In this episode, the Besties welcome Joe Lonsdale to discuss Trump's economic policies, including tariffs, the strategic Bitcoin reserve, and the potential CoreWeave IPO. They also delve into the state of Ukraine/Russia, the future of defense pacts, and advancements in language models like GPT-4.5 and Grok 3.
The All-In podcast discusses a range of topics, including the Epstein files release, Friedberg's Jeopardy win, autonomous robots, Stripe's financial reports, and market trends. The hosts debate Trump's economic policies, the potential for market corrections, and the future of asset ownership. They also touch on the USPS, Bezos's changes to the Washington Post and the concept of accredited investing.
(0:00) The Besties welcome John and Patrick Collison! (4:28) Stripe's business evolution: $1T in volume/year, stablecoins, challenging the Visa/Mastercard duopoly, publishing economic indicators (20:31) Jamie Dimon's leaked rant on remote work and bureaucracy (34:22) DOGE for Defense: Trump ordered the Pentagon to look at cutting the defense budget by 8%/year over the next five years (43:51) Crypto Corner: Milei's Memecoin embarrassment (1:00:18) John and Patrick break down the Arc Institute and...
(0:00) The Besties intro Naval Ravikant! (9:07) Naval reflects on his thoughtful tweets and reputation (14:17) Unique views on parenting (23:20) Sacks joins to talk AI: JD Vance's speech in Paris, Techno-Optimists vs Doomers (1:11:06) Tariffs and the US economic experiment (1:21:15) Thomson Reuters wins first major AI copyright decision on behalf of rights holders (1:35:35) Chamath's dinner with Bryan Johnson, sleep hacks (1:45:09) Tulsi Gabbard, RFK Jr. confirmed Follow Naval: https://x.com/nav...
(0:00) The Besties intro Antonio Gracias! (3:11) DOGE takes on USAID (31:44) Sacks breaks in to talk USAID (34:00) Sacks explains what he's working on: Crypto/AI Frameworks (46:41) The Democratic Party's shrinking base (52:33) US Sovereign Wealth Fund + Breaking DOGE/Tax News (1:09:07) Google to spend $75B on AI buildout in 2025, future of work in the age of AI (1:23:21) Science Corner: GLP-1 macro study Follow Antonio: https://x.com/AntonioGracias Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https...
(0:00) The Besties intro Travis Kalanick! (2:11) Travis breaks down the future of food and the state of CloudKitchens (13:34) Sacks breaks in! (15:38) DeepSeek panic: What's real, training innovation, China, impact on markets and the AI industry (50:14) US vs China in AI, the Singapore backdoor (1:01:51) OpenAI reportedly in talks to raise ~$40B with Masa as the lead investor (1:10:37) DOGE's first 10 days (1:25:13) Future of Self Driving: Uber, Waymo, Tesla (1:38:04) Fed holds rates steady, how...
(0:00) Ray Dalio joins Friedberg! (0:50) The current US fiscal situation (6:23) Breaking down "The Big Debt Cycle," a potential US debt spiral, and the impact on real wealth (24:54) USD vs other currencies and assets, best hedges against the dollar (33:20) Portfolio construction, how China increases risk for US AI companies, why this market reminds Ray of 1998-1999 (41:45) How the US can avoid a debt crisis (53:29) DOGE, Trump, and AI's greatest risk (1:05:31) Chances of conflict between the US ...
(0:00) The Besties intro Thomas Laffont! (6:22) Behind the scenes: Inauguration Weekend recap! (15:58) Biggest takeaways from DC during the Inauguration (31:38) Trump Executive Action breakdown (33:39) TikTok's grace period extended, valuing the business, US new equity strategy? (57:01) Jan 6th pardons, birthright citizenship (1:09:49) Stargate: $500B AI investment, is Masa the GOAT?, bull case for OpenAI (1:23:41) How electricity production capacity plays into the global AI race (1:36:20) Netfl...
