difference maker of course, the missed extra point for the Ridskins having
enormous betting occasions here in Las Vegas. Uh, with the eight point victory in the game that closed seven seven and a half. The missed extra point was the difference maker there. And obviously when you're talking about this stage of the season, it's not unusual to see games land right around the number. Every half point can and does matter, and this is one of those games where as we talk,
we're looking at six and a half. I expect this game to go to seven by the time that you know, at least at some books, by the time we're looking at kickoff, simply because Philadelphia saved their season last week and Washington had another National TV loss, and we know the Eagles aren't anywhere near what they were a year ago. Uh. You know, a lot of it, in my mind, has to do with the brain trust. You know, look at the Colts with Frank Greig right now, and boy, their
game plans are unique and difficult to defend every week. Huh. We haven't seen that in Philadelphia. We've seen John to Philippo up in Minnesota have success as the offerensive coordinator of the QB coach for Carson Wentz last year when Wentz was an MVP candidate. Clearly he's not an MVP candidate this season. Of course, the Eagles do have all of those injuries in the secondary secondary last week that had nary a healthy starter in the mix. That's a
problem in this point spread range. All that being said, Philadelphia is the better of these two teams moving forward. When you talk about upside, the Redskins with a backup quarterback who's not you know, a playmaker in Colt McCoy got who made a lot of mistakes last week and is going up against a strong pass rush here. Boy, I don't trust McCoy to avoid the mistakes this week. I think Philly more likely to get the job done. Philly more likely to get the job done. And you're right.
Colte McCoy first start for the Redskins in place of the injured Alex Smith, thirty eight for two touchdowns, three picks among his passes, more than his share of ducks. He was sacked three times. Colte McCoy gets a second start of the Sea in this one. Zach Ertz the go to guy for Carson Wentz this year. Seven catches for ninety one yards and a touchdown against the Giants last week. Uh, Teddy just mentioned Frank Reich in that Frank Reich is the common thread. The Eagles were the
best team on third downs last year. Frank Reich was there, O, c what do you know Indianapolis Colts this year the only team over fifty conversion rate on third downs. That's obviously been a huge differentiator among so many for the Eagles thus far this year. Marco, any thoughts on this ball game? Yeah, Washington, Uh use a VR's favorite line or the pony is a three dollar bill. You know when they had that four in one run, uh, prior
to losing the last two. If you go back and look at that four in one run, they enjoyed a twelve to two turnover edge. I'm sorry. Whenever you have a twelve to two turnover edge over five game period, you're gonna win some ballgames. That's how they won the Carolina game. They were plus three in turnovers. Beat Carolina twenty three to seventeen. Plus three in turnovers, you're supposed to win bigger than six points. Um. We all talked
about that Tampa Bay game. That was another one. Uh. They beat Tampa Bay sixteen to three with Tampa Bay having like five hundred yards of offense and no points to show for it. Well, it was plus four in the turnover margin in Philadelphia last week. As bad as Philadelphia has been, and we've seen it all year. The way they were able to pull last week's game out. That is the type of game that can save someone's season and start them on a run. And I think
that's where you're gonna be with Philadelphia. The injuries to Washington has been well documented. UM, asked Alex Smith. That's you know, probably why Uh, you know he got hurt with the poor offensive line play. I'll take Philadelphia here. Uh, this is a game that, like you said, Gil, if we get a loss tonight by the Cowboys against the Saints, this sets up, you know, if you're a conspiracy theories, you're gonna be on Philadelphia at least for a teaser anyways,
to just win the game. Because what better way to have the NFC least other than having three mediocre teams at six and six. Yeah. I was gonna ask you if this had teas written all over it on the Eagles, and you answered the question. Uh. Normally when you speak poorly of the Redskins, I always go, how dare you, Marco? How dare you say such things? But you are you are completely correct in the in this in this case, Um, and yes, the Tampa Bay game four nine eight or
four hundred nine nine yards of offense. Can't remember the exact number, but it's right there, and the Buccaneers managed three points. That just doesn't happen. Doesn't happen. Ridskins won that game. In that Carolina game you referenced, Redskins went up seventeen and nothing, and you're right to DJ more turnovers for the Panthers. That was huge into the Redskins
getting steaked to a seventeen and nothing lead. Panthers came all the way back, got the ball all the way to the fifteen yard line with it as to win it, and then Cam just had this Cam like horrific sequence where the Redskins escaped and you're like, what was Cam doing? So, yeah, a bunch of escape jobs for the Redskins. ACE totals at forty five. Any thoughts on this game? Yeah, I mean, listen, obviously, the Redskins haven't looked good to the last four weeks
except for that win at Tampa Bay. But with that said, they they've been decimated by injuries of late um not giving him a pass, but I mean you gotta factor that in. Personally, I thought this line was a little high. I don't like what I see out of Philadelphia Um. I mean when you look at the matchups that they've had against solid teams, they just can't get it done. I mean against Dallas at home, a very big game. The way this division is lined up, I couldn't get
that win as seven and a half point favorites. Against Carolina at home, fine point favorites, another big game. Can't get that win. Against Minnesota at home three and a half point favorites, can't get that win. Ohly did they not cover these games? They even win the game straight up. So I don't see anything to get excited for with Philadelphia, um let alone laying a touchdown. This is going off of last year. I mean, their their reputation this entire
season is going off last year. Um. That's why they're burning through money. If you're betting them there three and eight against the spread, that's not by an accident. Um. So for me, I just can't lay close to a touchdown with Philadelphia, And the fact that they're three and three at home gives me no confidence to even tease them. You know, I could see if they, you know, were a five and six, six and five team, but they were getting their winds at home and just having trouble
on the road. But this team is a coin toss at home and on the road, so they have confidence. I just don't see it. I mean, for me, it's a dog or pass situation. UM. But I think there's value in the over here. I mean it sets up as that NFC East playoff aspirations called what you will for both these teams fighting for that top spot. And and it's that NFC East I think perception of that defensive game, and then you factor in, you know, the Eagles have been in on their team. Four of their
last five games have gone under. UM. Again, it's it's at the primetime game. UM. Usually that the biases towards the over, and I not want to quickly jump on that over, but I did last Monday night and it worked out for me, and I liked the over again
this Monday night as well. If there's one thing I saw out of Washington, as much as McCoy makes those mistakes and they had five turnovers the last two weeks, the offense moves okay, and I think they'll be able to get some points against Philly, and Philly will do the same, So give me the over. They scored forty seven and and fifty eight when they played last year. In those two games, I think they could go over
forty four and a half forty five. Last thing on this game, because we do we do sort of gloss over, you know, when a team gets estimated by injuries. But the Skins on offense, man, my god, both starting guard Shawn Laval and Brandon Schriff out for the season. Trent Williams and Morgan was their their tackles in and out of the lineup. Jamison Crowder, their slot receiver, has been out for two months. Chris Thompson, the best player on
that offense, been out for almost two months. Who else Paul Richardson and yeah, Paul Richardson out for the year, and of course Alex Smith now done for the year as well. It's incredible how how many injuries they have. But we'll see, still got a shot. Redskins right now six and a half point dogs on the road at Philly on Monday night, Sunday night, guys, game that was
flexed in good matchup Chargers at the Steelers. Steelers right now are three and a half point favorites consensus, though you will see some threes out there with extra Juice, Marco, it is fitting that we start with you, not only because it's the Steelers, funny how that always works out, but because you absolutely rabbit footed up your ass your way to a Denver win last week. If I may be blunt, how many things had to happen in that game for Denver to to cover and win it out right?
