Uncertainty as part of decision-relevant information

Uncertainty is part and parcel of scientific information and the various disciplines (e.g., medical, management and social and environmental sciences) have developed vocabularies and scientific means of communicating that uncertainty. In addition, different decision-making and policy communities have developed means of using information and data that to different extents includes the associated uncertainties. For example the medical community has considerable experience in presenting and communicating uncertainty to inform decisions made by both practitioners and patients. There is also experience with the broader decision-making community (e.g., robust decision making) that could inform and challenge existing approaches across disciplines. This seminar series will build on the knowledge and experiences of these various communities,(practice and theory), to better understand and share lessons on practices, challenges and success towards better informing decision making and policy.Organised by the Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism, part of the Department of Politics and International Relations at Oxford. http://reutersinstitute.politics.ox.ac.uk

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Episodes

Communicating Risk and Uncertainty in Climate Science part two

Peter Scott, Met Office, gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templton College, Oxford on 15th Novemeber 2012.

Dec 21, 2012•15 min

Communicating Risk and Uncertainty in Climate Science part one

Professor Chris Rapley, UCL, gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templton College, Oxford on 15th Novemeber 2012. Introduced by Richard Black, former BBC Correspondent.

Dec 21, 2012•17 min

Public Understanding of Risk and Uncertainy - part two

Dr Emily Shuckburgh, BAS/DECC, gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templton College, Oxford on 15th Novemeber 2012.

Dec 21, 2012•20 min

Public Understanding of Risk and Uncertainy - part one

Dr Nick Pidgeon, Cardiff University, gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templeton College, Oxford on 15th November 2012.

Dec 21, 2012•25 min

Communicating Risk and Uncertainty Opening Address

Opening Address by Professor Speigelhalter, Winton Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk, Cambridge University.

Dec 20, 2012•24 min

The Experience of Different Sectors in Communicating Risk and Uncertainty part one

Wendy Jarrett, Associate Director, Media Relations, National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) gives a talk for the Communicating Risk and Uncertainty conference, held at Green Templeton College, Oxford.

Dec 20, 2012•13 min

An Uncertain Climate

Chris Rapley, Professor of Climate Science, University College London, gives the final lecture in the Uncertainty series. This talk will cover the complexity of the Earth systems, and the nature and magnitude of the challenge of exploring and understanding how it functions. Key outcomes of the research effort will be summarised, as will the approaches used to predict the future trajectory of the system and the consequences for humanity. A key uncertainty is the extent to which humans will take m...

Jul 03, 2012•58 min

Uncertainty, risk and decision making in medical care

What should patients and clinicians make of uncertainty, risk and decision making in medical care? Dr Angela Coulter delivers a lecture at Green Templeton College as part of the Uncertainty series.

Jul 03, 2012•38 min

Uncertainty, risk and decision making: A view from the Environmental Social Sciences

Professor Nick Pidgeon gives a talk for the Uncertainty, Risk and Decision Making seminar series. Events of the past 3 years - from volcanic ash, to climate change e-mails, to Fukushima - have brought home the importance of both handling and communicating environmental risks for both the public and for policy purposes. This talk will ask what we know about types of environmental uncertainty, and their significance and impacts for both policy decisions and communication with the public. I argue t...

Apr 05, 2012•54 min

Dealing with uncertainties in UK energy policy: Some lessons from experience

Jim Watson (Director, Sussex Energy Group) delivers a lecture as part of the 2012 Green Templeton College "Uncertainty..." lecture series.

Mar 02, 2012•43 min

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