2017 Predictions Calibration Results

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

Jan 03, 2018•20 min

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Episode description

At the beginning of every year, I make predictions. At the end of every year, I score them. Here are 2014, 2015, and 2016.

And here are the predictions I made for 2017. Strikethrough’d are false. Intact are true. Italicized are getting thrown out because I can’t decide if they’re true or not.

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