By the way, Denver wins it by a touchdown. Pittsburgh won only five teams that didn't hit on the tease last week, twenty five and thirty on teaser sides. Big Ben, though, in that game against the Broncos forty one of fifty six for four sixty two, one touchdown, two picks. That's a six four hundred and fifty yard plus game of his career, juju is ridiculous. Thirteen catches for nine and two touchdowns. Steelers had five hundred twenty seven total yards
of offense, controlled the ball for thirty five minutes. However, let's run down the list. Blocked field goal a fumble through the back of the end zone. By the way, I cannot stand that rule. Ben misses the wide open receiver in the third quarter that was headed to the house. James Conner fumbling just inside the red zone, and of course the final interception from Big Ben at the end.
Steelers first loss since September. And then there's the Chargers who come in this game off a huge victory over the Cardinals, really coasting easy victory after they spotted Arizona ten points. But Melvin Gordon gone because Anthony le Lynn, when they were up by like a thousand points, decided to keep him in the game. He's gone now with the knee injury. He'll be out this week and maybe a couple subsequent weeks. Four. The Chargers Pittsburgh again three
point favorites. It's called three and a half consensus right now, total at fifty one and a half. Marco, Well, that's set up with the horseshoe and everything else. Sounds like somebody had. Somebody had Pittsburgh last week. Did No? I did not. I did not have any action in that game, all right, But yeah I did. I had Denver and it was the luckiest win. And this is what's humbling
about the NFL. As you like to throw out your plink oh and coin flips and everything else, till I went one and one on Sunday in the NFL the game I lost, I never show lost in the game I won, I never should have won. That's the beauty of the NFL. I had Carolina that went up and down the Seattle last week, and you know I would have gladly traded that one and one the other way around. Um obviously because of you know, my loyalty to the Steelers.
But you know it was a bad spot for Pittsburgh last week, and it's why that I put me on Denver. They were coming off that Jacksonville game. Playing back to back road games, UM is always tough, and especially the way the Steelers had to come from behind to win the Jacksonville game. And as we all know, that was a huge revenge game for Pittsburgh. But did I think the Steelers were gonna put up the numbers they did last week? Offensively? I mean, they went up and down
the field and kept shooting themselves in the foot. And how often do we see this though throughout Mike Tomlin's career, For whatever reason, when the Steelers play a sub five hundred team, they played to the level of the competitions. It's frustrating. And uh, Denver stole a game, pure and simple, and now we've got the Chargers in Pittsburgh. They got something in common. These two teams both gave games away to Denver in the last two weeks. UM, so they're
the same on that aspect. But you talk about Juju, and you know, I just want to highlight for a second what he's doing right now. And Gil, if you remember back right now, what we're seeing with Juju is what we saw with Antonio Brown, uh in his first and second year in Pittsburgh, and that was you know,
Antonio Brown was not the guy. It was Mike Wallace, you know, and Mike Wallace was getting all of the you know, the double teams, and Antonio Brown, because he is such a good, you know talent, you know, was the unknown factor and not getting you know, the coverage. Is that Antonio Brown, you know that Wallace was getting. And now that's what's happening to Juju. And he is emerging as a superstar. If you don't get him immediately when he makes the catch, his yards after the catch,
um is insane. I mean, just look at last week's you know, ninety seven yard touchdown. You know this guy when he gets into the open field, Uh, the speed and elusiveness uh. And then you know you got a B on the other side getting the double team. He got juju And if you somehow manage to cover those two, you gotta worry about Connor out of the backfield, and you gotta worry about Vance McDonald, who is emerging is one of the best tight ends in the NFL. He's
having a breakout season with the Steelers. So this offense is just, you know, right now, unstoppable unless Ben throws it to the wrong colored jerseys. Um. I look at the Chargers, and everybody's gonna point out where all the Steelers are going against a good defense. The Chargers don't give up any points. Let's just stop with that for a second. Look at who the Chargers have played, uh in recent weeks in which you know, they've had a stretch here now of seven games where only one team
is top twenty points. That one team was Denver. Uh. You look at the other teams that they played. They played Oakland, who is absolute trash. They played Cleveland when the clown show was still there of Hugh Jackson and Tied Haley, And we noticed Baker Mayfield's numbers the minute Ti Hayley cut replaced and he got replaced my head coach at the defensive coach, and the offensive numbers are off the charts. With Baker's last three games, Um Tennessee,
not an offensive Jugger, not UM Seattle. Okay, they held them to seventeen, but then they played Oakland a second time and then Denver in Arizona. They haven't faced an explosive offense. We'll see what the Chargers defense is really made of going against a good offense and explosive offense. And we know the Steelers home off of the loss, how good they are. They're a different team at home. They averaged seven points a game more at home. And now this game is flexed into the Sunday night game
the Steelers. Uh, this just doesn't look good for the Chargers. And this one, uh, no Gordon, and this one for the Chargers that's gonna hurt them. And I am gonna actually finish this analysis with yes, I'm on Pittsburgh and I went the entire analysis without calling the Chargers the San Diego Chargers. How about back well done? That that's the big upset of the day right here, plus eight
hundred cashes on that. Uh it's so true though, like I could totally see Pittsburgh just rolling in this game, because Pittsburgh always seems to have one horrific out of the blue road loss every year. It's kind of what they do. And I think Denver is that this year. Yeah, I mean, just just in your mind's eye picturing Ben trying to get hold of the turf by Joey Bosa and just managing to get it out in a big
Pittsburgh playing this one. By the way, anecdotally, if you talk to any Chargers fan, they're such defeatist fans, by the way, Chargers fans, they're like, yeah, this is the game where we get absolutely destroyed. Yeah. I mean, listen, I had Denver last week also, and I get it. Four turn minus born turnovers for Pittsburgh. You're not going to cover games. You're not gonna win games like that, so call it what you will. I I like, I
thought we had the right side. We got a little couple of lucky plays, but regardless, Um, listen, they snapped their six game wins. Now they return home, Um, this is the to be their only excuse me home game in like a four weeks. Threat. Um, I could definitely see the Steelers showing up, and I agree with Marco. The only thing I don't like is not sure the
market's reaction based on the Gordon situation. You know, I I as soon as a key player goes down like that, usually the market overreacts and thinks he's worth more to the betting line than than he truly is. And for me, I'm always cautious there. Um. I do like the under though, um. And I know it's scary because you've got the Chargers team that's definitely gonna try to throw on these Steelers. You know they're they're gonna have trouble running the ball,
especially now. Um, But I don't think they would have had all that much success anyway. They were gonna come and throw in the football against the Steelers defense. And when you think of two teams that are gonna be throwing the football, you think points and over. But but I think this line is just way too high. I mean, listen, we've seen total us that we've never seen before this season.
