Global Commodities: Hypothetically, of course. Redirecting just 0.5% of foreign US asset holdings to gold could drive prices to $6,000

Over the past five decades, foreign investors have been steadily accumulating US financial assets, which have reached nearly $57trn as of the end of 2024. Yet, there are signs that sovereign wealth funds and reserve managers appear to be rethinking the risk-reward parameters of holding US assets. Gold could further benefit from this shift. Given its limited supply growth, even relatively small reallocations into the metal can significantly impact prices. A potential shift of just 0.5% of foreign US assets to gold could yield 18% annual returns, taking gold prices toward $6,000 by early 2029.  While hypothetical, this scenario illustrates why we remain structurally bullish gold and think prices have further to run.

Speakers:

Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Research 

Greg Shearer, Head of Base and Precious Metals Research

This podcast was recorded on 9 May 2025.

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