(0:00) House Whip Tom Emmer on Trump's political talent, the Biden conspiracy, taking back the Democratic party, immigration, the role of Whip (33:53) California Rep. Eric Swalwell on where Democrats went wrong, how to rebrand the party, TikTok ban, and more (1:08:01) California Rep. Ro Khanna on reforming the Democratic party, Bob Iger as LA Mayor, CA Leadership, TikTok ban Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Whip...
(0:00) Besties intro Senator Ted Cruz; history of the "Come and take it" flag (2:21) Texas vs. California: how to approach building and entrepreneurship (10:25) Thoughts on immigration, serving in the Senate, over-politicization (16:55) How to create a bipartisan consensus on immigration, increasing prosperity through opportunity (23:54) How Sen. Cruz would approach Trump's first two weeks of his second term (29:02) DOGE's two major challenges, unlimited Congressional terms, ideology over party,...
(0:00) The Besties welcome Mark Pincus! (3:53) Mark's background (6:02) How Mark got red-pilled for Trump, maintaining friendships despite political differences (23:21) LA Wildfires update: Newsom's EOs, market impact of price controls (51:32) Congestion pricing in NYC, fixing broken cities (1:08:33) TikTok ban: origin and potential outcomes (1:19:15) MBA hiring downturn (1:34:37) Conspiracy Corner: Mark's take on UFOs and UAPs! Follow the Besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https...
(0:00) The Besties welcome Cyan Banister! (9:16) Reacting to the LA wildfires: broken incentives, leadership failures, lessons learned (36:51) Insurance issues, rebuilding headwinds, reclaiming the government (59:44) Zuck goes full free speech, fires third-party fact-checkers, opts for Community Notes model (1:20:19) Nvidia goes consumer at CES: market cap impact, most interesting vertical (1:34:49) Why Trump wants Greenland (1:40:05) Conspiracy Corner: Who built the pyramids? Follow the Besties...
(0:00) The Besties welcome Gavin Baker and recap ski week! (5:38) Biggest Political Winner (9:26) Biggest Political Loser (17:34) Biggest Business Winner (32:43) Biggest Business Loser (46:54) Biggest Business Deal (57:04) Most Contrarian Belief (1:12:59) Best Performing Asset (1:22:56) Worst Performing Asset (1:30:19) Most Anticipated Trend (1:38:59) Most Anticipated Media (1:43:03) Super Predictions (1:46:50) Bonus: Drones, UFOs, and more Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com...
(0:00) Bestie intros (3:07) The Besties welcome Box CEO Aaron Levie! (5:40) Thoughts on Sacks's new role, what areas he can have immediate positive impact on in crypto and AI (18:42) DOGE's first casualty and its paradigm-shifting potential (48:25) Conspiracy Corner: What are the drones over New Jersey!? (57:36) Zuck joins Team Elon against OpenAI, AI's competitive landscape and downstream impact on business software (1:27:29) Google's AI turnaround, future of AI physics and video models Follow ...
(0:00) The Besties welcome Keith Rabois! (4:01) Keith explains why he returned to Khosla Ventures, the differences between Founders Fund and Khosla, and his husband Jacob Helberg's role in Trump Admin (13:09) Business acumen of Trump's cabinet and appointees, diversity of opinion (25:59) Google's new quantum chip: potential impact on encryption, cryptography, and more (43:50) Apple developing new server chip for AI inference, iOS flop, why its product culture is failing (54:30) TikTok panics aft...
(0:00) Bestie announcement! (2:53) Gavin Baker and Joe Lonsdale join the show (4:14) State of the Trump Bump: Debt focus, Deregulation, America's lucky position (20:08) Trump nominates Paul Atkins as SEC Chair, replacing Gary Gensler: What this means for crypto and other markets (41:07) Thoughts on Michael Saylor's Bitcoin play, state of defense tech, and the US/China AI competition (49:25) xAI's massive GPU cluster, expanding to 1M GPUs, how Grok 3 will test AI scaling laws, and what's next (1:...
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:54) Breaking down the DOGE roadmap (24:28) Milei's impact, DOGE's tight timeline, impact on GDP growth, "default sustainable," how to communicate DOGE (48:11) WW3 risk: Biden's recent escalation (1:00:43) Science Corner: Fat cells can remember being fat! Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg F...