In fact, we saw the unprecedented one two Monday nights ago, um, where they scored a hundred five points and went over. I get it. Um, it's a it's a change the NFL and you have to approach it a little differently. But with that said, UM, the NFL betting market is probably one of the most efficient on the planet. UM and none evolve and uh quicker than the NFL. And I think that you're starting to see these totals high
in games that it's not warranted. I mean, you look on the board now and you're seeing four, five, six games in or around the fifties, UM, and I just think that's more of what we've seen, uh this sample size of this year than it really being warranted. So for me, I think this total is too high. I'm gonna go ahead and bet the under. I don't think you're gonna see a two way shootout. I could see it turn into a one sided game on the Pittsburgh side, So I do like that a little bit as well.
But I just think this total is way too high. Give me that under, all, right, under fifty one and a half. I am contractually obligated gentlemen to mention that Philip Rivers last week against the Cardinals in that blowout forty five to ten blowout, twenty eight of twenty nine had twenty five consecutive completions to start that game, uh ties in NFL record Ryan Tannehill's mark for but it
is a record for completions to start a game. But twenty eight of twenty nine, that's nineties six point eight percent is the greatest completion percentage in the history of the National Football League. And let me just say this, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams were making just unbelievably amazing catches with their tiptoeing just inside the sidelines. Those receivers helped Rivers out so much too. It's just an impressive performance. But a last the Cardinals, they ain't the Steelers, Teddy,
what do you think? So? Now, did you notice that Philip Rivers left the game after completing twenty nine Then Gino Smith came in and through three strading completes. I did notice that, Yeso Smith. Gino Smith, by the way, Teddy, one of my favorite scouting report lines ever when he was coming out of college. It's a Geno Smith slow eyes.
I love that slow eyes and Gino I mean to watch his NFL career is absolutely no surprise and Nione that watched him in college and the fact that the Jet has been a first round draft choice on him, and the fact that he's lasted this long in the league, I'll give him credit. What it speaks volume about the football organization in New York. A couple of things we got to talk about right off the bat. First, of course,
is the weather. When we're talking about l A traveling to Pittsburgh for a night game, tempi are supposed to be in the fifties. Is a chance of light rain, but it's not going to be one of these cold, nasty nights at the Hinesfield. So advantage in that regard probably l A. Of course, when you start talking about Austin Ekeler instead of Melvin Gordon, that's not necessarily an advantage l A. And by the way, their third leaning,
the third leading rusher this year is Keenan Allen. They do not really have a decent backup for Atli who you know, Lynn's talking the talks and oh he can be an every down back, no problem. You know, you see all the yards after after contact that he gets. Okay, the guy's got seventy carries on the season. And this is a game where l a's game plan has to be run the football, keep big ban off the field. That's likely to be a problem with their backup running back,
and you know, I'm not a running back guy. I tend to think of them as being interchangeable. Now Gordon is not interchangeable, and his absence will be fetting. Note that the note that the markets have pretty much been like, yeah, whatever, Melvin Gordon doesn't matter the threes and a half getting back down? Are you Are you surprised by that, Teddy, because I was a little surprised by that. I mean, I get it, these guys don't mean that much, much
less than the public perceives. But in Gordon's case, I thought maybe some movement, none really none, none whatsoever. And a lot of it has to do with, again, what we saw last week. What we see last week? We saw the Chargers blow out a bad team, and we the Steelers lose straight up uh to a mediocre team.
Hence the I think that has something to do with the lack of market support for Pittsburgh here and the lack of enthusiasm for Melvin Gordon, and the fact that both of these teams, I mean, what the Steelers did against Denver, you guys setting nailed it. You know, Pittsburgh does this not once. That's why they do it a you know, three or four times. It's like every season they have games where, yeah, they should have won, but they didn't. Um. Of course, the Chargers have more than
their fair share of special teams misc used. No surprise here if the Chargers end up losing this game at s because somebody misses an extra point or somebody this is a field goal. It's what they do. But with one team coming off the blowout win, the other team coming off a bad loss where they were minus four in turnovers a prior, you have to look at the Pittsburgh side here at three. I'm a buyer on the Steelers. All right. It's such a good point about the Charges too.
If you're friends with any Chargers fans, they will tell you this. It's just that there's cursed with place kickers. Like it's an amazing how a franchise can't get together. You know who has a little of that. The Vikings. Like, all of a sudden, Dan Bailey is not Dan Bailey anymore in Minnesota. So it's like a Blair Walsh lost the Super Bowl, I lost on a Super Bowl because they both accurate kicker in NFL history at the time.
The Jip John Field, Gary Anderson, that's right, and then of course there's the Blair Walsh kick against the Seahawks. Kai for Bath Daniel Carlson had moved on to other teams. Sam, It's interesting, alright, gentlemen, we get Sunday DIBs now from Ace your choice of Sunday games, sir, all right, a lot of good games to choose from. I'm gonna go ahead and and save some people some money because this is gonna be one of the most tease teams, um, come Sunday, and and it even just falls into that
advantage teaser number as well. And that's going to be the Baltimore Raven. Stay away from that team this Sunday going into Atlanta. UM, it's we're at that time of the year where you start the ad that must win Moniker and nothing to play for Moniker on teams, UM, and rest assured that's been factored into the betting line, and once it is discussing, it becomes meaningless. Is blah blah blah for nothing? Um, And they're going to tell you this, we're at that point of the season where
everyone's quit on Atlanta. They've now lost three straight games. UM. Listening except for that loss at Cleveland, which was ugly. Losing the Dallas and losing at New Orleans aren't really the two worst losses you can possibly have. On the flip side of that same coin, what Dome I seem from Baltimore. This is a team that's lost to Cleveland, lost to that Saint Saints team, lost to Carolina, lost to Pittsburgh, and they they looked good the last two weeks,
beating Cincinnati, beating Oakland. I mean, I don't get it. And then you talk about the Lamar Jackson experiment. I think he's gonna be good, but this is his first road game and he's not going up as as granted, this the Atlanta isn't the eight I Bears defense, but still now all of a sudden, you're you're going on the road, um, and it's not Oakland or Cincinnati and Atlanta. If anything, I think this is a team with with pride.
I mean, coming into the season the last couple of years, it's a team that was focused on making the playoffs and making a run in the playoffs. And I get it with teams like that, when when the playoffs, when they're eliminated, you want to be cautious how motivated they are. But listen, they're not mathematically eliminated. And as long as there's a sliver of hope, I expect players to show up. And if Atlanta shows up Sunday at home on in a pretty much pick them situation, my money's on him.
I like Atlanta Sunday. All the nonsense about the you know, must win in Baltimore in the playoff hunt, they can't afford losses. Yeah, well that's great what you can and can't afford? Um, what's gonna happen to a different story? Give me Atlanta, I'll l a one to three. I don't know what it is. Save your money on the teasers, don't take them up the eight nine. They're gonna lose by double digits, Atlanta one and a half point in
since his favorites now in that game. On Guessing Lines, for those who listened to Guessing Lines, whether on Visa on a Numbers Game Monday through Friday, Marco seven and nine am Pacific, uh Tenda Doon Eastern, or on the Beating of the Book podcast a couple of weeks ago. I was outraged when Vinny, who was sitting in for Chrissy. When Vinny said that the Redskins were eight and a half points, I was like, what eight and a half
against the Cowboys? And again, if you got it right there, you did it land on the Redskins as a winner. And the other one that week where I was incredulous about was I was like, how are the Colts nine point favorites hosting the Dolphins? Nine? What? Like? What is that? Like? Where did that spread come from? And that proved to be an easy winner for the Dolphins on the line
this week. The two that I was outraged by, and I don't know, there are weeks where I'm not outraged by anything, but it's funny that back to back weeks I've had to where I'm just like, what is that? And one of them was the fact that the Titans. This was before the Titans even played. He saw that. He saw that one had the Titans posted as a nine point favorite hosting the Jets, and I'm like, what, like,
how are the Titans nine point favorites against anybody? The other one was the fact that the Ravens were favored against the Falcons at Atlanta, and I was I couldn't believe it. I was like I was, like, we gotta start thinking about some of these NFL teams. We talk about home road splits in baseball a lot, but we don't ever in the NFL think about these teams in the NFL this year that our home road splittish. The Packers, you know, they haven't won a game on the road yet.
The Cowboys are very home road splitty. We'll see what happens tonight. We'll talk about that momentarily. Atlanta is one of these teams. Also for me, there's such a different team at home than they are on the road. Everything I said about Lamar Jackson and his first road game as well, I'm with you there, Ace. Right now, the Falcons are the team that's favored one and a half. Is the numbers? All right? When you agree with me,
it's been good results. We may be gone for the third straight winner for the listeners last week and we got that post. I just want to repeat this is want to repeat what he said. He's on a two game winning streak. I just want to point out what it's just highlighting. That's awesome. Uh, Teddy, what do you got? I don't think I've lost since now, since the start of November long, since before the mid term, since before the Midtermat okay, Teddy, what do you got on Saturday?
So I'm gonna take a look at two teams whose full season long stats are telling nothing but lies right now. That's Indianapolis and Jacksonville. The Jags first was of the season that they were good. They were the same team that were last year. We saw them blow out in New England. The offense was clicking, everything was just fine. Now we're talking about a Jags team that still has that first month of this season on their stat list.