(0:00) Bestie intros! (7:57) Election impact on Bitcoin, crypto, and fintech stocks (21:56) M&A and IPOs: What to expect in 2025 (39:52) Pharma advertising on cable tv: Should it be allowed? Is big pharma buying influence? (58:17) FBI raids Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home (1:05:51) Trump's transition picks: Strategy, highest upside/downside, and more Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.c...
(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:55) Sacks recaps election night at Mar-a-Lago (8:28) Analyzing the results: how Trump won, why Kamala and the Democratic Party lost (25:55) The failing Democratic coalition, campaign spend disparity, Trump's advantage in earned media (37:59) What mattered most: Policy, Candidate, or Campaign? (50:44) GOP will likely win House and Senate, potential cabinet positions, avoiding neocons (1:10:42) Cabinet positions, shaking up the unelected bureaucratic branch (1:28:47) Calif...
(0:00) Bestie intros! (5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues (29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google? (36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks (42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US (54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results (1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: ho...
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events (9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions (27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements (38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints (53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch (1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation? Get tickets to The All-In Ho...
(0:00) Bestie intros (2:01) Polls vs Prediction markets, dueling interviews, election update (16:06) Tesla's Robotaxi event and SpaceX's Starship catch (27:36) Uber reportedly looking into acquiring Expedia (45:19) Nuclear Vibe Shift? Big tech is looking toward nuclear solutions to power AI (1:11:10) Lawfare from the California Coastal Commission Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod F...
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:18) Besties intro JD Vance! (3:33) America's innovation problem (5:04) Thoughts on Trump (8:53) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020? (12:02) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs (19:35) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years (23:58) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem (25:55...
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:18) The science behind Hurricanes Helene and Milton (14:59) The economics of intensifying natural disasters (29:03) AlphaFold creators win Nobel Prize in Chemistry (35:17) The Jayter's Ball (38:53) Google antitrust update: DOJ is going for a breakup (53:32) VC giveback: CRV will return ~$275M of a $500M fund to LPs (1:03:44) New TikTok survey shows increased usage as a news source (1:15:26) Election update: Are polling problems causing a strategy shift for Kamala Harris?...
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:24) Besties intro Elon Musk! (1:23) The Battle of Free Speech (10:24) Potential government efficiency agency (27:45) SpaceX updates, overreaching regulations (36:10) Thoughts on Boeing's culture (38:27) The 80/20 AI Future (54:03) Elon and Jason share unaired SNL skits Follow Elon: https://x.com/elonmusk Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow...
(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992 (5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump (19:08) Trump's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (40:46) Party nominations: Kamala vs. Trump (49:18) Biden's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (55:45) Should Kamala share blame for Biden's failures? (1:07:01) International conflict, national debt, crypto regulation (1:21:33) General sense of Kamala ...
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg! (0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs (1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals? (13:56) Should America leverage its power against dictators? (22:07) The China threat: avoiding the escalatory path to nuclear war (36:08) India's growing role; are China's wounds self-inflicted? (47:07) Conflict in the Middle East and the path to peace Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https...
(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam (6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases (24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents? (40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion (49:57) Meta's impressive new AR glasses: is this the killer product for the age of AI? (1:09:05) Blue collar boom: trades are becoming more popular with young people as entry-level tech jobs dry up (1:20:55) Risk of nuclear war increasing Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://...
(0:00) Bestie intros + All-In Summit recap (6:50) Fed cuts 50 bps: Economic tailwind, scary signal, or both? (17:35) AI is coming for call centers; how agent training works (33:41) US government wasting $50B for rural internet and EV charging stations (47:10) Reflecting on some rough years in VC: is the model broken? (1:07:18) Reacting to the first Trump/Kamala debate, what factors will make each candidate can win or lose the race Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason htt...
(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode" (1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement (9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode" (32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode" (52:28) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling (1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company (1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: htt...