But they've also lost seven in a row, just got beat by Buffalo at home, and they have had a pretty rough go of it obviously over the course of the last two months. There's Indy with the one in five start. They were awful, god awful both sides of the football for extended stretches. Darius Leonard, who has been as impressive as any rookie defensively this season, was banged up luck took a while to find his rhythm. The
Colts over the last month have been that again. The competition has been relatively weak, but Indie has been pretty good. And no, they weren't good enough to cover a big number last week against Miami. They came back and won that game, though, and that's what I expect him to do. Here. There's a reason that Cody Kessler has been on the bench behind Blake Bortles all this time. There's a reason that the Jags coaching staff said, no, Bortles is our
best option. Okay. Cody Kessler was a starter in Cleveland Parade games in the year where the Calves of the kil the Browns won sixteen. And yeah, he threw six touchdown passes in eight games. All right, if you watched him last week, if you watched him in preseason, Cody Kessler is a downgrade from Blake Bordles. Oh my god, that's hard to be, man, that's very hard to do. Okay, you bring your fire, Nathaniel Hackett, and you the QB
coach gets promoted. Okay, great. The defense still thinks whatever the Jacks defense was supposed to be, it isn't. The two teams are headed in opposite directions, and yet we're seeing a tick of Jacksonville money. They can't be this bad. Yes, they can give me the Colts minus the spot in Jacksonville. Two teams at an opposite direction, and I was I was worried that you were going to take Jacksonville there, to which I was going to say, because I agree
with you. Jacksonville is almost at the point, Marco. We've talked about this for years too. They're almost at the point now where how can you, how can you in any right mind put your actual harder and money behind that football team they like the Pittsburgh loss was so gut wrenching, like even if you thought they had any motivation at that point, the fact that they were up sixteen and nothing, they lost twenty to sixteen, like that is just a season in killing whatever they had left
of it, season killing game. And then they doubled down on that last week, would come back from fourteen down to Buffalo have the ball on the doorstep of the end zone at the one yard line, and then Leonard Leonard four Nette goes all sugarade Leonard on Shack Lawson uh and then a sequence of events that ends up in a Shank field goal and then Buffalo matriculating the ball down the field and taking lead, like just how many stomach punches can you take if you're the Jaguars
and care anymore? You know, it's just amazing. And yeah, we'll see Nathaniel Hackett. As you point out, Eddie, the offensive coordinator, he's the guy who ends up paying the price, and he deserves some of the blame. But there's a lot of blame to go around there in Jacksonville, starting with Blake Bortles, who will be on the bench. As you point out, Marco, which way you going here on Sunday? Yeah,
one last thing on Jacksonvill. Don't you always love whenever there's a coach that you know is going to be gone at the end of the year. He throws one of the coordinators under the bus, kills me and you and I we should we should say this, Marco, because I talked about a conversation I had with you with Michael lombardion air at Vesta, which is, if this is
gonna be an interesting year with coaches. When you and I were driving back from our Monday night game the other night, we were talking about how the worst teams in the league this year, those coaches are all gonna stay right like Oakland's not firing Gruden, San Francisco is not firing Shanahan. The Giants are gonna gonna fire Schirmer after year one. You know, I don't know does Arizona get Wilkes pass after year one? Probably? Right? All these guys that are in these awful teams, it's these mid
tier guys, McCarthy and Rivera and Horrorball. It's gonna be a really interesting year for who gets fired. And it's not gonna be the worst teams anyway. I just want to point that out. Yeah, I agree with is gonna be a fun off season, that's for sure. Marvin Lewis, Yeah, yeah, if he if I'll think what what if he survives again?
We have to we have to see the pictures that he has of whoever is trying and firing him that it hasn't fired him yet, because they've got to be really good, because I don't know how he is still there. All right, I'm sorry. I'm gonna go back to the scene of the crime. If last week my my team that let me down last week, I'm going to give
them a chance to redeem themselves. Carolina went up and down the field on on Seattle last week, and Rivera just stop with the gambling already, Okay, the opening drive, they go all the way down the field they got. You know, it's not fourth and one, it's fourth and three. You have a five six minute drive in which you just have Seattle on their hills, and then you make it all go away by gambling on fourth and three and not taking the three points, not coming away with
something at the end of that drive. And oh, by the way, what does three points have come in handy at some point in that game? Yeah? Final score? Yeah, you lose by three. You're an idiot, And I'm gonna come back with You know, we've got Tampa Bay. This is a team that finally got a win last week. They go back to Jamis Winston, who has a good game. When was the last time Jameis Winston has had two
good games in a row. Florida State Okay, probably, Uh, this is a spot where I'm gonna go with Carolina. You look at the defense of Tampa Bay. How are they going to stop Carolina? And when Cam's running the football like he was last week and throwing the football, I mean he had a huge day too. You know, they had two yards underground. McCaffrey an absolute beast. What a weapon. This guy is running the football and out of the backfield catching the ball, and then when you
throw Cam in there with the red option. I don't see how tamp but base stops them. Uh. Does it become a track meet and they have to outscore one another. I think Carolina's defense is solid enough to put the clamps down onto Jamis Winston. I'll go with Carolina here. I think we're getting a short number because we got the three game losing streak of Carolina, and they should have won two of those three that they lost. The
only game they got drilled on was the Pittsburgh game. Uh, Detroit again, he gambles, doesn't go for the overtime, Take the extra point and go into overtime. You're the better team and you've got all the momentum. Why make the game come down to a coin flip on a two point conversion? Go into overtime. You've got the better team. But it's just like when you have the better team and you're looking at overtime. It's the same way I look at the house. Uh in Vegas, the longer you play,
the edge goes to the house. If you're the better team, the longer you play, the edge goes to you go to over time. Just stupid I'm on Carolina. If they blow this one, this might be a theme then the seasons, the season's gone, because then they're gonna lose four in a row and they're out of it. And this is a tough spot for them. They've got three of their last four games they played on the road. They play on the road again next week, and all of a sudden,
Cleveland's not a cupcake. And after that you've got the Saints Atlanta and the Saints again. You better take care of business right here if you want to keep your season alive. I thought you're gonna sing for Carolina. Unbettable, that's what you are. They are, they are, They are so frustrated. I'm sorry, sorry about that. I apologize to everybody,
so so unbettable. I think Ron Rivera, to your point, has turned into Dusty Baker, Like you know how Dusty Baker would just make all the wrong calls, and then sometimes even when he would start to make the right calls, they would just not go his way. Like Ron Rivera just seems to make the wrong choice at every go
of it now. And I think at that game against Detroit that you were referencing two weeks ago, when all he had to do is keep the extra point force overtime and not do this stupid like, you know, hey, let me be macho and try to win it. Right here, we're playing for the win, like I hate brain dead coaches to do that. Like I almost wonder if Riverboat Roun if his nickname made him do that, you know what I mean, Like, oh, I gotta live up to my nick Yeah. It is just like the people you
expect things from. That's how they act, you know. I mean, the class clowned this that if once you get that like name stock or what people expect people, you usually act that way, you know what I mean. It's more like subconsciously you do it. And that dudes just the moron because he believes he's Riverboat rons who you are. It's funny if you know, when we get to the
question of which game do you want no part of? Though, Mark, I might have picked this game because Carolina scares me in Tampa Bay's offense, Man, you never know what those guys um, but that is your call. You're taking one last stab on the Panthers. As he holds his breath before we get to the final two questions, Gentlemen and the Thursday Night game. As always a reminder that support for today's show is brought to you by Bookmaker dot eu.
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three hundred dollars. Once again, Bookmaker dot eu slash gil g I l L to join now and claim you're welcome bonus of up to three hundred dollars. Bookmaker dot eu kei kag My Betting Arsenal. It should be in yours too. You will thank me later, all right, before we get to the final two questions, And gentlemen, Thursday Night game tonight, Ralph Michael's your boy, Marco. He had a great little stat on this about the about the Saints, rather New Orleans Saints. They've one un covered nine straight
games since nineteen eighty nine. Only five other teams have covered and one nine straight games, and since eighty nine, no NFL team has made it to the tenth one. So the Saints are trying to be the first team to go ten and oh straight up in a t s. We shall see if it happens tonight again. They are seven point favorites on the road against the Cowboys. Teddy will start with you here. Any thoughts, brief thoughts on tonight's Thursday Night game? Will you be betting it? And
if so, how I'm not involved in tonight's gaming. And this is a story where I'm not willing to step in front of New Orleans. I've learned that lesson. And yet it feels like the value is clearly on the Dallas side of the equation. But when you get your teeth kicked in betting against the team more than once, try to learn your lesson. I have at least an
enter to the Saints. I got the Saints power raiters three points better than anyone else in the NFL right now, and if Dallas falls behind, it worries me about their ability to catch up. So I'll be sitting on the sidelines here with the slightest of leans home Dog. I honestly think that what you just said there reflects the feeling of many people tonight. Like there's a lot of people, there's a lot of people who are like, oh, seven
point home dog. I mean like they they almost like instinctively go to and then they're like, I'm not getting in front of that train, you know, Like there's like why am I going to do that? There's no reason for brave points here, so stay away for Teddy Marco anything. Well, my question to you before I give you mine is I know your teeth in this game tonight, but I don't know about that. You know, like road road, seven point favorites is a six proposition that's like below break even.
So by the math, I wouldn't, but yeah, I might, I might, I might. Where do you feel where do you feel more comfortable taking the Saints to just win the game or taking the Cowboys and getting that thing up to two touchdowns sat the win. Yeah, I know you do that. I'm on I'm on Dallas here and the Saints, I know, the freight train and stepping in
front of it's not a wise thing to do. But you know, they ruined my fourth played a Turkey um last week on the night game because I had Atlanta, because I'm sitting there with the you know, my fourth meal, and I watched Atlanta turn the ball over not once, but twice inside to five, a third time inside the twenty, and then just to you know, for extra major or fourth time. I forget where that one was. But four turnovers and I've got and I'm holding a ticket at
plus thirteen and a half and lose by fourteen. That's a little frustrating, you know, But I know you guys are all worried. I did get that fourth plate down, Okay, I powered through. I'm taking I'm taking the Cowboys here. They're different team the last three games. And you know, as much as we made fun of the Cowboys for once again, you know, blundering and paying too much for Amari Cooper giving away you know, a number one draft choice. Guys, Look what he's done instantly to this team. They now
have a legitimate deep threat. What's that done? You still
gotta have Dak get him the football. Well, what it's done is opened up the running game again for Zeke because teams are not cheating and coming up and trying to stack the line, you know, daring Dak to throw the football, and with him spreading the defenses out when Cooper goes downfield, if Zeke runs the football and he breaks that first line and containment, then all of a sudden, what would have been a five yard rush turns into a fifteen or twenty yard you know, explosive play, and
you started getting chunk plays, and all of a sudden, Dack's got confidence because he's got a threat to throw too, and it's opening up the passing routes for the underneath guys. And let's not ignore the fact that the Cowboys very quietly have emerged as one of the best defenses. Uh. This defense has improved tremendously. I've got him, I'm gonna go with the points. I'll take the seven, and you shop around. There's still a couple seven and a half's out there, and I think as we get close to
game time, you're gonna see the old flip flop. The public is gonna take the Saints ticket to seven and a half. Soon as it hits seven and a half, the sharps will take the Cowboys and it will keep going back and forth. So you should be able to grab a seven and a half, not to douse cold water on your passion there, but no Tyrone Smith tonight for the Cowboys. He is out Cowboys standout offensive linement, so he will not be in the lineup for the Cowboys.
I think your analysis on a Marii Cooper is dead on. So for the people who are like, oh, he showed up again. The Skins too touchdowns, Yeah, Quentin Dunbar slipped and ha ha, Clinton Dix needs a pro tractor. He took an awful angle. But I think your analysis is great, which is just forget that he even scored those two. Just him being on the field spreads it out for DAC and just having that thread is such a big deal.
And by the way, Dallas also rediscovers Zekiel Lli in the process, which is awfully kind of them to their fans and their backers as well. So New Orleans seven point favorites against Dallas. Marco's taking a bite on Dallas. By the way, when you were eating that fourth plate of turkey, do like other people at the table look at you and disgust and they're like, dude, like, could you leave some food for us? Stop eating? Do they do? Do you get those works? You're at my house. I
bought the turkey. You're lucky. Jeez. Do you at least have good stuffing? Are you one of these people who like put raisins and nuts in their stuffing and jack the whole thing up, or like, do you have like simple stuffy well or puts uh? She puts the cran rais and then come on, LORI with the some man Laurie got her fifteen seconds on the show. It did not go well. It did not go well. I'll let her know yet here. Yeah, listen. Fewers high on the Saints as I am. And it has nothing to do
with the bias. I like them coming into the season, and after that one and one every chance I got, I thought I was saying, go bet that future. Now this is still one of the best teams in the nfl. Um. But the spreads the great equalizer and this line is a little bit too high. Again, I don't want to stand in front of New Orleans either. You know you're
not gonna get rich doing that. Um. But with that said, I like what I've seen from Dallas of late, not just them running the football, but the fact that they could stop the other team from running the football. That's the most interesting thing about this game. That you have too good rushing off that is, against two really good Russian defenses. Um, I think you're going to force both these teams to kind of become one dimensional if they're able to run, and when that's the case, you usually
get lower scoring that's than is expected. I see value on Dallas. I see value on the under as well. Um. You know, again, you didn't get Rich Betton against New Orleans this year, so I'm in no rush to jump out ahead of them. But I'm not gonna lay the points with them on the road. Just no chance of laying that many of Dallas. And let's not forget the last time New Orleans had a streak like this, they had one thirteen in a row, and who stopped it?
Tony Romo in Dallas when they went to Dallas. So, uh, I don't know, deja vu. Who knows. We'll find out tonight. But this isn't unprecedented territory. This strikes me as one of those games where Dallas beckers, like five minutes into the game, they're like, Oh God, what was I doing? What did I do? How did I bet against? Yeah? Exactly, yeah, no way, I'm putting money on Dallas, No way. Al Right, gentlemen, final two questions, the first of which is always which
are the big favorites? Do you think is the most likely to lose? Outright? We will bend this to six point favorites are greater, so the candidates are New Orleans, as we just talked about, seven point favorites on the road against Dallas tonight, the Rams ten point favorites on the road against the Lions on Sunday morning, Green Bay two touchdown favorites at home against the Packers. Houston six
point favorites at home against the Cleveland Browns. Then Sunday afternoon, Tennessee, this is down to seven and a half at home against the Jets. Kansas City, which still gets to play Oakland at home. By the way, later in the season, we'll see what that line is, although I think it's week seventeen, so it might be squirreling. Yeah, that sucks.
Kansas City's fifteen point favorites consensus right now on the road against Oakland, Seattle, ten point favorites consensus at home against San Francisco, and then Monday night we talked about it. The Eagles six and a half point favorites at home against the Skinnies. Teddy, which of those big favorites do you think is the most likely to lose? Outright? But I'm gonna give I'm not gonna say the most likely
to lose outright. I apologize for not answering the questions specifically, but I kicked the Lions, and if there's one of those favorites I want to bet against, it beat the Rams. The Rams coming off the by in Detroit, and I think the Lions are capable of giving them a game and potentially pulling off the outright upset. And it has everything to do with you know, how much more fat and happy can you be for l A. You know, you score fifty four points on Monday night football, you
go on your buy we get more. Tell you how great you are, and now you gotta go to the Motor City and play a team, but you're not really excited about It's not a step up spot, uh for l A. And you know, for as bad as the Lions have been, I be competitive, and they've particularly been competitive at home, you know, last week losing on a defensive score against the Bears as possible here, but rams defense isn't getting I mean I didn't against k C admittedly,
but that's not a defense that I trust to get scores on a weekend, week out basis. So maybe take a shower with the Lions if you're looking for a big dog on the money. Wow, did not expect that game. By the way, Marco, I think Teddy meant fatt and sassy. Didn't He not fat and happy? Isn't that correct? You know? Fatt and sassy? Is it? You know? He didn't. He would have had to send me, you know, permission, disclaim
to use it and everything and all that. So he just didn't want to go through all that and he just you know, how did you Neric one? Ace and I are still waiting for Barstool to pay us money for sprinkle me. Oh my god? Alright, what do you got here, Marco, same question. Uh, when you were running down the list there, did you include Houston and that I did? Okay, all right, I'm I'm there with Houston,
and I'll tell you why. Because one, first of all, this Cleveland team is playing with a newfound Uh it's just like a different team. I mean you Jackson's gone, Todd Haley's gone, Baker Mayfield's had his three best games of his career in the NFL. After he was looking like he hit the rookie wall um four weeks ago. I mean he was declining game after game. Uh, you look like a deer. Cotton Headlights was having a happy feet, was taking bad sacks, and all of a sudden, he's
put up big numbers three games in a row. That's one. But the other part of it is this is a bad spot for Houston. They're coming off of a Monday night game, short week, an emotional Monday night game on several different fronts. One, you had the you know, the death of the owner, Um, you know over the weekend. Uh there that caused you know, uh something probably should
have factored into the Monday night handicapping. You know the team, Uh, you know get that fired up, you know, win for the uh the owner uh mentality, plus the fact that win over Tennessee basically gives them the division. I mean, the closest team to them right now was indiana Apolis, and they already beat Indianapolis thanks to the the frank right uh you know bonehead decision when he kicked the long field goal and missed and then gave them the short field uh in that game or no, I'm sorry
went forward? Yeah, and uh that game in the game. So they already have a two game lead and we're having the tide breaker. It's basically a three game lead. With the emotional, the short week, and the satisfying win that gives them the division. They are filling fat sassy. I think Cleveland's a live, live dog that Mike go in there and pull the upset. I have an over ticket on Houston at eight and a half, which obviously looks great, but more importantly, I have an Indianapolis Colts
to win the a f C South at eight to one. Man, would I like Houston a trip up at some point? As it is Houston, They're gonna be favored in four at other last five games. New England's got them in the rear view for that number two position in the a f C, and the by like New England better not stump because Houston. There's a scenario where Houston actually gets there. But you like Cleveland here as a live dog getting six and Baker Mayfield throwing shade at Hugh
Jackson after that game. Uh the other day was just phenomenal. Uh. And then my second favorite rumor, second highest favorite rumor of the week is, uh, did you see that report where Cincinnati was like, yeah, if we fire Marvin Lewis, they may be interested in Hugh Jackson, who's on their staff. Now I'm like, wait, what what? Why would you? Why is that your go to He's kryptonite? Bring? Yeah? Why not?
My favorite rumor, by the way, thanks for asking. My favorite rumor is this new one where Jason Witten is so bad in the Monday Night Booth and Dallas has an injury at tight end that he's gonna come out of retirement and play for the Cowboys. That's my favorite one because it's so that's a win win for everybody if that happens. We'll see Ace which is the big favorite you think is the most likely to lose that right.
I agree with both those gentlemen. I think Detroit is live as as as you can get, especially getting ten points. And I always say, if I'm gonna bet a dog, I'm gonna sprinkle a little something something as well. And I agree with Marco also, um, but I'm gonna give I'm gonna stick with Dallas. Man. And again this is me telling you against the Saints because usually, man, there's
a spot of team slips up. I mean, this is the NFL, um, and Dallas is that team that's not out of all those teams you the matchups you gave us, Dallas is that team on the other side, except for Cleveland that seems to be playing motivated ball. That's not a junkie team, you know what I mean? Like, Dallas is actually a pretty good football team, even at six and five, and especially at home. I mean they've won four of their five games there um and outscored their
opponents by a touchdown. So I mean they're very capable of winning this game at home. So for me, I think that one. And let's not forget prior to the season startmin and granted, Saints are a lot better than most people think, not better than I most people. Um Dallas was minus two and a half in this game. They were favored two and a half point favor Now, granted, a lots transpired since the first week of September, but still I think this is a possible slip up for
for the Saints. All Right, guys, no buys this week in the NFL. Everybody from here on out is playing every week, so we have sixteen games. If you had to play fifteen of them, Let's say we lived in a bizarro world, Teddy, you had to play a side on every single one of these, but you were allowed one free pass. What's the game you want no part of?
And and there are multiple choices here, try to debate which one was the one that I really liked the absolute movie, and that would probably be Arizona Green Bay. Do I trust the Cardinals to do anything? No, I don't you know. My powertyings have them right with Oakland as the worst team, the worst two teams in the NFL. Trip to Lambo in December is not anything the Cardinals need. But do I trusting Green Beta bounce back off what
they've been through over the last month? No, assertainly not by Margins So to me, that's that's probably the easiest pass in the board, although there are some other real good options for those looking to pass the game. You're right, there are a lot of choices here, Marco. What do you like the least? Denver Cincinnati? Do you want to lay points on the road with the Broncos, which needed needed for all of those interceptions by Ben and fumbles through the end zone? Um? But yet do you want
to take Cincinnati with Triscoll? Come on? You know dead Man rocking Marvin Lewis that whole situation there? I can't, I can't be involved in this game. God, you could make a case for at least at least five or six of these Ace What do you want no part of? Here? For me, it's simple because I actually love all these games. Um. Only one really jumped out at me that that I just crossed it right off. Um, and that's going to
be Kansas City at Oakland. To me, that's just a meaningless game, Kansas City coming in off that loss against the Rams. Um. We know how bad Oakland is. You know, is Kansas City warranted to be a two touchdown road favored in the divisional game? Probably? Um? But do I want to lay it. Absolutely not, even though they you know, they're capable of going out there and beating them like they did Cincinnati. But at the end of the day,
we know what they are about. When they face on New England or Rams, they get slapped back into reality and that's why they got two losses. So they'll keep beating up on the oaklands of the world and then they'll run into the wrong New England or RAMS team. Yeah, it's a lot of points too many to lay from me, and we'll be in Missouri getting changed for those three dollar bills real soon. It's Seattle over again. It's just he refuses, will tell I will tell you what we
will know sooner than not. So they don't win the Super Bowl, than you're right somehow on this. Of course, if they get knocked out of the playoffs their first game, absolute they can't win a playoff game. Yeah, if you're that good and you're you, you got a home playoff game and you've been crushing everyone and scoring forty points a game, and then some team that had the had the win wild card weekend comes in there and beats you. But when I say, you'd say race was right, that
the three great wait, un tilt it your direction. But what if they lose the Super Bowl by a field goal? The are you right? No, I'd say, you know what, No, No, I I would and I'd be honest and say, yeah, they were legit, they got it a big game. And then because you lose by field goal, man, that was a very winnable game. And I give them that. The games that they did lose, that they lost at New England, which was on the road, and the Rams game again on the road. So you got to give them that.
Both their losses came on the road. So again, when the playoffs come, you're playing at home, you've got to win those games. You should be able to get to the super Bowl. That's that's what you're telling me. You're that good. So until I let me see it, you've done talking about Patrick mahomes private parts. You've done with that. God, yeah, yeah, yeah, honestly, thank god. I'm just glad, honestly that they lost that game, all right, And more importantly than five turnovers, next to it,
five turnovers, that's the best, the best five turnover. There's a lot of candidates for games I want no part of Carolina, Tampa Bay, which I know you like, Marco, I would not touch that game. Chase Daniel is the starting quarterback for the Bears, their four point favorites at the Giants. People really liked Chase Daniel on Thursday. I was like, he was terrible to me, Like he held the ball forever. So he does not inspire confidence in me in that game, though I think the Bears probably
win it with that defense. Uh, Tennessee seven and a half against the Jets. That scares me a whole bunch of anyway, what was your by the way, before we go, Marco, before you guys came on the air, he came on like a few seconds before you did, and he said, you and Teddy Ace Teddy, you guys got into a feisty Minnesota New England video battle. What was you What
were you guys talking about? Oh no, I was just it was simply stating that they know they're gonna get New England money, they know there's gonna come some sharp money against them, and yet New England once again is eight and three straight up and seven and four against the spread. And I say, instead of sitting there and crying every week about how New England beats you put up a fucking bigger number. Let the wise guys get the best of it. Who gives this ship, they're gonna
take the good number. And and they're not the ones that are betting it all the way down. They're the ones that I said, instead of putting it up at at six, put it up at eight, put it up at eight and a half. So what those guys aren't gonna bet it all the way down the flour they're gonna they're the guys are gonna take the eighth, the eight and a half, maybe some seven and a half,
and that's gonna be the rest. They're gonna be the piggybackers and everyone else that's willing to take the third, fourth, fifth numbers take the worst of it. And then that's fine. Let them do that. But you know you're gonna get all the public money coming in on New England in any way. So why did you let one team continue to beat you against the spread? That's all I was trying to explain that that why is Alabama keenan oh? And yet not even against the spread because they did
a good job with it. Can I hear from Teddy Ace is mad at the betting marketplace. He's like, yes, instead of giving us, they said, letting all the wise guys we have six with New England, let him if we have make with New England instead, and that's the better choice for the bookmakers. And I'm like, that's that's insane. The betting market is what it is. It's not them or ust, it's not wise guys or sharpers. It's a betting marketplace. You buy a stock, that's what the price is.
You buy a game, it's not the people who list the stock that says what the price is. It's the market that says what the price is. It's the same story in the NFL. Guess what New England opened six and got pounded down. That wasn't public money, that's wise guy money. So just say that this is where the line should be in the books are idiots because the Patriots keep beating every year. It's not the books, it's the markets. So obviously you have a disagreement on that
was certainly a fun video. I'm glad that's settled. Teddy, thank you for coming on, man, really appreciate it. Always a pleasure. Thank you so much for having me. Gil a Marco, Best of luck to all of you this week too, About Too for Marco and a skill Alexander is always good luck with all your bets and for Teddy covers as well. From Sports Memo, thank you so much for listening.